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Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) DCF Valuation
US | Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | NYSE
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- ✓ Fully Editable: Tailor To Your Needs In Excel Or Sheets
- ✓ Professional Design: Trusted, Industry-Standard Templates
- ✓ Pre-Built For Quick And Efficient Use
- ✓ No Expertise Is Needed; Easy To Follow
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) Bundle
Looking to determine the intrinsic value of Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.? Our CMG DCF Calculator integrates real-world data with comprehensive customization features, allowing you to refine your forecasts and make informed investment choices.
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)
| Year | AY1 2020 |
AY2 2021 |
AY3 2022 |
AY4 2023 |
AY5 2024 |
FY1 2025 |
FY2 2026 |
FY3 2027 |
FY4 2028 |
FY5 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 5,984.6 | 7,547.1 | 8,634.7 | 9,871.6 | 11,313.9 | 13,278.3 | 15,583.9 | 18,289.8 | 21,465.5 | 25,192.7 |
| Revenue Growth, % | 0 | 26.11 | 14.41 | 14.33 | 14.61 | 17.36 | 17.36 | 17.36 | 17.36 | 17.36 |
| EBITDA | 574.8 | 1,100.2 | 1,497.9 | 1,952.5 | 2,320.2 | 2,172.8 | 2,550.0 | 2,992.8 | 3,512.5 | 4,122.3 |
| EBITDA, % | 9.6 | 14.58 | 17.35 | 19.78 | 20.51 | 16.36 | 16.36 | 16.36 | 16.36 | 16.36 |
| Depreciation | 238.5 | 254.7 | 286.8 | 319.4 | 335.0 | 448.2 | 526.1 | 617.4 | 724.6 | 850.4 |
| Depreciation, % | 3.99 | 3.37 | 3.32 | 3.24 | 2.96 | 3.38 | 3.38 | 3.38 | 3.38 | 3.38 |
| EBIT | 336.3 | 845.5 | 1,211.1 | 1,633.1 | 1,985.2 | 1,724.5 | 2,024.0 | 2,375.4 | 2,787.8 | 3,271.9 |
| EBIT, % | 5.62 | 11.2 | 14.03 | 16.54 | 17.55 | 12.99 | 12.99 | 12.99 | 12.99 | 12.99 |
| Total Cash | 951.6 | 1,076.3 | 899.1 | 1,295.4 | 1,422.9 | 1,760.0 | 2,065.6 | 2,424.3 | 2,845.3 | 3,339.3 |
| Total Cash, percent | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 |
| Account Receivables | 387.3 | 193.7 | 154.6 | 168.5 | 211.2 | 382.5 | 448.9 | 526.8 | 618.3 | 725.6 |
| Account Receivables, % | 6.47 | 2.57 | 1.79 | 1.71 | 1.87 | 2.88 | 2.88 | 2.88 | 2.88 | 2.88 |
| Inventories | 26.4 | 32.8 | 35.7 | 39.3 | 48.9 | 56.3 | 66.1 | 77.6 | 91.0 | 106.9 |
| Inventories, % | 0.44188 | 0.43495 | 0.41308 | 0.3982 | 0.43258 | 0.42414 | 0.42414 | 0.42414 | 0.42414 | 0.42414 |
| Accounts Payable | 122.0 | 163.2 | 184.6 | 197.6 | 210.7 | 270.9 | 318.0 | 373.2 | 438.0 | 514.0 |
| Accounts Payable, % | 2.04 | 2.16 | 2.14 | 2 | 1.86 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 2.04 |
| Capital Expenditure | -373.4 | -442.5 | -479.2 | -560.7 | -593.6 | -758.9 | -890.7 | -1,045.4 | -1,226.9 | -1,439.9 |
| Capital Expenditure, % | -6.24 | -5.86 | -5.55 | -5.68 | -5.25 | -5.72 | -5.72 | -5.72 | -5.72 | -5.72 |
| Tax Rate, % | 23.68 | 23.68 | 23.68 | 23.68 | 23.68 | 23.68 | 23.68 | 23.68 | 23.68 | 23.68 |
| EBITAT | 407.2 | 679.3 | 921.6 | 1,238.3 | 1,515.0 | 1,409.2 | 1,653.9 | 1,941.1 | 2,278.1 | 2,673.6 |
| Depreciation | ||||||||||
| Changes in Account Receivables | ||||||||||
| Changes in Inventories | ||||||||||
| Changes in Accounts Payable | ||||||||||
| Capital Expenditure | ||||||||||
| UFCF | -19.4 | 719.9 | 786.9 | 992.5 | 1,217.1 | 980.1 | 1,260.1 | 1,478.9 | 1,735.7 | 2,037.1 |
| WACC, % | 9.67 | 9.63 | 9.62 | 9.62 | 9.62 | 9.63 | 9.63 | 9.63 | 9.63 | 9.63 |
| PV UFCF | ||||||||||
| SUM PV UFCF | 5,552.5 | |||||||||
| Long Term Growth Rate, % | 4.00 | |||||||||
| Free cash flow (T + 1) | 2,119 | |||||||||
| Terminal Value | 37,615 | |||||||||
| Present Terminal Value | 23,750 | |||||||||
| Enterprise Value | 29,303 | |||||||||
| Net Debt | 3,792 | |||||||||
| Equity Value | 25,511 | |||||||||
| Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM | 1,377 | |||||||||
| Equity Value Per Share | 18.53 |
What You Will Get
- Real CMG Financials: Includes historical and forecasted data for precise valuation.
- Adjustable Inputs: Modify WACC, tax rates, revenue growth, and capital expenditures.
- Automatic Calculations: Intrinsic value and NPV are calculated dynamically.
- Scenario Analysis: Test multiple scenarios to evaluate Chipotle’s future performance.
- Clear and Intuitive Design: Tailored for professionals yet user-friendly for beginners.
Key Features
- Pre-Loaded Data: Chipotle’s historical financial statements and pre-filled forecasts.
- Fully Adjustable Inputs: Edit WACC, tax rates, revenue growth, and EBITDA margins.
- Instant Results: See Chipotle’s intrinsic value recalculate in real time.
- Clear Visual Outputs: Dashboard charts display valuation results and key metrics.
- Built for Accuracy: A professional tool for analysts, investors, and finance experts.
How It Works
- Download: Access the ready-to-use Excel file with Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.'s (CMG) financial data.
- Customize: Adjust forecasts, including revenue growth, EBITDA %, and WACC.
- Update Automatically: The intrinsic value and NPV calculations update in real-time.
- Test Scenarios: Create multiple projections and compare outcomes instantly.
- Make Decisions: Use the valuation results to guide your investment strategy.
Why Choose This Calculator for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG)?
- Designed for Industry Experts: A sophisticated tool utilized by financial analysts, CFOs, and industry consultants.
- Accurate Financial Insights: Chipotle’s historical and projected financial data preloaded for precise analysis.
- Flexible Scenario Analysis: Effortlessly simulate various forecasts and assumptions.
- Comprehensive Outputs: Automatically computes intrinsic value, NPV, and essential financial metrics.
- User-Friendly Interface: Step-by-step guidance simplifies the calculation process.
Who Should Use This Product?
- Investors: Assess Chipotle’s valuation prior to making investment decisions.
- CFOs and Financial Analysts: Optimize valuation methodologies and evaluate financial forecasts.
- Startup Founders: Understand the valuation strategies of leading companies like Chipotle.
- Consultants: Provide comprehensive valuation analyses for their clients.
- Students and Educators: Utilize real market data to learn and teach valuation principles.
What the Template Contains
- Pre-Filled Data: Includes Chipotle’s historical financials and forecasts.
- Discounted Cash Flow Model: Editable DCF valuation model with automatic calculations.
- Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC): A dedicated sheet for calculating WACC based on custom inputs.
- Key Financial Ratios: Analyze Chipotle’s profitability, efficiency, and leverage.
- Customizable Inputs: Edit revenue growth, margins, and tax rates with ease.
- Clear Dashboard: Charts and tables summarizing key valuation results.
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