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FTI Consulting, Inc. (FCN): PESTLE Analysis [Nov-2025 Updated] |
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You're trying to gauge FTI Consulting, Inc. (FCN) in late 2025, and the reality is a story of two speeds: a boom in restructuring driven by global uncertainty, but a slowdown in M&A-dependent segments. While the firm reconfirms robust full-year 2025 revenue guidance of approximately $3.71 billion and an adjusted EPS range of $8.20 to $8.70, that growth is uneven, with Corporate Finance & Restructuring revenue surging 18.6% in Q3 2025 while Economic Consulting and Technology face headwinds. Geopolitical instability, new US merger filing rules, and a massive push into AI capabilities like IQ.AI are defintely defining their external environment. If you want to understand how regulatory fragmentation, rising litigation (up 59% for business leaders), and the ESG push map directly to FCN's near-term risks and opportunities, you need this PESTLE breakdown.
FTI Consulting, Inc. (FCN) - PESTLE Analysis: Political factors
Policy and regulatory fragmentation is the biggest trend for 2025 Public Affairs leaders.
You're seeing a world where governments are acting more independently, and that divergence is a massive tailwind for FTI Consulting's Strategic Communications segment. This isn't just about a few new rules; it's about regulatory fragmentation-a patchwork of conflicting laws across jurisdictions that makes global compliance a nightmare for multinational clients. An FTI Consulting survey from November 2025 confirmed this, finding that policy and regulatory fragmentation was 'easily the biggest trend' Public Affairs leaders were seeing.
This reality translates directly into billable hours for FCN. A significant 87% of Public Affairs leaders surveyed said managing political and regulatory change would be a priority for the coming year. Plus, 68% view regulatory and compliance issues as a major near-term business risk. When compliance becomes a risk, not just a routine cost, companies need high-end advisory services to build a defensible strategy. This is a core, non-cyclical demand driver for FTI Consulting.
Geopolitical instability is a top challenge, cited by 70% of European CFOs.
Geopolitical instability has moved from a theoretical risk to a direct operational threat, and that's why FTI Consulting's expertise in crisis and risk management is so valuable right now. When FTI Consulting polled Chief Financial Officers globally in its March 2025 Global CFO Report, 70% of European CFOs cited geopolitical instability as one of their top three challenges, right alongside high energy costs and inflation. That's a clear signal that the financial and political worlds are now inseparable.
This instability directly fuels the Forensic and Litigation Consulting segment, which is projected for growth in disputes and investigations services for 2025. When supply chains break due to sanctions, or when assets are frozen in conflict zones, you need experts to trace funds and navigate complex international arbitration. For FCN, this kind of crisis work is defintely high-margin. The firm's overall 2025 revenue guidance, last updated in October 2025, is a robust $3.685 billion to $3.735 billion, partially buoyed by this persistent demand for dispute resolution.
| Geopolitical Challenge (Europe, 2025) | Percentage of CFOs Citing as Top 3 Challenge | FTI Consulting Segment Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Geopolitical Instability | 70% | Forensic and Litigation Consulting, Strategic Communications |
| High Volatility of Energy Costs | 66% | Corporate Finance & Restructuring, Economic Consulting |
| Inflation | 64% | Corporate Finance & Restructuring |
US trade policy shifts and a looming federal budget clash create client uncertainty.
The US political landscape is creating profound uncertainty, and that uncertainty is a consulting opportunity. The potential for dramatic US trade policy shifts in 2025, including scenarios involving a 60% tariff on Chinese goods and a 10% universal tariff on imports from other countries, has companies scrambling. Here's the quick math: a shift this large could reduce US real GDP growth by 1.2 percentage points in 2025 and 2026, according to one economic model. That's a massive headwind that requires immediate strategic planning.
The mere threat of these changes forces clients to engage FTI Consulting for supply chain re-shoring analysis, customs compliance planning, and trade dispute advisory. The volatility is real; trade uncertainty for manufacturers in regions closely tied to US policy, like Ireland, jumped from 19% in 2023 to 59% in 2025. This demand for clarity is a direct revenue stream for the Economic Consulting and Strategic Communications segments.
Increased government scrutiny on global M&A deals drives demand for antitrust consulting.
Global Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A) activity is facing a regulatory gauntlet, which is a structural positive for FCN's Economic Consulting segment, despite some internal talent challenges. Antitrust authorities are more aggressive than ever. In 2024, antitrust authorities frustrated more deals than in the prior four years, and the number of abandoned cases rose by over 50%.
This trend is accelerating in 2025 with new legislation like the UK's Digital Markets, Competition and Consumers Act (DMCC Act), which became effective on January 1, 2025, granting new powers to scrutinize digital market deals. The US Department of Justice (DOJ) and Federal Trade Commission (FTC) are also expected to remain aggressive enforcers. This heightened scrutiny means nearly every major transaction requires sophisticated economic analysis and expert testimony-the core service of FTI Consulting's Compass Lexecon practice.
- Antitrust authorities frustrated over 50% more deals in 2024 than in the prior four-year average.
- New regulatory regimes, like the UK's DMCC Act (effective Jan 1, 2025), expand government power over tech M&A.
- Demand for M&A-related antitrust consulting remains high, but FCN's Economic Consulting segment is navigating headwinds from senior staff departures, which management expects to materially impact the business in 2025.
FTI Consulting, Inc. (FCN) - PESTLE Analysis: Economic factors
Full-year 2025 Revenue and Adjusted EPS Guidance
The economic outlook for FTI Consulting, Inc. (FCN) in late 2025 is a tale of two economies: a boom in corporate distress countering a slump in deal-making. For the full fiscal year 2025, the company has reconfirmed its revenue guidance to a range between $3.685 billion and $3.735 billion, with the midpoint sitting at approximately $3.71 billion. That's a solid anchor in a choppy market.
The firm also raised its full-year Adjusted Earnings Per Share (Adjusted EPS) guidance, which is a strong sign of management confidence and margin control. The new projected range for Adjusted EPS is $8.20 to $8.70, up from the previous estimate of $7.80 to $8.40. This upward revision, despite major headwinds in two segments, reflects the company's ability to quickly pivot its resources to where the demand is highest.
Restructuring Demand Drives Corporate Finance Segment
The economic uncertainty-higher interest rates and tighter credit-is a direct tailwind for FTI Consulting's restructuring business. Honestly, their Corporate Finance & Restructuring segment is thriving on client distress. In Q3 2025, this segment's revenue surged by 18.6%, adding $63.4 million year-over-year to reach $404.9 million. This growth is a clear indicator of high restructuring and transactions services demand, as companies grapple with a more expensive capital environment.
Here's the quick math on the segment's Q3 2025 performance:
| Segment | Q3 2025 Revenue (Millions) | Year-over-Year Change |
|---|---|---|
| Corporate Finance & Restructuring | $404.9 million | +18.6% |
| Economic Consulting | $173.1 million | -22.0% |
| Technology | N/A | N/A |
M&A Slowdown Creates Headwinds in Key Segments
But that's not the whole story. The slowdown in global merger and acquisition (M&A) activity is creating a significant drag on other parts of the business. The Economic Consulting segment, for example, saw its revenues drop by 22.0% in Q3 2025 to $173.1 million. This decline is directly linked to lower demand for both M&A-related antitrust and non-M&A-related antitrust services, a natural consequence of fewer deals being filed.
The Technology segment is also facing pressure from this same economic headwind. Its services, which include M&A-related 'second request' reviews (complex regulatory filings), saw a decline in demand. The firm's strength is its counter-cyclical nature, but a prolonged M&A slump will defintely keep a lid on growth in these segments.
- Economic Consulting: Revenues down due to lower M&A antitrust work.
- Technology: Lower demand for M&A-related 'second request' services.
Capital Allocation and Share Repurchase Program
FTI Consulting's capital allocation strategy signals management's belief that their stock is a good investment, even with the mixed economic signals. On October 21, 2025, the Board of Directors authorized an additional $500.0 million for the company's common stock repurchase program. This action returns capital to shareholders and can support the stock price.
The company is clearly managing capital aggressively, using its strong cash flow to buy back shares. The total authorization for the program has now reached $2.2 billion since its inception in 2016. The decision to authorize another $500 million in October 2025 shows a commitment to capital efficiency over large-scale, immediate capital expenditures for growth.
Next Step: Finance should model a sensitivity analysis showing the impact on the Adjusted EPS range if the M&A market remains flat through Q1 2026.
FTI Consulting, Inc. (FCN) - PESTLE Analysis: Social factors
Litigation is on the rise, with 59% of business leaders seeing an increase in 2024.
The social trend of increased litigation and regulatory scrutiny is a massive tailwind for FTI Consulting, Inc.'s core business. You're seeing a more litigious environment across the board, driven by everything from data privacy concerns to activist shareholders. This isn't just a slight uptick; it's a structural shift.
Specifically, 59% of business leaders reported seeing an increase in litigation in 2024, a trend that is accelerating into 2025. This directly fuels the Forensic and Litigation Consulting (FLC) segment, which is already performing exceptionally well. For example, FLC's Q3 2025 revenues increased by 15.4% to $194.7 million, driven by higher demand for risk and investigations services and better realized bill rates for data & analytics solutions. This tells me that companies are not just facing more lawsuits, but more complex ones that require sophisticated, data-driven expertise.
The demand for expert testimony and data analytics in disputes is a clear, high-margin opportunity.
- Litigation complexity is increasing, particularly in areas like cybersecurity and ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance).
- The FLC segment's Q3 2025 revenue of $194.7 million confirms the strength of this social and legal trend.
- Companies are increasing litigation spending; 57% of clients plan to increase this spend in 2025.
Investor expectations for corporate transparency are high, with 79% expecting a visible CFO social media presence.
The social contract between a company and its investors has changed. It used to be enough to deliver a clean 10-K and a quarterly earnings call. Now, transparency is demanded in real-time, and it's a major factor in maintaining investor confidence, especially among younger, digitally-native investors.
The expectation for executives, particularly the Chief Financial Officer (CFO), to be a visible, accessible voice is a powerful social force. While the exact figure of 79% expecting a visible CFO social media presence highlights this shift, it maps to the broader trend where 79% of Gen Z and Millennials already rely on social media platforms for financial insights. This means a significant portion of the future investor base views an executive's digital presence as a proxy for corporate openness.
This trend is a direct driver for the Strategic Communications segment, which specializes in financial communications and investor relations. In a world where a CFO's tweet can move a stock, managing that narrative is essential. This is a defintely a high-growth area.
Talent retention is a key challenge, evidenced by senior staff departures in the Economic Consulting segment.
For a human capital-intensive firm like FTI Consulting, Inc., social factors related to talent-compensation, culture, and retention-are an existential risk. Your intellectual property walks out the door every evening. The challenge is most acute in the highly specialized Economic Consulting (EC) segment, where star economists are the product.
The company acknowledged this challenge in 2025, noting that the EC segment experienced significant headwinds due to senior-level departures in Compass Lexecon, its subsidiary. This talent drain directly impacted the segment's financial performance, which saw a steep 17.0% revenue decline in Q2 2025. The cost of managing this social risk is concrete:
| Segment/Metric | Impact of Talent Challenge (2025) | Q1 2025 Financial Cost |
|---|---|---|
| Economic Consulting (EC) | Revenue Decline (Q2 2025) | 17.0% |
| Employee-Related Costs | Special Charge for Severance and Retention | $25.3 million |
| Segment Headcount | Targeted Headcount Actions/Reductions | Increased Retention Costs |
The firm has to continually invest in talent acquisition and retention, which is why they incurred a special charge of $25.3 million in Q1 2025, primarily for severance and other employee-related costs. This is the price of doing business in a high-demand, expert-driven market.
Corporate reputation and crisis communications demand is steady, supporting the Strategic Communications segment.
In a hyper-connected social environment, corporate reputation is more fragile and valuable than ever. A single misstep can go viral and cause significant financial damage. This creates a steady, non-cyclical demand for crisis and reputational management services, which is the bread and butter of FTI Consulting, Inc.'s Strategic Communications (SC) segment.
The demand for managing reputational fallout from political, regulatory, and financial challenges is strong. The SC segment's performance in 2025 reflects this, with a revenue surge of 20.8% in Q2 2025. This growth is fueled by clients navigating a complex mix of external pressures, including:
- ESG scrutiny: Stakeholders demand authentic, data-grounded ESG programs.
- Cybersecurity incidents: Digitalization has increased the prevalence of cyberattacks and ransomware, creating immediate crisis communication needs.
- Macropolitical uncertainty: The need to manage public affairs and regulatory challenges in an unstable global environment.
When a company faces a crisis, they need a firm that can manage the financial, regulatory, and reputational fallout simultaneously. This integrated service offering is why the Strategic Communications segment is a high-growth performer for FTI Consulting, Inc.
FTI Consulting, Inc. (FCN) - PESTLE Analysis: Technological factors
Significant investment in Artificial Intelligence (AI) capabilities to enhance service delivery.
You can't talk about FTI Consulting, Inc.'s technology strategy without starting with Artificial Intelligence (AI). The firm is defintely leaning into AI, viewing it as a core investment to maintain its leadership in complex legal and regulatory services. This isn't just a buzzword for them; it's a necessity to handle the massive, complex data volumes clients face today. The company has explicitly stated its commitment to 'continuing to make sure we are investing in Tech's leadership position in AI' to drive future growth.
This investment is crucial because it directly addresses the escalating cost and complexity of e-discovery (electronic discovery) and investigations. FTI Consulting is focused on leveraging machine learning and AI-related platforms to support its internal infrastructure and client solutions, giving them a competitive edge over smaller firms that can't match the capital expenditure.
Launch of specialized tools like IQ.AI for legal and compliance services.
The tangible result of FTI Consulting's AI focus is the continued expansion of its proprietary IQ.AI by FTI Technology™ suite, which launched enhanced capabilities in March 2025. This suite is designed to transform time-intensive review phases into strategic advantages, which is a massive value-add for their corporate and law firm clients. It's a smart move to productize their expertise.
The IQ.AI suite now includes specialized tools that address specific, high-friction areas in legal and compliance:
- IQ.AI for Review: Accelerates document review timelines and cuts costs.
- IQ.AI for Emerging Data Sources: Enhances the review of chat threads and data from cloud applications.
- IQ.AI for Contracts: Efficiently analyzes contractual obligations.
This product line demonstrates a clear strategy: use advanced technology to solve the most difficult data challenges for the world's largest organizations. That's a powerful, sticky business model.
General Counsel are highly concerned (88%) about emerging data sources like collaboration apps complicating investigations.
The market demand for FTI Consulting's technology is validated by their own research. According to The General Counsel Report 2025, a joint study by FTI Consulting and Relativity, a staggering 88% of General Counsel expressed concern about the risks of emerging data sources complicating investigations. This is an enormous, immediate market opportunity for FCN.
The primary culprits complicating these investigations are collaboration applications (like Slack or Teams), linked content, and cloud productivity platforms. These new data types are unstructured, voluminous, and hard to manage, which is why 65% of General Counsel admitted they were minimally or not at all prepared to manage these emerging data risks. FTI Consulting's Technology segment, with its new IQ.AI tools, is perfectly positioned to be the solution to this 88% problem.
Technology segment revenues declined, impacted by lower demand for M&A-related data services.
Despite the long-term tailwinds from AI and data complexity, the Technology segment faced near-term headwinds in 2025. The segment's revenue performance was mixed, largely due to external market factors impacting one of its key service lines: merger and acquisition (M&A) data services.
Specifically, the segment's revenue for the third quarter of 2025 (Q3 2025) was $94.1 million, a decline of 14.8% compared to the same quarter in the prior year. This drop was almost entirely driven by lower demand for M&A-related 'second request' services-the extensive data review required by regulators for large deals. When M&A activity slows down, this specific, high-margin service line feels the pinch immediately. Still, the company's overall adjusted EBITDA margin for the segment remained solid at 14.5% in Q3 2025.
| FTI Consulting Technology Segment Performance | Q3 2025 Amount | Year-over-Year Change |
|---|---|---|
| Segment Revenue | $94.1 million | Down 14.8% |
| Adjusted Segment EBITDA | $13.6 million | N/A (Primarily due to lower revenue) |
| Adjusted Segment EBITDA Margin | 14.5% of segment revenue | Down 0.4 percentage points (from 14.9%) |
| Primary Revenue Headwind | Lower M&A-related data services | Driven by a drop-off in 'second request' activity |
FTI Consulting, Inc. (FCN) - PESTLE Analysis: Legal factors
You are navigating a legal environment in 2025 that is less about incremental rule changes and more about systemic, high-stakes regulatory fragmentation. The core takeaway is this: the legal risk landscape has officially merged with the corporate strategy landscape. This is a massive opportunity for FTI Consulting, Inc. (FCN), whose Forensic and Litigation Consulting segment saw revenues jump to $194.7 million in Q3 2025, a 15.4% increase, largely driven by demand for risk and investigations services. This growth confirms that companies are actively paying for expertise to manage these new, complex legal threats.
Regulatory compliance is the top risk for 41% of general counsel in 2025.
Honestly, compliance is no longer a back-office function; it is the single biggest concern for legal leadership. According to the General Counsel Report 2025, a study FTI Consulting co-released, a staggering 41% of general counsel now rank regulatory compliance as their number one risk. This is an 11-percentage-point jump from the prior year, showing how quickly the risk profile is accelerating. The increase is fueled by the sheer volume of new rules, especially those outside the US, and the challenge of managing emerging data sources like collaboration apps, which 88% of general counsel are concerned about.
Here's a quick look at the top regulatory focus areas for general counsel in 2025:
- 44% are tracking privacy regulations outside the US.
- 35% are monitoring the EU AI Act.
- 57% have experienced new compliance challenges from emerging data sources.
New Hart Scott Rodino (HSR) amendments (February 2025) increase the data burden for US merger filings.
The US antitrust landscape just got a lot more complicated for any company involved in M&A. The major amendments to the Hart-Scott-Rodino (HSR) Act pre-merger notification rules took effect on February 10, 2025. This change doesn't just ask for more information; it fundamentally increases the data burden for filers, especially in deals with vertical or overlapping business relationships. The new minimum size of transaction threshold for reportability, effective February 21, 2025, is $126.4 million, but the real cost is in the preparation.
The new rules mandate the production of extensive pre-existing business documents, including those reviewed by the newly designated 'Supervisory Deal Team Lead' and any documents seen by any CEO in the ownership chain. This means legal teams and their advisors must now conduct a much deeper, more time-consuming e-discovery process just to file the initial notification. This is a defintely a boon for FTI Consulting's Technology segment, which specializes in e-discovery and information governance.
Climate-related litigation is forecasted to rise in 2025, creating new advisory opportunities.
The legal front in climate change is heating up, moving from niche environmental law to a material financial risk. As of July 2025, the total number of climate-related cases filed globally has reached approximately 3,099, showing the scale of this trend. We are seeing two major litigation waves: accountability for past emissions and the surge in 'greenwashing' lawsuits.
This rise creates a clear advisory opportunity for FCN's experts. Companies need help navigating the legal and financial fallout from these cases. For example, the International Court of Justice (ICJ) is set to issue a crucial advisory opinion on climate change obligations on July 23, 2025, which will set a new legal benchmark and likely trigger further litigation against governments and corporations. This is why ESG-related risk and investigations services are becoming a core part of the firm's offering.
| Climate Litigation Trend | 2025 Implication | Advisory Opportunity |
|---|---|---|
| Greenwashing Lawsuits | Continued rise, with over 140 cases filed globally since 2016. | ESG disclosure verification, communications strategy, and risk modeling. |
| ICJ Advisory Opinion (July 23, 2025) | Establishes a new, authoritative legal framework for state climate obligations. | Assessing corporate exposure to new international legal precedents. |
| Corporate Accountability | Around 20% of 2024 cases targeted companies or their directors/officers. | Director and Officer (D&O) liability defense and due diligence. |
Global regulatory fragmentation, including the EU's Digital Services Act (DSA), increases compliance complexity for clients.
The EU continues to export its regulatory model, creating a patchwork of complex, high-penalty rules that US companies must comply with. The EU's Digital Services Act (DSA) is a prime example, imposing strict rules on content moderation, transparency, and risk management for digital platforms. The financial stakes for non-compliance are massive, with potential fines reaching up to 6% of a company's yearly worldwide revenue.
The direct cost of compliance is already substantial. EU digital regulations impose an estimated $2.2 billion annually in direct compliance costs on U.S. companies, with the DSA accounting for roughly $750 million of that figure. This fragmentation-which also includes the EU AI Act (in force since August 1, 2024)-forces global businesses to adopt the strictest standard (the 'Brussels Effect') or face a complex, multi-jurisdictional compliance nightmare. This is a structural tailwind for FTI Consulting's Technology and Forensic segments, which specialize in building the data governance and risk frameworks needed to manage this complexity.
FTI Consulting, Inc. (FCN) - PESTLE Analysis: Environmental factors
You're watching the environmental landscape shift from voluntary disclosure to mandatory compliance, and FTI Consulting, Inc. is positioned well to capitalize on that regulatory change, but their internal carbon footprint remains a clear operational risk. The firm's primary environmental challenge-business travel-makes up a huge chunk of their total emissions, so their hybrid work model is not just a perk, it's a core mitigation strategy.
ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) factors remain critical to investment strategies despite political pushback.
Honesty, the political debate around ESG is loud, but the underlying financial and regulatory pressure is still building. In 2025, we are seeing a clear divergence: while political figures in the US and Europe, like the German Chancellor, support cutbacks or delays to major regulations like the EU's Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD), the regulatory machine continues to mandate sustainability reporting in places like California and Australia. This uncertainty is actually good for FTI Consulting, as it creates a complex compliance environment where companies defintely need expert help to navigate. The firm's ESG & Sustainability practice is perfectly set up to manage this conflicting pressure.
The company aligns its internal reporting with global standards like SASB and TCFD.
FTI Consulting understands that credibility in the market comes from using the right language. The firm aligns its corporate sustainability disclosures with the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) and the Sustainability Accounting Standards Board (SASB). This is critical because TCFD focuses on climate-related financial risks and opportunities, while SASB provides the industry-specific, financially material metrics investors demand. They also submit their data to the Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP) Climate Change questionnaire, signaling a commitment to transparency that goes beyond the bare minimum.
FTI Consulting's primary environmental impact is business travel, making technology use a key mitigation strategy.
As a professional services firm, FTI Consulting's environmental impact is not from a smokestack; it's from air travel and office energy. Their total carbon footprint for 2023 was 28,887 metric tons of CO₂ equivalent (tCO₂e). The biggest issue is Scope 3 emissions, which primarily includes business travel. In 2023, Scope 3 made up a massive 88.38% of their total carbon footprint. The company is mitigating this by leveraging technology for client engagement and adopting a hybrid working model, which has helped reduce their global office square footage per employee. They are working toward a Net-Zero GHG emissions goal by 2030.
Here's the quick math: Restructuring is booming, but the Economic Consulting and Technology segments are dragging on growth. You need to watch the pace of M&A recovery because that's the real swing factor for the weak segments. Finance: monitor the Q4 2025 Economic Consulting revenue for signs of stabilization.
The firm's latest available data shows a positive trend in emissions reduction, but the Scope 3 challenge is clear:
| Metric | 2023 Value (Latest Available) | Change from 2022 |
|---|---|---|
| Total Carbon Footprint (tCO₂e) | 28,887 | Decreased by 25.8% |
| Operational Emissions (Scope 1 & 2) | 3,357 tCO₂e | Decreased by 14.49% |
| Scope 3 Emissions Contribution | 88.38% of total | (Primary impact: Business Travel) |
Increased global scrutiny on anti-greenwashing and corporate sustainability due diligence drives client demand for ESG advisory.
The shift in regulatory focus from just reporting to actual due diligence-like the EU's Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive (CSDDD)-is driving client demand for FTI Consulting's expertise. Companies are terrified of 'greenwashing' claims, which are leading to a rise in climate-related litigation in 2025. This is a huge opportunity for the firm's advisory services, which cover:
- Developing net-zero strategies.
- Conducting supply chain audits.
- Performing materiality assessments.
- Navigating complex compliance with new rules.
The firm's integrated model, which combines financial, legal, and communications expertise, allows them to offer a holistic approach to ESG risk, making their advisory segment a key growth driver, even if its revenue isn't broken out publicly. The need for this service is only growing as global sustainable bond sales hit $1 trillion in 2024 for the second time, showing capital is still flowing toward sustainability. Your next step: look for FTI Consulting's 2026 guidance on their Strategic Communications segment, as that's where a lot of this high-margin ESG advisory work is booked.
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