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Welspun Corp Limited (WELCORP.NS): PESTLE Analysis [Dec-2025 Updated] |
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Welspun Corp Limited (WELCORP.NS) Bundle
Welspun sits at a powerful inflection point-backed by strong market share, advanced pipe technologies (including hydrogen-ready and corrosion-resistant solutions), strategic local manufacturing in the US, and government-backed infrastructure programs that feed a sizeable order book-yet it must manage commodity and currency volatility, rising compliance and environmental costs, and trade/regulatory headwinds; if the company leverages its R&D, green-steel ambitions and global footprint to capture booming water, gas and energy-project spending, it can turn these pressures into scalable growth opportunities.
Welspun Corp Limited (WELCORP.NS) - PESTLE Analysis: Political
Government infrastructure spending boosts demand: Large-scale government capital expenditure programs in India and key export markets directly increase demand for welded pipes, line pipe and related steel products. India's announced central government capital expenditure reached roughly INR 10-12 trillion annually in recent budgets (FY2023-FY2025 band), with allocations toward energy transmission, water infrastructure, roads and ports. These allocations support project pipelines that consume large volumes of line pipe (millions of tonnes per annum) and create multi-year order visibility for Welspun Corp's manufacturing facilities.
Trade policies shape global supply chains: Tariffs, anti-dumping duties and export-import licensing regimes in major markets (India, US, Middle East, Africa, Latin America) alter competitive dynamics. For example, anti-dumping investigations and safeguard duties on coated and welded pipes in various jurisdictions can either protect domestic producers or restrict exports. Changes in customs duty (range 0-15% typical for steel products in different markets) and trade agreements (FTAs/CEPA) materially affect landed costs, pricing power and contract competitiveness.
Regulatory focus on energy security drives pipelines: National energy security strategies emphasize domestic pipeline networks for gas, oil and strategic petroleum reserves. Initiatives to expand gas pipeline infrastructure and city gas distribution have resulted in pipeline programs requiring tens of thousands of kilometers of pipe over 5-10 years in some countries. Regulatory approvals, Right of Way (ROW) policies and environmental clearances influence project timelines and pipe demand; faster permitting and stable tariff frameworks reduce project risks and support higher utilisation of Welspun Corp's plants.
Domestic manufacturing incentives boost capacity: "Make in India" style policies, production-linked incentives (PLIs), and preferential procurement rules increase the competitiveness of local manufacturing. Incentive schemes offering subsidies or tax benefits (e.g., capital subsidy rates of 10-20% or PLI disbursements linked to incremental production) encourage capacity expansion and backward integration in steel and pipe fabrication. Local content requirements for government-funded projects can increase domestic share of total project spend from single-digit percentages to 60-80% depending on sector rules.
Stable governance supports long-term projects: Political stability and predictable fiscal policy in core operating jurisdictions reduce sovereign risk for multi-year projects. Long-term public-private partnerships and EPC contracts-often spanning 5-15 years-require predictable contract enforcement, dispute resolution mechanisms and payment guarantees. Sovereign creditworthiness and state-level fiscal health (government debt-to-GDP ratios, bond yields) influence availability of public financing for infrastructure; lower borrowing costs and timely disbursements improve project execution and order conversion for pipe suppliers.
| Political Factor | Typical Metric / Indicator | Implication for Welspun Corp |
|---|---|---|
| Government capital expenditure | INR 10-12 trillion p.a. (FY2023-FY2025 range) | Increases lined pipe demand; multi-year order book potential |
| Trade policy (tariffs / duties) | Tariff range 0-15%; anti-dumping investigations frequent | Affects export pricing competitiveness and margins |
| Energy security regulations | Pipeline expansion targets: tens of thousands km over 5-10 years | Drives demand for line pipe and long lead-time contracts |
| Domestic manufacturing incentives | PLI/subsidy rates typically 10-20% on eligible investment | Encourages capacity expansion and improves cost competitiveness |
| Governance / political stability | Sovereign risk indicators; state-level fiscal health | Reduces project execution risk and improves payment certainty |
Key policy items and stakeholder actions to monitor:
- Changes in central and state capital expenditure envelopes for energy, water and transport projects.
- Announcements of anti-dumping, safeguard measures or import restrictions in export markets.
- Gasification and pipeline network expansion targets, along with permit and ROW reform timelines.
- Details and eligibility criteria of manufacturing incentives, PLIs and local content mandates.
- State-level fiscal disbursement timeliness and public sector contract payment practices.
Welspun Corp Limited (WELCORP.NS) - PESTLE Analysis: Economic
Stable interest rates and predictable monetary policy in India support Welspun Corp's capital expenditure plans for capacity expansion and modernization. With the RBI policy rate (repo) around 6.5% (2024), corporate lending spreads for large corporates typically range from 150-350 bps, enabling effective financing of pipe mill expansions, welding automation, and line-pipe coating investments. Access to both domestic and international project financing reduces weighted average cost of capital for large project bids.
Commodity price volatility-particularly steel (HRC/plate), coal, and coating materials-directly affects manufacturing margins. Typical bill of material composition for welded line pipes shows steel input as 60-75% of total variable cost. Historic ranges: HRC prices have varied from $500-$900/tonne (2019-2024), and seamless/ERW plate premiums have fluctuated by ±20-30%. A 10% rise in steel input can erode EBITDA margin by ~2-4 percentage points for pipe manufacturers absent price pass-through.
| Commodity | Recent Price Range (approx.) | Impact on Welspun |
|---|---|---|
| Hot Rolled Coil (HRC) | $500-$900/tonne (2019-2024) | 60-75% of variable cost; ±10% price swing → EBITDA margin ±2-4 pp |
| Brent Crude | $70-110/barrel (2021-2024 volatility) | Impacts fuel, logistics, coating costs; higher fuel ↑ transport & welding gas costs |
| Coating Materials (FBE, 3LPO) | $1,200-$2,500/tonne (polymeric resins recent range) | Material-specific margin pressure on line pipes used for subsea and onshore projects |
Oil and gas investment trends are central to pipeline demand. Global upstream capex recovered to approximately $450-500 billion annually by 2023-24; India's domestic gas pipeline capex and city gas distribution investments have been rising with national gas expansion targets (e.g., India aiming to raise gas share in primary energy to ~15% by 2030). Project pipelines for trunklines, cross-country pipelines, and offshore flowlines drive demand for large-diameter ERW and LSAW pipes; single large EPC contracts can represent 10-25% of annual sales for a major pipe manufacturer like Welspun.
- Global upstream capex: ~$450-500 billion (2023-24 estimate)
- India gas share target: ~15% of primary energy by 2030
- Typical large pipeline contract size: $50-500 million
Currency movements influence export competitiveness and reported earnings. USD/INR traded in the ~82-84 range (2023-2024); a 5% INR depreciation typically increases rupee revenue for dollar-denominated export contracts but raises cost of imported inputs (coatings, certain alloy steels) priced in USD. Hedging policies, invoice currency clauses, and timing of project invoicing determine translation vs transactional exposure. Exports historically contribute 40-70% of revenue depending on year and tender wins.
| Indicator | Typical Value/Range | Relevance to Welspun |
|---|---|---|
| USD/INR | ~82-84 (2023-2024) | Export competitiveness; translation gains/losses |
| Export share of revenue | 40-70% (varies by contract wins) | High sensitivity to global demand and FX |
| Hedging coverage | Typically partial, project-dependent (10-80%) | Determines actual EBITDA FX impact |
Trade incentives and government schemes support international revenue and margin resilience. Programs such as RoDTEP (Remission of Duties and Taxes on Exported Products), EPCG (Export Promotion Capital Goods), and sector-specific duty drawback schemes reduce effective export costs. Duty remission can translate into 1-4% improvement in gross margin on eligible export items; access to subsidized export credit (e.g., ECGC-backed lines) improves working capital efficiency for large bids.
- RoDTEP/EPCG impact: ~1-4% margin benefit on eligible exports
- Export credit availability: Improves bid competitiveness on international EPC projects
- Regional trade dynamics: Middle East and North Africa (MENA) and US project pipelines critical for export book
Welspun Corp Limited (WELCORP.NS) - PESTLE Analysis: Social
Sociological factors significantly shape demand and operational priorities for Welspun Corp, a leading manufacturer of large-diameter pipes and engineered solutions. Urbanization in India has increased the scale and complexity of water and sewerage networks: the urban population rose from ~31% in 2001 to approximately 35% by 2020, and is projected to approach 40% by 2030, driving sustained capital expenditure on distribution and transmission infrastructure.
Urbanization and water infrastructure needs can be summarized with key indicators:
| Indicator | Recent Value / Estimate | Implication for Welspun |
|---|---|---|
| India urban population share (2020) | ~35% | Rising urbanization expands municipal pipe demand |
| Projected urban share by 2030 | ~40% | Long-term pipeline volume growth in cities |
| Estimated annual investment need in water infrastructure (India) | ~USD 60-100 billion/yr (various estimates) | Large addressable market for ductile iron and large-diameter pipes |
| Global ductile iron pipe market (2023 est.) | ~USD 6-9 billion; CAGR 3-5% (2024-2030) | Export & technology opportunity for Welspun |
Community health and safety priorities have elevated specifications and procurement preferences: municipalities and large utilities increasingly prioritize leak reduction, potable water safety, and resilience to contamination and failures. These priorities translate into higher-quality pipe specifications, coatings, and joints-favouring manufacturers able to meet stringent standards (ISO/EN/IS norms) and provide lifecycle warranties.
Key quality and safety social drivers include:
- Public demand for safe potable water and reduced non-revenue water (NRW)
- Regulatory procurement favoring certified, long-life materials
- Community sensitivity to failure events driving faster replacement cycles
Sustainable urban planning and smart-city initiatives increase demand for ductile iron and engineered pipe systems that combine durability with low maintenance. National programs (e.g., AMRUT, Smart Cities Mission, Jal Jeevan Mission) and state-level capex plans allocate funds specifically for water supply, sewerage and stormwater management, creating tenders for large-diameter and durable pipe solutions. Municipal budgets have included multi-year allocations; as an example, combined central/state programs directed tens of billions of USD towards water and sanitation over recent 5-7 year cycles.
Demographic trends provide workforce advantages: India's median age (~28 years) and a working-age population share of ~65-67% offer a demographic dividend for manufacturing productivity. This contributes to lower labor cost baselines and an expanding skilled workforce available for fabrication, installation and project execution-facilitating scale-up of capacity for companies like Welspun.
Relevant demographic metrics and business relevance:
| Metric | Value / Trend | Business Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Median age (India) | ~28 years | Younger workforce enabling scale and adaptability |
| Working-age population (15-64) | ~65-67% | Large labor pool for manufacturing and projects |
| Skilled vocational graduates (annual, estimate) | Millions (growing with skilling initiatives) | Supports specialized fabrication and quality control |
Female participation in engineering and manufacturing roles is rising from low base levels. Women comprised roughly 10-15% of engineering/technical workforce segments historically; recent initiatives and corporate diversity targets have pushed representation higher in metropolitan plants and corporate R&D, with some sites reporting 20-30% female technical hires in campus recruitments. Increased female participation improves talent pools, safety culture, and community relations-relevant for project execution in mixed-community environments.
Implications of changing female participation:
- Improved recruitment and retention in engineering roles-reduces skill shortages
- Enhanced corporate ESG profile-positional advantage in tenders emphasizing social criteria
- Operational benefits from diversified teams in quality, safety and project management
Overall, sociological trends-rapid urbanization, elevated health and safety expectations, sustainable urban planning, demographic advantages and rising female technical participation-create a structurally expanding and quality-sensitive market for Welspun's ductile iron and large-diameter pipe solutions, influencing product mix, certification investments, and workforce strategies.
Welspun Corp Limited (WELCORP.NS) - PESTLE Analysis: Technological
Hydrogen-ready pipeline technology expands Welspun Corp's addressable market by enabling transport of low-carbon fuels; industry estimates project hydrogen pipeline demand to grow from ~2,000 km in 2025 to 25,000-50,000 km by 2040, representing potential TAM expansion of USD 5-12 billion for global pipe manufacturers. Adoption requires revised materials, coatings and welding protocols to handle embrittlement and higher operating pressures (up to 100 bar for some applications).
Advanced coatings and welding enable manufacturing of large-diameter, corrosion-resistant pipes for oil, gas, water, and hydrogen. Welspun's capability to apply internal/external coatings (FBE, PE/PO, 3LPE) and automated SAW/LSAW welding reduces failure rates: modern coated systems show 60-80% lower corrosion-related failures versus uncoated equivalents. Investment in automated welding lines can increase throughput by 20-40% and reduce rework costs by up to 30%.
Digital twin and real-time analytics improve operational efficiency across manufacturing and project lifecycle. Implementing digital twin models for spool fabrication and coating processes can reduce lead times by 10-25% and scrap rates by 15-35%. Integration of IoT sensors on production lines and in-field pipe monitoring yields predictive insights that decrease project delays and warranty claims; pilots in the pipeline sector report 20-40% reductions in unplanned downtime.
High-strength steel grades reduce weight and unit costs while enabling longer pipe spans and higher-pressure service. Transition to X70-X80 grade steels can lower wall thickness by 10-25% for equivalent pressure ratings, delivering material savings of 8-18% per ton of pipe. Higher-grade steels require precise process controls-Welspun must maintain stringent quality controls (tensile strength, yield, toughness) to meet API/EN standards and prevent hydrogen-induced cracking when used in hydrogen service.
AI-driven maintenance lowers downtime through predictive maintenance and anomaly detection. Machine learning models trained on equipment telemetry, NDT outputs and welding parameters can forecast failures with 85-95% precision in mature deployments, enabling maintenance scheduling that reduces downtime by 30-50% and lowers O&M costs by 10-20%.
| Technology | Key Benefits | Estimated Impact on Costs | Implementation Timeline | Quantitative Metrics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hydrogen-ready pipe design | Access to hydrogen market; longer-term contracts | Capex increase 5-12% for qualification/testing | 2-5 years (material qualification + certification) | Potential revenue uplift: 10-25% over a decade |
| Advanced coatings (3LPE, FBE, PE/PO) | Reduced corrosion; extended service life | Unit cost increase 3-8% vs uncoated | Immediate to 1 year for line upgrades | Corrosion failure reduction: 60-80% |
| Automated welding (LSAW/SAW automation) | Higher throughput; consistent weld quality | Capex 10-25% for automation lines | 1-3 years | Throughput +20-40%; rework -30% |
| Digital twin & analytics | Process optimization; predictive planning | Software/IoT investment 1-3% of annual revenue | 6-24 months | Lead-time -10-25%; scrap -15-35% |
| High-strength steel (X70-X80) | Material savings; higher pressure ratings | Material cost per ton +2-7% but net savings 8-18% | 1-3 years for supply chain qualification | Weight reduction 10-25%; material savings 8-18% |
| AI-driven maintenance | Reduced downtime; better asset utilization | Software/Ops investment 0.5-2% of revenue | 6-18 months to mature models | Downtime reduction 30-50%; O&M cost -10-20% |
Key enablers and required investments include:
- R&D spend escalation: targeted increase of 0.5-1.5% of annual revenue to qualify hydrogen and high-strength steel products.
- Capital expenditure for automation/coating lines: estimated INR 500-1,500 million per major line upgrade depending on capacity.
- Digital transformation budget: recurring SaaS/IoT/AI costs ~0.5-2% of revenue; expected ROI within 18-36 months.
- Workforce upskilling: training programs for welding automation, NDT, and data analytics; typical training investment INR 5,000-20,000 per employee.
Risks and mitigants:
- Material qualification delays: mitigate via joint testing with steel suppliers and certification bodies (API, DNV) and prototype installations.
- Technology obsolescence: adopt modular systems and cloud-native analytics to allow incremental upgrades.
- Capex strain: pursue government grants, EPC partnerships and long-term supply contracts to de-risk investments.
Welspun Corp Limited (WELCORP.NS) - PESTLE Analysis: Legal
Trade regulation and local compliance shape operations
Welspun Corp operates in a heavily regulated trade environment: export controls, customs duties, anti-dumping measures and local content rules directly affect margins and market access. Anti-dumping investigations in major markets (e.g., periodic probes in North America, Europe and the Middle East) can impose duties ranging from 10%-100% ad valorem, and temporary safeguards can reduce export volumes by 20%-40% during investigation periods. Compliance with India's Foreign Trade Policy, Customs Act and import-export licensing requires dedicated trade-compliance headcount and systems, with estimated annual compliance costs of 0.2%-0.6% of revenue for comparable mid-to-large manufacturing exporters.
Environmental impact and land-use rules affect timelines
Project siting, expansion and brownfield greenfield conversions are constrained by environmental clearances, coastal regulation zone (CRZ) approvals and land-use permissions. Typical timelines for environmental clearance range from 6 to 18 months; delays lead to capital cost escalation (commonly 5%-15% per year of project cost). Non-compliance penalties can include fines (up to INR 10 crore or more in serious cases), stop-work orders and remediation liabilities estimated in past cases at hundreds of millions INR. Compliance requires environmental impact assessments (EIA), public hearings and ongoing environmental monitoring and reporting under India's EIA Notification and State Pollution Control Boards.
Intellectual property and data protection challenges
Welspun's proprietary pipe technologies, welding processes and coatings depend on IP protection (patents, trade secrets). Infringement risk in international jurisdictions exposes the firm to revenue leakage; enforcement litigation costs can exceed USD 0.5-2 million per major suit. Data protection and cyber‑security obligations have grown with digitization of operations and customer data flows: cross-border transfer rules (GDPR for EU customers, India's evolving Personal Data Protection framework) require contractual safeguards and technical controls. Typical costs to remediate a data breach in industrial firms average USD 2-5 million, plus regulatory fines which under some regimes can reach up to 4% of global turnover.
Quality and liability standards govern product safety
Compliance with international standards (API, ISO 9001, ISO 14001, NACE, ASTM) and client-specific specifications is legally critical: product failures can trigger warranty claims, recall costs, and third‑party damages. Liability exposures on pipeline projects can run into tens of millions USD per claim in case of catastrophic failure. Contractual indemnities and limitation-of-liability clauses are legally negotiated but often capped at contract value; insurers and legal teams must quantify potential Maximum Foreseeable Loss (MFL) and Typical Contract Liability (TCL) when bidding.
Industry standards and insurance costs drive risk management
Regulatory and market-driven industry standards influence insurance premiums and risk transfer strategies. Typical insurance cost ranges for large steel/pipe manufacturers and exporters:
| Insurance Type | Typical Annual Premium (% of insured value) | Common Coverage Limit | Primary Legal Drivers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Property & Plant | 0.15%-0.5% | INR 500M-5,000M | Factories Act, state fire safety rules |
| Product Liability | 0.1%-0.8% | USD 1M-50M | Contract law, tort liability, international standards (API) |
| Marine Cargo / Transit | 0.05%-0.3% | Per shipment values | Carriage contracts, Incoterms, international conventions |
| Business Interruption | 0.05%-0.4% | Up to 12-24 months of revenue | Contractual obligations, force majeure legal interpretations |
Key statutes, standards and enforcement mechanisms relevant to Welspun Corp include:
- Customs Act 1962, Foreign Trade Policy (India) - export/import controls and duty regimes
- Environment Protection Act, EIA Notification, CRZ Regulations - permits, monitoring and penalties
- Factories Act, Industrial Safety Rules - workplace safety compliance and criminal/civil liability
- Indian Contract Act, CISG (where applicable) - contract enforcement and remedies
- API, ISO, ASTM, NACE standards - technical conformity and acceptance criteria
- Intellectual Property laws (Patents Act), Trade Marks Act; GDPR and Indian data protection/regulatory requirements - IP and data governance
Operational mitigation measures and their legal rationale
| Mitigation Measure | Legal Purpose | Estimated Implementation Cost | Expected Legal Benefit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trade compliance program & customs audits | Prevent anti-dumping duties, ensure correct HS classification | INR 5-20 million annually (for large exporters) | Reduces risk of fines and retrospective duties by up to 70% |
| Advanced EIA and community engagement | Secure environmental clearances faster, reduce litigation risk | INR 2-10 million per project phase | Shortens approval timelines by average 3-9 months |
| IP portfolio management & international filings | Protect core technologies and enforce rights abroad | USD 50k-300k annually | Deters infringement and preserves licensing revenue |
| Contractual clauses: limitation, indemnity, arbitration | Limit exposure and define dispute resolution | Legal counsel costs INR 1-10 million per major contract cycle | Caps potential liabilities and shortens dispute timelines |
| Cybersecurity & data governance | Comply with data laws and reduce breach fines | INR 10-100 million CAPEX/OPEX depending on scale | Lowers breach probability and regulatory penalties |
Welspun Corp Limited (WELCORP.NS) - PESTLE Analysis: Environmental
Net-zero and renewable energy targets guide operations: Welspun Corp has aligned operational energy planning with national and industry decarbonisation pathways, setting enterprise-level net‑zero ambitions (corporate target window commonly set to 2050) and interim emissions-reduction milestones for 2025-2035. Energy sourcing shifts include on‑site solar and captive power initiatives plus power-purchase agreements (PPAs) for grid‑scale renewable supply to reduce Scope 2 emissions and volatility in energy cost.
| Metric | 2023/24 Baseline (approx.) | Near-term Target (2025-2030) | Long-term Target |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scope 1 + 2 emissions (tCO2e) | ~300,000-450,000 tCO2e | Reduce 30%-45% vs baseline | Net‑zero by 2050 |
| Renewable electricity share | ~15%-25% of total consumption | Increase to 40%-60% | 80%+ (through PPAs & onsite) |
| Capital allocation to energy projects | INR 200-600 million p.a. (typical range) | Increase by 2-3x for 2025-2030 | Ongoing investment in green infrastructure |
Green steel and recycling reduce carbon footprint: The business emphasises low-carbon feedstock choices (including use of secondary steel, electric arc furnace-EAF-routes where feasible, and increased scrap utilisation in pipe manufacturing) and material-efficiency measures to lower per‑tonne emissions. Process-level interventions include heat recovery, furnace optimisation and substitution of carbon‑intensive inputs.
- Scrap utilisation rate target: raise from baseline ~20%-35% to 40%-60% in medium term
- Steel procurement mix: progressive shift to EAF-origin or certified low‑carbon steel
- Emissions intensity reduction: target 0.5-1.0 tCO2e/tonne improvement vs current intensity
Climate risk and disaster resilience inform site design: Manufacturing and logistics sites are being evaluated under scenario-based climate risk screening (physical risks: flooding, cyclone, heat stress; transition risks: carbon pricing, regulatory tightening). Site design upgrades include raised critical infrastructure, flood defences, water‑stress mitigation, and supply‑chain diversification to maintain operational continuity and lower insurance and business‑interruption exposure.
| Dimension | Action | Estimated investment | Expected benefit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flood and cyclone resilience | Elevated foundations, drainage upgrades | INR 50-150 million per major site | Reduced downtime; lower repair costs |
| Heat and worker safety | Cooling shelters, schedule adjustments | INR 10-40 million/site | Maintained productivity; reduced health risks |
| Supply‑chain redundancy | Multiple sourcing, inland warehousing | Working capital and capex impact | Lower disruption risk; price hedging |
Circular economy and waste management advance sustainability: Welspun Corp is expanding reuse, remanufacturing and recycling loops across operations-recovering scrap from manufacturing, recycling process water, and valorising non‑metal wastes. Waste‑to‑energy pilots and industrial symbiosis with local industries reduce disposal costs and improve material circularity rates.
- Manufacturing scrap recovery: current reclamation typically >90% of process scrap; objective to increase external scrap recycling and closed‑loop returns
- Water recycling: internal reuse rates aiming for 60%-80% in high‑consumption units
- Waste diversion from landfill: target >90% of process wastes reused/recycled or recovered
Biodiversity and environmental governance enhance ESG ranking: Environmental governance structures (sustainability committee, board oversight, external assurance of sustainability reporting) and biodiversity risk assessments for landholdings and intake zones support stakeholder confidence and access to green financing. Reporting transparency-aligned with frameworks such as TCFD/TCFD‑equivalent disclosures and national sustainability reporting-helps reduce cost of capital and supports ESG ratings improvement.
| Governance Element | Practice | Impact on Finance/ESG |
|---|---|---|
| Board-level oversight | Sustainability committee, climate risk on agenda | Improves ratings; supports green debt eligibility |
| Third‑party assurance | External verification of emissions & targets | Increases investor confidence; lowers financing spreads |
| Biodiversity action | Site-level biodiversity assessments and mitigation plans | Reduces permitting risk; positive CSR outcomes |
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