Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) Bundle
You're looking at Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) because their numbers are screaming a story you can't ignore, and honestly, you shouldn't. The company just wrapped up its most profitable year on record, with fiscal year 2025 adjusted operating income hitting a massive $525.4 million, which is up 48 percent from the prior year. This isn't just a fluke; it's driven by the Specialty Alloys Operations (SAO) segment, where the adjusted operating margin expanded to a robust 30.5 percent in the fourth quarter, a clear sign of pricing power and product mix optimization, plus their Aerospace and Defense revenue share is now greater than 60 percent. Still, a growth story like this needs a strong balance sheet, so it's important they just closed a $700 million private offering of new 5.625% senior notes to redeem higher-cost debt, a smart move to lock in lower interest expenses and enhance liquidity, a defintely good sign for future free cash flow, which was already strong at $287.5 million for the year. This is a business executing at a high level, and the market knows it, with analysts like KeyCorp setting a $380 price target in November 2025.
Revenue Analysis
You need to know where Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) is making its money, and the simple answer is high-performance materials for the aerospace sector. For the full fiscal year 2025 (FY2025), Carpenter Technology Corporation recorded annual revenue of approximately $2.88 billion, marking a year-over-year (YoY) growth of 4.25%. That's a solid, if slowing, growth rate compared to the prior year's 8.21% increase, but it shows the core business is still expanding.
The primary revenue stream comes from specialty alloys, which are complex, high-margin products. This focus on premium, differentiated materials is the core of their business model. To be fair, this is a materials science company, not a commodity producer.
Here's the quick math on the segment contributions for FY2025, showing where the financial muscle is:
- Specialty Alloys Operations (SAO): Contributed about 89.1% of total revenues. This segment includes the company's major premium alloy and stainless steel manufacturing operations.
- Performance Engineered Products (PEP): Accounted for roughly 14.1% of revenues. This includes differentiated operations like Dynamet titanium, powder products, and various distribution businesses.
The biggest driver for that SAO segment is the end-use market concentration. Honestly, if you're not tracking the aerospace cycle, you're missing the whole story with Carpenter Technology Corporation. The Aerospace and Defense market is the single most important factor, making up around 50.1% of the company's total revenues in FY2025.
While that heavy concentration offers a clear opportunity-especially with the commercial aerospace backlog-it also represents a near-term risk if that market slows. The rest of the revenue is diversified, but in smaller pieces:
| End-Use Market | FY2025 Revenue Contribution |
|---|---|
| Aerospace and Defense | 50.1% |
| Medical | 10.3% |
| Industrial and Consumer | 12.3% |
| Energy | 5.3% |
| Transportation | 3.0% |
| Distribution | 2.9% |
Looking at the near-term trends, we see some important shifts that change the risk profile. In the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, the company saw a significant 11% YoY revenue increase in Aerospace and Defense, which is great. But, other key segments showed weakness: Medical revenue was down 16.1%, and Transportation fell 15.2%. This means the reliance on the aerospace super-cycle is actually increasing, which is defintely something to watch.
What this estimate hides is the impact of surcharges on the reported net sales, which can fluctuate with raw material prices. The core strength remains the Specialty Alloys Operations' ability to capture higher value through an improved product mix, which is a key management focus. For a deeper dive into the company's long-term strategic direction, you should review the Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS).
Profitability Metrics
When you look at Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS), the direct takeaway is that fiscal year 2025 was a landmark year for profitability, setting a new company record. This isn't just a modest gain; it reflects a significant, sustained improvement in their ability to translate sales into real earnings, largely driven by strategic pricing and operational focus on high-value specialty alloys.
The company completed its most profitable year on record, with adjusted operating income hitting $525.4 million in fiscal year 2025, an increase of 48% over the prior year. This tells you the turnaround is real. Here's the quick math on the core margins for the full fiscal year 2025, based on a total revenue of approximately $2.88 billion:
- Gross Margin: 26.69% (Gross Profit of $768.60 million).
- Operating Margin (Adjusted): 18.24% (Operating Income of $525.4 million).
- Net Margin: 13.06% (Net Income of $376.00 million).
Margin Trends and Operational Efficiency
The trend in these margins is defintely the most compelling part of the story. You don't just want a high number; you want to see consistency and growth. CRS has delivered just that, with the Specialty Alloys Operations (SAO) segment-which accounts for the bulk of their business-showing margin growth for thirteen consecutive quarters leading up to Q3 FY2025. This isn't luck; it's a structural shift.
Operational efficiency is clearly improving, which you see in the gross margin trends. The SAO segment's adjusted operating margin expanded to a robust 30.5% in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, up from 25.2% a year prior. This expansion is a direct result of better product mix (more high-margin aerospace and defense sales), higher realized prices, and tighter cost management. They are successfully selling more premium (specialty alloy) products, which carry the higher margins. Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS).
Benchmarking Against the Industry
To put Carpenter Technology Corporation's performance in context, you need to compare it to its peers in the specialty metals and aerospace supply chain. The company's profitability ratios stand out. For example, a recent trailing 12-month earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) margin for CRS was 13.71%, which is significantly higher than the industry average of 10.26% for the original equipment manufacturer (OEM) segment.
This gap shows a clear competitive advantage. The market, which is a massive $500 billion for specialty metals and minerals in 2025, is rewarding their focus on high-performance materials. They are capturing more value per dollar of sales than their average competitor. This is a crucial indicator of a strong moat (sustainable competitive advantage) in a capital-intensive sector.
| Metric | Carpenter Technology (FY2025) | Industry Average (OEM Segment) |
|---|---|---|
| Adjusted Operating Income | $525.4 million | N/A |
| FY2025 Operating Margin (Adjusted) | 18.24% | N/A |
| Trailing 12-Month EBIT Margin | 13.71% | 10.26% |
| Net Income | $376.00 million | N/A |
So, the action item here is to monitor the SAO segment's margin in the coming quarters. If that 30.5% operating margin holds or continues to climb, it confirms the structural shift is permanent, not a one-time price spike.
Debt vs. Equity Structure
You want to know how Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) is funding its growth, and the simple answer is: smartly, and with a clear preference for equity over debt. The company's financial structure is conservative, especially for a capital-intensive business in the specialty metals space.
This conservative approach is best seen in the company's low Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio, which is currently sitting at about 0.36 as of late October 2025. That's a very strong number. For context, the average D/E for the Aerospace & Defense industry-a major market for CRS-is around 0.38, meaning CRS is less leveraged than its peers. In fact, a D/E of 0.36 puts the company in the top 10% of its industry for low leverage. That's a sign of financial strength.
The Near-Term Debt Picture
While the overall leverage is low, it's important to look at the actual debt figures. For the full fiscal year 2025, which ended June 30, Carpenter Technology Corporation reported long-term debt of approximately $695.4 million. This is the core debt load that finances their long-term assets and operations. The company has demonstrated a balanced capital allocation strategy, which includes returning cash to shareholders via dividends and share repurchases, alongside maintaining a manageable debt profile. They are not just hoarding cash; they are using it strategically.
Here's the quick math on their long-term financing balance:
- Debt-to-Equity Ratio (D/E): 0.36
- Fiscal Year 2025 Long-Term Debt: ~$695.4 million
- Industry Average (Aerospace & Defense): 0.38
Strategic Refinancing and Credit Upgrade
A major development in November 2025 was Carpenter Technology Corporation's decisive move to refinance a significant portion of its debt. On November 20, 2025, the company closed a private offering of $700.0 million in new senior notes with a 5.625% interest rate, due in 2034. This was a smart, leverage-neutral play, as the proceeds are being used to redeem existing, higher-cost notes: the 6.375% notes due 2028 and the 7.625% notes due 2030. This action extends their debt maturity wall to 2034 and locks in a lower interest rate, reducing future interest expense.
This improved financial footing has not gone unnoticed by the rating agencies. Fitch Ratings recently upgraded Carpenter Technology Corporation's Long-Term Issuer Default Rating to 'BBB-' from 'BB+', a move that officially places the company in investment-grade territory. This is a huge vote of confidence, signaling lower risk and potentially better borrowing terms going forward. Plus, they increased the revolving credit facility to $500 million unsecured and extended its maturity to 2030, boosting liquidity and flexibility.
What this estimate hides is the potential for further debt reduction if the company's record fiscal year 2025 adjusted operating income of $525.4 million continues to generate strong free cash flow. This financial strength gives them the option to fund future growth primarily through retained earnings and equity, rather than relying on debt, which is a key pillar of their Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS).
Liquidity and Solvency
You want to know if Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) has the short-term cash to operate and the long-term structure to survive. The direct answer is yes: CRS finished fiscal year 2025 with a very strong liquidity position, backed by high coverage ratios and robust cash generation, which gives them significant financial flexibility.
As a seasoned analyst, I look at liquidity (the ability to meet near-term obligations) first. CRS's current position is defintely a strength, not a concern. The company's liquidity ratios, which measure their ability to cover short-term debt, are excellent for a manufacturing business that holds significant inventory.
- Current Ratio: The full-year FY2025 Current Ratio was a strong 3.65. This means CRS has $3.65 in current assets for every $1.00 in current liabilities. Anything over 2.0 is generally considered healthy, so this is a clear sign of strength.
- Quick Ratio: The Quick Ratio, which strips out inventory (a less liquid asset), was 2.18 in the most recent quarter (Q1 FY2026). For a specialty metals producer, a quick ratio over 1.0 is great, and 2.18 is exceptional. It shows they can cover short-term obligations even if they can't sell their entire inventory quickly.
The high ratios point to a healthy working capital position. Working capital is simply current assets minus current liabilities. The strong ratios indicate a large, positive working capital balance, which is a good buffer. The trend is positive, supported by record operating income of $525.4 million in FY2025, which naturally improves the current asset side of the equation.
Here's the quick math on their cash flow (CF) statement, which shows where the money is actually coming from and going to:
| Cash Flow Component (TTM/FY2025) | Amount (Millions USD) | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow (CFO) | $439.40 | Strong cash generation from core business. |
| Investing Cash Flow (CFI) | -$168.60 | Net cash used for capital expenditures, including the brownfield expansion. |
| Adjusted Free Cash Flow (FCF) | $287.50 | Significant cash left after capital spending, a record for CRS. |
The cash flow statement overview is very encouraging. Cash from Operations (CFO) was robust at $439.40 million (TTM), showing the core business is highly profitable and converting sales into cash effectively. The Investing Cash Flow (CFI) was a net outflow of $168.60 million, which is the company investing in its future-a good sign of growth strategy execution. This investment includes funding initiatives like the recently announced brownfield expansion project.
Financing Cash Flow (CFF) activities for FY2025 included returning cash to shareholders: $101.9 million in share repurchases and $40.3 million in dividends. This demonstrates that after covering operations and investing in growth, they still had enough cash to execute a balanced capital allocation strategy. Total liquidity, including cash and available revolver balance, stood at a strong $664.4 million at the end of FY2025. The company is well-positioned, but you should still monitor their execution on the expansion projects, as capital expenditures are rising. For more on their long-term vision, check out the Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS).
Valuation Analysis
You're looking at Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) and wondering if the stock has run too far, too fast. That's a valid question, especially after the massive run-up we've seen. The quick takeaway is that, based on traditional metrics, Carpenter Technology Corporation looks expensive, but its premium valuation is being driven by strong near-term growth forecasts and a clear 'Strong Buy' consensus from analysts.
To be fair, the stock's performance has been exceptional. Over the last 12 months leading up to November 2025, the stock price has surged by approximately 86.96%, with a year-to-date return of over 95.02%. This kind of momentum suggests the market is pricing in a lot of future success, particularly from its core aerospace and defense segments. The stock was trading around $324.15 in mid-November 2025, a significant increase that demands a closer look at the valuation multiples.
Here's the quick math on where the valuation stands as of late 2025, using the trailing twelve months (TTM) data:
- Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: The TTM P/E ratio is high at approximately 40.30. This is a premium over the broader market and suggests investors are willing to pay over 40 times earnings, betting heavily on sustained, high-double-digit earnings growth beyond the 2025 fiscal year.
- Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: The P/B ratio is around 6.37 (as of October 2025). For a capital-intensive industrial manufacturer, this is quite rich. It tells you the market values the company's equity at over six times its accounting book value, which is a strong signal of intangible value like specialized technology, market position, and future profitability.
- Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA): The latest twelve months EV/EBITDA stands at 19.7x. This multiple is also elevated for the sector, indicating that the market has a high expectation for the company's operating cash flow (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) to continue expanding.
The dividend picture is straightforward: Carpenter Technology Corporation is not a high-yield stock. It maintains a stable, but small, annual dividend of $0.80 per share, which translates to a low dividend yield of about 0.24%. The good news is the payout ratio is very conservative, sitting at approximately 7.3% of earnings. This low payout ratio is defintely a positive sign, showing the company is retaining the vast majority of its earnings to fund internal growth and capital expenditures, which is what you want to see in a growth-focused industrial company.
What this estimate hides is the analyst conviction. Despite the stretched multiples, the consensus among analysts is a 'Strong Buy' or 'Moderate Buy.' The average 12-month price target is in the range of $371.14 to $382.37, suggesting a potential upside of over 15% from its current price. This confidence is rooted in the company's dominant position in high-specification materials for critical applications. You can dig deeper into the strategic drivers behind this optimism by reviewing the Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS).
So, is Carpenter Technology Corporation overvalued? Yes, if you only look at historical multiples. But if you accept the market's forward-looking view on their specialized materials demand and operational efficiency gains, the valuation is a premium, not a bubble. Your next step should be to model how much their projected earnings need to grow to justify a 40.30 P/E ratio.
Risk Factors
You're looking at Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) after a record-breaking fiscal year 2025, which saw adjusted operating income hit $525.4 million. That's a powerful number, but as a seasoned analyst, I focus on what can derail that momentum. The biggest risks for CRS are a mix of internal operational hurdles and external market concentration.
The core of their business-Specialty Alloy Operations (SAO)-is humming, but it's not without its own operational drag. For example, planned maintenance outages are a systemic issue, which contributed to a sequential sales decline in the first quarter of fiscal year 2025. This isn't a one-off; it speaks to the challenge of keeping complex, high-temperature melting and forging equipment running at peak efficiency. Plus, you've got customers in the aerospace engine market voicing concerns about supply certainty, which is a direct signal of their struggle to meet the ramp-up in Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul (MRO) and Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM) build rates.
Here's the quick math on market risk: the Aerospace and Defense sector accounted for over 60% of their revenue in fiscal year 2025. That concentration is a massive opportunity, but it's also a single point of failure. A major program delay or a sudden, unexpected cyclical downturn in that one industry would hit their top line hard. Honestly, that's a lot of eggs in one basket.
- External Market Risk: Over-reliance on the cyclical Aerospace/Defense sector.
- Operational Risk: Supply chain fragility and systemic maintenance outages.
- Financial Risk: Potential for increased debt load and raw material cost volatility.
On the financial side, while management is defintely smart about optimizing their capital structure, there's new debt to consider. In November 2025, Carpenter Technology Corporation closed a private offering of 5.625% senior notes due 2034, totaling $700.0 million. The good news is they're using the proceeds to redeem higher-interest notes (like the 7.625% notes due 2030), but still, the total debt load is something to monitor. Their debt-to-equity ratio sits at a manageable 0.36, but any new debt increases financial leverage.
The company is taking clear actions to mitigate these risks, which is what you want to see. They're not just sitting back. To address the capacity and supply certainty issues, they are investing in a brownfield capacity expansion project to add primary and secondary melt capacity. This is a long-term play to support growth beyond fiscal year 2027. They're also focusing on preventive maintenance to smooth out those operational hiccups.
For the financial risks, the debt refinancing is a smart move to lower the cost of capital, and they also amended their credit agreement to increase the revolving commitments from $350 million to an unsecured $500 million, which boosts liquidity. Their balanced capital allocation approach also saw them execute $101.9 million in stock repurchases in fiscal year 2025.
The table below summarizes the key risks and the direct, corresponding mitigation strategies we're seeing right now.
| Risk Category | Specific Risk Factor | Mitigation Strategy (FY2025/FY2026 Action) |
| Operational | Capacity constraints / Supply certainty concerns | Brownfield capacity expansion project investment |
| Financial | High-interest debt burden | Issued $700.0M in new notes to redeem higher-rate debt |
| Market | Aerospace/Defense concentration | Securing long-term agreements with major aerospace customers |
For a deeper dive into their balance sheet and cash flow, you can check out the full analysis at Breaking Down Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
Growth Opportunities
You want to know where the real money will be made for Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) after their record-breaking fiscal year 2025. The direct takeaway is that their growth isn't about simply selling more volume; it's a high-margin story driven by a strategic pivot toward their most complex, non-commoditized materials in three critical markets.
The core of their future performance is a deliberate product mix shift, pushing revenue from their highest-value materials. This strategy delivered a record-breaking FY2025, with adjusted operating income hitting $525.4 million, up 48% over FY2024. That's a massive jump.
Key Growth Drivers and Market Expansion
The company's growth is anchored in markets where material failure is simply not an option. This is why their Specialty Alloys Operations (SAO) segment achieved an impressive 30.5% adjusted operating margin in the fourth quarter of FY2025. The demand is so strong that the company has been able to pass along cost increases, which is a sign of pricing power in a tight supply market.
The Aerospace & Defense market is the biggest driver, accounting for greater than 60% of total revenue in FY2025. Plus, half of their massive $2 billion backlog is tied up in aerospace, which gives them clear revenue visibility for years.
- Aerospace & Defense: Driven by commercial build-rate recovery and defense spending.
- Energy: High demand for specialty alloys in electrical infrastructure and power generation.
- Medical: Focus on new, high-performance materials for long-term contracts.
Future Revenue and Earnings Estimates
The management team is defintely confident, and they've set clear, ambitious financial targets that show a sustained earnings trajectory well beyond FY2025. They're not just hoping for a market recovery; they are executing on a plan to expand margins through productivity and pricing.
Here's the quick math on their forward guidance, which maps a clear path of compounding profit growth:
| Fiscal Year | Adjusted Operating Income Target | Implied Growth Over FY2025 |
|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (Actual) | $525.4 million | - |
| FY2026 (Outlook) | $660 million to $700 million | 26% to 33% |
| FY227 (Target) | $765 million to $800 million | Nearly 25% CAGR (over two years) |
What this estimate hides is the continued operational improvement. The company's full-year adjusted free cash flow for FY2025 was $287.5 million, which gives them the financial flexibility to fund growth and return cash to shareholders.
Strategic Initiatives and Competitive Edge
The biggest strategic move is the brownfield expansion project, which is a capital investment of approximately $400 million over the next three years. This isn't about adding generic capacity; it's about increasing high-value production volumes to meet the surging demand in those key markets. This new capacity is expected to come online in fiscal year 2028, ensuring growth continues well past their FY2027 targets.
Their competitive advantage is simple: their products are not commodities. Carpenter Technology Corporation is a leader in proprietary specialty alloys, including nickel, cobalt, and titanium, which are essential for critical applications like jet engine components and medical implants. This proprietary material science, coupled with strategic pricing and productivity gains, is the foundation for their sustained margin expansion. If you want a deeper dive into the numbers that built this foundation, you can check out Breaking Down Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
Next Step: Finance: Model the impact of the $400 million brownfield expansion on future depreciation and capacity utilization by the end of the quarter.

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