LKQ Corporation (LKQ) Bundle
If you are looking at LKQ Corporation, the story right now is a classic tale of strategic focus paying off in profitability, even as the top-line faces headwinds. The company's recent Q3 2025 earnings show a mixed but ultimately strong picture: revenue hit nearly $3.5 billion, a modest 1.3% increase, but the real win was on the bottom line with adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) at $0.84, a solid beat on analyst expectations. This efficiency comes from simplifying the business, including the sale of the Self Service segment, which is why management felt confident enough to narrow the full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance to a tighter range of $3.00 to $3.15. Honestly, the most compelling number for me is the robust free cash flow (FCF) of $387 million for the quarter; that kind of cash generation is what allows them to return $118 million to shareholders through dividends and buybacks. The core business is working, but you defintely need to understand how a 6% decline in North American repairable claims is being offset by over 9% organic growth in their Specialty segment before you make your next move.
Revenue Analysis
You're looking for a clear picture of where LKQ Corporation (LKQ) is actually making its money and how sustainable that is. The direct takeaway is this: LKQ's total revenue for the twelve months ending September 30, 2025, was approximately $14.10 billion, which is essentially flat, showing a slight decline of about -0.01% from the previous year. This flat top-line number hides a significant shift in the underlying business, which is what we need to focus on.
LKQ's business model is built on distributing alternative and specialty parts to repair and accessorize vehicles, and that revenue flows primarily through three major segments: Wholesale - North America, Europe, and Specialty. Their core products include new original equipment manufacturer (OEM) parts, aftermarket products, recycled components from salvaged vehicles, and remanufactured items.
Segment Contribution and Near-Term Trends
The third quarter of 2025 results, with total revenue at $3.499 billion, show a mixed bag across regions, but the overall growth rate was a modest 1.3% year-over-year. This growth wasn't organic (from core operations); it was largely driven by foreign exchange rates, which provided a 2.6% tailwind. The true organic parts and services revenue actually decreased by 1.2% in the quarter.
Here's the quick math on segment performance for Q3 2025, which tells a more nuanced story than the total revenue number:
- Wholesale - North America: Revenue was essentially flat at around $1.34 billion, declining by less than 1%. The market is tough, as organic revenue dropped 30 basis points (0.3%) due to a 6% decline in repairable claims across the industry.
- Europe: This segment saw a small revenue increase of 0.4%, but this was entirely due to favorable foreign exchange rates. Organic growth was actually negatively impacted by 4.7%, a clear sign of weak demand and competitive pricing.
- Specialty: This was the clear winner, thriving with a revenue increase of 9.3%, adding $39 million in revenue, driven by strong performance in automotive and marine product lines.
The full-year 2025 outlook is defintely challenging; the company expects parts and services organic revenue to decline in the range of 2% to 3%. You have to be a realist about the market cycle.
Significant Portfolio Simplification
A major change in the 2025 fiscal year is the strategic simplification of LKQ's portfolio. The company successfully completed the sale of its Self Service segment on September 30, 2025, which is now classified as a discontinued operation. This move is crucial because it focuses the company on its higher-margin core segments, helping to reduce debt by more than $600 million since the end of the second quarter. The divestiture is a clear action to enhance long-term return on invested capital, even if it slightly reduces the overall reported revenue base.
To see how these segments stack up and what the market is doing, look at the quarterly changes:
| Segment | Q3 2025 Revenue Change (YOY) | Q3 2025 Organic Revenue Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Wholesale - North America | Decline of less than 1% | Decreased 0.3% (per day basis) |
| Europe | Increase of 0.4% (FX-driven) | Negatively impacted by 4.7% |
| Specialty | Increase of 9.3% (strong performance) | Over 9% organic growth |
The growth story is now concentrated in the Specialty segment, and the core Wholesale business is fighting against a structural decline in repairable claims, which is why management is focused on operational excellence and cost reduction, targeting an additional $75 million in savings for 2025. For a deeper dive into the valuation tools and strategic frameworks, you can check out the full post at Breaking Down LKQ Corporation (LKQ) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
Profitability Metrics
You need to know if LKQ Corporation is turning its significant revenue into real profit, and the short answer is yes, but the margins are under pressure. While LKQ's gross profitability remains exceptionally strong, its operating and net margins show a clear downward trend in the 2025 fiscal year, signaling that cost control below the gross profit line is the new battleground.
I'm looking at the Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) data through September 30, 2025, which gives us the clearest picture of the 2025 fiscal year performance before the final quarter closes.
Gross, Operating, and Net Margins: The 2025 Snapshot
LKQ Corporation's profitability profile is a tale of two halves: a high-margin parts business and a more challenged operating environment. The TTM figures through Q3 2025 reveal a solid, albeit slightly reduced, core profitability.
- Gross Profit Margin: The TTM Gross Profit Margin stands at a strong 39.07%. This means for every dollar of sales, about 39 cents remain after covering the cost of goods sold. For a distributor and recycler of auto parts, that's defintely a high-quality margin. The total TTM Gross Profit was approximately $5.510 billion.
- Operating Profit Margin (EBIT Margin): This margin, which measures profit before interest and taxes, fell to 8.19%. This is where you see the impact of selling, general, and administrative expenses (SG&A).
- Net Profit Margin: The bottom line, or Net Profit Margin, is at 4.99%. This is the final profit after all costs, including interest and taxes.
Profitability Trends and Industry Comparison
The real story here is the trend. Over the past few years, LKQ's profitability ratios have been steadily declining from their 2022 highs. For example, the Operating Profit Margin has dropped from 12.36% in 2022 to the current TTM 8.19%. This decline is a direct result of macroeconomic headwinds, like inflation and lower repairable claims, forcing management to focus intensely on cost management.
Still, when you compare LKQ to the broader industry, their performance is superior. The average for the general Auto Parts industry is a Gross Profit Margin of around 23.4% and a Net Profit Margin of only 1.6%. LKQ's margins are significantly higher, which highlights the structural advantage of their business model, especially in recycled and specialty parts.
Here's the quick math on their competitive edge:
| Profitability Ratio | LKQ Corporation (TTM Sep 2025) | Auto Parts Industry Average (2025) |
|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 39.07% | 23.4% |
| Operating Profit Margin (EBIT) | 8.19% | ~4.7% (Global Auto Supplier Avg. 2024) |
| Net Profit Margin | 4.99% | 1.6% |
Operational Efficiency and Cost Management
The drop in operating and net margins, despite a high gross margin, tells you that operational efficiency (or lack thereof) is the primary concern. The company is actively addressing this, targeting an additional $75 million in cost savings for the full year 2025, which is part of a larger plan to simplify the business portfolio and expand their lean operating model globally. They are cutting costs to stabilize the bottom line in a tough market, which is the right move.
The divestiture of the Self Service segment, which closed in Q3 2025, is a clear strategic move to simplify the business and focus on higher-return operations, a classic portfolio optimization play. That's a good sign of management discipline. You can read more about the strategic context of these numbers in the full post: Breaking Down LKQ Corporation (LKQ) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
Debt vs. Equity Structure
You want to know if LKQ Corporation (LKQ) is financially sound, and the short answer is that the company is managing its debt load efficiently, especially after a major divestiture. The balance sheet shows a clear preference for long-term financing, and their Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio, while higher than the industry average, is well-supported by their investment-grade credit rating.
As of the third quarter of 2025, LKQ Corporation's total debt stood at $4.2 billion. This figure is a critical anchor for your analysis, but it's important to break down how that debt is structured. Most of it is long-term, which is a sign of stability, but you still have to keep an eye on the current maturities.
Here is the breakdown of their obligations as of September 30, 2025 (in millions of USD):
| Debt Component | Amount (USD) |
|---|---|
| Long-term Obligations (excluding current portion) | $3,615 million |
| Current Portion of Long-term Obligations (Short-term) | $537 million |
| Total Debt (approx.) | $4,152 million |
The company's financial leverage, measured by the Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio, is a key metric. LKQ Corporation's D/E ratio is approximately 0.84 for the current fiscal year. Here's the quick math: this means for every dollar of shareholder equity, the company uses $0.84 in debt to finance its assets. To be fair, this is higher than the 'Auto Parts' industry average of around 0.59, suggesting LKQ is more leveraged than its typical peer. Still, a ratio below 1.0 is defintely manageable for a capital-intensive business like this.
LKQ balances its financing between debt and equity with a disciplined capital allocation strategy. The recent sale of the Self Service segment allowed them to reduce total debt by more than $600 million since the end of the second quarter of 2025. That's a strong, proactive move. Plus, they actively return capital to shareholders, which is an equity-friendly action.
- Repurchased 3.2 million shares for $119 million (9M 2025).
- Distributed $234 million in cash dividends (9M 2025).
On the debt side, the company's credit profile is solid. S&P Global Ratings maintains an investment-grade issuer credit rating of BBB-, which helps keep borrowing costs in check. This rating is a big signal to the market that their debt is lower-risk. They also use tools like interest rate swaps, such as the one entered in March 2025, to hedge the variable rates on some credit agreement borrowings, protecting them from unexpected rate spikes. This is just smart risk management. For a deeper dive into their long-term vision, check out the Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of LKQ Corporation (LKQ).
Next step: Review the company's upcoming debt maturity schedule to confirm no large, near-term refinancing risks are on the horizon.
Liquidity and Solvency
You want to know if LKQ Corporation (LKQ) has the cash to cover its near-term bills and keep the lights on, especially after divesting its Self Service segment. The short answer is yes, LKQ's liquidity position is solid, but it leans heavily on inventory, which is typical for a parts distributor. Their strong cash generation gives them plenty of flexibility for capital returns and debt management.
The company's ability to meet its immediate obligations is measured by its current and quick ratios (acid-test ratio), which tell us how many dollars of liquid assets they have for every dollar of current liabilities. As of late 2025, LKQ's current ratio stands at a healthy 1.81. This means they have $1.81 in current assets for every $1.00 in current liabilities. That's a comfortable buffer. Their quick ratio, however, is 0.69. The difference between these two numbers is the inventory, and in this case, it's a big one. It simply means that if sales slow down, they must move a lot of parts to cover their short-term debt.
Here's the quick math on their liquidity positions:
- Current Ratio of 1.81: Strong position, suggesting they can cover all current liabilities using all current assets.
- Quick Ratio of 0.69: Below the 1.0 benchmark, which is common in the auto parts industry where inventory is substantial and not highly liquid.
The working capital trend is directly tied to this inventory-heavy balance sheet. While the current ratio is strong, the low quick ratio highlights that a significant portion of current assets is tied up in inventory-used, recycled, and aftermarket parts. This is a core part of their business model, but it's a working capital risk if demand for repairable claims drops, which did happen in North America with a 6% decline in repairable claims in Q3 2025. Still, the company reported a total available liquidity of $1,289 million as of March 31, 2025, which includes $227 million in cash and equivalents and over $1 billion available under their revolving credit facilities. That's a lot of dry powder.
Looking at the cash flow statements, the operating engine is running smoothly. For the nine months ended September 30, 2025, LKQ generated $733 million in cash flow from operations (CFO). This strong operational cash is the real strength here. The full-year 2025 guidance for operating cash flow is projected to be between $825 million and $1.025 billion, and free cash flow (FCF) is expected to be between $600 million and $750 million.
Here is a snapshot of their cash flow trends for the first nine months of 2025:
| Cash Flow Metric (9M Ended Sept 30, 2025) | Amount (Millions USD) | Key Trend/Action |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow (CFO) | $733 | Strong core business generation. |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) | $573 | Substantial excess cash after capital expenditures. |
| Capital Returned to Shareholders | $353 | Includes $119M in repurchases and $234M in dividends. |
The financing and investing cash flows show a clear capital allocation strategy: return cash and manage debt. In the first nine months of 2025, the company returned approximately $353 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. This is a sign of confidence and a lack of immediate, high-priority internal investment needs. Total debt stood at $4.2 billion as of September 30, 2025, which is manageable given the strong EBITDA and cash flow generation. The potential liquidity concern is less about immediate survival and more about the efficiency of that large inventory balance-if it takes too long to turn inventory into cash, it drags on returns. But defintely, the cash flow from operations provides a solid foundation. You can read more about the shareholder base in Exploring LKQ Corporation (LKQ) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Valuation Analysis
You're looking at LKQ Corporation (LKQ) and asking the essential question: Is the stock priced fairly, or is there a mispricing opportunity? My take, based on the latest November 2025 data, is that the market is overlooking the company's cash flow generation, suggesting it is currently undervalued relative to its historical metrics and sector peers.
The stock has traded in a wide range over the last 12 months, hitting a 52-week high of $44.82 and a low of $28.42. With the closing price near the end of November 2025 at $29.56, the stock is sitting close to its 12-month floor, which is a clear signal of market skepticism. That's a big drop from the high, so we need to see if the fundamentals justify it.
Here's the quick math on the key valuation multiples, which point toward a compelling entry point:
- Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: At a trailing P/E of 10.99, LKQ Corporation is trading at a discount to the broader S&P 500 average. The forward P/E, based on 2025 earnings forecasts, drops even lower to 9.31, which is defintely attractive.
- Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: The P/B ratio is 1.16, which is incredibly low for a company with a return on equity (ROE) forecast to be around 12.94% in 2025. A P/B this close to 1.0 suggests the market is valuing the company at little more than its net asset value.
- Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA): The EV/EBITDA ratio stands at 7.79. This is a healthy, low multiple that signals the company's operating cash flow (EBITDA) is strong relative to its total enterprise value (market cap plus net debt).
The company also provides a solid return to shareholders through its dividend. The annual dividend is $1.20 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 4.06% at the current price. The payout ratio is conservative at 44.54%, meaning there is plenty of room for the company to maintain or grow this dividend even if earnings fluctuate.
Analyst consensus is generally optimistic, despite the recent stock price weakness. The average 12-month price target from analysts is $45.40, which suggests an upside of over 53% from the current price. While the overall consensus rating is a split between a 'Hold' and 'Buy' depending on the analyst group, the majority of recent ratings lean toward 'Buy' or 'Strong Buy.' This disconnect between the low stock price and the high target price is where the opportunity lies.
To dive deeper into the institutional ownership driving these movements, you should check out Exploring LKQ Corporation (LKQ) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
The table below summarizes the core valuation metrics for LKQ Corporation as of November 2025:
| Metric | Value (November 2025) | Valuation Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Stock Price | $29.56 | Near 52-Week Low ($28.42) |
| Trailing P/E Ratio | 10.99 | Undervalued (Low) |
| Forward P/E Ratio (FY2025 Est.) | 9.31 | Highly Undervalued |
| Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio | 1.16 | Undervalued (Low) |
| EV/EBITDA Ratio | 7.79 | Undervalued (Low) |
| Annual Dividend Yield | 4.06% | Strong Yield |
| Analyst Average Price Target | $45.40 | 53%+ Upside |
What this estimate hides, however, is the impact of macroeconomic headwinds like tariff uncertainties and European market softness, which led management to lower its full-year 2025 adjusted diluted EPS guidance to between $3.00 and $3.30. This guidance revision is the primary reason for the stock price weakness, but the low valuation multiples suggest the market has already over-corrected for this near-term risk.
Risk Factors
You're looking for the clear-eyed view on LKQ Corporation (LKQ), and honestly, the near-term picture is a mixed bag of macro headwinds and internal execution. The biggest risk right now isn't a single catastrophic event; it's the persistent drag from a tough global economy. You see this directly in the Q3 2025 numbers.
The core challenge is demand. In North America, we saw a 30 basis point decrease in organic revenue on a per-day basis, which aligns with a significant 6% decline in repairable claims industry-wide. Simply put, people are driving less or repairing less, and that hits the top line. Europe is also struggling, with organic revenue declining 4.7% per day due to weaker consumer confidence and political uncertainty. This is a classic cyclical risk, but it's compounded by structural shifts.
Here's the quick math on the financial pressure points:
| Metric (Q3 2025) | Value | Impact vs. Prior Year |
| Revenue | $3.499 billion | 1.3% increase (but organic parts revenue down 1.2%) |
| Adjusted Diluted EPS | $0.84 | 2.3% decrease |
| Total Debt (as of 9/30/2025) | $4.2 billion | Debt reduced by over $600 million since Q2 |
The company is defintely feeling the pinch of competition, especially in Europe, which limits their ability to pass on price increases and maintain margin percentages. Still, they are actively managing what they can control.
Operational and Strategic Headwinds
Beyond the macro environment, LKQ Corporation (LKQ) faces specific, actionable risks that are detailed in their filings. One key operational risk is the reliance on imported products, making them vulnerable to tariffs and other import restrictions, which can materially harm revenue and results of operations. Another is the legal threat of intellectual property (IP) claims related to their aftermarket products. If a major Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM) successfully sues, it could restrict their product offerings.
Looking further out, the rise of Electric Vehicles (EVs) presents a structural challenge. EVs require fewer replacement parts-no exhaust systems, fewer brake replacements due to regenerative braking-which could substantially decrease demand for LKQ's core products over time. You should also consider the risk of OEMs trying to 'lock down' their parts ecosystem, making it harder for independent distributors like LKQ to source parts. That's a real long-term threat to the Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of LKQ Corporation (LKQ).
LKQ is not sitting still, though. Their mitigation strategy is clear and focused:
- Simplify the business portfolio: They completed the sale of the non-core Self Service segment, which generated $410 million in proceeds.
- Drive efficiency: They achieved $35 million in cost savings in Q3 2025, putting them on track for their $75 million cost-savings target for the full year.
- Strengthen the balance sheet: They repaid $262 million of debt in the third quarter, reducing total debt to $4.2 billion as of September 30, 2025.
The company is executing a solid internal plan, but the external market remains a headwind. The action item for you is to watch the North American repairable claims data and European consumer confidence for any sign of a cyclical upturn.
Growth Opportunities
You're looking past the current macroeconomic headwinds, which is smart, because the real investment story for LKQ Corporation (LKQ) in 2025 is a disciplined pivot toward higher-margin, core growth. The company is actively simplifying its portfolio, and that focus is already showing up in the numbers, even with a tough market.
LKQ's full-year 2025 outlook, updated in October, projects adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) in the range of $3.00 to $3.15, which is a solid base. More importantly, they expect parts and services organic revenue growth to be between 2.0% and 3.0%, proving their core business is holding up and gaining share in a challenging environment.
Three-Pillar Strategic Initiatives
The near-term growth isn't coming from big, splashy acquisitions, but from operational excellence and a sharper focus. This is a realist's growth plan: cut costs, simplify, and then invest in what works. Here's the quick math on their strategy:
- Simplify Business Portfolio: LKQ sold its Self Service segment in late 2025 for $410 million, which allowed them to reduce total debt by over $600 million since the end of Q2 2025. This move frees up capital and management time to focus on the non-discretionary parts business.
- Expand Lean Operating Model: They are scaling a lean operating model globally to boost productivity. This initiative is tied to a target of an additional $75 million in cost reductions for the full year 2025, on top of the $125 million already taken out over the preceding 12 months.
- Invest and Grow Organically: This is where the money is going. The Specialty business, for instance, delivered strong organic growth of over 9% in the third quarter of 2025, showing their investment in high-demand, specialized parts is paying off.
Competitive Moats and Market Tailwinds
LKQ's biggest advantage is its sheer scale and its unique position in the automotive recycling supply chain. They control roughly 70% of the US salvage and aftermarket collision parts market, which creates a significant cost advantage (an 'economic moat') that smaller competitors can't touch.
Plus, the current market is defintely working in their favor. Inflation and high new-car prices are pushing U.S. drivers to keep their older vehicles longer, which directly boosts the demand for the recycled and aftermarket parts LKQ sells. This structural tailwind, coupled with their extensive distribution network across North America and Europe, positions them to capture more of the aftermarket dollar. They are a leader in automotive recycling, recovering and reusing over 95% of salvaged car materials, which is a huge sustainability edge.
To be fair, the European market still faces some softness, but LKQ is actively managing it, maintaining double-digit margins there in Q3 2025 and pursuing a strategic partnership to expand their salvage business in the region. You can read more about this in our full analysis: Breaking Down LKQ Corporation (LKQ) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
| Metric | 2025 Full-Year Guidance |
|---|---|
| Adjusted Diluted EPS | $3.00 to $3.15 |
| Organic Revenue Growth (Parts & Services) | 2.0% to 3.0% |
| Targeted Additional Cost Reductions | $75 million |
| Q3 2025 Free Cash Flow | $387 million |

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