Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) Bundle
You're looking at Modine Manufacturing Company, ticker MOD, and trying to figure out if their thermal management pivot is defintely paying off, so let's cut straight to the numbers: Fiscal Year 2025 was a strong year, with the company reporting full-year revenue of approximately $2.58 billion and a net income of $185.5 million, translating to an Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $4.05. This performance was largely driven by the Climate Solutions segment, where explosive demand for data center cooling is creating a clear growth runway, but the near-term risk remains in the Performance Technologies segment, which is still navigating lower volumes in vehicular markets. Wall Street sees the upside, with a consensus price target hovering around $185.00 as of late 2025, suggesting a significant potential return from current levels, plus the firm generated $129.3 million in free cash flow, showing real operational strength. The story here is a successful, high-margin strategic shift.
Revenue Analysis
You need to know where the money is coming from, and for Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD), the story for fiscal year 2025 is a clear tale of two businesses: one is cooling off the data center boom, and the other is navigating a tough vehicular market.
The headline is strong: Modine delivered a third consecutive year of record revenue and profitability. For the full fiscal year 2025, the company reported consolidated net sales of $2.58 billion, which represents a solid 7% increase from fiscal year 2024. That's a healthy top-line expansion, but the real insight is in the segment mix-it's shifting dramatically.
The company now operates through two primary segments: Climate Solutions and Performance Technologies. For the first time in company history, the Climate Solutions segment reported higher revenues than Performance Technologies, a clear sign the strategic transformation is working. That's the quick math on the future direction.
- Focus on Climate Solutions for growth.
- Manage the cyclical downturn in Performance Technologies.
- Data center demand is the defintely the primary catalyst.
Segment Contribution and Growth Drivers
The Climate Solutions segment is the engine of growth, reporting total revenue of approximately $1.44 billion in fiscal 2025, an impressive 30% increase year-over-year. This segment is driven by thermal management solutions for data centers and commercial heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC&R) products. The key highlight here is the demand for data center cooling, which saw a massive 119% growth in revenue to $644.2 million for the year, including a significant boost from the Scott Springfield Manufacturing acquisition. This demand for liquid-cooled solutions is directly tied to the build-out of artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure.
Conversely, the Performance Technologies segment, which serves the vehicular markets (automotive, off-highway, and commercial vehicles), faced expected headwinds. This segment's revenue declined by 12% in fiscal 2025 to approximately $1.14 billion. This drop was primarily due to market-related declines in heavy-duty equipment and on-highway applications, plus strategic product line exits, but the segment still managed to improve its adjusted EBITDA margin by 200 basis points to 13.5% through cost-saving initiatives and restructuring actions.
Here is the breakdown of the primary revenue sources for fiscal year 2025:
| Business Segment | Primary Revenue Source (Product Group) | FY 2025 Revenue (in millions) | % of Total Revenue | Y-o-Y Revenue Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Climate Solutions | Data Center Cooling | $644.2 | 24.9% | +119% |
| Climate Solutions | Heat Transfer & HVAC&R | $796.4 ($402.9 + $393.5) | 30.8% | +30% (Segment Total) |
| Performance Technologies | Air-cooled & Liquid-cooled (Vehicular) | $1,013.5 ($609.0 + $404.5) | 39.2% | -12% (Segment Total) |
| Total Company Revenue | $2,583.5 | 100% | +7% |
The shift is not just about growth; it's about margin-rich business mix. The Climate Solutions segment's gross margin was 29.7% in the fourth quarter of 2025, significantly higher than the Performance Technologies segment's 20.4%. This favorable mix is why earnings growth has far outpaced the 7% revenue growth.
For a deeper look into the strategic direction underpinning these financial results, you should review the Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD).
Profitability Metrics
You're looking for a clear picture of Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD)'s financial engine, not just a headline number. The direct takeaway from fiscal year 2025 (FY2025) is that Modine has successfully executed a margin expansion strategy, primarily by shifting its sales mix toward the high-growth, high-margin Climate Solutions segment, particularly data centers.
The company's overall profitability ratios are strong, especially when compared to its legacy segment's peers. Modine reported net sales of $2.5835 billion for FY2025, which translated into a significant jump in margin performance.
Gross, Operating, and Net Margins in Focus
Modine's margins for FY2025 show a business successfully managing costs of goods sold (COGS) and strategically focusing on higher-value products. The Gross Profit Margin for the full year hit 24.9%, a substantial improvement of 310 basis points from the prior year. This margin is the first sign of operational health, showing that the direct cost of making their products is well-controlled.
Moving down the income statement, the company's estimated Operating Profit Margin (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes, or EBIT) for FY2025 stood at approximately 10.97% (calculated from $283.5 million in operating income on $2.5835 billion in revenue). This is a defintely strong number, demonstrating that selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses are not ballooning faster than gross profit growth.
Finally, the Net Profit Margin was 7.1%, resulting in net earnings of $185.5 million. This is the bottom-line number, and it increased from 6.7% in FY2024.
- Gross Margin: 24.9%-shows efficient COGS management.
- Operating Margin: $\approx$ 10.97%-strong control over overhead.
- Net Margin: 7.1%-translates to $185.5 million in final profit.
Industry Comparison and Margin Trend
To be fair, Modine is a hybrid, so we have to compare its results against both the Auto Parts and the HVAC/Thermal Management sectors. Modine's overall margins significantly outperform the struggling automotive supplier space, while still having room to grow into the high-end HVAC space.
| Metric | Modine (MOD) FY2025 | Auto Parts Industry Average (2025) | HVAC/Thermal Mgmt. Average (2025) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 24.9% | 22.4% | 30% to 55% (High-end) |
| Net Profit Margin | 7.1% | 1.7% | 10% (Industry Average) |
| Operating Margin (EBIT) | $\approx$ 10.97% | 4.7% (EBIT Margin) | 10% to 20% (EBITDA proxy) |
Here's the quick math: Modine's 7.1% net margin is more than four times the 1.7% average for the Auto Parts industry. This is a direct result of the transformation, as the Climate Solutions segment-driven by data center cooling-is now the primary growth engine, offsetting market weakness in the Performance Technologies segment.
Operational Efficiency and Cost Management
The trend shows a clear, actionable strategy at work. The 310 basis point improvement in gross margin is not accidental; it's a structural shift. The Climate Solutions segment, which includes data center cooling, is driving this improvement with a gross margin of 29.7% in the fourth quarter of FY2025. This is a higher-margin business than the legacy vehicular thermal management products. Plus, the Performance Technologies segment is also showing discipline, seeing margin benefits from restructuring actions and cost-saving initiatives. This dual focus-growing the high-margin business and optimizing the legacy one-is the core of the margin expansion story.
For a deeper dive into who is betting on this transformation, you should read Exploring Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Debt vs. Equity Structure
You want to know if Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) is funding its growth responsibly, and the short answer is yes, they are managing their financial leverage (debt) with a clear, downward trend and strong coverage. The company ended its 2025 fiscal year with a manageable debt load, and has since refinanced to secure capital for the next phase of growth.
Looking at the balance sheet for the fiscal year ending March 2025, Modine Manufacturing Company reported a total debt of approximately $348.1 million, a noticeable reduction from the prior year. After accounting for cash on hand, the net debt stood at about $276.5 million. This reduction shows a defintely disciplined approach to capital structure, which is what you want to see from a mature industrial company.
The key metric here is the debt-to-equity (D/E) ratio, which measures how much debt a company uses to finance its assets relative to the value of shareholders' equity. For the fiscal year ending March 2025, Modine Manufacturing Company's D/E ratio was 54.6%. This is a significant improvement, having reduced from 76.7% over the last five years. To put that into perspective:
- Modine's D/E ratio of 54.6% is higher than the average D/E of 40.2% for companies in the broader Consumer Discretionary sector.
- However, the company's interest payments are exceptionally well-covered by its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT), showing a strong 13.3x coverage.
- Net debt is also low relative to earnings, at only 0.71 times its EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization).
The balance between debt and equity is currently tilted toward equity funding, which is a lower-risk profile. They are using debt, but sensibly. The strong earnings coverage means the interest expense is not a threat to the bottom line.
In a major move to solidify their capital structure for future initiatives, Modine Manufacturing Company executed a significant refinancing in July 2025. This involved entering into a Sixth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement. This action replaced the previous credit facility and provides clear runway for their strategic plan, especially within the high-growth Climate Solutions segment.
Here's the quick math on the new facilities, both of which mature in July 2030:
| Facility Type | Maximum Amount | Key Repayment Term |
|---|---|---|
| Senior Secured Revolving Credit Facility | Up to $400 million | Provides ongoing borrowing capacity. |
| Term Loan Facility | $200 million | Quarterly installments of 1.25% start December 31, 2025. |
This refinancing is a clear signal that Modine Manufacturing Company is using debt proactively to fund growth and acquisitions-like the recent moves in data center cooling-rather than just for survival. The new agreement also sets clear financial covenants, including a maximum net leverage ratio of 3.50 to 1.00, which keeps a lid on excessive risk. If you want to dive deeper into who is buying the stock and why, you can check out Exploring Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Liquidity and Solvency
Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) shows a solid, albeit tightening, liquidity position heading into the back half of the 2025-2026 fiscal year, anchored by a strong Current Ratio of 2.06 for the 2025 fiscal year. This means the company has more than two dollars in current assets for every dollar of current liabilities, a very comfortable margin.
The Quick Ratio (or acid-test ratio), which strips out inventory-the least liquid current asset-was 1.28 for the same period. This ratio is defintely the one to watch, as it tells you how well Modine can cover its immediate obligations using only cash, receivables, and short-term investments. A value well over 1.0 suggests a healthy short-term financial position.
Working Capital and Near-Term Cash Flow Pressure
While the ratios look good, the underlying working capital trends show some pressure. For the full Fiscal Year 2025, Modine reported a strong net cash provided by operating activities (CFO) of $213.3 million. However, this strength was partially offset by an unfavorable net change in working capital.
This trend accelerated in the first half of the new fiscal year, which is a key near-term risk. The company's focus on high-growth areas like Data Centers required a significant increase in working capital, primarily driven by higher inventory balances in the Climate Solutions segment. Here's the quick math on the cash flow shift:
- Full FY 2025 CFO: $213.3 million.
- Six months ended September 30, 2025 CFO: $29.1 million.
- Six months ended September 30, 2025 Free Cash Flow (FCF): negative $30.3 million.
The FCF turning negative in the first half of the current year is a clear signal of cash being tied up to fund growth and capital expenditures (CapEx), not a sign of fundamental weakness, but it is a cash management challenge. We need to see that inventory turn into sales quickly.
Financing Trends and Solvency Context
The cash flow statement overview for FY 2025 showed that the company generated $129.3 million in Free Cash Flow (FCF) for the year. This operational strength allowed them to keep total debt manageable at $350.8 million as of March 31, 2025.
Still, the investing and financing activities dramatically changed in the most recent reporting period. The company took on significant new borrowings to fund strategic acquisitions and CapEx, which is a growth-oriented use of debt. You can see the impact clearly in the balance sheet metrics:
| Metric (USD Millions) | FY 2025 (March 31, 2025) | Q2 FY2026 (September 30, 2025) | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and Cash Equivalents | $71.6 | $83.8 | +$12.2 |
| Total Debt | $350.8 | $582.1 | +$231.3 |
| Net Debt | $279.2 | $498.3 | +$219.1 |
The significant jump in Total Debt to $582.1 million is a critical solvency point to monitor. This debt increase of over $231 million in six months is a direct result of funding growth, which is a calculated risk. For more on the strategic drivers behind these moves, you should check out Exploring Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Actionable Next Step
Your next step is to model Modine's inventory turnover ratio for the second half of the current fiscal year, projecting how quickly the high inventory balances convert to cash and reverse the negative FCF trend.
Valuation Analysis
You're looking at Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) after a massive run-up, and the core question is simple: Is the market getting ahead of itself, or is there still real upside? The direct takeaway is that Modine Manufacturing Company appears overvalued on trailing metrics, but analysts still see significant upside, suggesting the market is pricing in the company's aggressive pivot to data center cooling.
The stock's valuation multiples are defintely stretched compared to industry averages. As of November 2025, Modine Manufacturing Company's trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio sits at 36.74, which is a significant premium. For context, the forward P/E ratio, which uses future earnings estimates, drops to 23.26. This gap shows investors are betting heavily on the projected earnings growth from their Climate Solutions segment.
Here's the quick math on other key multiples that tell a similar story:
- Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: 6.43. This is very high, indicating investors are paying over six times the company's net asset value.
- Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA): 18.85. This multiple, which is capital structure-neutral (Enterprise Value to Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization), is also elevated, reflecting a high valuation for a company that generated $392.1 million in Adjusted EBITDA in fiscal year 2025.
The high valuation is directly tied to the stock's performance. The stock price has seen a wild ride, trading between a 52-week low of $64.79 in April 2025 and a high of $166.94 in October 2025. The one-year total shareholder return is still strong at over +18.07%, even with the recent pullback. The current stock price is around $128.49 as of November 17, 2025.
What this estimate hides is the dividend situation. Modine Manufacturing Company is a growth story right now, not an income play. The company does not currently pay a dividend, so both the dividend yield and payout ratio are 0.00%. All the cash flow is being reinvested to fuel that data center growth. Their fiscal year 2025 Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS) was $4.05, and the focus is on driving that number higher, not distributing it to shareholders.
Still, Wall Street is overwhelmingly positive. The analyst consensus on Modine Manufacturing Company is 'Very Bullish,' with 6 analysts rating it a Buy and 0 rating it a Hold or Sell. Their price targets range from $174 to $185, suggesting the stock is still undervalued by 25% to 44% from the recent price of $128.49. This bullishness is a clear nod to the company's strategic shift and its $2,583.5 million in net sales for fiscal year 2025.
To make an informed decision, you need to weigh the high current multiples against the strong analyst conviction and the potential for massive growth in their core new market. You can dive deeper into the operational details in the full post: Breaking Down Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
| Valuation Metric | Value (as of Nov 2025) | FY 2025 Context |
|---|---|---|
| Trailing P/E Ratio | 36.74 | Trailing EPS of $3.53 |
| Forward P/E Ratio | 23.26 | Forward EPS Estimate of $4.66 |
| Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio | 6.43 | – |
| EV/EBITDA Ratio (Trailing) | 18.85 | FY2025 Adjusted EBITDA of $392.1 million |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% | No dividend currently paid |
Next step: Review the company's capital expenditure plans for the next two quarters to see if the spending aligns with the aggressive growth expectations priced into the stock.
Risk Factors
You're looking at Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) after a strong fiscal 2025, driven largely by the Climate Solutions segment, but the market is a forward-looking beast. The biggest risk right now isn't the current balance sheet-it's execution and market volatility. The company's strategic pivot is working, but it introduces new, specific challenges you need to watch closely.
Modine's Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) process is designed to identify material risks, but our job is to map them to clear investor actions. The core challenge is managing a rapid, high-cost transformation while navigating external economic headwinds. The company reported $28.2 million in restructuring expenses during fiscal 2025, a clear sign of this ongoing, necessary repositioning. That's a big number for internal change.
Operational and Financial Tightropes
The operational risks are tied directly to the company's growth strategy, especially in the data center market. The push for new capacity and acquisitions, while promising, creates friction. For instance, the company has highlighted a material weakness in internal controls related to IT system access in Europe, which is a red flag for financial reporting integrity. Plus, rapid expansion means higher labor costs and the challenge of recruiting and maintaining specialized talent. You can't scale data center cooling without the right engineers.
Financially, while the company's net cash provided by operating activities for fiscal 2025 was a solid $213.3 million, the growth comes at a price. We saw the cost of sales rise from $498.9 million to $517.4 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, indicating margin pressure that needs constant management. Here's the quick math: if your costs rise faster than your pricing power, that $4.05 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) from fiscal 2025 becomes harder to maintain.
- Manage acquisition integration risk.
- Control rising commodity prices like aluminum and copper.
- Recruit and retain specialized engineering talent.
External and Strategic Headwinds
The external risks are the usual suspects, but with a twist. Modine is heavily exposed to global economic developments and fluctuations in commodity prices, particularly aluminum, copper, and steel. The Performance Technologies segment, which serves vehicular markets, continues to face market-related declines, which the Climate Solutions growth must offset. That's a structural challenge.
Strategically, the biggest risk is valuation. The stock trades at a premium-a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around 37.3x as of November 2025, well above the industry average. This premium is a bet on the company's ambitious targets, like doubling data center revenue to $2 billion by fiscal 2028. If the execution of new product launches or acquisition integration falters, that high valuation could quickly compress. The market is defintely pricing in perfection.
To be fair, Modine is tackling these risks head-on. Their mitigation strategy is the strategic pivot itself: aggressively shifting resources to the high-growth Climate Solutions segment to reduce reliance on the cyclical vehicular markets. The company also focuses on product design to comply with increasingly stringent environmental regulations, which turns a regulatory risk into a competitive advantage. You can see how this strategy is playing out in the segment performance:
| Risk Category | Specific Risk Factor (FY2025/FY2026 Focus) | Mitigation Strategy |
|---|---|---|
| Operational | Increased Cost of Sales and SG&A Expenses | Focus on cost structure optimization and operational efficiencies (80/20 transformation). |
| Financial/Market | Fluctuations in Commodity Prices (Aluminum, Copper) | Ability to adjust product pricing in response to cost increases. |
| Strategic | Execution Risk of Data Center Expansion/Acquisitions | Strategic resource allocation and capital expenditure to support growth (e.g., new chiller production in Grenada, Mississippi). |
If you want to dig deeper into who is buying into this high-growth narrative and why, you should check out Exploring Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
The key action item is to track the organic sales growth in Climate Solutions, excluding acquisitions, and monitor the margin recovery in Performance Technologies. If the latter doesn't stabilize, the former has to work even harder.
Growth Opportunities
You need to know where Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) is heading, and the answer is clear: the company is strategically pivoting toward high-margin, high-growth thermal management solutions. The core of this growth story is the accelerating build-out of data centers, which is driving extraordinary demand for their cooling products. This shift is already visible in the financials, with the company reporting full fiscal year 2025 revenue of $2.58 billion, a solid 7.3% increase over the prior year. That's a strong foundation for what comes next.
The forward-looking estimates are even more compelling. Management is forecasting a potential to double data center revenues from approximately $1 billion in fiscal 2026 to a massive $2 billion by fiscal 2028. This structural demand from digital infrastructure is the critical catalyst. Here's the quick math on near-term expectations:
| Metric | Fiscal Year 2025 Result | Fiscal Year 2026 Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Net Sales Growth | 7.3% (to $2.58B) | 10%-15% Year-over-Year |
| Adjusted EBITDA Growth | N/A | 12%-20% Year-over-Year |
| Earnings Per Share (EPS) | $3.41 | N/A |
To be fair, the market is pricing in this optimism, but the company's actions show a defintely committed strategy to deliver on it.
Strategic Investments and Product Innovation
Modine Manufacturing Company isn't just waiting for the market to deliver; they are actively investing to capture this growth. A key initiative is a multi-year $100 million investment to expand U.S. manufacturing capacity, specifically for their Airedale by Modine™ data center cooling solutions. This includes the recent opening of a new 155,000-square-foot facility in Franklin, Wisconsin, and the inauguration of a 100,000 sq. ft. facility in Chennai, India, to serve the Asia-Pacific data center market. This is about scaling capacity ahead of the demand curve.
The company is also using strategic acquisitions to broaden its portfolio, adhering to its 80/20 principles for growth. Recent acquisitions like AbsolutAire, L.B. White, and Climate by Design International are expanding the Climate Solutions segment into new areas like commercial indoor air quality, cold storage, and battery production. Climate by Design International is expected to contribute approximately $45.0 million in annual sales, a concrete example of inorganic growth fueling the top line. Plus, the company's 2025 Sustainability Report outlines a commitment to a 30% reduction in absolute Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions by 2030, which aligns their product innovation with the global push for sustainable, energy-efficient cooling.
- Invest $100M to boost U.S. data center cooling capacity.
- Expand Climate Solutions via strategic acquisitions.
- Target 30% emissions reduction by 2030.
Competitive Moat in Thermal Management
Modine Manufacturing Company's competitive advantage (or 'moat') is built on decades of technical expertise in engineered heat transfer solutions. They are a global leader in this niche, which is now mission-critical for the digital economy. Their scale and broad market reach mean they can serve both established and emerging markets with complex thermal management needs for original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). This focus on innovation and efficiency is reflected in their financial health; the company boasts a Return on Equity (ROE) of 23.9%, which far outpaces the industry average of just 7.2%. That kind of efficiency in capital deployment is a powerful signal of a well-run business. You can read more about this in our full analysis: Breaking Down Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.

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