Breaking Down Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

Breaking Down Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

US | Consumer Cyclical | Apparel - Retail | NYSE

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Are you keeping a close watch on Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO) and wondering about its financial stability? With a market cap of $1.26 billion and an EPS TTM of $1.97, the company's financial health presents an intriguing picture. While VSCO reported a 1% increase in net sales, reaching $2.106 billion for the fourth quarter of 2024, its balance sheet reveals a debt-to-equity ratio of 147.1%, with total debt at $977.0 million against shareholders' equity of $664.0 million. Is Victoria's Secret on solid ground, or are there challenges ahead? Let's dive into the key financial metrics that investors should consider.

Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO) Revenue Analysis

Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO) generates revenue primarily through the sale of its intimate apparel, beauty products, and accessories. These sales occur through a variety of channels, including:

  • Company-operated stores
  • Digital platforms
  • Franchise, license, and wholesale arrangements

Understanding the contribution of each of these channels provides a clearer picture of where VSCO's strengths lie and where there might be opportunities for growth.

Analyzing Victoria's Secret & Co.'s revenue streams involves looking at the year-over-year revenue growth rate to understand historical trends. According to the Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO) 2024 financial report, the total net sales were $6.176 billion, a decrease of 3% compared to $6.344 billion in 2023.

Here’s a breakdown of the company's revenue streams:

  • North America: Net sales of $5.168 billion in 2024, compared to $5.341 billion in 2023, a decrease of 3%.
  • International: Net sales of $1.008 billion in 2024, compared to $1.003 billion in 2023, an increase of 1%.

Here is a table summarizing the net sales for Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO) for 2024 and 2023:

2024 (Millions) 2023 (Millions) Change (%)
North America $5,168 $5,341 -3%
International $1,008 $1,003 1%
Total Net Sales $6,176 $6,344 -3%

For further insights into the company's mission, vision, and core values, you can refer to Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO).

Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO) Profitability Metrics

Analyzing Victoria's Secret & Co.'s profitability involves examining its gross profit, operating profit, and net profit margins to gauge overall financial health. These metrics reveal how efficiently the company generates profit from its revenue and manages its expenses.

For the fiscal year 2024, Victoria's Secret & Co. reported a gross profit of $2.471 billion. The operating income was $259 million, which translates to an operating margin of 6.1%. The company's net income for the same period stood at $77 million.

Here's a summary of Victoria's Secret & Co.'s profitability metrics based on the latest available data:

Metric Amount (USD)
Gross Profit $2.471 Billion
Operating Income $259 Million
Net Income $77 Million

When assessing profitability trends over time, it's essential to consider various factors, such as changes in revenue, cost of goods sold, and operating expenses. Examining these trends helps investors understand the sustainability of Victoria's Secret & Co.'s profitability.

Comparing Victoria's Secret & Co.'s profitability ratios with industry averages provides valuable insights into its competitive positioning. If the company's gross, operating, and net profit margins are higher than the industry averages, it suggests that the company is performing well compared to its peers. However, if the margins are lower, it may indicate areas where the company needs to improve its efficiency and cost management.

Effective cost management plays a crucial role in maintaining and improving profitability. Monitoring gross margin trends helps identify potential issues with pricing, product costs, or supply chain management. By carefully managing costs and optimizing operational efficiency, Victoria's Secret & Co. can enhance its profitability and deliver greater value to its shareholders.

Operational efficiency is critical for profitability. Here are some key areas to consider:

  • Cost Management: Monitoring and controlling expenses to improve margins.
  • Gross Margin Trends: Analyzing changes in gross margin to identify potential issues with pricing or costs.

Learn more about Victoria's Secret & Co. and its investors: Exploring Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO) Investor Profile: Who’s Buying and Why?

Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO) Debt vs. Equity Structure

Understanding how Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO) manages its debt and equity is crucial for investors. It provides insights into the company's financial stability and growth strategies. The balance between debt and equity affects its risk profile and potential returns.

Here's an overview of Victoria's Secret & Co.'s debt levels:

  • As of February 3, 2024, Victoria's Secret & Co. had a total debt of $528 million.
  • This debt is composed of $497 million in long-term debt and $31 million in short-term debt.

The debt-to-equity ratio is a key metric to assess the balance between debt and equity. As of February 3, 2024, Victoria's Secret & Co. reported a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.77. This indicates that for every dollar of equity, the company has $0.77 of debt. When compared to the apparel retail industry average, this ratio provides context on whether Victoria's Secret & Co. is more or less leveraged than its peers. Industry standards can vary, but a ratio below 1.0 is generally considered healthy, suggesting a reasonable balance between debt and equity.

Recent financial activities provide insight into Victoria's Secret & Co.'s debt management. While specific details on recent debt issuances or refinancing activities aren't available, monitoring these actions is important. Credit ratings, which reflect the company's creditworthiness, also play a role in assessing financial health. These ratings, typically provided by agencies like Standard & Poor's and Moody's, affect borrowing costs and investor confidence.

Victoria's Secret & Co. strategically balances debt and equity to fund its operations and growth. Debt financing can provide capital for expansion and investments, while equity funding can strengthen the balance sheet. The company's approach to this balance reflects its financial strategy and risk tolerance.

Here is a summary of key financial figures for Victoria's Secret & Co. as of February 3, 2024:

Financial Metric Amount (USD)
Total Debt $528 million
Long-Term Debt $497 million
Short-Term Debt $31 million
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 0.77

Understanding these figures and how Victoria's Secret & Co. manages its debt and equity is essential for investors. It provides a clearer picture of the company's financial position and its strategies for sustainable growth.

To gain more insights into the investors of Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO), check out this detailed profile: Exploring Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO) Investor Profile: Who’s Buying and Why?

Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO) Liquidity and Solvency

Assessing Victoria's Secret & Co.'s (VSCO) financial health requires a close look at its liquidity position. Liquidity ratios help investors understand the company's ability to meet its short-term obligations. Here's an overview of VSCO's liquidity based on the 2024 fiscal year data:

Current and Quick Ratios

  • The current ratio for Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO) as of the most recent quarter is 1.05.
  • The quick ratio, which excludes inventory from current assets, is 0.28 for the most recent quarter.

These ratios provide a snapshot of VSCO's ability to cover its short-term liabilities with its short-term assets. A current ratio of around 1 indicates that the company's current assets are roughly equal to its current liabilities.

Analysis of Working Capital Trends

Changes in working capital can significantly impact a company's liquidity. For Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO), the working capital trends show:

  • A decrease in net operating cash outflows, primarily due to changes in income taxes paid.
  • The most significant working capital driver resulting in the decrease in net operating cash outflows this year compared to last year is related to income taxes paid of $6 million in the first quarter of 2024 compared to $16 million paid in the first quarter of 2023.

Cash Flow Statements Overview

An overview of cash flow statements reveals trends in operating, investing, and financing activities, which are crucial for assessing liquidity.

Cash Flow Activity FY 2024 (Millions USD)
Cash from Operating Activities 425
Cash from Investing Activities -153
Cash from Financing Activities -315

Here's a more detailed breakdown of cash flow activities for Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO):

  • Operating Activities: Cash from operating activities was $425 million for fiscal year 2024, compared to $389 million in fiscal year 2023.
  • Investing Activities: Investing activities resulted in an outflow of $153 million, primarily driven by capital expenditures of $178 million.
  • Financing Activities: Financing activities showed an outflow of $315 million, which includes items such as retirement of debt.

Potential Liquidity Concerns or Strengths

Based on the available data, here are some potential liquidity concerns and strengths for Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO):

  • Strengths:
    • VSCO demonstrates a positive trend in operating cash flow, with $425 million in 2024.
    • The company reduced its debt by $150 million year-over-year, showcasing improved financial management.
  • Concerns:
    • The quick ratio of 0.28 indicates that VSCO may have difficulty meeting its short-term obligations without relying on inventory.
    • Negative cash flow from investing and financing activities suggests that the company is investing in capital expenditures and managing debt, which could strain short-term liquidity.

For additional insights into Victoria's Secret & Co.'s (VSCO) mission, vision, and core values, you can explore: Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO).

Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO) Valuation Analysis

Assessing whether Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO) is overvalued or undervalued requires a multifaceted approach, incorporating key financial ratios, stock performance analysis, and analyst sentiment. Let's delve into these critical areas to provide a clearer picture for investors. You can also explore more insights at: Breaking Down Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: The P/E ratio is a fundamental metric used to determine if a stock's price is reasonable compared to its earnings. As of the latest data, Victoria's Secret & Co.'s P/E ratio stands at N/A. This means investors are not paying any amount for each dollar of earnings. However, it's crucial to compare this to the industry average and its peers to gauge relative valuation. Keep in mind that a high P/E ratio might suggest overvaluation, while a low one could indicate undervaluation, or potentially, that the company's earnings are expected to decline.

Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: The P/B ratio compares a company's market capitalization to its book value of equity. It can help determine whether a stock is undervalued by assessing what investors are paying for the net assets of the company. Unfortunately, current data for Victoria's Secret & Co.'s P/B ratio is not available. When assessing this ratio, remember that a lower P/B ratio might suggest undervaluation, but it’s essential to consider the quality of the assets and the company's overall financial health.

Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) Ratio: The EV/EBITDA ratio is used to assess a company's total value relative to its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA). This ratio provides a more comprehensive valuation measure than the P/E ratio because it considers a company's debt and capital expenditures. The most recent EV/EBITDA ratio for Victoria's Secret & Co. is N/A. A lower EV/EBITDA ratio could indicate that the company is undervalued compared to its peers, while a higher ratio might suggest overvaluation.

Stock Price Trends: Analyzing the stock price trends over the past 12 months provides insights into market sentiment and investor confidence. Over the last year, Victoria's Secret & Co. has shown a price change of -31.24%. This indicates a downward trend, which could be influenced by various factors, including company performance, market conditions, and broader economic trends. Monitoring these trends helps investors understand the stock's historical performance and potential future trajectory.

Dividend Yield and Payout Ratios: Dividend yield and payout ratios are essential for income-focused investors. Currently, Victoria's Secret & Co. does not offer a dividend. Therefore, these metrics are not applicable in this valuation analysis. For companies that do offer dividends, a higher yield can be attractive, but it's crucial to ensure the payout ratio is sustainable, indicating the company's ability to continue paying dividends.

Analyst Consensus: Examining analyst consensus on Victoria's Secret & Co.'s stock valuation provides a view of expert opinions. Based on the latest data, the analyst consensus is a Hold. This suggests that analysts, on average, believe the stock is fairly valued at its current price. However, it’s important to consider that analyst ratings can vary and should be used as one component of a comprehensive valuation analysis.

Here is a summary of the analyst ratings for Victoria's Secret & Co.:

  • Buy Recommendations: 3
  • Hold Recommendations: 10
  • Sell Recommendations: 1

Below is a table summarizing key valuation metrics for Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO):

Metric Value
P/E Ratio N/A
P/B Ratio N/A
EV/EBITDA Ratio N/A
Stock Price Change (1 Year) -31.24%
Dividend Yield N/A
Analyst Consensus Hold

Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO) Risk Factors

Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO) faces a variety of internal and external risks that could significantly impact its financial health. These risks span industry competition, regulatory changes, and overall market conditions. Understanding these factors is crucial for investors assessing the company's stability and growth potential.

Here's an overview of key risks:

  • Industry Competition: The intimate apparel market is highly competitive. VSCO faces pressure from established players and emerging online retailers. Maintaining market share requires continuous innovation and effective marketing strategies.
  • Regulatory Changes: Changes in trade regulations, consumer protection laws, or data privacy policies could increase compliance costs and affect VSCO's operations.
  • Market Conditions: Economic downturns, shifts in consumer spending habits, and fluctuations in currency exchange rates can impact sales and profitability.

Operational, financial, and strategic risks are often detailed in VSCO's earnings reports and filings. For instance, the 2024 reports may highlight concerns about supply chain disruptions, rising material costs, or the effectiveness of strategic initiatives aimed at revitalizing the brand.

Mitigation strategies could include:

  • Diversifying Supply Chains: Reducing reliance on single sources can minimize disruptions.
  • Hedging Currency Risks: Protecting against unfavorable exchange rate movements.
  • Investing in Innovation: Developing new products and enhancing the customer experience to stay competitive.

For example, Victoria's Secret & Co. reported the actions in response to potential risks in its 2023 10-K filing, including reliance on international sourcing and pricing pressures, and strategies to address these, such as diversifying its supply chain and implementing promotional strategies. Also, VSCO's 2024 reports may detail the impact of these mitigation efforts on its financial performance.

Here is a sample table illustrating potential risks and mitigation strategies:

Risk Description Mitigation Strategy
Supply Chain Disruptions Delays or interruptions in the supply of raw materials or finished goods. Diversify supplier base, build inventory buffers.
Increased Competition Loss of market share to competitors with innovative products or lower prices. Invest in R&D, enhance customer loyalty programs.
Fluctuating Exchange Rates Adverse impact on profitability due to currency fluctuations. Implement hedging strategies, negotiate favorable payment terms.

Understanding who is investing in Victoria's Secret & Co. and why can provide additional insights into market sentiment and potential risks. Further information can be found here: Exploring Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO) Investor Profile: Who’s Buying and Why?

Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO) Growth Opportunities

Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO) faces a dynamic mix of opportunities and challenges as it strives to solidify its market position. The company's future growth hinges on several key factors, including product innovation, market expansion, strategic initiatives, and competitive advantages.

Here's an analysis of the key growth drivers for Victoria's Secret & Co.:

  • Product Innovations: A renewed emphasis on product innovation is a significant growth opportunity. By aligning new product lines with current consumer preferences for comfort, inclusivity, and sustainability, the company can potentially attract new market segments and reinvigorate its existing customer base.
  • Market Expansions: International expansion continues to be a key driver, with growth in new markets such as Vietnam and Argentina in 2024. Plans for further growth in 2025 include a European distribution center to speed digital fulfillment. International retail sales were up 11% for the full year, driven by strong partnerships with franchise and travel retail operators, as well as solid performance in joint ventures, particularly in China and the UK.
  • Acquisitions: The acquisition of Adore Me in January 2023 presents meaningful sales and profit upside opportunities. This includes leveraging Adore Me's expertise and technology to improve the Victoria's Secret and PINK customer shopping experience and accelerate the modernization of VS&Co's digital platform. Adore Me is expected to generate approximately $250 million of profitable sales.

Looking ahead, here's what analysts are projecting:

  • Revenue Growth: The company is forecasting fiscal year 2025 net sales to be in the range of $6.2 billion to $6.3 billion, compared to net sales of $6.204 billion in fiscal year 2024. However, the forecast annual revenue growth rate of 0.59% is not expected to beat the US Apparel Retail industry's average forecast revenue growth rate of 5.08%.
  • Earnings Estimates: Adjusted operating income for fiscal year 2025 is expected to be in the range of $300 million to $350 million. While Victoria's Secret's earnings in 2025 are $165 million, analysts forecast VSCO's earnings for 2026 to be $181.44 million.
  • Free Cash Flow: Free cash flow (FCF) for FY2024 exceeded the guided range, with FY2025 FCF guidance set at $180–220 million.

Victoria's Secret & Co. is implementing several strategic initiatives to drive future growth:

  • Path to Potential: This comprehensive growth strategy includes strengthening core brands by recommitting to the PINK brand and supercharging bra innovation. It also focuses on expanding into high-potential categories like beauty and sport and evolving customer engagement by enhancing brand projection and go-to-market strategies.
  • Brand Repositioning: The company is attempting to shift its image and product offerings to align with changing consumer preferences and societal expectations.
  • Digital Transformation: Victoria's Secret is creating new AI-powered shopping experiences with Google Cloud, building tailored experiences for shoppers and transforming how new products are developed and delivered.

The company possesses several competitive advantages that position it for growth:

  • Strong Brand Recognition: Victoria's Secret and PINK brands have strong global presence and awareness among consumers. The company maintains a significant market share in women's intimate apparel.
  • Extensive Retail and Online Distribution Network: The company operates through a comprehensive multichannel distribution approach, including physical retail stores and e-commerce platforms.
  • Loyalty Program: The PINK Nation loyalty program has 12.5 million active members, generating $750 million in direct program-related sales.

Despite these advantages, Victoria's Secret & Co. faces challenges, including:

  • Intense Competition: The company faces intense competition in the highly fragmented and evolving retail industry.
  • Shifting Consumer Preferences: Changing consumer preferences and societal expectations require the company to adapt its brand image and product offerings.
  • Macroeconomic Uncertainty: Potential economic headwinds and shifting consumer confidence may affect the company's performance.

Here is a summary of Victoria's Secret & Co.'s recent financial performance:

Metric Fiscal Year 2024
Net Sales $6.23 billion
Gross Profit $2.284 billion
Operating Income $310 million
Net Income $165 million
EPS $2.05

For further insights, you can also check Breaking Down Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.

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