Exploring California Resources Corporation (CRC) Investor Profile: Who’s Buying and Why?

Exploring California Resources Corporation (CRC) Investor Profile: Who’s Buying and Why?

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You're looking at California Resources Corporation (CRC) and wondering who is driving the stock's action, and honestly, the investor profile for this name is a fascinating split right now. Institutional investors own a commanding stake, holding over 102 million shares, which translates to nearly 76% of the company, and their recent activity shows a clear tug-of-war over an oil producer that is also heavily investing in Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) projects. In the third quarter of 2025 alone, 208 institutional funds added to their positions, but 161 decreased their holdings, highlighting a real divergence in strategy; you see giants like BlackRock, Inc. adding over 529,718 shares, while Vanguard Group Inc. cut its position by over 662,945 shares. This push-and-pull is happening against a backdrop of strong Q3 2025 results, which saw the company report $64 million in net income and generate $188 million in free cash flow, plus they just increased the quarterly dividend to $0.405 per share. So, is the market valuing CRC primarily as a resilient, cash-generating energy play with a $4.02 billion market capitalization, or is the focus shifting to its long-term decarbonization strategy? Let's defintely dig into the specifics of who is buying and what their models are telling them.

Who Invests in California Resources Corporation (CRC) and Why?

The investor base for California Resources Corporation (CRC) is a compelling mix, dominated by large institutional money managers, with a significant presence from retail investors and active funds. You see this split because the company offers a unique blend of energy-sector cash flow and a clear, actionable energy transition story.

The core takeaway is that institutional investors hold the majority of the stock, but the company's strong capital return program is what attracts the income-focused crowd. Honestly, the company's commitment to returning cash to shareholders is a huge draw.

Key Investor Types: The Ownership Breakdown

Institutional investors-the large pension funds, mutual funds, and endowments-are the primary owners of California Resources Corporation. They hold approximately 47.52% of the stock, with some reports suggesting an even higher figure when accounting for all institutional and public company holdings.

Retail investors, which are individual shareholders like you and me, account for a substantial portion, around 22.76% of the company's stock. This is a higher percentage than you see in many large-cap energy names, often drawn in by the dividend and local market focus. Insiders, which are the company's executives and directors, hold a smaller but still relevant 1.56%.

The largest institutional holders are often passive index funds, such as BlackRock, Inc. and Vanguard Group Inc., whose mandates require them to hold the stock due to its inclusion in major indices. Active hedge funds and specialized energy funds are also players, with the third quarter of 2025 seeing a mix of activity: 208 institutional investors added shares, while 161 decreased their positions, showing a divergence in short-term strategy.

Investor Type Ownership Share (Approx.) Primary Goal
Institutional Investors 47.52% Index Tracking, Long-Term Value, ESG Transition
Retail Investors 22.76% Income Generation, Local Market Exposure
Insiders 1.56% Long-Term Alignment, Compensation

Investment Motivations: Why the Money is Flowing

Investors are attracted to California Resources Corporation for three main reasons: a strong shareholder return policy, a unique market position, and a credible path in the energy transition (decarbonization). The company's financial performance in 2025 has defintely reinforced these motivations.

  • Shareholder Returns: The company is a capital return machine. Since May 2021, CRC has returned nearly $1.5 billion to shareholders, split between approximately $1.1 billion in share repurchases and $337 million in dividends. For the income investor, the quarterly cash dividend was recently raised to $0.405 per share, demonstrating a 5% increase and translating to an annual dividend of $1.62.
  • Market Position and Growth: CRC is the largest independent oil and natural gas producer in California, giving it a local market advantage. The company's Q2 2025 revenue of $978 million and an Adjusted EBITDAX (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization, and exploration) full-year 2025 guidance of $1,235 million (midpoint) show strong financial health. Plus, the realization of $235 million in annualized Aera merger-related synergies ahead of schedule shows management can execute.
  • Energy Transition Play: The Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) business, Carbon TerraVault, is a major differentiator. The first commercial-scale CCS project at Elk Hills is expected to begin CO2 injection in early 2026. This focus on decarbonization in a highly regulated state like California appeals to institutional investors with Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) mandates.

Investment Strategies: The Value and Growth Mix

The typical investment strategies observed in California Resources Corporation's investor base are a blend of passive exposure and active value investing, with a growing focus on the long-term transition narrative.

Value and Income Investing: This is a dominant strategy, driven by the company's free cash flow generation and capital return program. Investors are essentially buying a stable, cash-generating asset at an attractive valuation (Q2 2025 EPS was $1.10). They hold for the quarterly dividend and the accretive effect of the share buybacks, which reduce the share count and boost earnings per share. This is a classic value play in a cyclical sector.

Long-Term Holding/Passive Strategy: The massive holdings by index funds like BlackRock, Inc. and Vanguard Group Inc. are a function of passive investing. These funds buy and hold for the long term to mirror the performance of a broad market index. For more on the company's background, you can look at California Resources Corporation (CRC): History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money.

ESG/Transition-Focused Strategy: A newer, but increasingly important, strategy is investing for the energy transition. Investors are looking past the traditional oil and gas business to the value of the Carbon TerraVault segment. They see CRC as a local energy provider with a shovel-ready plan to monetize its land and expertise through carbon management, which is a key growth vector. The full-year 2025 capital expenditure guidance of $280-$330 million is being directed toward maintaining production and funding these high-return growth projects.

Institutional Ownership and Major Shareholders of California Resources Corporation (CRC)

You're looking at California Resources Corporation (CRC), and the first thing to understand is that this is a stock overwhelmingly controlled by institutional money. This isn't a retail-driven story; it's a massive fund play. As of late 2025, institutional investors own a staggering 97.79% of the company's stock, meaning the big players-the mutual funds, pension funds, and endowments-are the ones dictating the price action and, frankly, the strategic direction.

This high concentration means you need to track their movements defintely. One large fund manager's decision to rebalance can move the stock more than a dozen retail analysts' reports combined. The top three holders alone command a significant portion of the total shares outstanding, which was around 83.71 million shares in the 2025 fiscal year.

Top Institutional Investors in California Resources Corporation (CRC)

The shareholder roster for California Resources Corporation reads like a who's who of global asset management. BlackRock, Inc. and Vanguard Group Inc., the titans of passive investing, are naturally at the top, but you also see major players in the pension space holding significant sway. Their sheer size means their investment decisions are a strong signal about the company's long-term viability, especially in the context of California's complex energy and regulatory environment.

Here's a quick look at the largest institutional holders based on their Q3 2025 filings:

Institutional Investor Shares Held (as of 9/30/2025) Percentage of Shares Outstanding Value (Approx. in Millions)
BlackRock, Inc. 11,402,251 13.62% $546.8M
Canada Pension Plan Investment Board 10,506,895 12.55% $504.0M
Vanguard Group Inc 8,245,283 9.85% $395.4M
Gimbel Daniel Scott 6,241,865 7.46% $299.3M
Dimensional Fund Advisors LP 3,549,636 4.24% $170.2M

The total value for these top holders is over $1.9 billion, based on the share price of $47.96 as of November 18, 2025.

Recent Shifts: Institutional Inflows and Outflows in 2025

In the first three quarters of 2025, the institutional money flow in CRC has been a mixed bag, which is typical as funds rebalance and rotate between energy and value plays. We saw a net accumulation trend overall, with 198 institutional investors adding shares in the most recent quarter, versus 133 decreasing their positions.

The notable increases show conviction in the CRC story, especially around their carbon management efforts. For example, Dimensional Fund Advisors LP raised its position by 15.4% in Q3 2025, buying an additional 474,521 shares, bringing their total to over 3.5 million shares. Sourcerock Group LLC was even more aggressive, boosting their stake by 63.8% in Q2 2025, adding 779,280 shares.

On the flip side, some major index trackers and active managers trimmed their positions, likely due to portfolio drift or a slight re-evaluation of the oil and gas sector's near-term outlook. Vanguard Group Inc., for instance, removed 662,945 shares, a 7.4% reduction from their portfolio in Q3 2025.

  • Dimensional Fund Advisors LP: Added 474,521 shares in Q3 2025.
  • Sourcerock Group LLC: Increased stake by 63.8% in Q2 2025.
  • Vanguard Group Inc: Removed 662,945 shares in Q3 2025.

The Role of Institutional Investors in CRC's Strategy and Stock

These massive institutional holdings are not passive; they are a direct driver of corporate strategy and capital allocation. When nearly all your stock is owned by large funds, management pays attention to what those funds prioritize. For CRC, this influence is evident in two key areas: capital return and energy transition focus.

First, the push for capital return is strong. Through the first three quarters of 2025, California Resources Corporation returned over $450 million to shareholders via dividends and share repurchases. The company has also signaled a remaining buyback capacity of over $200 million through mid-2026. This commitment to dividends and buybacks is a direct nod to institutional investors who favor predictable returns and efficient use of cash flow.

Second, the company's aggressive focus on carbon capture and storage (CCS) projects is a strategic move that aligns with the environmental, social, and governance (ESG) mandates of many large institutional investors, especially those in Europe and North America. This focus, which you can read more about in Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of California Resources Corporation (CRC), positions CRC as a unique, lower-carbon option in the oil and gas space, making it palatable to funds that might otherwise divest from the sector. This strategic alignment helps maintain the stock's institutional support, which is critical for stability and valuation.

Key Investors and Their Impact on California Resources Corporation (CRC)

You want to know who is betting big on California Resources Corporation (CRC) and why, especially with the stock's dual identity as an oil producer and an energy transition play. The investor base is dominated by institutional heavyweights, who collectively hold an extraordinary 101.22% of the company's shares outstanding, signaling a tight float and strong conviction among professional money managers. This high institutional ownership means their moves, both buying and selling, have a disproportionate effect on the stock price.

The Institutional Giants: Who Owns the Float?

The investor profile for California Resources Corporation (CRC) is anchored by the world's largest passive and active asset managers. These firms are not just holding shares; they are essentially the market for this stock. Their presence provides a baseline of stability, but also means that any shift in their index weightings or strategic mandates can create significant volatility.

The largest holders, as of the most recent filings, are the names you defintely recognize.

  • BlackRock, Inc.: A top holder, representing the massive scale of passive index funds and active strategies.
  • Vanguard Group Inc: Another index fund behemoth, their stake is largely driven by their total market and small-cap exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
  • Canada Pension Plan Investment Board: A major pension fund, indicating the stock is seen as a long-term, core holding for large-scale capital.
  • Dimensional Fund Advisors Lp: Known for its quantitative, factor-based investment approach, suggesting the stock screens well on specific financial metrics.

Investor Influence: The Carbon Capture Thesis

The influence of these investors extends beyond simple trading volume; they are validating California Resources Corporation (CRC)'s unique strategic pivot. The company is not just an oil and gas producer; it is positioning itself as a leader in decarbonization, specifically through Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) projects. This dual-focus attracts capital from two distinct pools: traditional energy investors and those focused on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) mandates.

This is a high-conviction stock for those who believe in the energy transition.

For instance, the company's Q3 2025 Adjusted EBITDAX of $338 million and Q3 Net Income of $64 million show a strong financial foundation from its core business. But the real long-term value, and what keeps the institutional money engaged, is the potential of its CCS projects, which align with the Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of California Resources Corporation (CRC). This is why the stock trades at a premium to some peers.

Recent Moves and Clear Signals for 2025

Looking at the third quarter of the 2025 fiscal year, we see a clear pattern of both accumulation and strategic exits. This divergence shows some investors are taking profits or reallocating, while others are doubling down on the company's trajectory.

Here's the quick math on the recent institutional activity:

Investor Name Q3 2025 Action Shares Traded Estimated Value (Approx.)
SOURCEROCK GROUP LLC Increase (+59.0%) 1,179,842 ~$62.74 million
ARES MANAGEMENT LLC Decrease (-100.0%) 708,676 ~$37.69 million
OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP Decrease (-49.6%) 682,251 ~$36.28 million

The fact that SOURCEROCK GROUP LLC nearly doubled its position with an addition of over one million shares, valued at roughly $62.74 million, is a strong vote of confidence in the near-term outlook. Conversely, the complete exit by ARES MANAGEMENT LLC and the significant reduction by OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP, both major private equity players, suggests a strategic re-evaluation, possibly following the pending merger with Berry Corporation.

Plus, you have to watch the insiders. In November 2025, CEO Leon Francisco bought 5,425 shares for $258,815, and Director William B Roby purchased 466 shares for $22,190. Insider buying, especially from the CEO, is a powerful signal that management believes the stock is undervalued relative to its prospects, particularly when the consensus FY2025 EPS estimate is $3.85 per share.

Market Impact and Investor Sentiment

The investor profile for California Resources Corporation (CRC) is currently defined by a strong institutional conviction and a clear 'Moderate Buy' consensus from Wall Street, driven by its dual focus on traditional energy and its growing Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) business. Institutional investors own an overwhelming majority, with ownership figures hovering around 101.22% to 101.81% of the shares outstanding as of late 2025, which is a common occurrence due to short interest and settlement mechanics, but it defintely signals a tight float. This high concentration means large institutional moves have a magnified impact on the stock price.

Major shareholders like BlackRock, Inc., The Vanguard Group, Inc., and Canada Pension Plan Investment Board are the bedrock of this ownership structure. Their continued presence reflects a belief in CRC's strategic pivot toward carbon management, which is seen as a crucial differentiator in the highly regulated California market. When the big money is this committed, you pay attention.

  • Institutional ownership exceeds 100% of shares outstanding.
  • The analyst consensus rating is a firm 'Moderate Buy.'
  • CEO Francisco Leon bought 5,425 shares for $258,815.90 in November 2025.

You can find a deeper dive into the company's background and operational model here: California Resources Corporation (CRC): History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money.

Insider sentiment is also decidedly positive. In November 2025, President and CEO Francisco Leon made an open market purchase of 5,425 shares, valued at over $258,000. This kind of move-executives putting their own cash on the line-is a powerful signal of confidence in the near-term outlook, particularly as the company progresses on its pending merger with Berry Corporation.

Recent Market Reactions to Key Events

The stock market has reacted sharply and positively to California Resources Corporation's execution in 2025. The most concrete example came after the Q2 2025 earnings report in August. The company's stock jumped 2.7% in regular trading, with an additional 5.02% gain in premarket trading, after reporting an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $1.10, substantially beating the forecasted $0.90. Revenue also surpassed expectations, coming in at $978 million against an anticipated $784 million.

This positive reaction wasn't a fluke; the Q3 2025 results continued the trend, with an EPS of $1.46 beating the consensus estimate of $1.31. The market is rewarding operational efficiency and strategic execution. The company also announced a strong Q3 2025 net income of $64 million and free cash flow of $188 million, reinforcing the durability of its cash flow generation. Good execution drives good stock performance.

2025 Financial Metric Actual Result Analyst Consensus/Forecast
Q2 2025 Revenue $978 million $784 million
Q2 2025 EPS $1.10 $0.90
Q3 2025 EPS $1.46 $1.31
FY 2025 EPS Estimate (Capital One) N/A $4.31

Analyst Perspectives: The CCS and M&A Catalysts

Analysts are pricing in a significant upside, with a consensus price target ranging from $65.44 to $66.27 across multiple firms. For example, both UBS Group and Barclays have recently set a price target of $68.00 in November 2025, implying a strong belief in the company's trajectory. Here's the quick math: with the stock trading in the high $40s to low $50s in November, that target represents a potential upside of over 30%.

The core of the analyst thesis rests on two non-traditional catalysts. First is the Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) business, Carbon TerraVault. Analysts view the successful execution of CCS projects, like the one advancing toward completion by the end of 2025, as crucial for future high-margin, lower-carbon revenue streams. Second is the pending merger with Berry Corporation, which is expected to enhance California Resources Corporation's market position and further strengthen its cash flow generation.

What this estimate hides, though, are the persistent risks. The biggest near-term risk remains the regulatory uncertainty surrounding future oil production permits in California. Also, a significant drop in commodity prices-specifically WTI crude below $50 per barrel or Henry Hub natural gas below $2.50 per Mcf-could lead to a downside scenario, potentially valuing the stock closer to $30 per share. You have to weigh the CCS upside against the regulatory headwind.

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