LivePerson, Inc. (LPSN) Bundle
You're looking at LivePerson, Inc. (LPSN) and seeing a classic split-screen scenario: revenue is down, but the profitability narrative just flipped. How do you reconcile a 19.0% year-over-year revenue decline in Q3 2025, which brought in $60.2 million, with a sudden GAAP net income of $8.7 million? The answer is a financial maneuver-specifically, a $27.7 million gain from troubled debt restructuring-that's cleaning up the balance sheet, but it's not organic growth. This complexity is exactly what's driving the institutional tug-of-war: while firms like Vanguard Group Inc. increased their position by 2.7% in Q3, others like Two Sigma Investments LP slashed their holdings by over 80%, and insiders sold 178,273 shares in the last three months, signaling caution about the underlying business. So, are the buyers chasing the conversational AI story-where 20% of platform conversations now use generative AI-or are the sellers right to focus on the full-year revenue guidance of just $235 million to $240 million? Let's defintely dig into who is making the big bets and why they believe this turnaround is real.
Who Invests in LivePerson, Inc. (LPSN) and Why?
You're looking at LivePerson, Inc. (LPSN) and trying to figure out who's actually buying this stock, especially given the volatility. The direct takeaway is that LivePerson's investor base is a fascinating mix, dominated not by institutions alone, but by a powerful combination of retail investors and a few highly active, large institutional players, each betting on a specific turnaround story tied to conversational AI.
The ownership structure tells a clear story of a company in transition. As of late 2025, the general public-your everyday retail investor-holds a significant stake, estimated at around 47% of the total shares outstanding. This is a huge number for a Nasdaq-listed tech company, suggesting that key decisions are defintely influenced by the sentiment of the wider public. Institutional investors, however, still hold a substantial position, with major firms like Vanguard Group Inc. and BlackRock, Inc. on the register.
Here's the quick breakdown of who holds the shares:
- Retail Investors: Hold approximately 47%, making them the largest single group.
- Institutional Investors: Own a respectable stake, including passive funds and active managers.
- Insiders: Company executives and directors hold a significant 30.90% of the stock, signaling a high degree of alignment with shareholder interests, though recent activity has shown net selling.
The Motivations: Betting on an AI Turnaround
The primary attraction to LivePerson, Inc. right now isn't steady income-there are no dividends-but the high-risk, high-reward prospect of a successful business turnaround driven by artificial intelligence. Investors are essentially making a growth bet on the company's core technology, the Conversational Cloud, and its push into Generative AI (GenAI).
What attracts these investors is the company's position in enterprise conversational AI and the potential for a massive re-rating if the GenAI strategy works. The recent financial moves also provided a strong signal: the company successfully secured a refinancing agreement in the second quarter of 2025, which significantly deleveraged the balance sheet by $226 million. This action, combined with the focus on innovation-like a 45% sequential increase in conversations powered by their Generative AI suite-is what's fueling the optimism.
The market is looking past the near-term revenue contraction. For the full fiscal year 2025, total revenue is expected to range from $230 million to $240 million, a noticeable year-over-year decline. Still, the projected Adjusted EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) guidance of $(3) million to $7 million signals a path toward profitability, which is a major draw for turnaround investors. You're buying the potential for a new, leaner, AI-focused business model.
- Focus on AI: Banking on the GenAI suite to drive new enterprise sales.
- Financial Deleveraging: Significant debt reduction provides a clearer operating runway.
- Growth Potential: A bet on market share gains in the conversational AI space.
Investment Strategies: Activist, Passive, and Event-Driven Plays
Looking at the major holders as of late 2025, you see three distinct strategies at play. The largest institutional holders are not all the same kind of fund; they represent different approaches to capitalizing on the company's situation.
Activist/Private Equity: The most influential shareholder is often a private equity firm, Vector Capital Management L.P., which holds a massive stake of over 7.8 million shares. Their strategy is typically hands-on and long-term, focused on operational restructuring and strategic change to unlock value (Value Investing). They are not passive; they are driving the turnaround.
Passive Indexing: Firms like Vanguard Group Inc. and BlackRock, Inc. hold shares primarily through their index funds. Vanguard Group Inc. holds over 3.8 million shares, and BlackRock, Inc. holds over 1.2 million shares. Their strategy is simple: they must own the stock because it is part of the indexes they track. They are long-term holders, but their motivation is market representation, not active management.
Event-Driven/Hedge Funds: The presence of funds like Linden Advisors LP (holding over 11.1 million shares) and TENOR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT Co. L.P. (over 3.1 million shares) suggests event-driven or distressed-equity strategies. These funds are often focused on the short- to mid-term, looking to profit from specific corporate events, such as the debt exchange or a potential merger. They are the most active traders, often with a shorter time horizon.
Here is a snapshot of the top institutional holders and their likely strategy:
| Major Institutional Holder (Nov 2025) | Shares Held | Primary Investment Strategy |
|---|---|---|
| Linden Advisors LP | 11,124,880 | Event-Driven/Active Trading |
| Vector Capital Management L.P. | 7,883,818 | Activist/Value (Turnaround) |
| Vanguard Group Inc. | 3,830,467 | Passive Indexing |
| Calamos Advisors LLC | 3,390,276 | Active Management |
| BlackRock, Inc. | 1,277,079 | Passive Indexing |
If you want to dig deeper into the company's stability, you should read Breaking Down LivePerson, Inc. (LPSN) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors. Finance: Track the Q3 2025 earnings release on November 10, 2025, for updated guidance on the path to profitability.
Institutional Ownership and Major Shareholders of LivePerson, Inc. (LPSN)
The ownership structure of LivePerson, Inc. (LPSN) is heavily skewed toward institutional capital, which is a critical factor for any investor to understand. Institutions, including hedge funds and asset managers, hold a significant majority of the company's stock, lending a certain credibility to the investment thesis, but also creating volatility risk. As of late 2025, the institutional ownership percentage hovers around 79.83% of the outstanding shares, though the exact figure can vary slightly based on the filing type (13F versus 13D/G) and reporting date. This high concentration means a few major players drive the stock price action.
You need to know who the biggest players are, because their movements signal conviction-or lack thereof-in LivePerson's conversational AI strategy. The top institutional holders are not just passive investors; they are active participants whose trades can swing the stock. For a deeper dive into the fundamentals that these institutions are reacting to, you can check out Breaking Down LivePerson, Inc. (LPSN) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
Here's a quick look at the largest institutional investors and their reported holdings as of the 2025 fiscal year filings:
| Major Shareholder Name | Shares Held (as of Nov 2025) | Market Value (Approx. Nov 2025) |
|---|---|---|
| Linden Advisors LP | 11,124,880 | $6.49 Million |
| Davidson Kempner Capital Management LP | 10,491,933 | $48.37 Million |
| Vector Capital Management L.P. | 7,883,818 | $4.60 Million |
| Vanguard Group Inc. | 3,830,467 | $2.23 Million |
| Calamos Advisors LLC | 3,390,276 | $1.98 Million |
| Blackrock Inc. | 1,277,079 | $5.89 Million |
Recent Shifts in Institutional Stakes: Who's Buying and Selling?
Analyzing the quarterly changes in institutional ownership is defintely more important than just looking at the static list. The 2025 fiscal year has seen significant churn, reflecting the ongoing debate about LivePerson's turnaround and its push into generative AI. What this tells you is that a few large players are making big, directional bets, while others are trimming risk.
In the latter half of 2025, we saw several large, new positions emerge, signaling fresh conviction. Linden Advisors LP and Davidson Kempner Capital Management LP, for instance, established massive new stakes, with Linden Advisors LP acquiring over 11.1 million shares and Davidson Kempner Capital Management LP acquiring over 10.4 million shares by November 2025. This aggressive buying suggests a belief that the stock is materially undervalued or that a strategic catalyst is imminent.
But it's not all buying. The firm's largest shareholder, Vector Capital Management L.P., has been reducing its position, cutting its stake by approximately 27.7% in the third quarter of 2025. This is a crucial data point, as a major shareholder trimming their position often signals a concern about the near-term outlook or a desire to take profits. Also, Two Sigma Investments LP significantly reduced its position by 80.8%, a clear move to de-risk.
- New positions signal fresh conviction in the AI strategy.
- Major selling suggests de-risking by long-time holders.
The Real Impact of Large Investors on LPSN's Strategy
Institutional investors are not just numbers on a spreadsheet; they are a force that directly impacts LivePerson's stock price and, critically, its corporate strategy. When institutional ownership is this high, their collective sentiment can cause sharp price movements. Here's the quick math: if a few of the top holders decide to sell even a small fraction of their multi-million-share positions, the low trading volume in LPSN can lead to a significant price drop.
More importantly, these large holders have a seat at the table, influencing governance and strategic direction. In November 2025, the company appointed Nathan "Tripp" Lane as a director, a nomination that followed an Exchange Agreement with former Noteholders of the 0% Senior Convertible Notes due 2026. This is a concrete example of how significant debt or equity holders can directly influence the board and, by extension, the company's future strategy, particularly around financial restructuring and the AI product roadmap.
The presence of private equity firms, which hold a stake of around 5.3%, also suggests an influence on key policy decisions, often with a shorter investment horizon focused on accelerating a strategic exit or maximizing a quick turnaround. For you, this means watching for activist campaigns or strategic announcements, as these large investors are likely pushing for changes to maximize their return.
Key Investors and Their Impact on LivePerson, Inc. (LPSN)
If you are looking at LivePerson, Inc. (LPSN), the key takeaway is that the stock is now heavily driven by institutional and activist money, not just retail sentiment. Institutional investors hold a massive stake, about 79.83% of the stock, which means their moves-buying, selling, or demanding change-are the real market movers.
The investor profile is a mix of passive index funds and powerful hedge funds, and their recent activity tells a story of both conviction and caution, especially given the stock's volatility. The company's market capitalization is currently around $51.3 million, which means a few large trades can swing the price defintely.
The Institutional Heavyweights: Vanguard, Vector, and Linden
The investor base for LivePerson, Inc. includes some of the largest names in asset management, but their strategies are not uniform. Vanguard Group Inc., a behemoth of passive investing, remains a top holder, increasing its position by 2.7% during the third quarter of 2025. This is typical of index funds that must buy shares to track the market, but it provides a critical base of stability for the stock. As of early November 2025, Vanguard held 3,830,467 shares valued at approximately $2.23 million.
On the more active side, you see significant holdings from hedge funds like Vector Capital Management L.P. and Linden Advisors LP. These funds are not just passive holders; they are looking for a catalyst to generate returns. Here's the quick math on their recent stakes:
- Linden Advisors LP: Held 11,124,880 shares, valued at about $6.49 million, as of November 2025.
- Vector Capital Management L.P.: Held 7,883,818 shares, valued at $4.60 million, as of November 2025.
What this estimate hides is the strategic difference: Vector Capital Management L.P. actually decreased its holding by 27.7% recently, signaling a significant reduction in exposure, while Linden Advisors LP took a large, new stake. This divergence shows that even the big players are split on the near-term outlook for the conversational AI company.
Activism and Direct Board Influence
The most direct way investors impact LivePerson, Inc. is through board representation and corporate actions. This isn't just about yelling from the sidelines; it's about getting a seat at the table. In October 2025, Ryan Vardeman, who co-founded Palogic Value Management, joined the Board of Directors. This move is a clear sign that a key investor is now directly involved in shaping the company's strategy, especially concerning shareholder value. Palogic's involvement is a classic example of an investor using their position to push for operational or financial changes.
The shareholder vote in October 2025, where investors approved a measure to allow for a reverse stock split (a consolidation of shares), also shows their influence. This action, which was implemented as a 1-for-15 consolidation around November 2025, was a necessary step to maintain compliance with Nasdaq's minimum bid price requirement. It's a tough, but necessary, action that shareholders backed to keep the stock listed. For a deeper dive into the company's financial stability, you should check out Breaking Down LivePerson, Inc. (LPSN) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
Recent Insider Selling: A Cautionary Signal
While institutional funds are moving billions of dollars, you also need to watch what the insiders are doing. Honestly, when the people running the company are selling, it's a red flag. In November 2025, both the CEO and the CFO sold significant chunks of their shares.
Here are the details from the Form 4 filings:
| Insider | Date of Sale (2025) | Shares Sold | Total Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony John Sabino (CEO) | November 14 | 30,000 | $157,800 |
| John DeNeen Collins (CFO & COO) | November 14 | 20,000 | $103,888 |
The CEO's sale cut his stake by 16.33%. This kind of selling from the top is often interpreted by the market as a lack of confidence in the very near-term stock price, even if the company's third-quarter 2025 revenue came in at $60.2 million, beating some forecasts. It's a reminder that management's view on valuation can sometimes differ sharply from the long-term strategic vision they pitch to the public. You have to weigh the strategic partnerships and product launches against the insider's cash-out decision.
Market Impact and Investor Sentiment
The investor profile for LivePerson, Inc. (LPSN) is currently defined by a tug-of-war between retail optimism and institutional caution, all against a backdrop of significant financial restructuring and a massive stock price correction in 2025. Your key takeaway here is that while management has stabilized the balance sheet with a major debt reduction, the persistent insider selling and mixed analyst ratings signal that the market's overall sentiment remains one of 'show me'-prove the AI strategy can reverse the revenue decline.
You're looking at a stock that's fallen from a 52-week high of $31.20 to around $4.75 per share as of November 2025, so the risk is plain to see. The company is small, with a market capitalization of roughly $51.30 million in November 2025, which naturally limits the attention from the largest institutional funds.
The Mixed Signals from Major Shareholders
The ownership structure at LivePerson, Inc. is unusual because retail investors hold the largest collective stake, approximately 47% of the company. This means the stock's volatility is often influenced more by public sentiment than by the calculated moves of large funds, which is why you see big swings. Honestly, that much retail ownership in a turnaround story can be a rollercoaster.
Institutional ownership, while high at about 79.83% of the float, is fragmented among many players. Vector Capital Management, L.P. is a critical name here, holding the largest single institutional stake with a reported 7,883,818 shares as of November 2025. However, their recent activity tells a story of reduction, decreasing their position by 27.668% in the third quarter of 2025. Conversely, The Vanguard Group, Inc. and Linden Advisors LP are also significant holders, with Vanguard increasing its position by 2.7% to 3,830,467 shares as of November 2025, suggesting a long-term, passive bet on market recovery.
- Vector Capital Management: Largest institutional holder, but reducing stake.
- Vanguard Group: Increasing position, a passive vote of confidence.
- Retail Investors: The largest group, driving high volatility.
Market Reactions to Financial and Insider Moves
The market's reaction to recent events has been sharp and contradictory, reflecting the high-stakes nature of the company's transition to a conversational AI-first model. The biggest positive move came in August 2025, when the stock surged by 44.19% in a single day on speculation around strategic shifts in AI technology. This shows the market is defintely willing to reward progress in their core technology.
But the negative signals are hard to ignore. The stock traded down 4.8% on November 20, 2025, following the disclosure that CEO Anthony John Sabino sold 30,000 shares for $157,800.00. This is a classic insider-selling red flag. Plus, CFO John DeNeen Collins also sold 20,000 shares for $103,888 around the same time. When leadership sells, it signals a lack of conviction in the near-term price recovery, and the market reacts accordingly.
A major non-ownership event that stabilized the stock was the successful debt refinancing in Q2 2025, which reduced debt by $226 million and extended the financial runway through 2029. This move was crucial for investor confidence, providing a much-needed lifeline against the full-year 2025 revenue forecast of $230 million - $240 million, which represents a significant year-over-year decline.
Analyst Perspectives on Key Investor Impact
Wall Street analysts have a consensus rating of 'Reduce' on LivePerson, Inc. shares, which is a cautious stance that reflects the ongoing revenue headwinds despite the strategic progress. Here's the quick math: Q3 2025 revenue of $60.15 million beat the forecast of $57.39 million, which is good, but the company's Earnings Per Share (EPS) of -$2.76 was a massive miss against the forecast of -$0.16. This is why analysts are struggling to commit to a positive rating.
The mixed nature of institutional activity-Vector Capital selling while Vanguard buys-is a key reason for the split in analyst price targets. The median price target is $15.25, with a wide range from a low of $8.00 to a high of $22.50. That spread shows the market is divided on the value of the company's Generative AI suite adoption, which now powers nearly 20% of all conversations on the platform.
The analyst view is: The successful debt reduction and the new Google Cloud partnership are positive structural changes, but they aren't enough to overcome the fundamental challenge of declining revenue and insider sales yet. For a deeper dive into the company's ability to fund its operations, you should check out our analysis on Breaking Down LivePerson, Inc. (LPSN) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
| Metric (2025 Fiscal Year) | Value/Range | Investor Sentiment Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Full-Year Revenue Forecast | $230M - $240M | Negative (Represents a large YOY decline) |
| Q3 Adjusted EBITDA | $4.8M | Positive (Beat guidance, shows cost control) |
| Debt Reduction (Q2 2025) | $226M | Strongly Positive (Stabilized balance sheet) |
| CEO Insider Sale (Nov 2025) | 30,000 shares | Negative (Signals lack of near-term confidence) |

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