Exploring Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. (NIC) Investor Profile: Who’s Buying and Why?

Exploring Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. (NIC) Investor Profile: Who’s Buying and Why?

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You're looking at Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. (NIC) and trying to figure out if the smart money is still buying, right? It's a fair question, especially with the stock's recent movement and the bank's aggressive growth strategy. What you need to see is who is actually holding the bag, and the data from the 2025 fiscal year is defintely telling a story: institutional investors currently own over 50% of the company, a commanding position that suggests deep-pocketed conviction in the regional banking model. For example, BlackRock, Inc. and The Vanguard Group, Inc. are among the largest holders, collectively controlling a significant chunk of the float. This institutional backing comes as the bank announced a record third quarter 2025, posting a net income of $42 million and total assets reaching $9.0 billion as of September 30, 2025. Does this heavy institutional presence, coupled with strong insider net buying activity, signal a clear runway, or is it a crowded trade waiting for a correction? Let's break down the investor profile to see who's making the big bets and why they're willing to ride the volatility.

Who Invests in Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. (NIC) and Why?

The investor profile for Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. (NIC) is a classic mix of professional institutional money and sticky retail capital, reflecting the bank's stable, high-quality regional focus. Institutional investors, the big funds and money managers, hold the largest piece of the pie at around 46% to 48% of the stock, but the general public-individual investors like you-still owns a significant 43% stake.

This ownership structure tells you two things: first, that professional money sees a credible, well-managed bank worthy of a core position, and second, that a large retail base suggests a loyal following, often tied to the bank's regional footprint and reputation. The big players like BlackRock, Inc., Vanguard Group Inc, and State Street Corp. are among the largest institutional holders. Honestly, when you see those names, it's a vote of confidence in the bank's long-term stability.

Key Investor Types and Their Footprint

The investor base breaks down into three main groups, each with a slightly different motivation. The near-even split between institutional and individual investors is actually quite unique for a regional bank, as many are more heavily skewed toward institutional ownership.

  • Institutional Investors: Own up to 48%. They drive the stock's liquidity and are focused on comparative performance metrics like Return on Average Assets (ROA) and strategic growth.
  • Retail Investors (General Public): Hold approximately 43%. This group is often drawn to the bank's local presence in the Wisconsin and Michigan markets, plus the reliable dividend.
  • Insiders: While they hold a smaller percentage, recent activity has shown some insider selling, which is something to defintely watch, though it doesn't always signal a lack of confidence.

Here's a quick snapshot of the ownership distribution, based on early 2025 data:

Investor Type Approximate Ownership % Primary Goal
Institutional Investors 46% - 48% Outperforming benchmarks, strategic growth
Retail Investors (General Public) 43% Income (Dividends), long-term capital appreciation
Insiders/Corporate ~9% (Implied) Long-term value creation, management alignment

Investment Motivations: Quality, Growth, and Income

Investors are attracted to Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. for a clear set of reasons that map directly to its financial performance and strategy. It boils down to a regional bank that delivers top-tier quality metrics and a credible growth path.

First, the bank is a high-quality performer. In the third quarter of 2025, the bank posted a record net income of $42 million, a solid jump from the $36 million reported in the prior quarter. This profitability is why management notes their metrics are likely in the top decile of community banks nationwide. Plus, the credit quality is stellar: non-performing assets (NPAs) were a mere 0.31% of total assets as of September 30, 2025.

Second, there's a clear growth story. Analysts forecast an annual earnings growth rate of 9.58% over the 2025-2027 period, and the consensus 2025 earnings forecast sits around $140.5 million. This growth is often fueled by strategic acquisitions (M&A) in its core markets, a strategy the CEO confirms they are still having 'high-level conversations' about.

Third, the dividend provides reliable income. The annual dividend is currently $1.28 per share, yielding about 1.03%. The payout ratio is very sustainable at only 13.70% of earnings, meaning there's plenty of room to keep growing that dividend, which is crucial for income-focused investors.

Strategies in Play: Value and Growth at a Reasonable Price

The typical strategy for holding Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. is a blend of value and growth-at-a-reasonable-price (GARP). This isn't a high-flying tech stock, so you don't see much short-term trading. Instead, the focus is on long-term holding.

  • Long-Term Holding: Investors are betting on the bank's continued execution of its regional growth strategy and its ability to maintain its top-tier profitability metrics.
  • Value Investing: The bank's commitment to shareholder return is evident in its share repurchase program. In the first quarter of 2025 alone, the company bought back 233,207 common shares for $26 million, and another 155,393 shares for $21 million in Q3 2025. This action directly boosts the value of remaining shares.
  • Growth Investing: The M&A strategy, while cautious, is a key driver. The CEO's focus is on deals that 'enhance long-term shareholder value,' which is a perfect signal for patient, growth-oriented capital.

The market reflects this balanced view, too. Wall Street analysts have a consensus rating of 'Moderate Buy' with an average 12-month price target ranging from $145.33 to $153.67, suggesting a solid upside from current levels. For a deeper dive into the bank's underlying stability, you should check out Breaking Down Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. (NIC) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.

Institutional Ownership and Major Shareholders of Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. (NIC)

You want to know who is buying Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. (NIC) and why, because institutional ownership is a powerful signal-it tells you where the smart money is moving. The direct takeaway here is that large institutions hold a significant stake, giving them a strong voice, but the ownership structure is still quite dispersed, preventing any single entity from dominating the strategy.

As of late 2025, institutional investors hold a substantial 51.77% of Nicolet Bankshares, Inc.'s outstanding shares, representing a significant portion of the company's $1.85 billion market capitalization. This high level of institutional backing indicates a degree of credibility in the investment community, suggesting these large funds see a clear path for growth in this regional bank. Insider ownership is also meaningful, sitting at about 11.97%, which aligns management's interests with yours as a shareholder. That's a good sign.

Top Institutional Investors and Their Stakes

The investor profile of Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. is led by the behemoths of the asset management world, primarily passive index funds and major investment advisors. These firms are buying because Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. is a component of various indices and a solid regional bank play.

The top three institutional holders alone account for over 18% of the company's shares. Here's the quick math on the largest positions, based on filings from the third quarter of 2025:

  • BlackRock, Inc.: The largest holder, with 7.12% of shares outstanding, totaling 1,053,488 shares valued at approximately $126,176 thousand.
  • Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. Asset Management Arm: Holds about 6.00%, or 887,279 shares.
  • The Vanguard Group, Inc.: Owns 4.83%, representing 715,104 shares valued near $85,648 thousand.

This group of top holders is mostly composed of passive managers like BlackRock, Inc. and The Vanguard Group, Inc. Their investment is less about an active, high-conviction bet on the bank's unique strategy and more about tracking the Russell and other indices where Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. is a constituent. You can read more about the company's foundation and structure at Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. (NIC): History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money.

Recent Ownership Shifts: Buying, Selling, and Buybacks

Looking at the most recent activity, the picture is mixed, which is typical for a mid-cap regional bank. Institutional ownership filings (13F) for Q3 2025 show a churn of activity. For example, some firms like Squarepoint Ops LLC dramatically increased their position by over 511.7%, while others, like UBS AM A Distinct Business Unit of UBS Asset Management Americas LLC, cut their stake by 51.9%. This suggests active managers are split on the near-term outlook.

Crucially, the company itself stepped in to manage its share count. Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. repurchased 155,393 common shares for $21 million during the third quarter of 2025. This share buyback activity signals management's belief that the stock is undervalued and is a direct action to boost earnings per share (EPS) for all remaining shareholders. A company buying its own stock is defintely a bullish signal.

The Impact of Large Investors on Strategy and Price

Institutional investors are not silent partners; their collective decisions have a real-world impact on your investment. With over half the company in their hands, their substantial holdings give them significant influence over the stock price. If a few major institutions decide to sell-perhaps due to a shift in their index mandate or a change in their banking sector outlook-the stock price can drop swiftly. This is the risk of a 'crowded trade.'

On the strategic front, their presence acts as a governance check. The board and management, led by CEO Mike Daniels (who recently had his leadership extended through 2030), must answer to these large shareholders. This pressure helps maintain a focus on financial performance, which has been strong, with a record net income of $42 million for the third quarter of 2025. What this estimate hides, however, is the potential for institutional demand to drop if the company is removed from key indices, a risk that analysts continue to monitor closely.

Top Institutional Holder Shares Held (as of Sep 29, 2025) % of Shares Outstanding Value (in $ thousands)
BlackRock, Inc. 1,053,488 7.12% $126,176
Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. Asset Management Arm 887,279 6.00% $106,269
The Vanguard Group, Inc. 715,104 4.83% $85,648
Dimensional Fund Advisors LP 626,238 4.23% $75,005

Key Investors and Their Impact on Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. (NIC)

You want to know who is buying Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. (NIC) and why, and the answer is clear: the institutional heavyweights are the core owners, and they are buying into a stable leadership and a strong M&A growth story. Institutional investors, like the massive index funds, own a significant chunk-about 43.06% of the company's stock as of late 2025.

This level of ownership means that while the stock might not see aggressive activist campaigns, the sheer volume of their trading dictates much of the share price movement. You need to watch their quarterly filings (13F reports) because their moves are a clear signal of market confidence, or lack thereof. For a deeper dive into the company's foundation, you can check out Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. (NIC): History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money.

The Institutional Giants: Who Owns the Biggest Slice?

The largest shareholders in Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. are exactly who you'd expect: the world's biggest passive and active asset managers. These funds aren't making a bet on a single product; they are buying the market, and Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. is a key component of the regional banking sector they need exposure to. BlackRock, Inc. is the single largest institutional holder, controlling approximately 7.1% of the shares outstanding.

The Vanguard Group, Inc. is right behind them, holding about 4.9% of the stock. These two firms alone represent a substantial voting block. Here's a quick look at the top-tier institutional ownership as of early 2025:

  • BlackRock, Inc.: Holds 7.1% of shares outstanding.
  • The Vanguard Group, Inc.: Holds 4.9% of shares outstanding.
  • Institutional Investors (Total): Own about 43.06% of the stock.

Honestly, the sheer size of their holdings means they have a lot riding on the business. Their position is a vote of confidence in the long-term viability of the regional banking model Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. employs.

Investor Influence and Strategic Decisions

The concentration of institutional ownership implies a significant influence on the company's share price, even without overt activism. When a firm like BlackRock, Inc. holds a large stake, their internal rating changes can trigger massive buying or selling volumes across the market. This is why the recent news of the CEO's stability and strategic acquisitions is so important to them.

The board's decision to extend Chairman, President, and CEO Mike Daniels' tenure through 2030, which included an equity award of up to 90,000 shares, is a clear move to cement leadership stability-a key factor for large, long-term institutional holders. Plus, the company's strategic M&A activity, like the planned acquisition of MidWestOne Financial in an $864 million deal, is a direct response to a growth narrative that investors demand. This deal is projected to create a combined entity with pro forma total assets of $15.3 billion. That's a massive jump in scale that definitely attracts institutional money.

Recent Moves: Buying, Selling, and Market Catalysts

We've seen a mix of activity recently, which is typical for a stock in this sector. On the buying side, several smaller institutional players have been initiating positions in 2025. For example, EverSource Wealth Advisors LLC dramatically boosted its holdings by 3,940.0% in the second quarter of 2025, though from a small base. The State of Alaska Department of Revenue also acquired a new position in the third quarter valued at $80,000.

Here's the quick math on one key insider move: an executive vice president executed a sale of stock at an average price of $139.42, totaling $221,398.96, which was a 5.21% decrease in their ownership. However, a director, Christopher J. Ghidorzi, purchased additional stock in November 2025, showing continued insider confidence. The company itself has been buying, repurchasing 155,393 common shares for $21 million during the third quarter of 2025.

What this estimate hides is the impact of index exclusions. The stock's recent removal from several Russell indices could put near-term pressure on trading volumes and institutional demand, so you need to keep an eye on that. The recent financial performance, with a record net income of $42 million for Q3 2025 and an Earnings Per Diluted Common Share of $2.73, is the real magnet for investors, though.

Investor Type/Action 2025 Data Point Impact/Significance
Total Institutional Ownership 43.06% of stock High influence on share price and liquidity.
Largest Institutional Holder BlackRock, Inc. (7.1% stake) Passive index flow drives a large portion of trading.
Q3 2025 Share Repurchase 155,393 shares for $21 million Directly boosts Earnings Per Share (EPS) and signals management confidence.
Insider Selling (EVP) Sale of $221,398.96 worth of stock Minor ownership decrease (5.21%), but worth noting.
Strategic Acquisition MidWestOne Financial for $864 million Major growth catalyst, creating a $15.3 billion asset base.

Next step for you: Review the latest Q3 2025 earnings call transcript to gauge management's commentary on the MidWestOne Financial acquisition and the outlook for net interest margin (NIM), which hit 3.86% in the quarter.

Market Impact and Investor Sentiment

You're looking at Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. (NIC) because the market chatter suggests a strong, confident investor base, and you're right: the sentiment is a clear Moderate Buy, driven by robust 2025 financial performance and institutional conviction. This isn't just a fleeting trend; the stock's year-to-date return of 25.15% has significantly outpaced the S&P 500's return of 13.31%, showing real momentum. The core takeaway is that major investors are backing a stable, high-performing regional bank.

Institutional investors, the large money managers and endowments, hold a substantial stake, with ownership figures ranging from 43.1% to as high as 51% of the company's shares outstanding. This high concentration suggests a strong belief in Nicolet Bankshares' long-term strategy and a certain degree of credibility in the broader investment community. Plus, company insiders-the executives and directors-own a meaningful 14.2% of the stock, which aligns their interests directly with yours as a shareholder. That's a powerful signal of internal confidence.

Who's Buying and Why: The Major Investor Profile

The investor profile for Nicolet Bankshares is dominated by large-scale institutional players, and their actions reveal a positive, though cautious, sentiment. The largest shareholder is BlackRock, Inc., holding a significant 7.2% of the shares outstanding as of September 2025. When a firm like BlackRock takes a position this large, it validates the company's stability and growth prospects. Other major holders include The Vanguard Group Inc. and Dimensional Fund Advisors LP.

Their buying rationale is rooted in Nicolet Bankshares' consistent financial execution. For instance, the company reported a record net income of $42 million for the third quarter of 2025, up from $36 million in the prior quarter. This isn't abstract growth; it's a tangible result from a strong net interest margin of 3.86% and exceptional core deposit growth of $223 million in Q3 2025. Honestly, that kind of quarter-over-quarter improvement is what institutional money chases.

Here's a quick snapshot of the ownership structure and key institutional activity:

Shareholder Group Ownership Percentage (Approx.) 2025 Activity/Rationale
Institutional Investors 43.1% - 51% High conviction for long-term growth; holdings imply significant influence.
Insiders (Executives/Directors) 12% - 14.2% High ownership suggests strong alignment with shareholder interests.
General Public (Retail) 43% Holds a substantial stake, but less direct influence than institutions.

Recent Market Reactions and Analyst Perspectives

The stock market has reacted positively to the company's operational strength and strategic moves in 2025. After the company announced its record third-quarter net income of $42 million, the stock saw a favorable response. Furthermore, the stock gained approximately $77 million in market capitalization in a single week in January 2025, which welcomed institutional investors who had seen a one-year return of 30%.

But it's not all smooth sailing. The stock's recent removal from several Russell indices could put near-term pressure on trading volumes and institutional demand, as some funds are mandated to sell shares not included in their benchmark index. The company's response to this risk, however, has been clear: they repurchased 155,393 common shares for $21 million in Q3 2025 and had previously repurchased 233,207 shares for $26 million in Q1 2025, signaling a belief that their own stock is the best investment.

Wall Street analysts are largely on board, with a consensus rating of Moderate Buy. The average twelve-month price target from analysts is $153.67, suggesting a potential upside of about 27.6% from recent trading prices. This positive outlook is underpinned by the firm's strong management stability-CEO Mike Daniels' leadership was extended through 2030, which reduces the risk of disruptive transitions. For more on the foundational elements driving this performance, you can review Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. (NIC): History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money.

  • Consensus price target is $153.67.
  • Upside potential is approximately 27.6%.
  • Analyst ratings skew heavily toward Buy (3 Buys, 1 Hold).

What this estimate hides, still, is the full impact of a potential merger with MidWestOne Financial Group, Inc., which was under investigation by shareholder rights firms as of late October 2025. That kind of legal scrutiny can defintely cause short-term volatility, even with a strong underlying business.

Next Step: Portfolio Manager: Re-evaluate the NIC position against the analyst high-end price target of $161.00 to set a new 12-month sell limit by next Tuesday.

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