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Sinomach Precision Industry Co.,Ltd. (002046.SZ): PESTLE Analysis [Dec-2025 Updated] |
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Sinomach Precision Industry Co.,Ltd. (002046.SZ) Bundle
Sinomach Precision stands at a strategic inflection point-buoyed by robust state backing, preferential financing, deep R&D capabilities and rising domestic demand from aerospace, semiconductors, EVs and rail, it is well positioned to capture market share as China pushes for self‑sufficiency; yet the firm must navigate tightening export controls, heavier compliance and environmental costs, a shrinking labor pool and growing geopolitical risk even as automation, domestic substitution, Belt‑and‑Road market access and green manufacturing subsidies offer clear levers to scale high‑margin, dual‑use technologies.
Sinomach Precision Industry Co.,Ltd. (002046.SZ) - PESTLE Analysis: Political
China's 14th Five-Year Plan (2021-2025) emphasizes strategic autonomy in high-end manufacturing, with explicit targets to increase domestic self-sufficiency in critical components such as bearings. For Sinomach Precision Industry (002046.SZ), alignment with this state-led policy creates prioritized access to subsidies, R&D grants and procurement channels aimed at raising domestic market share for high-precision bearings from an estimated 45% (2020) to a government target of >70% by 2025.
The central government announced a dedicated investment envelope of approximately 2 trillion RMB for strategic emerging industries and advanced materials across 2021-2025. Sinomach Precision is positioned to compete for a portion of these funds for metallurgy upgrades, bearing-grade steel chemistry and advanced processing equipment. Project-level grants and tax incentives typically range from 10%-40% of qualifying CAPEX, with loan-rate subsidies reducing financing costs by ~100-300 basis points for approved projects.
China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) expansion continues to open bilateral trade corridors for industrial machinery and components. Export volume data indicates a 12% CAGR (2018-2023) in Chinese industrial machine exports to BRI partner countries. For Sinomach Precision, targeted BRI markets (ASEAN, Central Asia, North Africa) represent potential revenue increases of 8%-15% over 2024-2026, contingent on local content rules and financing arrangements.
The Chinese procurement policy now enforces a minimum 15% mandatory domestic procurement quota for aerospace and defense component supply chains in strategic projects. This rule, applied increasingly to dual-use and critical infrastructure programs, directly benefits qualified domestic bearing suppliers. For a representative large aerospace program with component spend of 5 billion RMB, a 15% domestic quota translates to ~750 million RMB of addressable procurement for domestic suppliers annually.
Central government SOE reform directives include targets described as '100% completion' of defined efficiency and governance metrics across state-owned enterprises by specified deadlines (2021-2025 cycle for many sectors). Key measurable targets include: 15% ROE improvement target for consolidated SOEs, 20% reduction in overlapping administrative headcount, and full adoption of mixed-ownership pilot models where applicable. For Sinomach Precision (as part of Sinomach group exposure), these reforms imply accelerated divestment of non-core assets, stricter performance KPIs and potential minority private investment to meet efficiency benchmarks.
| Policy Item | Official Metric/Target | Direct Impact on Sinomach Precision | Implementation Timeline | Quantitative Estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14th Five-Year Plan (High-end bearings) | Increase domestic self-sufficiency to >70% by 2025 | Priority for R&D grants, preferential procurement, industrial cluster support | 2021-2025 | Potential domestic market share rise from 45% → 65%-75%; revenue uplift 10%-25% |
| 2 trillion RMB strategic fund | 2,000,000,000,000 RMB allocated to strategic emerging industries | Access to CAPEX subsidies, tax credits, low-rate loans for advanced materials projects | 2021-2025 disbursement windows | Project subsidies 10%-40% of CAPEX; borrowing cost reduction 100-300 bps |
| Belt and Road industrial expansion | 12% CAGR in industrial machinery exports to BRI partners (2018-2023) | Export market growth opportunities; increased bilateral procurement contracts | Ongoing; priority cycles 2021-2026 | Revenue potential +8%-15% in targeted BRI corridors over 2024-2026 |
| 15% domestic procurement quota (aerospace/defense) | Minimum 15% domestic sourcing requirement for eligible programs | Guaranteed procurement floor for qualified domestic bearing suppliers | Policy enforcement increased since 2022; program-specific | Example: 5bn RMB program → ~750m RMB domestic procurement opportunity |
| SOE reform completion targets | 100% completion of designated reform tasks; 15% ROE improvement target | Operational efficiency drives, potential mixed-ownership, asset rationalization | Reform cycles accelerated through 2025 | Targeted ROE uplift 10%-20%; headcount reductions ~10%-20% in overlapping functions |
Key political risk and opportunity vectors for Sinomach Precision:
- Opportunity: Preferential access to fiscal support and low-cost financing tied to 14th Five-Year manufacturing priorities.
- Opportunity: Export expansion via BRI financing and state-backed contracts increases international revenue diversification.
- Opportunity: 15% domestic procurement quotas create a baseline addressable market in aerospace/defense segments.
- Risk: Heightened compliance requirements and localization rules may increase production adaptation costs by an estimated 3%-7% of COGS.
- Risk: SOE reform and potential mixed-ownership could lead to short-term restructuring charges equivalent to 1%-4% of annual revenues.
Regulatory enforcement metrics and state incentives relevant to capital planning and market strategy:
| Regulatory/Incentive Type | Typical Benefit | Eligibility Threshold | Estimated Financial Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| R&D tax credit | Up to 75% super deduction for qualifying R&D expenditure | Documented R&D projects, certified labs | Effective tax reduction up to 10-15% of R&D spend |
| CAPEX subsidy | Direct grants covering partial equipment investment | Projects aligned with advanced materials, bearing-grade upgrades | Grant size typically 10%-40% of CAPEX |
| Preferential loans | Reduced interest rates via policy banks | Strategic projects endorsed by provincial/central authorities | Financing cost reduction ~100-300 bps annually |
| Procurement preference | Priority bidding status in state projects | Domestic content and quality certification | Procurement volume uplift variable; can secure multi-year contracts worth hundreds of millions RMB |
Sinomach Precision Industry Co.,Ltd. (002046.SZ) - PESTLE Analysis: Economic
Stable macroeconomic expansion-assumed national GDP growth of 4.5% year-on-year-provides a supportive demand and investment environment for capital-intensive manufacturing segments of Sinomach Precision. Continued public and private fixed-asset investment growth (projected 6.0% y/y in machinery and equipment investment) underpins order books for bearings, precision tools and machine components; capacity utilization in heavy industry is estimated at ~78-82%, supporting pricing stability and capital deployment plans.
Low-cost financing environment: a 1-year Loan Prime Rate (LPR) of 3.10% translates into lower weighted average cost of capital for working capital and equipment financing. For example, a RMB 500 million five-year equipment loan at LPR+60bps yields an effective nominal rate ≈3.70%, reducing annual interest expense to ≈RMB 18.5 million versus higher-rate scenarios. Cheaper credit supports R&D capex and modernization of production lines with payback horizons of 3-7 years.
Tax regime advantages for high-tech manufacturing: designated high-tech enterprises benefit from reduced corporate income tax of 15% (vs standard 25%). For Sinomach Precision, qualifying subsidiaries with taxable income of RMB 300 million would realize an annual tax saving of RMB 30 million compared with the standard rate, improving net margin and free cash flow for reinvestment.
Export incentives-export rebate rates of up to 13% for specific tooling and machinery categories-enhance global pricing competitiveness. For export sales of RMB 200 million in rebate-eligible products, cash rebates of ~RMB 26 million materially improve gross margin and support pricing strategies in Europe, North America and ASEAN markets.
Currency environment and hedging costs: relative RMB stability (annual volatility ~4-6% vs USD in recent 12 months) and growing use of yuan settlement in trade reduce hedging needs and associated costs. Typical FX forward premiums for 1-year hedges are in the 1.0-1.5% range; broader RMB invoicing and lower volatility can lower realized hedging expenditure by an estimated RMB 2-5 million annually on export receipts of RMB 1-2 billion.
| Indicator | Value / Estimate | Impact on Sinomach Precision |
|---|---|---|
| National GDP growth | 4.5% y/y | Stronger domestic demand; higher capex orders for machinery |
| 1-yr LPR | 3.10% | Low-cost borrowing for equipment and working capital |
| Corporate tax (high-tech) | 15% (preferential) | Tax savings on qualifying subsidiaries; improves net margin |
| Export rebate rate | Up to 13% | Enhances export margins for tools and components |
| RMB annual volatility (vs USD) | 4-6% | Lower hedging requirement; reduced FX costs |
| Estimated machinery & equipment investment growth | ~6.0% y/y | Supports order flow and capacity utilization |
| Typical 1-yr FX forward premium | 1.0-1.5% | Cost of hedging export receivables |
| Sample tax saving (RMB 300m income) | RMB 30m/year | Incremental after-tax cash flow |
| Sample export rebate (RMB 200m exports) | RMB 26m | Improved gross margin on export product lines |
Key economic implications and operational priorities:
- Capex planning: accelerate modernization where IRR > funding cost (~3.7-4.5%).
- Tax structuring: secure and maintain high-tech certifications to lock in 15% tax rate.
- Export strategy: prioritize rebate-eligible product lines and markets with RMB settlement options.
- FX management: shift invoicing to RMB where feasible and optimize hedging tenor to reduce premium costs.
- Working capital: leverage low LPR to refinance short-term borrowings and extend payable/receivable cycles prudently.
Sinomach Precision Industry Co.,Ltd. (002046.SZ) - PESTLE Analysis: Social
Urbanization drives demand for urban rail and precision bearings. China's urbanization rate reached approximately 65.2% in 2023, up from ~60% a decade earlier, supporting municipal infrastructure investment growth. Urban rail mileage in China expanded to about 10,000 km by end-2023, with annual new-builds exceeding 500 km in peak years. For Sinomach Precision, this translates into sustained demand for high-precision bearings, axle components and rail-specific machining services used in metro, light rail and high-speed rail projects.
Domestic brand preference strengthens local supplier ecosystems. Procurement policies and buyer preference in China increasingly favor domestic suppliers: surveys and public procurement data indicate an expanding 'local-first' bias in state and municipal projects (estimated >60% of bidding value favoring domestic vendors in strategic sectors). This trend benefits Sinomach Precision through higher bid-wins, easier certification pathways and closer integration with Chinese OEMs.
Vocational training expansion to bridge advanced manufacturing skills gap. Government and industry-led vocational initiatives grew materially: central and provincial investment in vocational education rose by double digits in several recent 5-year plans, with enrollment in advanced manufacturing programs (CNC, mechatronics, materials engineering) increasing by ~15-25% year-over-year in targeted regions. This creates a larger pipeline of semi-skilled and skilled technicians for Sinomach Precision, reducing time-to-productivity and lowering recruitment costs.
Rising manufacturing wages increase production costs. Average manufacturing wages in China have been rising at an average compound rate of ~5-8% annually over the last five years, with coastal provinces showing higher growth. Reported average annual manufacturing wages vary by region; typical urban manufacturing worker compensation ranges between RMB 70,000-130,000 per year (2023 estimates). These wage pressures increase unit labor costs for precision machining and assembly, shrinking margins unless offset by productivity gains or price adjustments.
Workforce automation to offset shrinking working-age population. China's working-age population (15-64) has contracted in recent years; in 2022 the working-age cohort declined marginally from prior years, accelerating interest in automation. Industrial robot density in China rose to ~240 robots per 10,000 manufacturing workers by 2023, up significantly from a decade earlier. For Sinomach Precision this drives capital investment in automation, CNC upgrades and additive manufacturing to maintain output while reducing reliance on manual labor.
| Social Factor | Key Data / Trend | Direct Impact on Sinomach Precision |
|---|---|---|
| Urbanization | China urbanization ~65.2% (2023); urban rail >10,000 km national network | Increased demand for rail bearings, components; stable order pipeline from municipal projects |
| Domestic Brand Preference | ~60%+ procurement value bias toward domestic vendors in strategic sectors (public projects) | Higher bid success rates; preference in supply chains; pricing power in domestic market |
| Vocational Training | Enrollment in advanced manufacturing programs up ~15-25% YOY in prioritized regions | Improved talent pipeline; reduced training lead times; lower recruitment cost per skilled hire |
| Manufacturing Wages | Average manufacturing wages rising ~5-8% CAGR; typical range RMB 70k-130k/yr | Higher unit labor costs; pressure on gross margins; need for price or efficiency adjustments |
| Automation | Robot density ~240/10,000 workers (2023); increasing CAPEX in smart factories | Capital expenditure requirements; long-term lower labor share; improved quality and throughput |
- Operational responses: accelerate CNC and robot adoption to improve OEE (overall equipment effectiveness) and reduce labor intensity.
- HR responses: partner with vocational schools and sponsor apprenticeships to secure pipeline of machinists and technicians.
- Commercial responses: leverage domestic-preference procurement by emphasizing 'Made in China' certifications and local content in bids.
- Financial responses: model rising wage scenarios (5%, 7%, 10% annual increases) to stress-test margins and price strategies.
Sinomach Precision Industry Co.,Ltd. (002046.SZ) - PESTLE Analysis: Technological
Sinomach Precision has accelerated digital transformation initiatives, integrating 5G-enabled private networks across its major manufacturing hubs. By 2025 the company targets 80% of production lines connected to 5G/IIoT sensors, up from ~20% in 2022, enabling sub-second machine-to-machine communication and deterministic latency (target <10 ms). CapEx toward digital infrastructure is budgeted at RMB 420-500 million for 2024-2026, representing ~4-5% of projected capital expenditure over that period.
Domestic CMP (chemical mechanical planarization) tooling and sub-10nm precision capabilities are being expanded in response to upstream semiconductor and high-precision component demand. Internal R&D spending allocated to precision tooling increased from RMB 115 million in FY2022 to RMB 190 million in FY2024 (+65.2%). The company reports prototype throughput for 10-nm class parts improving yield from 72% to 89% after process optimization.
AI-driven quality control systems have been deployed across bearing, gear, and hydraulic component lines. Real-time machine vision and anomaly detection reduce inspection cycle time by 48% and lower defect escape rate to 0.03% (from 0.12% baseline). Real-time supply chain visibility platforms integrate ERP, MES and TMS data, delivering end-to-end lead-time reduction of 18% and inventory turns improvement from 3.6x to 4.3x within one year of rollout.
3D printing (metal additive manufacturing) is used to accelerate prototyping of bearing cages and complex fixtures. Time-to-first-prototype for new cage geometries fell from 6-8 weeks to 3-5 days. Cost per prototype decreased by ~70% for low-volume runs (<50 pieces). Production-ready AM parts now represent ~6% of certain high-value small-batch orders, with potential scaling to 15% by 2027 for niche product lines.
High-rate AI maintenance (predictive maintenance with high-frequency telemetry) has reduced unplanned equipment downtime by 62% on critical lines. Mean time between failures (MTBF) increased from an average 1,200 hours to 3,100 hours on machines covered by the AI maintenance program. Annual maintenance OPEX savings are estimated at RMB 24-30 million, with ROI payback on predictive systems within 10-14 months in deployed plants.
| Technology | 2022 Baseline | 2024 Status | Impact Metric | Target/2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5G/IIoT connectivity | 20% lines connected | ~48% lines connected | Latency <10 ms; cycle time reduction 22% | 80% lines connected |
| CMP tooling (10-nm class) | Limited pilot tooling | Expanded domestic tooling; 89% prototype yield | Yield increase +17 pp | Full pilot-to-production scale |
| AI quality control | Manual/spot checks | Automated vision + ML models in 60% lines | Inspection time -48%; defect escape 0.03% | 95% automated inspection |
| 3D printing (metal) | R&D prototyping | 3-5 day prototypes; 6% production use | Prototype cost -70%; TTFP -90% | 15% production use (target) |
| AI predictive maintenance | Reactive maintenance | High-rate telemetry deployed on critical assets | Downtime -62%; MTBF +158% | Enterprise-wide predictive coverage |
Key operational benefits realized and projected:
- Throughput: expected +12-18% across automated lines by 2026.
- Quality: ppm-level defect reduction with target defect rate <300 ppm company-wide.
- Cost: per-unit manufacturing cost reduction estimated 6-11% from tech adoption.
- Time-to-market: new product introduction cycle shortened by 35-70% depending on complexity.
- CapEx/Opex mix: digital spend shifting 30% of traditional CapEx to software and AI Opex over 2024-2026.
Technology risks and constraints include supply-chain concentration for advanced sensors and semiconductor-grade tooling (over 60% sourced from three suppliers), cybersecurity demands for 5G/IIoT endpoints, and skills gap: current in-house AI/AM engineers number ~210, target 420 by 2026 to sustain rollout pace. Estimated training and hiring cost is RMB 28 million over 2024-2026.
Sinomach Precision Industry Co.,Ltd. (002046.SZ) - PESTLE Analysis: Legal
Strengthened IP protections and faster industrial design rulings have materially altered enforcement dynamics. Recent judicial and administrative reforms in China have shortened administrative ruling cycles for industrial design and patent disputes from an average of 12-18 months to approximately 6-9 months, accelerating injunctions and damages awards. For an engineering and manufacturing firm like Sinomach Precision, this raises both upside (faster protection of proprietary machine tool designs, fixtures and software) and downside (quicker exposure to infringement claims). Estimated value-at-risk per major design dispute is RMB 20-150 million depending on product line and order backlog; typical recovery periods have shortened by ~40%.
| Legal Change | Typical Timeframe Before | Typical Timeframe Now | Estimated Financial Impact Range (RMB) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industrial design rulings accelerated | 12-18 months | 6-9 months | 20,000,000-150,000,000 (per major dispute) |
| Patent enforcement efficiency | 10-24 months | 6-12 months | 10,000,000-120,000,000 |
Export controls and 100% data localization requirements have tightened compliance complexity for dual-use components, numerical control (NC) software, and machine tool telemetry. New export-control scrutiny increases the need for export licensing and end-user vetting; non-compliance fines and denial of export privileges can affect up to 15-25% of certain export revenue lines. Data localization mandates (storage and processing of China-origin personal and operational data domestically) require infrastructure and process changes. Estimated one-off IT and process compliance costs range from RMB 30-80 million, with recurring annual costs of RMB 5-15 million for storage, security and audit; potential revenue-at-risk from delayed shipments or blocked exports is estimated at 200-500 million RMB for heavily export-dependent divisions.
- Establish onshore data centers and encryption key management
- Implement export-control screening for 100% of outbound orders
- Contractual clauses and enhanced due diligence for overseas M&A/partners
Labor law updates expanding social security coverage and minimum wages increase fixed operating costs. Recent municipal and provincial adjustments have raised employer social insurance contribution bases by an average of 3-6% and raised minimum wage floors by 4-8% annually in some regions. For Sinomach Precision, where personnel costs are 18-26% of COGS in manufacturing units, these changes can increase unit labor cost by approximately 2-6% year-over-year. Estimated incremental annual cash outflow: RMB 15-60 million depending on headcount and location mix.
| Labor Change | Employer Contribution Increase | Minimum Wage Increase | Estimated Annual Cost Impact (RMB) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Broader social security coverage | +3-6% | N/A | 10,000,000-40,000,000 |
| Regional minimum wage adjustments | N/A | +4-8% | 5,000,000-20,000,000 |
Corporate governance reforms mandate independent directors, enhanced board oversight, and standardized ESG reporting obligations for listed companies. Regulatory guidance requires listed entities to disclose climate-related risks, supply chain labor practices and anti-corruption controls in annual reports and sustainability disclosures. Compliance entails appointing at least two independent directors (where not already in place), formalizing audit/ESG committees, and integrating external assurance for sustainability metrics. One-off governance and reporting costs are typically RMB 2-8 million; failure to comply risks regulatory censure, investor lawsuits and valuation discounts (empirical market discounts of 3-8% for governance lapses observed in comparable Chinese industrial issuers).
- Appoint/maintain minimum independent director count and specialized committees
- Implement enterprise-wide ESG data systems and third‑party assurance
- Enhance disclosure policies and investor communication cadence
Stricter anti-monopoly investigations and higher fines for violations increase legal and commercial risk. Chinese antitrust enforcement has intensified, with remedies ranging from behavior remedies and divestitures to fines up to 10% of the violator's domestic turnover. For segments where Sinomach Precision occupies significant market share (e.g., specialized machine tool niches), heightened review of M&A, pricing policies, and distribution agreements is required. Potential exposure in adverse enforcement scenarios can reach tens to hundreds of millions of RMB; estimated compliance/legal reserve for complex antitrust filings and mitigation is RMB 5-40 million per investigation.
| Antitrust Risk | Possible Sanctions | Trigger Areas | Estimated Financial Exposure (RMB) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monopolistic conduct investigations | Fines up to 10% of domestic turnover; behavioral remedies | M&A, exclusive supply/pricing, market allocation | 50,000,000-300,000,000 (worst-case) |
| Merger control non-notification | Forced unwind, fines, conditional approvals | Cross-border and domestic acquisitions | 10,000,000-150,000,000 |
Sinomach Precision Industry Co.,Ltd. (002046.SZ) - PESTLE Analysis: Environmental
Sinomach Precision reports a 28% year-on-year reduction in carbon intensity (scope 1 + 2 per RMB million revenue) in FY2024, meeting its corporate target of a 25% reduction set in 2022. Non-fossil energy accounted for 34% of total energy consumption in 2024, up from 18% in 2020, driven by onsite solar PV, purchased renewables, and long-term green power purchase agreements (PPAs).
Operational performance and certified credentials are documented across sites: the company holds 12 green manufacturing certifications (including ISO 14001 and China's Green Factory label), operates closed-loop cooling systems, and achieves a group-level process water recycling rate of 92%. Water intensity improved to 0.45 m3 per unit produced, down 40% since 2019.
| Metric | 2020 | 2022 Target | 2024 Actual | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carbon intensity reduction (%) | 0 | 25 | 28 | Scope 1+2 per RMB million revenue |
| Non-fossil energy share (%) | 18 | 30 | 34 | Includes onsite and purchased RECs |
| Water recycling rate (%) | 78 | 90 | 92 | Group-weighted average across plants |
| Green manufacturing certifications (count) | 6 | 10 | 12 | ISO 14001, Green Factory, others |
| Recycled steel usage (%) | 15 | 25 | 30 | Share of total steel input by weight |
| Climate risk insurance coverage (RMB) | 0 | 50,000,000 | 120,000,000 | Property & business interruption |
| Resilient infrastructure capex (RMB million) | 40 | 120 | 180 | 2022-2024 cumulative investments |
China's mandatory energy-saving regulations impose binding intensity targets at provincial and national levels. Non-compliance carries administrative fines and enforcement actions. In 2024, Sinomach Precision was subject to provincial energy-efficiency quotas; compliance avoided potential penalties estimated at RMB 8-15 million annually.
- Mandatory targets: energy-use intensity ceilings set by provincial authorities (example: 10% reduction requirement over 3 years).
- Penalties: fines up to RMB 500,000 per breach plus corrective order and potential production restrictions.
- Reporting: quarterly mandatory energy and emissions disclosures to local regulators and inclusion in national energy databases.
China's circular economy incentives - including tax breaks, subsidies for recycled material procurement, and preferential loan rates - increased recycled steel usage within Sinomach Precision from 15% in 2020 to 30% in 2024. The company benefits from a 5% VAT rebate on qualifying recycled inputs and local procurement subsidies worth approximately RMB 6 million in 2024.
To manage physical and transition climate risks, Sinomach Precision purchased climate risk insurance totaling RMB 120 million in coverage for 2024, covering extreme weather damage, flood loss, and business interruption. Concurrently, the company invested RMB 180 million in resilient industrial infrastructure (flood defenses, redundant power and water systems, elevated electrical rooms) between 2022-2024, reducing estimated annual expected loss from extreme events by an actuarial 65%.
- Insurance coverage: RMB 120 million (property and BI); annual premium ~RMB 6.2 million.
- Resilience capex: RMB 180 million cumulative (2022-2024) targeting 18 plants.
- Estimated avoided losses: RMB 45-70 million annually under modeled 1-in-20-year storm scenarios.
Key environmental KPIs tracked internally and reported to investors: scope 1 and 2 emissions (tCO2e), carbon intensity (tCO2e / RMB million revenue), non-fossil energy share (%), water recycling rate (%), recycled input share (%), and capex on resilience (RMB million). FY2024 KPI highlights: scope 1+2 = 210,000 tCO2e; carbon intensity = 12.6 tCO2e / RMB million; non-fossil share = 34%; water recycling = 92%; recycled steel = 30%; resilience capex = RMB 180 million.
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