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China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited (2319.HK) DCF Valuation |
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China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited (2319.HK) Bundle
Evaluate the financial outlook of China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited like an expert! This (2319HK) DCF Calculator provides pre-filled financials along with full flexibility to modify revenue growth, WACC, margins, and other essential assumptions to align with your predictions.
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)
| Year | AY1 2019 |
AY2 2020 |
AY3 2021 |
AY4 2022 |
AY5 2023 |
FY1 2024 |
FY2 2025 |
FY3 2026 |
FY4 2027 |
FY5 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 84,122.6 | 80,934.6 | 93,821.4 | 98,560.2 | 104,979.5 | 111,198.7 | 117,786.3 | 124,764.1 | 132,155.4 | 139,984.5 |
| Revenue Growth, % | 0 | -3.79 | 15.92 | 5.05 | 6.51 | 5.92 | 5.92 | 5.92 | 5.92 | 5.92 |
| EBITDA | 6,135.2 | 7,306.2 | 9,588.1 | 11,182.9 | 11,902.8 | 10,947.4 | 11,595.9 | 12,282.9 | 13,010.6 | 13,781.3 |
| EBITDA, % | 7.29 | 9.03 | 10.22 | 11.35 | 11.34 | 9.84 | 9.84 | 9.84 | 9.84 | 9.84 |
| Depreciation | 2,405.5 | 2,274.6 | 2,550.9 | 3,063.7 | 3,513.4 | 3,301.3 | 3,496.9 | 3,704.0 | 3,923.4 | 4,155.9 |
| Depreciation, % | 2.86 | 2.81 | 2.72 | 3.11 | 3.35 | 2.97 | 2.97 | 2.97 | 2.97 | 2.97 |
| EBIT | 3,729.7 | 5,031.7 | 7,037.3 | 8,119.1 | 8,389.4 | 7,646.1 | 8,099.1 | 8,578.9 | 9,087.1 | 9,625.5 |
| EBIT, % | 4.43 | 6.22 | 7.5 | 8.24 | 7.99 | 6.88 | 6.88 | 6.88 | 6.88 | 6.88 |
| Total Cash | 27,352.7 | 20,383.2 | 16,907.4 | 20,855.8 | 14,544.7 | 24,627.4 | 26,086.4 | 27,631.8 | 29,268.8 | 31,002.7 |
| Total Cash, percent | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 |
| Account Receivables | 3,818.0 | 3,180.9 | 4,427.7 | 3,896.1 | 7,200.0 | 5,337.5 | 5,653.7 | 5,988.6 | 6,343.4 | 6,719.2 |
| Account Receivables, % | 4.54 | 3.93 | 4.72 | 3.95 | 6.86 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 4.8 |
| Inventories | 5,417.9 | 5,867.7 | 6,903.4 | 8,593.6 | 6,480.8 | 7,993.2 | 8,466.7 | 8,968.3 | 9,499.6 | 10,062.4 |
| Inventories, % | 6.44 | 7.25 | 7.36 | 8.72 | 6.17 | 7.19 | 7.19 | 7.19 | 7.19 | 7.19 |
| Accounts Payable | 7,172.9 | 8,482.9 | 9,371.2 | 10,858.0 | 10,111.6 | 11,040.9 | 11,694.9 | 12,387.8 | 13,121.6 | 13,899.0 |
| Accounts Payable, % | 8.53 | 10.48 | 9.99 | 11.02 | 9.63 | 9.93 | 9.93 | 9.93 | 9.93 | 9.93 |
| Capital Expenditure | -5,158.5 | -4,698.8 | -6,621.1 | -5,390.8 | -4,401.2 | -6,373.2 | -6,750.8 | -7,150.7 | -7,574.3 | -8,023.0 |
| Capital Expenditure, % | -6.13 | -5.81 | -7.06 | -5.47 | -4.19 | -5.73 | -5.73 | -5.73 | -5.73 | -5.73 |
| Tax Rate, % | 23.81 | 23.81 | 23.81 | 23.81 | 23.81 | 23.81 | 23.81 | 23.81 | 23.81 | 23.81 |
| EBITAT | 2,731.6 | 4,269.0 | 6,026.8 | 6,621.5 | 6,391.8 | 6,139.3 | 6,503.0 | 6,888.3 | 7,296.4 | 7,728.6 |
| Depreciation | ||||||||||
| Changes in Account Receivables | ||||||||||
| Changes in Inventories | ||||||||||
| Changes in Accounts Payable | ||||||||||
| Capital Expenditure | ||||||||||
| UFCF | -2,084.5 | 3,342.2 | 562.3 | 4,622.6 | 3,566.6 | 4,346.8 | 3,113.5 | 3,297.9 | 3,493.3 | 3,700.2 |
| WACC, % | 5.35 | 5.52 | 5.53 | 5.48 | 5.4 | 5.46 | 5.46 | 5.46 | 5.46 | 5.46 |
| PV UFCF | ||||||||||
| SUM PV UFCF | 15,395.0 | |||||||||
| Long Term Growth Rate, % | 3.00 | |||||||||
| Free cash flow (T + 1) | 3,811 | |||||||||
| Terminal Value | 155,130 | |||||||||
| Present Terminal Value | 118,938 | |||||||||
| Enterprise Value | 134,333 | |||||||||
| Net Debt | 26,576 | |||||||||
| Equity Value | 107,757 | |||||||||
| Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM | 3,956 | |||||||||
| Equity Value Per Share | 27.24 |
Benefits You'll Receive
- Pre-Configured Financial Model: Utilize actual data from China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited (2319HK) for accurate DCF valuation.
- Comprehensive Forecast Control: Modify key factors such as revenue growth, profit margins, WACC, and more.
- Real-Time Calculations: Instantaneous updates allow you to view results as you adjust inputs.
- Professional-Grade Template: An expertly crafted Excel file ready for investor presentations.
- Flexible and Reusable: Designed for adaptability, making it ideal for repeated detailed forecasts.
Key Features
- 🔍 Comprehensive 2319HK Financials: Access pre-filled historical and projected data for China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited.
- ✏️ Fully Customizable Inputs: Modify all essential parameters (yellow cells) such as WACC, growth %, and tax rates.
- 📊 Professional DCF Valuation: Utilize built-in formulas to calculate the intrinsic value of Mengniu using the Discounted Cash Flow method.
- ⚡ Instant Results: View Mengniu’s valuation immediately after making adjustments.
- Scenario Analysis: Evaluate and compare different outcomes for various financial assumptions side-by-side.
How It Works
- Step 1: Download the Excel file.
- Step 2: Review pre-entered data for China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited (2319HK) (historical and projected).
- Step 3: Modify key assumptions (yellow cells) based on your analysis.
- Step 4: Observe the automatic recalculations for the intrinsic value of China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited (2319HK).
- Step 5: Utilize the outputs for your investment decisions or reporting needs.
Why Choose This Calculator for China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited (2319HK)?
- Reliable Data: Accurate financial information for China Mengniu ensures trustworthy valuation results.
- Customizable Options: Tailor essential parameters such as growth rates, WACC, and tax rates to align with your forecasts.
- Efficiency Boost: Built-in calculations save you the hassle of starting from the ground up.
- Professional Tool: Crafted specifically for investors, analysts, and consultants in the dairy sector.
- User-Centric Design: An intuitive interface coupled with clear, step-by-step guidance makes it accessible for everyone.
Who Can Benefit from China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited (2319HK)?
- Investors: Make informed investment choices with our comprehensive valuation tools.
- Financial Analysts: Streamline your analysis with a customizable DCF model designed for efficiency.
- Consultants: Easily tailor presentations or reports for clients using our adaptable templates.
- Finance Enthusiasts: Enhance your grasp of valuation strategies through real-life case studies.
- Educators and Students: Utilize this resource as a hands-on learning aid in finance courses.
Contents of the Template
- Historical Data: Contains past financials and baseline forecasts for China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited (2319HK).
- DCF and Levered DCF Models: Comprehensive templates designed to compute the intrinsic value of China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited (2319HK).
- WACC Sheet: Pre-configured calculations for the Weighted Average Cost of Capital.
- Editable Inputs: Adjust essential drivers such as growth rates, EBITDA margins, and CAPEX estimates.
- Quarterly and Annual Statements: An extensive analysis of the financials of China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited (2319HK).
- Interactive Dashboard: Dynamically visualize valuation results and projections.
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