Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) DCF Valuation

مجموعة Alibaba Hold Limited (BABA) DCF تقييم

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Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) DCF Valuation

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Professional Design: Trusted, Industry-Standard Templates

Investor-Approved Valuation Models

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No Expertise Is Needed; Easy To Follow

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) Bundle

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اكتشف الإمكانات الحقيقية لمجموعة علي بابا القابضة المحدودة (BABA) باستخدام حاسبة DCF المتقدمة! قم بتعديل الافتراضات الرئيسية، واستكشاف السيناريوهات المختلفة، وتقييم تأثيرات التغييرات على تقييم مجموعة علي بابا القابضة المحدودة (BABA) - كل ذلك ضمن نموذج Excel واحد.


Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)

Year AY1
2021
AY2
2022
AY3
2023
AY4
2024
AY5
2025
FY1
2026
FY2
2027
FY3
2028
FY4
2029
FY5
2030
Revenue 99,847.6 118,747.4 120,922.4 131,011.8 138,692.8 148,767.5 159,574.0 171,165.5 183,599.0 196,935.6
Revenue Growth, % 0 18.93 1.83 8.34 5.86 7.26 7.26 7.26 7.26 7.26
EBITDA 30,340.7 17,849.2 21,313.4 22,830.5 25,428.2 29,397.8 31,533.3 33,823.8 36,280.8 38,916.3
EBITDA, % 30.39 15.03 17.63 17.43 18.33 19.76 19.76 19.76 19.76 19.76
Depreciation 6,669.0 6,690.7 6,533.8 6,195.0 4,866.8 7,722.4 8,283.3 8,885.0 9,530.4 10,222.7
Depreciation, % 6.68 5.63 5.4 4.73 3.51 5.19 5.19 5.19 5.19 5.19
EBIT 23,671.7 11,158.5 14,779.6 16,635.5 20,561.4 21,675.4 23,249.9 24,938.8 26,750.4 28,693.5
EBIT, % 23.71 9.4 12.22 12.7 14.83 14.57 14.57 14.57 14.57 14.57
Total Cash 67,296.2 63,348.4 73,006.9 79,488.0 59,591.1 84,726.0 90,880.5 97,482.1 104,563.2 112,158.7
Total Cash, percent .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0
Account Receivables 5,213.1 6,264.2 5,731.8 5,420.9 .0
Account Receivables, % 5.22 5.28 4.74 4.14 0
Inventories 3,877.9 4,188.2 3,973.8 3,544.1 .0 3,987.6 4,277.3 4,588.0 4,921.2 5,278.7
Inventories, % 3.88 3.53 3.29 2.71 0 2.68 2.68 2.68 2.68 2.68
Accounts Payable 13,136.2 14,923.1 14,389.1 .0 .0 11,194.1 12,007.2 12,879.4 13,815.0 14,818.5
Accounts Payable, % 13.16 12.57 11.9 0 0 7.52 7.52 7.52 7.52 7.52
Capital Expenditure -6,011.4 -7,422.8 -4,781.8 -4,583.8 -11,967.4 -8,436.1 -9,048.9 -9,706.3 -10,411.3 -11,167.6
Capital Expenditure, % -6.02 -6.25 -3.95 -3.5 -8.63 -5.67 -5.67 -5.67 -5.67 -5.67
Tax Rate, % 19.4 19.4 19.4 19.4 19.4 19.4 19.4 19.4 19.4 19.4
EBITAT 20,656.0 9,400.0 13,260.3 14,180.5 16,573.0 18,513.7 19,858.5 21,301.0 22,848.3 24,508.0
Depreciation
Changes in Account Receivables
Changes in Inventories
Changes in Accounts Payable
Capital Expenditure
UFCF 25,358.8 9,093.5 15,225.1 2,143.2 18,437.3 19,241.9 19,197.6 20,592.2 22,088.0 23,692.5
WACC, % 4.1 4.04 4.14 4.06 3.97 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.06
PV UFCF
SUM PV UFCF 92,748.0
Long Term Growth Rate, % 2.00
Free cash flow (T + 1) 24,166
Terminal Value 1,172,796
Present Terminal Value 961,151
Enterprise Value 1,053,899
Net Debt 14,318
Equity Value 1,039,580
Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM 302
Equity Value Per Share 3,444.10

What You Will Get

  • Editable Excel Template: A fully customizable Excel-based DCF Calculator featuring pre-filled real BABA financials.
  • Real-World Data: Historical data and forward-looking estimates (highlighted in the yellow cells).
  • Forecast Flexibility: Adjust forecast assumptions such as revenue growth, EBITDA %, and WACC.
  • Automatic Calculations: Instantly observe how your inputs affect Alibaba’s valuation.
  • Professional Tool: Designed for investors, CFOs, consultants, and financial analysts.
  • User-Friendly Design: Organized for clarity and ease of use, complete with step-by-step instructions.

Key Features

  • Customizable Revenue Assumptions: Adjust key metrics such as sales growth, profit margins, and operating expenses.
  • Instant DCF Valuation: Automatically computes intrinsic value, NPV, and other financial metrics in real-time.
  • High-Precision Analysis: Incorporates Alibaba's actual financial data for accurate valuation results.
  • Effortless Scenario Testing: Evaluate various scenarios and analyze results with ease.
  • Efficiency Booster: Streamline your workflow by avoiding the complexities of building valuation models from the ground up.

How It Works

  1. Download the Template: Get immediate access to the Excel-based BABA DCF Calculator.
  2. Input Your Assumptions: Modify the yellow-highlighted cells for growth rates, WACC, margins, and other parameters.
  3. Instant Calculations: The model automatically refreshes Alibaba’s intrinsic value.
  4. Test Scenarios: Experiment with different assumptions to assess potential changes in valuation.
  5. Analyze and Decide: Utilize the outcomes to inform your investment or financial analysis.

Why Choose Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) Stock?

  • Global Reach: Benefit from Alibaba's extensive international market presence.
  • Diverse Revenue Streams: Enjoy the stability offered by multiple business segments, including e-commerce and cloud computing.
  • Innovative Technology: Leverage Alibaba's cutting-edge technology to stay ahead in the digital economy.
  • Strong Growth Potential: Tap into the significant growth opportunities in the Asian markets and beyond.
  • Expert Analysis: Rely on insights from industry experts who recognize Alibaba's market leadership.

Who Should Use This Product?

  • Investors: Evaluate Alibaba’s valuation before making stock trades.
  • CFOs and Financial Analysts: Enhance valuation workflows and assess financial forecasts.
  • Startup Founders: Understand the valuation methods applied to large public companies like Alibaba.
  • Consultants: Provide comprehensive valuation reports for your clientele.
  • Students and Educators: Utilize real-world examples to learn and teach valuation strategies.

What the Template Contains

  • Historical Data: Includes Alibaba Group’s past financials and baseline forecasts.
  • DCF and Levered DCF Models: Detailed templates to calculate Alibaba Group’s intrinsic value.
  • WACC Sheet: Pre-built calculations for Weighted Average Cost of Capital.
  • Editable Inputs: Modify key drivers like growth rates, EBITDA %, and CAPEX assumptions.
  • Quarterly and Annual Statements: A complete breakdown of Alibaba Group’s financials.
  • Interactive Dashboard: Visualize valuation results and projections dynamically.


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