ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. (ALXO) Bundle
You're looking at ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. (ALXO) and trying to map the clinical promise of their lead candidate, evorpacept, against the cold, hard reality of their burn rate, and honestly, that's the right way to think about a clinical-stage biotech.
The Q3 2025 financials, reported on November 7, 2025, show a firm navigating that critical junction: they posted a GAAP net loss of $22.1 million, or $0.41 per share, which missed consensus estimates. But still, the operational picture is clearer. They managed to reduce their research and development (R&D) expenses to $17.4 million for the quarter, and with cash, cash equivalents, and investments totaling $66.5 million as of September 30, 2025, the company projects a runway into Q1 2027.
That cash cushion is your margin of safety, but the real upside is in the data: the ASPEN-06 trial showed a compelling 65.0% objective response rate (ORR) for evorpacept in HER2-positive gastric cancer patients with high CD47 expression, compared to just 26.1% for the control group. That's a huge difference, but you need to know exactly how they plan to turn that clinical signal into a sustainable financial model before that Q1 2027 deadline hits. Let's break down the risks and opportunities.
Revenue Analysis
You need to understand this right away: ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. (ALXO) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company, and that means their revenue story is simple-it's currently $0.00. The company is in the business of developing novel therapies, not selling them yet, so traditional revenue metrics don't apply.
For the first three quarters of the 2025 fiscal year, ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. reported $0.00 in revenue, which was exactly what Wall Street analysts expected. This isn't a red flag; it's the standard financial profile for a biotech firm focused entirely on getting its lead candidates, like evorpacept, through clinical trials. Your focus here shouldn't be on sales growth, but on the cash burn rate, clinical milestones, and cash runway.
Here's the quick math on their non-existent revenue streams for 2025:
| Period | Reported Revenue (USD) | Analyst Consensus | Primary Revenue Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | $0.00 | $0.00 | None (Clinical-Stage) |
| Q2 2025 | $0.00 | $0.00 | None (Clinical-Stage) |
| Q3 2025 | $0.00 | $0.00 | None (Clinical-Stage) |
Since the company has not commercialized any product, the year-over-year revenue growth rate from 2024 to 2025 is effectively N/A (not applicable) or 0% from a zero base. The last time the company reported any revenue was in 2020, at $1.18 million, which came from a collaboration agreement. That stream has since dried up, leaving their entire financial performance tied to research and development (R&D) expenses and capital raises.
To be fair, the real value driver is their pipeline, not a sales ledger. The entire business segment is essentially 'Drug Development,' with all resources pouring into two key programs: evorpacept (a CD47 inhibitor) and ALX2004 (an EGFR-targeted antibody-drug conjugate or ADC). Clinical data is the only currency that matters right now.
This is defintely where the risk and opportunity map out. The opportunity is a massive revenue inflection point if a drug is approved; the risk is the continued cash burn until then. For example, the Q3 2025 GAAP net loss was $22.1 million, a figure that shows the cost of doing business in this high-stakes sector. Breaking Down ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. (ALXO) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors is about understanding this trade-off.
Instead of revenue, track these clinical milestones as your proxy for value:
- Interim data from the ASPEN-Breast trial, expected in Q3 2026.
- Initial safety data for ALX2004, anticipated in the first half of 2026.
- Cash reserves of $66.5 million as of September 30, 2025, which funds operations into Q1 2027.
The lack of revenue is a feature, not a bug, of a pre-commercial biotech. Your action should be to monitor R&D spending efficiency and the clinical trial readout dates, not a quarterly sales number.
Profitability Metrics
You're looking at ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. (ALXO) and its profitability, and the direct takeaway is simple: as a clinical-stage biotech company, ALXO is pre-revenue, so its profitability metrics are deep in the negative, which is actually normal for this stage. The real story here is in the cost management of its operating loss.
For the trailing twelve months (TTM) ending September 30, 2025, ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. reported no revenue, meaning the traditional profitability margins-Gross Profit Margin, Operating Profit Margin, and Net Profit Margin-are all effectively 0% or non-meaningful. This is a critical point to understand: a company like this is valued on its pipeline progress, not current sales.
Here's the quick math on the losses for the TTM period ending Q3 2025:
- Gross Profit: Approximately $0 (or a negligible loss of around ($402.0K)).
- Operating Loss: ($108.44 million).
- Net Loss: ($108.01 million).
The operating and net losses are almost identical because the company has minimal non-operating expenses or income, highlighting that the entire loss stems from core operations, specifically Research and Development (R&D) and General and Administrative (G&A) expenses. The company is burning cash to advance its lead candidate, evorpacept, and its novel EGFR-targeted ADC, ALX2004.
Trends in Operational Efficiency and Loss Reduction
While the company is losing money, the trend in 2025 shows a clear effort in operational efficiency and cost management. The quarterly net loss has been defintely decreasing throughout the year, primarily driven by R&D expense reduction.
The significant drop in R&D expenses is the key trend. In Q3 2025, R&D expenses fell to $17.4 million, down from $26.5 million in the prior-year period. This decrease is attributed to reduced manufacturing of clinical trial materials and a strategic pipeline prioritization. This is a clear, actionable move to extend the cash runway, which is now projected to fund operations into the first quarter of 2027.
To be fair, a decreasing loss in a clinical-stage biotech often means successful cost control, but it can also signal a slowdown in R&D investment. In ALX Oncology Holdings Inc.'s case, the management has framed this as a strategic optimization of the evorpacept clinical program, which is a positive sign for capital management.
A look at the quarterly GAAP net loss shows the trend:
| Metric | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| GAAP Net Loss | ($30.8 million) | ($25.9 million) | ($22.1 million) |
| R&D Expenses | $23.9 million | $18.0 million | $17.4 million |
Industry Context: A Qualitative Comparison
Comparing ALX Oncology Holdings Inc.'s profitability ratios to the broader biotechnology industry is tricky because the industry includes massive, profitable pharmaceutical companies like Amgen and AstraZeneca. However, comparing it to other clinical-stage oncology biotechs, the picture is consistent: negative profitability is the norm.
The focus for investors in this sector isn't on the net margin, but on the burn rate and the efficiency of R&D spending. The biotechnology industry is knowledge-intensive, with R&D being the largest cost component. ALX Oncology Holdings Inc.'s TTM operating loss of ($108.44 million) reflects this reality. The key is that the company is demonstrating an ability to manage that burn rate, as seen in the reduction of R&D expenses in 2025.
The company's ability to strategically reduce R&D costs while still advancing its pipeline-with Phase 2 trials for evorpacept on track and a Phase 1 trial for ALX2004 enrolling patients in Q4 2025-suggests a focused use of capital, which is a sign of good management in a pre-commercial environment. If you want to dig deeper into who is funding this burn, you can check out Exploring ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. (ALXO) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Debt vs. Equity Structure
ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. (ALXO) operates with a highly conservative financial structure, relying overwhelmingly on equity financing to fund its clinical-stage drug development. This is defintely the norm for a pre-revenue biotechnology company. As of the third quarter of 2025, the company's debt-to-equity (D/E) ratio stood at approximately 0.224, which is low and signals minimal financial leverage.
Overview of ALXO's Debt Levels (2025 Fiscal Year)
The company maintains a very small debt footprint, which is a key indicator of its low-risk financing strategy. For a clinical-stage biotech, this means their operations are primarily supported by cash reserves from stock offerings, not interest-bearing loans. Total liabilities for ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. were reported at $37.923 million as of September 30, 2025, but the vast majority of this is non-debt liabilities like accrued expenses, not bank loans or corporate bonds.
The long-term debt component, which often includes capital lease obligations, was minimal, hovering around $9.77 million in Q3 2025. Short-term debt is negligible, reflecting a business model focused on cash runway extension rather than operational borrowing. The current cash, cash equivalents, and investments of $66.464 million as of Q3 2025 are sufficient to fund planned operations into the first quarter of 2027. That's a strong cash position.
- Total Liabilities (Q3 2025): $37.923 million
- Long-Term Debt (Q3 2025): ~$9.77 million
- Cash, Equivalents, and Investments (Q3 2025): $66.464 million
Debt-to-Equity Ratio and Industry Comparison
The Debt-to-Equity ratio measures how much debt a company uses to finance its assets relative to the value of shareholders' equity. For ALX Oncology Holdings Inc., the calculated D/E ratio is approximately 0.224 (based on Q3 2025 figures), which is an exceptionally low level of leverage. This compares favorably to the broader Biotechnology industry average, which sits at about 0.17 as of November 2025. Honestly, anything below 1.0 is generally considered healthy, but for a biotech, a low ratio is crucial.
Here's the quick math using the Q3 2025 balance sheet data (Total Equity of $44.8 million) and an estimated total debt of $10.04 million: $10.04M / $44.8M = 0.224. This shows the company is funding its clinical trials and research almost entirely with shareholder capital, minimizing interest rate risk.
| Metric | ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. (Q3 2025) | Biotechnology Industry Average (2025) | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 0.224 | 0.17 | Low leverage, slightly above the industry average but still very conservative. |
| Total Equity | ~$44.8 million | N/A | Primary source of funding. |
| Total Debt (Estimated) | ~$10.04 million | N/A | Minimal debt exposure. |
Balancing Debt and Equity Financing
ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. has no recent history of major debt issuances or credit rating activity because its growth strategy is fundamentally equity-driven. This approach is typical for companies in the clinical trial phase, where revenue is non-existent and the primary asset is intellectual property. The company raises capital through equity offerings (selling new shares) to fund its costly clinical programs, such as the development of its lead therapeutic candidate, evorpacept. This strategy avoids the fixed interest payments and principal repayment risks associated with debt, which is smart when cash flow is negative.
The trade-off is shareholder dilution, but that's the cost of advancing a promising pipeline. To understand their long-term strategy, you should review the Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. (ALXO).
Actionable Insight: Since the D/E is low, the immediate risk is not solvency, but cash burn. Keep a close eye on the quarterly cash burn rate against the Q1 2027 cash runway projection. Finance: Track quarterly cash burn against the $66.464 million reserve.
Liquidity and Solvency
You need to know if ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. (ALXO) has the cash to keep its clinical trials running, and the short answer is yes, for the near-term. The company maintains a strong liquidity position, but like all clinical-stage biotechs, it's burning cash to fund its research pipeline. The key strength is the projected cash runway into the first quarter of 2027.
Assessing ALX Oncology Holdings Inc.'s Liquidity
The company's ability to cover its short-term debt is excellent. As of the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, the Current Ratio and the Quick Ratio were both a robust 4.52. This is a crucial metric for a biotech because it tells you their liquid assets (cash, short-term investments) far outweigh their short-term liabilities. The fact that the two ratios are identical signals that inventory is negligible, meaning nearly all current assets are highly liquid cash and investments. That's defintely a good sign.
Here's the quick math on their cash position and burn rate, which maps out the working capital trend:
- Cash, Cash Equivalents, and Investments (Q1 2025): $107.0 million
- Cash, Cash Equivalents, and Investments (Q2 2025): $83.5 million
- Cash, Cash Equivalents, and Investments (Q3 2025): $66.5 million
This trend shows a consistent drawdown of their cash reserves-a negative working capital trend, which is the cost of doing business when you have a pre-revenue pipeline. The cash balance dropped by over $40 million in the first nine months of 2025, but the remaining $66.5 million is still enough to fund operations into Q1 2027.
Cash Flow Dynamics and Runway
The cash flow statement overview for ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. highlights the core challenge and the strategic response of a clinical-stage firm. The negative operating cash flow is the primary driver of the cash burn.
| Cash Flow Component (Q3 2025) | Trend/Value | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow (OCF) | Negative (GAAP Net Loss of $22.1 million) | Funding clinical trials (R&D expenses of $17.4 million) drives the cash burn. |
| Investing Cash Flow (ICF) | Historically volatile, often positive or managed for liquidity. | The company actively manages its investment portfolio to maintain a liquid balance sheet. |
| Financing Cash Flow (FCF) | Primary source of funding (past equity raises). | Will be the source of future capital if the cash runway shortens past Q1 2027 without a partnership. |
The company is managing its expenses, with the Q3 2025 GAAP net loss of $22.1 million being lower than the $30.7 million loss from the same period last year. This is due to a decrease in R&D expenses, which fell from $26.5 million to $17.4 million. This cost control extends the cash runway, a critical action for a development-stage company. The liquidity strength is the high ratio of current assets to liabilities, but the concern is the continuous operating drain. Investors need to watch the Breaking Down ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. (ALXO) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors for updates on the cash runway and clinical milestones.
Valuation Analysis
When assessing ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. (ALXO), a clinical-stage biotech company, the traditional valuation ratios are not the primary drivers of the stock price, but they give us a clear picture of its pre-revenue financial reality. The direct takeaway is that while the company is technically 'undervalued' on a Price-to-Book basis, its negative earnings and high volatility confirm it's a high-risk, high-reward bet on the success of its drug pipeline, particularly its lead candidate, evorpacept.
You're not buying a company with stable cash flow; you're buying intellectual property (IP) and clinical trial success. That's the quick math here.
Is ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. Overvalued or Undervalued?
Based on analyst consensus, ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. is currently considered a Moderate Buy, suggesting analysts believe the stock is undervalued relative to its potential. The average 12-month price target from analysts sits between $3.30 and $3.50, which implies an upside of over 100% from the recent trading price of around $1.38 (as of November 14, 2025). This bullish view is fundamentally tied to the success of their clinical programs, not current financials.
Here is a breakdown of the key valuation multiples for the 2025 fiscal year:
- Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: The TTM (Trailing Twelve Months) P/E ratio is negative, cited around -0.60 to -0.68. This is expected because the company is not yet profitable, with analysts projecting a 2025 year-end EPS of approximately -$2.76. The negative P/E is essentially meaningless for a clinical-stage biotech; it simply confirms the company is in the research and development (R&D) phase.
- Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: The P/B ratio is approximately 0.77 to 0.97. A ratio below 1.0 would typically signal an undervalued company, meaning the stock trades for less than the value of its net assets (Book Value). However, for a biotech, the true value is in its un-booked IP and pipeline, not its tangible assets. What this estimate hides is the binary risk of clinical failure.
- Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA): This ratio is also not a primary tool here, as the company has essentially $0.00 in revenue and a negative EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) due to its significant net loss of approximately -$134.85 million TTM. The Enterprise Value is around $77.46 million. The negative EBITDA makes the ratio negative, confirming the company is burning cash to fund its drug development.
Stock Price Volatility and Analyst View
The stock price trend over the last 12 months (52 weeks) shows extreme volatility, which is typical for the sector. The price has traded in a wide range, from a 52-week low of $0.40 to a high of $2.27. The recent price of $1.38 (November 2025) is closer to the middle of this range, reflecting a market grappling with recent Q3 2025 earnings where the company missed consensus EPS estimates by $0.04, reporting a loss of ($0.41) per share.
The analyst consensus is a crucial signal for a biotech like this. The majority of firms covering the stock have a 'Buy' rating, with five Buy ratings, one Hold, and one Sell out of seven analysts. This 'Moderate Buy' consensus is a vote of confidence in the clinical data for evorpacept, their lead therapeutic candidate, which is currently being evaluated in multiple trials. The company's cash runway is currently extended into Q1 2027, which buys them time to hit critical pipeline milestones.
For a deeper dive into who is making these bets on the company's future, you should consider Exploring ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. (ALXO) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Dividend Policy
As a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused exclusively on R&D, ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. does not pay a dividend. The dividend yield is 0.00%, and the payout ratio is N/A. All capital is being funneled back into clinical trials and pipeline development, which is the correct capital allocation strategy for a growth-focused biotech.
Risk Factors
You need to look past the promising clinical data and confront the core risks for ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. (ALXO). As a clinical-stage biotech, the company's valuation is almost entirely tied to its pipeline success, so the financial health is a function of its burn rate against its cash runway. Here's the quick math on their financial position as of Q3 2025: cash, cash equivalents, and investments totaled $66.5 million as of September 30, 2025. This is expected to fund operations into Q1 2027. That runway is a clear, finite limit.
The operational and strategic risks are front and center in their recent filings. The most significant strategic risk is the reliance on their lead candidate, evorpacept, and the need for a successful pivot. They reported a GAAP net loss of $22.1 million for Q3 2025, driven largely by research and development (R&D) expenses of $17.4 million. That burn rate, while improved from the prior year, means they defintely need a high-impact clinical win to justify a future capital raise.
A major external risk materialized when the company chose to not pursue U.S. registration for evorpacept in gastric cancer. This was a direct result of FDA feedback indicating that accelerated approval was not feasible, partly because a competitor's drug, ENHERTU, has become the standard of care. This is a clear example of market and regulatory risk hitting hard, forcing a strategic retreat from a key indication.
The internal risks are common in oncology drug development, but still critical:
- Clinical Trial Risk: The success of evorpacept now hinges on the Phase 2 ASPEN-09-Breast Cancer trial and the Phase 1 trial for ALX2004. If those results disappoint, the stock will be hit hard.
- Safety and Toxicity: Historically, the conventional approach to CD47 targeting has been associated with significant toxicities. While evorpacept aims to mitigate this, any unexpected safety signals in ongoing trials would be catastrophic.
- Biomarker Dependence: The entire new strategy is built on CD47 expression acting as a reliable predictive biomarker for evorpacept efficacy. If this biomarker-driven approach fails in the breast cancer trial, the development path becomes murky.
To be fair, the company has taken clear action to mitigate these risks. They've strategically focused their evorpacept development to a biomarker-driven approach-only targeting patients with high CD47 expression-which significantly improved the objective response rate (ORR) to 65% in the CD47-high gastric cancer subgroup, compared to 26% in the control arm. This pivot is designed to increase the probability of success in the Phase 2 breast cancer trial and conserve capital, extending the cash runway into Q1 2027. Plus, they've strengthened their leadership by appointing a new Chief Medical Officer, Barbara Klencke, M.D., and adopted a 2025 Inducement Equity Plan to attract talent.
The financial and strategic health of ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. is now a story of focused execution on a narrower, but more targeted, pipeline. You can read more about their corporate objectives here: Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. (ALXO).
Growth Opportunities
You're looking at a clinical-stage biotech, ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. (ALXO), which means near-term revenue is zero, but the future value hinges entirely on pipeline execution. The consensus analyst forecast for 2025 revenue is, predictably, $0, as they have no commercial product yet. However, the real growth story is in their lead candidate, evorpacept, and a new, differentiated asset, ALX2004.
The company is laser-focused on a biomarker-driven strategy, which is the smart way to de-risk a drug. They've shown that high expression of the CD47 protein on tumors is a key predictive biomarker for evorpacept's success, particularly in HER2-positive gastric cancer. This is a clear, actionable insight for their clinical trials going forward.
Evorpacept: A Targeted Immuno-Oncology Driver
Evorpacept is a CD47 blocker designed to prevent cancer cells from signaling 'don't eat me' to the immune system's macrophages (a type of white blood cell). Its competitive edge is a proprietary Fc domain that minimizes the anemia often seen with other CD47-targeting therapies. This is a defintely important safety differentiator.
The core growth opportunity is expanding this targeted approach, which is why the Phase 2 trial (ASPEN-Breast) in HER2-positive breast cancer, using the CD47 biomarker, is a critical near-term milestone. That trial is on track to dose its first patient in the fourth quarter of 2025. The clinical data from the gastric cancer trial is compelling: in patients with high CD47 expression, the median Overall Survival (OS) for the evorpacept arm was 17 months, compared to about 10 months in the control arm.
- Biomarker Validation: CD47 high expression drives superior clinical outcomes.
- Breast Cancer Focus: Targets a high unmet need in patients who have progressed on standard therapies.
- Sanofi Partnership: Collaboration with Sanofi on the UMBRELLA study for multiple myeloma is now in the dose optimization phase, validating the drug's potential in blood cancers too.
Future Revenue Projections and Financial Reality
While 2025 revenue is zero, the financial picture is one of controlled burn. The average analyst earnings forecast for the full 2025 fiscal year is a net loss of approximately -$96,041,767. This is typical for a clinical-stage biotech. The company is managing its cash well, reporting a cash balance of $67 million in Q3 2025, which extends its runway into the first quarter of 2027. This gives them the necessary capital to hit key clinical milestones before needing to raise more funds.
| Financial Metric (2025 FY Estimate) | Value | Note |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Projection | $0 | Clinical-stage company. |
| Average Net Loss Forecast | -$96,041,767 | Based on 6 Wall Street analysts. |
| Q3 2025 Net Loss | $22.1 million | Reported loss for the quarter. |
| Cash Runway Extension | Into Q1 2027 | Sufficient capital to fund operations. |
Diversification with ALX2004
The company is not a one-trick pony; they are diversifying their pipeline with ALX2004, a novel EGFR-targeted antibody-drug conjugate (ADC). This is a completely different mechanism of action, which reduces platform risk. ALX2004 entered a Phase 1 trial in August 2025 and is currently enrolling patients. Initial safety data is expected in the first half of 2026. This in-house innovation shows a commitment to building a sustainable pipeline beyond their lead asset. For a deeper dive into the risks and valuation models, you should read the full post: Breaking Down ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. (ALXO) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.

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