Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. (BPTH) Bundle
You're looking at Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. (BPTH) and seeing a high-risk, high-reward biotech play, but the near-term financial picture is defintely challenging; the core issue is a persistent cash burn against a delayed financial update.
Honestly, the company's Q3 2025 financial health is a massive question mark right now, given the November 17, 2025, filing of a Form 12b-25, which signals a late 10-Q due to a change in management, so we don't have the final numbers. What we do know is that the Q1 2025 net loss per share was already $(0.40), and with the stock trading near $0.10 as of mid-November 2025, liquidity is the main concern, especially when the most recent analyst price target from Roth Capital was lowered to a mere $2 back in June. This is a classic clinical-stage biotech situation: the science, like the expansion of their DNAbilize® platform into obesity treatment with BP1001-A, is exciting, but the cash runway is terrifyingly short.
Revenue Analysis
You need to understand one thing right out of the gate: Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. (BPTH) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which means its revenue line is essentially non-existent. For the 2025 fiscal year, the actual revenue reported for the first half was $0.00, and analyst estimates for the remainder of the year are also pegged at $0.00. This isn't a surprise; it's the standard financial profile for a company focused on drug development, not drug sales.
The primary revenue stream for BPTH isn't product sales-it's capital raises and potential milestone payments from partners, though the latter hasn't materialized to generate revenue yet. This means the company's operations are entirely funded by investor capital, which is why you see a net loss of $9.9 million for the full year 2024, offset by $10.7 million in net cash from financing activities that same year. That's the quick math on how they keep the lights on and the trials running.
When we look at the year-over-year revenue growth rate, the number is technically 0% because the revenue was $0.00 in both 2024 and the reported quarters of 2025. This lack of change is the story itself. The company is in the high-risk, high-reward phase of its lifecycle, where its value is tied to its pipeline success, not its current sales. You're investing in a future event, not current cash flow. If you want to dive deeper into where that funding is coming from, you should check out Exploring Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. (BPTH) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Since there is no commercial product, there is no revenue contribution from different business segments. The company's value is locked up in its clinical candidates, all built on the proprietary DNAbilize® antisense RNAi nanoparticle technology. The key segments that will eventually drive revenue are:
- Oncology: Lead candidate prexigebersen (BP1001) for blood cancers, like Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML).
- Solid Tumors/Obesity: BP1001-A, a modification of prexigebersen, being evaluated for solid tumors and, notably, as a treatment for obesity in Type 2 diabetes patients.
- New Targets: BP1002 (targeting Bcl-2 protein) and the expected IND filing for BP1003 (targeting STAT3).
The most defintely significant change in the revenue outlook is the continued advancement of these clinical programs, particularly the promising preclinical results for BP1001-A in obesity, which could open up massive licensing opportunities down the road. A successful Phase 2 trial is the only revenue stream that matters right now.
Here's a clear view of the recent revenue figures:
| Period | Revenue (Actual) | YoY Growth Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Full Year 2024 | $0.00 | N/A (Pre-revenue) |
| Q1 2025 (Mar) | $0.00 | N/A |
| Q2 2025 (Jun) | $0.00 | N/A |
What this estimate hides is the potential for a massive, sudden revenue spike from a licensing deal or partnership, which is how a clinical-stage biotech typically transitions from zero revenue to a significant top line. Until then, watch the cash burn, which was $10.6 million in operating activities in 2024.
Profitability Metrics
You're looking for a clear picture of Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. (BPTH)'s profitability, and the direct takeaway is simple: as a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. is currently pre-revenue, meaning its core profitability metrics are, by definition, negative. The company's financial health is dictated by its cash burn and R&D spend, not sales.
In the 2025 fiscal year, the consensus revenue forecast for Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. is $0.000 million. This is typical for a biotech focused on advancing its drug candidates like prexigebersen (BP1001) through clinical trials. Consequently, all traditional profit margins are either zero or deeply negative, reflecting the high-cost, no-sales nature of the drug development lifecycle. We must look at the loss figures to understand operational efficiency.
Gross, Operating, and Net Profit Margins
Since Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. has no product sales, its Gross Profit is $0.000 million, giving it a 0% Gross Profit Margin. The real story is told further down the income statement, where the costs of running the business and funding clinical trials are recorded. Here's the quick math on the losses for the trailing twelve months (TTM) as of late 2025, which provides the most current view of the fiscal year performance:
- Gross Profit Margin: 0% (No product revenue to date).
- Operating Profit (EBITDA TTM): -$12.35 million.
- Net Profit (Net Loss TTM): -$12.32 million.
The Operating Profit (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization, or EBITDA) is a loss of $12.35 million. This is essentially the company's cash burn from core operations. The Net Loss of $12.32 million is very close to the operating loss, which tells you that non-operating items like interest and taxes are minimal. The Net Profit Margin is not a useful metric here; it's an extremely large negative number because the denominator (revenue) is zero. It's better to focus on the loss amount itself.
Trends and Operational Efficiency
The trend in profitability for Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. has been consistently negative, but the magnitude of the loss is improving, which is a key signal. The net loss for the full year 2024 was $9.9 million, a significant reduction from the $16.1 million loss reported in 2023. This improvement is a function of cost management, specifically a decrease in Research and Development (R&D) expense, which dropped to $7.3 million in 2024 from $11.6 million in 2023.
Here's what that 2024 cost trend shows about operational efficiency:
- R&D Cost Management: The $4.3 million drop in R&D expense year-over-year is a positive sign of disciplined spending, even as they advance their Phase 2 AML trial.
- G&A Increase: General and Administrative (G&A) expenses, however, saw a slight increase to $4.7 million in 2024, up from $4.2 million in 2023. This is something to watch, as G&A should be tightly controlled in a pre-commercial company.
The company is unprofitable, but it is defintely managing its cash better to extend its runway.
Industry Comparison: A Different Game
Comparing Bio-Path Holdings, Inc.'s profitability ratios to the broader Biotechnology industry averages is like comparing a seed to a fully grown tree; they are in different stages of life. The average U.S. Pharmaceutical/Biotech company has an average Return on Equity (ROE) of approximately 10.49%, and the industry as a whole has seen earnings growing at 22.4% annually.
Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. cannot be compared on these metrics. It has a negative ROE and negative margins because it is an early-stage company investing heavily in R&D to create future revenue. The true measure of success for Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. right now is not profitability, but clinical milestones and cash runway. You need to focus on the progress of their lead drug candidate, prexigebersen (BP1001), and its potential for commercialization, which you can read more about in Breaking Down Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. (BPTH) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
Debt vs. Equity Structure
The capital structure of Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. (BPTH) is highly unusual for a public company, defined by exceptionally low debt but a critical problem: negative shareholder equity. This means the company's total liabilities exceed its total assets, a major red flag for investors.
As of the most recent data, Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. has total debt of approximately $422.0K, which is low for a company in the clinical-stage biotechnology space. This debt is primarily short-term, including a recent promissory note issuance of $0.14 million in March 2025. They are not carrying significant long-term debt, which is common for development-stage biotech firms that rely on equity financing to fund R&D rather than traditional bank loans.
The Negative Equity Reality
You need to focus on the denominator of the Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio. Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. reports a total shareholder equity of approximately $-7.2 million. Here's the quick math on the ratio:
- Total Debt: $422.0K
- Shareholder Equity: $-7.2M
- Debt-to-Equity Ratio: -0.059 (or -5.9%)
A negative D/E ratio is not a sign of zero risk; it's a sign of financial distress. It means the company has accumulated losses that have eroded the initial capital and retained earnings, pushing the equity value below zero. The industry average D/E ratio for Biotechnology is around 0.17 as of November 2025, indicating that most peers maintain a small, healthy amount of debt relative to their equity. Bio-Path Holdings, Inc.'s negative ratio is defintely a stark outlier.
Financing and Near-Term Risk
Since Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. cannot rely on retained earnings or significant debt, its primary source of funding is, and will remain, equity. This means raising capital by selling new shares, which leads directly to shareholder dilution. The company's recent financing activity confirms this reliance:
- Short-Term Debt: A small promissory note of $161,000 was issued in March 2025 to cover immediate working capital needs.
- Equity Focus: The lack of a credit rating and the high-risk profile means debt financing is scarce and expensive, forcing a continuous cycle of equity funding.
Honesty, the biggest near-term risk is the November 2025 SEC filing that disclosed the company is actively seeking financing for strategic actions and faces a 'going concern' doubt if they fail to raise the necessary capital. What this estimate hides is the speed at which their cash is being used for clinical trials, which you can read more about in their Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. (BPTH).
The balance is clear: Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. has virtually no long-term debt to service, but it is entirely dependent on the capital markets to fund its operations and clinical milestones. For you, this translates to a high probability of significant future share dilution to keep the lights on and the trials running.
Liquidity and Solvency
You need a clear picture of Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. (BPTH)'s ability to meet its near-term obligations, and honestly, the numbers paint a stark, dual-sided story. While the traditional liquidity ratios look exceptional, the underlying cash flow trends and cash runway signal significant financial risk. The company is a clinical-stage biotech, so cash burn is the main metric to watch, and their financing activities are the only thing keeping the lights on.
Assessing Bio-Path Holdings, Inc.'s Liquidity
The headline liquidity ratios for Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. are technically strong, but misleading. As of the latest available data (TTM ended June 30, 2025), the company's Current Assets were approximately $9.59 million, versus Current Liabilities of about $937 thousand. Here's the quick math:
- Current Ratio (Current Assets / Current Liabilities): 10.23X (Calculated from $9.59M / $0.937M)
- Quick Ratio (Acid-Test Ratio): Likely near 10.2X, as clinical-stage biotechs typically hold negligible inventory.
A ratio over 2.0X is generally considered healthy, so 10.23X looks fantastic. But what this estimate hides is the tiny denominator: Current Liabilities are extremely low. The high ratio is a function of minimal short-term debt, not massive operational cash. The stated Working Capital (Current Assets minus Current Liabilities) is approximately $1.14 million, which is a small cushion for a company with high research and development costs.
Cash Flow Statements Overview: The Real Story
The cash flow statement is where the operational reality of Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. becomes clear. The company is in the development phase, meaning it's burning cash to fund clinical trials, which is the norm, but the rate of burn is critical. The trend shows a consistent reliance on external funding to cover operational shortfalls.
For the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended June 30, 2025, the key cash flow trends were:
| Cash Flow Activity | TTM Ended Jun 30, 2025 (in millions USD) | Trend Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow (OCF) | -$7.91 million | Consistent cash burn from R&D and G&A expenses. |
| Investing Cash Flow (ICF) | $0 | Negligible capital expenditures, typical for a virtual/asset-light biotech. |
| Financing Cash Flow (FCF) | $3.9 million | Positive, driven by new stock issuance to fund operations. |
| Net Change in Cash | -$4.01 million | The cash raised from financing was not enough to cover the operating burn. |
The negative $7.91 million in Operating Cash Flow is the true cost of running the business. The positive $3.9 million in Financing Cash Flow-mostly from issuing new stock-is how they offset some of that burn, but it still resulted in a net cash decrease of $4.01 million. This is why the working capital trend, while showing a positive change of $4.61 million, is entirely dependent on capital raises, not profitable operations.
Near-Term Liquidity Concerns and Action
The primary concern is the company's cash runway-the time until its cash balance hits zero based on the current burn rate. Current estimates indicate Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. has a cash runway of less than a year based on its current free cash flow. This is the single most important metric for a clinical-stage firm. They will defintely need to raise more capital, likely through another dilutive equity offering, to fund their ongoing Phase 2 AML trial and other pipeline developments. This is why analyst firms like Roth Capital lowered their price targets in June 2025, citing these very liquidity concerns.
This precarious position is underscored by the high financial distress signal: the company has an estimated 85% Probability of Bankruptcy. For investors, this means the high-risk/high-reward profile is tilted heavily toward risk until a successful clinical milestone is reached or a major financing round is secured. You need to monitor their next capital raise closely; it's a matter of when, not if. For a deeper dive into the company's long-term vision, you can review their Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. (BPTH).
Valuation Analysis
You're looking at Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. (BPTH) and asking the core question: Is it overvalued or undervalued? The short answer is that traditional metrics suggest it is technically undervalued relative to analyst targets, but this huge gap is a direct measure of its extreme risk. As a clinical-stage biotech, its valuation isn't about current earnings; it's a binary bet on the success of its lead asset, prexigebersen, which targets Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML).
Honestly, the standard valuation ratios we use for mature companies-like price-to-earnings (P/E) and enterprise value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)-are largely useless here. Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. is pre-revenue, meaning it has negative earnings and negative EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization). For instance, as of November 2025, the P/E ratio is effectively 0.00, reflecting its unprofitability. The EV/EBITDA ratio is also negative, sitting around -0.1x.
What you should watch instead is the price-to-book (P/B) ratio, which compares the stock price to the company's net asset value. Even this is distorted because the company has negative equity, putting the P/B around -0.1x. This tells you the market is valuing the company almost entirely on its intellectual property and pipeline potential, not its balance sheet. That's the nature of the game in early-stage oncology.
The stock price trend over the last 12 months shows the volatility of this high-risk, high-reward profile. As of November 2025, the stock was trading around $0.0860 per share. But look at the 52-week range: it swung from a low of $0.0540 to a high of $3.39. That's a massive move, and it shows how quickly the price can change on a single clinical trial update or a financing event.
Here's the quick math on analyst sentiment: The consensus view is that the stock is defintely undervalued if the pipeline succeeds. The average one-year price target from analysts is about $2.04, with a range from $2.02 to $2.10. Compared to the current price, that implies a potential upside of over 2,000%. To be fair, one firm, Roth Capital, did lower its price target to $2.00 back in June 2025. This extreme disparity between the current price and the target price is the clearest sign of the market's skepticism about the probability of clinical success.
- Current Price (Nov 2025): $0.0860
- 52-Week High: $3.39
- Analyst Average Target: $2.04
- Analyst Consensus: Mixed, leaning toward 'Hold'
One final point: Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. does not pay a dividend, which is standard for a company focused on capital-intensive drug development. Every dollar goes back into clinical trials for its DNAbilize® platform. If you want to dive deeper into who is taking this risk, you should be Exploring Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. (BPTH) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Action: Monitor Phase 2 trial updates for prexigebersen, as these are the only true drivers of valuation right now.
Risk Factors
You're looking at Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. (BPTH), a clinical-stage biotech, and what you need to know is that the risks are not theoretical; they are immediate and financial. The direct takeaway is this: the company faces an acute liquidity crisis and significant clinical development hurdles, making it a high-risk, high-reward proposition.
Honestly, the most pressing issue is cash. For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024, Bio-Path Holdings reported a net loss of approximately $9.9 million. This high cash burn rate, coupled with a year-end cash position of only $1.2 million, suggests a critical need for near-term financing. That kind of runway is defintely short, and it's why analysts estimate the company has less than one year of cash left.
Financial and Operational Risks: The Cash Crunch
The financial risk is stark. Macroaxis, a financial analysis firm, calculated Bio-Path Holdings' Probability of Bankruptcy at a staggering 85% based on recent financial disclosures. This is a red flag you cannot ignore. The company's strategy hinges on securing additional capital, but the dilutive nature of recent financing-like the private placement of common stock and warrants-signals a challenging capital market environment. This is a classic biotech challenge: you need money to prove the drug works, but raising money dilutes existing shareholders.
Here's the quick math on the burn rate versus cash on hand, based on the 2024 fiscal year data:
| Metric | Value (FY 2024) |
|---|---|
| Net Loss | $9.9 million |
| Net Cash Used in Operating Activities | $10.6 million |
| Cash on Hand (Dec 31, 2024) | $1.2 million |
Clinical and Regulatory Hurdles
The core strategic risk is the drug pipeline itself. Bio-Path Holdings is a clinical-stage company, meaning it has no revenue, and its value is entirely tied to the success of its drug candidates, like prexigebersen (BP1001) and BP1002. Clinical trials are expensive, time-consuming, and prone to failure.
- FDA Approval Risk: If they cannot demonstrate safety and efficacy through extensive clinical trials, they will not get the necessary regulatory approval to market the drugs.
- Enrollment Challenges: They have already discontinued enrollment in a Phase 1 trial for BP1002 (targeting refractory/relapsed lymphoma and CLL) due to patient enrollment difficulties. This slows progress and wastes capital.
- Competition: The oncology and obesity spaces are highly competitive. Even if successful, their proprietary DNAbilize® technology must compete with established players and new gene therapies.
To be fair, the company is advancing its trials, such as progressing to the fourth, higher dose cohort of 90 mg/m² for BP1002 in refractory/relapsed Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML) patients. But still, a single clinical setback can wipe out years of work and investment.
External and Governance Risks
Beyond the lab, there are market and governance issues. The company has faced a potential delisting from the Nasdaq exchange because its stock price did not meet the minimum bid requirement, a deadline they had to address by June 10, 2025. This kind of non-compliance risk can further erode investor confidence.
Also, very recently, Bio-Path Holdings announced a delay in filing its Form 10-Q for the third quarter of 2025, which ended September 30, 2025. The reason cited was a change in management, which disrupted the timely compilation of information. While they anticipate no significant changes in financial results compared to the previous year, a delay in a crucial quarterly report due to management turnover is a clear governance risk.
Mitigation Strategies: The Pivot and Protection
The primary mitigation strategy is a strategic pivot and intellectual property defense. The company is strategically expanding the use of its DNAbilize® platform beyond oncology, specifically into the obesity and Type 2 diabetes space with BP1001-A. This diversification is smart, as it opens a massive new market, but it introduces new execution risks.
They are also fortifying their intellectual property, which is their lifeblood. They currently have three additional pending patent applications in the U.S. and five allowed patent applications in foreign jurisdictions, which is crucial for protecting their drug candidates from competitors.
For a deeper dive into the company's financial standing, you should read the full analysis in Breaking Down Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. (BPTH) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
Growth Opportunities
You're looking for the clear path forward for Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. (BPTH), and the story is all about their pipeline and the strategic pivot they've made. The near-term growth isn't about sales-as a clinical-stage biotech, their revenue is effectively $0.00 for the 2025 fiscal year, which is typical-but about advancing their proprietary technology into massive new markets.
The core growth driver is the DNAbilize® liposomal delivery and antisense technology. This platform is their competitive advantage, allowing targeted delivery of nucleic acid drugs to silence specific disease-driving messenger RNA (mRNA). This is a precise, innovative approach that has the potential to change treatment paradigms in oncology and beyond.
Here's the quick math on their recent performance: for the year ended December 31, 2024, the company reported a net loss of $9.9 million, or $4.12 per share. This loss is expected as they fund clinical trials, but it underscores the reliance on pipeline success for future value. For the second quarter of 2025 (FQ2 2025), the actual GAAP Earnings Per Share (EPS) was -$0.55, missing the consensus estimate.
The company's future value hinges on two key areas of product innovation and market expansion:
- Oncology Franchise: Advancing prexigebersen (BP1001) in a Phase 2 trial for Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML). The strategy here is to use molecular biomarkers to identify patients most likely to respond, which could significantly boost success rates and streamline the path to potential FDA approval.
- Metabolic Disorder Expansion: The strategic move into obesity treatment for Type 2 Diabetes patients with BP1001-A. This is a huge market opportunity, valued globally at over $100 billion. They are preparing to file an Investigational New Drug (IND) application with the FDA for this program later in 2025, following positive preclinical results showing enhanced insulin sensitivity.
The expansion into obesity treatment is defintely a smart move to diversify revenue streams away from a single therapeutic area. This is a critical strategic initiative that could generate substantial revenue if successful.
Analyst forecasts reflect the high-risk, high-reward nature of this biotech story. While the stock has seen volatility, the average one-year price target from analysts is around $2.04, with a high-end target of $12, suggesting significant potential upside if key clinical milestones are met. What this estimate hides, of course, is the binary risk of clinical trials. The company does maintain more cash than debt, but its Financial Health Score is a weak 1.43, so securing additional capital remains a key uncertainty.
The competitive advantage of Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. (BPTH) is its proprietary DNAbilize® technology, which is being leveraged to target areas of significant unmet medical need, such as venetoclax-resistant AML with BP1002. This focus on difficult-to-treat cancers and a major metabolic disorder puts them in a strong position if their science proves out.
For a deeper dive into who is betting on these clinical successes, you should be Exploring Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. (BPTH) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
| Metric | 2025 Fiscal Year Data/Target | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Projection | Effectively $0.00 | Typical for a clinical-stage biotech; value driven by pipeline. |
| FQ2 2025 GAAP EPS Actual | -$0.55 | Reflects ongoing R&D expenses and clinical trial costs. |
| Global Obesity Market Value | Over $100 billion | Target market for BP1001-A; massive long-term revenue potential. |
| Analyst Price Target (High) | $12.00 | Indicates significant upside potential contingent on clinical success. |
Next Step: Monitor the news flow closely for the IND filing for BP1001-A and the completion of Cohort 2 in the Phase 2 AML trial, as these are the most critical near-term catalysts for a decision change.

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