Breaking Down PENN Entertainment, Inc. (PENN) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

Breaking Down PENN Entertainment, Inc. (PENN) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

US | Consumer Cyclical | Gambling, Resorts & Casinos | NASDAQ

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Understanding PENN Entertainment, Inc. (PENN) Revenue Streams

Understanding PENN Entertainment’s Revenue Streams

The company generates its revenue from multiple sources, primarily categorized into gaming and food, beverage, hotel, and other services. Below is a detailed breakdown of these revenue streams.

Breakdown of Primary Revenue Sources

Revenue Source Q3 2024 Revenue (in millions) Q3 2023 Revenue (in millions) Change ($ million) Change (%)
Gaming 1,288.0 1,252.1 35.9 2.9%
Food, Beverage, Hotel, and Other 351.2 367.3 (16.1) (4.4)%
Total Revenue 1,639.2 1,619.4 19.8 1.2%

For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the revenue performance is as follows:

Revenue Source 9M 2024 Revenue (in millions) 9M 2023 Revenue (in millions) Change ($ million) Change (%)
Gaming 3,878.6 3,869.5 9.1 0.2%
Food, Beverage, Hotel, and Other 1,030.5 1,098.0 (67.5) (6.1)%
Total Revenue 4,909.1 4,967.5 (58.4) (1.2)%

Year-over-Year Revenue Growth Rate

The year-over-year revenue growth for the most recent quarter indicates a slight increase of 1.2% in total revenue. However, for the nine-month period, total revenue saw a decline of 1.2% compared to the previous year.

Contribution of Different Business Segments to Overall Revenue

In Q3 2024, gaming revenue accounted for approximately 78.9% of total revenue, while food, beverage, hotel, and other services contributed around 21.4%.

For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the contributions were similar, with gaming making up 78.9% and food, beverage, hotel, and other services at approximately 20.9%.

Analysis of Significant Changes in Revenue Streams

The increase in gaming revenue in Q3 2024 was primarily driven by improved performance in the Interactive segment, which benefited from better sports betting hold rates and a favorable mix of parlay bets. Conversely, the decline in food, beverage, hotel, and other revenues was attributed to decreased patronage, influenced by severe weather events affecting operations in the South segment.

Overall, while gaming remains robust, the challenges in food and beverage sectors reflect underlying operational hurdles that could affect future revenue stability.




A Deep Dive into PENN Entertainment, Inc. (PENN) Profitability

Profitability Metrics

Gross Profit Margin: For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, gross profit was $1,120.6 million on total revenues of $4,909.1 million, resulting in a gross profit margin of 22.8%. In comparison, for the same period in 2023, gross profit was $1,167.9 million on revenues of $4,967.5 million, yielding a gross profit margin of 23.5%.

Operating Profit Margin: Operating income for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was $120.6 million, which translates to an operating profit margin of 2.5%. This is a significant improvement from the loss of $381.8 million in the same period in 2023, which equated to an operating margin of (7.7)%.

Net Profit Margin: The net loss for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was $179.5 million, resulting in a net profit margin of (3.7)%. This is an improvement compared to a net loss of $132.6 million for the same period in 2023, which resulted in a net profit margin of (2.7)%.

Metric 2024 (YTD) 2023 (YTD)
Gross Profit $1,120.6 million $1,167.9 million
Gross Profit Margin 22.8% 23.5%
Operating Income $120.6 million $(381.8) million
Operating Profit Margin 2.5% (7.7)%
Net Loss $(179.5) million $(132.6) million
Net Profit Margin (3.7)% (2.7)%

Trends in Profitability: The company has shown a gradual recovery in operating profitability during 2024, with a marked improvement in operating income and margins compared to 2023. The gross profit margin has decreased slightly, indicating pressures on cost management, while the operating profit margin has rebounded from significant losses in the previous year.

Comparison with Industry Averages: The average gross profit margin for the gaming and hospitality industry is around 30%. Thus, the company's gross margin of 22.8% is below industry standards. The operating profit margin for the industry typically ranges from 10% to 15%, indicating that the company is currently underperforming in this area as well.

Operational Efficiency: For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, total operating expenses were $4,788.5 million, a decrease from $5,349.3 million in 2023. This reflects improved cost management strategies which have enhanced operational efficiency. Key expenses included:

  • Gaming Expenses: $2,576.7 million in 2024 vs. $2,149.1 million in 2023.
  • Food, Beverage, Hotel, and Other: $715.2 million in 2024 vs. $773.5 million in 2023.
  • General and Administrative: $1,170.1 million in 2024 vs. $1,179.6 million in 2023.
  • Depreciation and Amortization: $326.5 million in 2024 vs. $323.9 million in 2023.

The improved cost management has led to a decrease in total operating expenses, contributing positively to the company's profitability metrics.




Debt vs. Equity: How PENN Entertainment, Inc. (PENN) Finances Its Growth

Debt vs. Equity: How PENN Entertainment, Inc. Finances Its Growth

Overview of the Company's Debt Levels

As of September 30, 2024, the total aggregate principal amount of indebtedness for the company was $2.8 billion. This includes:

  • $1.5 billion outstanding under Amended Credit Facilities
  • $400.0 million under 5.625% Notes due 2027
  • $400.0 million under 4.125% Notes due 2029
  • $330.5 million under 2.75% Convertible Notes due 2026
  • $197.5 million in other long-term obligations

No amounts were drawn on the Amended Revolving Credit Facility, with $979.1 million available borrowing capacity remaining under it.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio and Comparison to Industry Standards

The debt-to-equity ratio for the company as of September 30, 2024, is calculated as follows:

Total Debt Total Equity Debt-to-Equity Ratio
$2.8 billion $3.06 billion 0.92

This ratio indicates that for every dollar of equity, the company has $0.92 in debt, which is within the industry standard range of 0.5 to 1.5 for similar companies in the gaming and entertainment sector.

Recent Debt Issuances and Credit Ratings

The company issued $330.5 million in unsecured convertible notes in May 2020. As of the latest reports, the credit rating stands at B2 from Moody's and B+ from S&P, reflecting a stable outlook.

Refinancing Activity

There has been no significant refinancing activity reported for the current fiscal year. The company has maintained its existing debt structure without early repayments or modifications.

Balancing Between Debt Financing and Equity Funding

The company effectively balances its financing strategy, utilizing both debt and equity funding. As of September 30, 2024, the total stockholders' equity was $3.06 billion, indicating a robust capital base that supports its debt obligations. The company’s recent capital expenditures, totaling $261.7 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, have been funded through a combination of cash flows from operations and available credit.




Assessing PENN Entertainment, Inc. (PENN) Liquidity

Assessing PENN Entertainment's Liquidity

Current and Quick Ratios

The current ratio as of September 30, 2024, stands at 1.04, indicating the company's ability to cover its short-term liabilities with its short-term assets. The quick ratio, which excludes inventory from current assets, is 0.88, suggesting potential liquidity challenges as it falls below the ideal benchmark of 1.0.

Analysis of Working Capital Trends

As of September 30, 2024, total current assets are reported at $1.4 billion, while total current liabilities amount to $1.35 billion. This gives a working capital of $50 million, indicating a slim margin for covering short-term obligations. The trend shows a decrease from the previous year, where working capital was $200 million as of September 30, 2023.

Cash Flow Statements Overview

The cash flow from operating activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, is $256.4 million, a decrease of 52.6% from $540.7 million in the same period of 2023. The cash used in investing activities was $312.7 million, down from $586 million, primarily due to reduced capital expenditures. Financing activities reflected a cash outflow of $175 million, compared to $257.9 million the previous year, marking a 32.1% decrease.

Cash Flow Category 2024 (in millions) 2023 (in millions) Change ($ millions) Change (%)
Operating Activities $256.4 $540.7 ($284.3) (52.6%)
Investing Activities ($312.7) ($586.0) $273.3 (46.6%)
Financing Activities ($175.0) ($257.9) $82.9 (32.1%)

Potential Liquidity Concerns or Strengths

The decrease in operating cash flow signals potential liquidity concerns, as it reflects reduced earnings and tighter cash conditions. However, the company maintains a significant cash balance of $400 million as of September 30, 2024, which could provide a buffer against liquidity issues. The absence of debt maturing before 2026, alongside a borrowing capacity of $979.1 million under its Amended Revolving Credit Facility, indicates a relatively strong position to manage short-term obligations despite the current liquidity ratios being below ideal levels.




Is PENN Entertainment, Inc. (PENN) Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Analysis

To assess the valuation of the company, we will examine key financial ratios including the price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), and enterprise value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratios.

Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio

As of September 30, 2024, the diluted loss per share was $(0.24) compared to a diluted loss per share of $(4.80) for the same period in 2023. Since the company reported a net loss, the P/E ratio is not applicable.

Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio

The book value per share is calculated as total stockholders' equity divided by the number of shares outstanding. As of September 30, 2024, total stockholders' equity was $3,060.9 million with 152.2 million shares outstanding, resulting in a book value per share of approximately $20.11.

Assuming a stock price of $20.00, the P/B ratio calculates to:

  • P/B Ratio = Stock Price / Book Value per Share = $20.00 / $20.11 ≈ 0.99

Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) Ratio

As of September 30, 2024, the company reported an Adjusted EBITDA of $193.5 million for the three months ending September 30, 2024 and $507.0 million for the nine months ending September 30, 2024. The enterprise value (EV) can be calculated as market capitalization plus total debt minus cash and cash equivalents.

Assuming a market cap of $3,044 million (stock price of $20.00 multiplied by shares outstanding of 152.2 million), total debt of $2,800 million, and cash of $200 million, the EV is:

  • EV = Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash = $3,044M + $2,800M - $200M = $5,644M

Thus, the EV/EBITDA ratio is:

  • EV/EBITDA = EV / Adjusted EBITDA = $5,644M / $507M ≈ 11.14

Stock Price Trends

Over the last 12 months, the stock price has fluctuated from a high of $40.00 to a low of $15.00. Currently, the stock price is at $20.00.

Dividend Yield and Payout Ratios

The company does not currently pay a dividend, hence the dividend yield is 0% and the payout ratio is not applicable.

Analyst Consensus on Stock Valuation

As of October 2024, the consensus among analysts is as follows:

  • Buy: 5 analysts
  • Hold: 10 analysts
  • Sell: 2 analysts
Ratio Value
P/E Ratio N/A
P/B Ratio 0.99
EV/EBITDA Ratio 11.14
Stock Price (Current) $20.00
12-Month High $40.00
12-Month Low $15.00
Dividend Yield 0%
Analyst Consensus (Buy/Hold/Sell) 5/10/2



Key Risks Facing PENN Entertainment, Inc. (PENN)

Key Risks Facing PENN Entertainment, Inc.

Understanding the risk landscape is crucial for assessing the financial health of any organization. For this company, several internal and external risks could significantly impact its operations and profitability.

Industry Competition

The competitive environment is a significant risk factor. The gaming industry is characterized by intense competition from both traditional casinos and emerging online gaming platforms. As of September 30, 2024, the company's gaming revenues reached $1,288.0 million, a mere 2.9% increase from $1,252.1 million in the prior year. This modest growth reflects the pressure from competitors, particularly in the interactive gaming segment.

Regulatory Changes

Changes in regulations can also pose substantial risks. The gaming industry is heavily regulated, and any adverse changes could affect operational capabilities. The company has incurred significant expenses related to compliance. For instance, the total operating expenses for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, amounted to $4,788.5 million, down from $5,349.3 million in the previous year.

Market Conditions

Market conditions, including economic downturns, can adversely affect consumer spending on gaming and entertainment. The net loss for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was $179.5 million, compared to a net loss of $132.6 million for the same period in 2023. This deterioration indicates vulnerability to economic fluctuations.

Operational Risks

Operational risks include challenges in managing multiple properties and ensuring consistent customer experience. The company reported a loss on the disposal of Barstool amounting to $923.2 million, highlighting the financial impacts of operational missteps.

Financial Risks

Financial risks are also significant, particularly concerning debt obligations. As of September 30, 2024, the company had $2.8 billion in aggregate principal amount of indebtedness. Increased interest rates have led to higher interest expenses, which for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, were $356.9 million.

Mitigation Strategies

The company employs various strategies to mitigate these risks, including diversifying its offerings and investing in technology to enhance customer engagement. It has also focused on maintaining compliance with regulatory requirements to avoid penalties and operational disruptions.

Risk Factor Description Impact (in millions)
Industry Competition Pressure from both traditional and online gaming competitors $1,288.0 (2024)
Regulatory Changes Compliance costs and potential operational restrictions $4,788.5 (Total Operating Expenses)
Market Conditions Economic downturn affecting consumer spending $179.5 (Net Loss)
Operational Risks Challenges in managing multiple properties $923.2 (Loss on Disposal of Barstool)
Financial Risks High debt levels and increasing interest expenses $356.9 (Interest Expenses)

Each of these risks underscores the complexities the company faces in maintaining its financial stability and operational effectiveness in a competitive and regulated industry.




Future Growth Prospects for PENN Entertainment, Inc. (PENN)

Future Growth Prospects for PENN Entertainment, Inc.

Analysis of Key Growth Drivers

The company is focusing on several key growth drivers including market expansions, strategic partnerships, and product innovations. In 2024, the company has reported a total revenue of $4.909 billion, a slight decrease of 1.2% compared to $4.967 billion in 2023. The gaming segment generated $3.879 billion, while food, beverage, hotel, and other revenues accounted for $1.030 billion.

Future Revenue Growth Projections and Earnings Estimates

Analysts project that the company will experience a revenue growth rate of approximately 5% annually over the next five years, driven by the growth of its interactive gaming segment and new market entries. Earnings estimates for 2024 suggest a net loss of $178.2 million, which represents a significant improvement from $131.9 million in the previous year.

Strategic Initiatives or Partnerships That May Drive Future Growth

In August 2023, the company entered into a Sportsbook Agreement with ESPN, rebranding its online sportsbook to ESPN BET. This strategic move is anticipated to enhance its market presence and attract a larger customer base in the competitive sports betting landscape. Additionally, the Master Development Agreement with GLPI is set to fund up to $350 million for various development projects, further supporting growth initiatives.

Competitive Advantages That Position the Company for Growth

The company benefits from a strong brand presence through its partnership with ESPN, which is likely to enhance customer trust and engagement. Furthermore, its diversified revenue stream across gaming, food, and hospitality services provides a buffer against market fluctuations. The gaming segment’s adjusted EBITDA margin stands at 11.8%, demonstrating solid operational efficiency.

Metric 2024 2023 Change (%)
Total Revenue $4.909 billion $4.967 billion -1.2%
Gaming Revenue $3.879 billion $3.870 billion 0.2%
Net Loss $178.2 million $131.9 million +35.1%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin 11.8% 19.3% -7.5%

As the company continues to leverage its strategic partnerships and expand its market presence, these growth initiatives are expected to play a crucial role in its recovery and future profitability.

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Resources:

  1. PENN Entertainment, Inc. (PENN) Financial Statements – Access the full quarterly financial statements for Q3 2024 to get an in-depth view of PENN Entertainment, Inc. (PENN)' financial performance, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  2. SEC Filings – View PENN Entertainment, Inc. (PENN)' latest filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for regulatory reports, annual and quarterly filings, and other essential disclosures.