Telos Corporation (TLS) Bundle
You're looking at Telos Corporation (TLS) and seeing a stock that's up about 86.6% year-to-date in 2025, but you're still wondering if the underlying financials support that momentum-and honestly, the picture is a study in contrasts that demands a closer look. The Q3 2025 earnings report, released in November, was a massive beat, showing revenue that soared 116% year-over-year to $51.4 million, plus a strong Adjusted EBITDA of $10.1 million, which is a healthy 19.6% margin. That's a clear sign of operational leverage finally kicking in, especially with the launch of their AI-powered Xacta.ai product promising up to a 93% efficiency gain on compliance tasks. But here's the reality check: despite this top-line surge, the GAAP Net Margin remains deeply negative at -47.55%, meaning the company is still struggling to translate revenue into bottom-line profit, and the full-year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA is only projected to be between $14.8 million and $16.5 million. So, the question isn't just about growth-it's about when that growth starts covering the cost of doing business, and what the near-term risks are to that $157.89 million consensus revenue estimate for the full fiscal year.
Revenue Analysis
You're looking for a clear picture of where Telos Corporation (TLS) is actually making its money, and the answer is simple: it's a story of a major shift. The company's revenue engine has dramatically re-accelerated in 2025, driven almost entirely by its high-growth cybersecurity and identity segment. That's the clear takeaway.
The primary revenue stream for Telos Corporation is its Security Solutions segment, which includes its offerings in cybersecurity, cloud security, and identity solutions like Telos ID. In contrast, the legacy Secure Networks segment, which focuses on enterprise security, continues to shrink. This is a critical distinction for investors to grasp, as it shows the firm is successfully pivoting to higher-value, software-centric services.
The near-term revenue performance for 2025 has been exceptionally strong. For the third quarter (Q3) of 2025, Telos Corporation reported revenue of $51.4 million, which represents a massive year-over-year increase of 116%. This Q3 surge, which exceeded the company's own guidance, was largely driven by the Telos ID portion of the Security Solutions segment. For the first nine months of 2025, cumulative year-to-date revenue growth stood at a robust 44% compared to the previous year.
Here's the quick math on segment contribution from the second quarter (Q2) of 2025, which totaled $36.0 million in revenue:
- Security Solutions contributed approximately $32.5 million, or 90.3% of total revenue.
- This segment grew by a substantial 81.8% year-over-year in Q2 2025.
- The Secure Networks segment, by comparison, saw its revenue decline by 67.1% in Q2 2025.
The significant change in revenue streams is the rapid scaling of a few key programs within Security Solutions. This growth is defintely not abstract; it's grounded in large federal contracts. The primary drivers are the accelerated scaling of the Defense Manpower Data Center (DMDC) program and the ongoing, significant rollout of new TSA PreCheck® enrollment locations, which increased from 56 to 357 locations between Q2 2024 and Q2 2025. The launch of the new Xacta.ai product in Q4 2025 is also expected to contribute to future revenue upside, as management forecasts double-digit growth for 2026.
To put this in perspective, the trailing twelve months (TTM) revenue as of Q3 2025 hit $144.40 million, marking a 17.44% year-over-year increase. The shift to a nearly 90% reliance on Security Solutions is a strategic win, even if it highlights a weakness in the Secure Networks business. For a more detailed look at the financial health, including valuation, you should check out the full post at Breaking Down Telos Corporation (TLS) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
The table below summarizes the core revenue performance for the first three quarters of fiscal year 2025.
| Metric | Q2 2025 Value | Q3 2025 Value |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $36.0 million | $51.4 million |
| Year-over-Year Revenue Growth | 26.2% | 116% |
| Security Solutions Contribution | 90.3% | Driven by Telos ID |
| Security Solutions YoY Growth | 81.8% | N/A (Primary driver of 116% growth) |
Profitability Metrics
You're looking at Telos Corporation (TLS) and seeing massive revenue growth, but the profitability picture is a mixed bag that demands a closer look. As a seasoned analyst, I focus on the core margins-Gross, Operating, and Net-to understand if the recent revenue surge is translating into sustainable profit. The short answer is: Gross Margin is healthy and improving, but the company is defintely still losing money on the bottom line.
For the third quarter of 2025 (Q3 2025), Telos Corporation reported revenue of $51.4 million, an impressive 116% increase year-over-year. This growth is primarily driven by the Telos ID segment, particularly the expansion of the TSA PreCheck® enrollment locations. But growth without profit is just activity, so let's check the margins.
Gross Profit, Operating Profit, and Net Profit Margins
The company's gross margin is a bright spot, showing strong operational efficiency in delivering its services. However, the operating and net margins tell a story of significant investment and high overhead costs, which is common for growth-focused technology firms.
- Gross Profit Margin (Q3 2025): The GAAP Gross Margin hit 39.9%. This means for every dollar of revenue, $0.399 is left to cover operating expenses, interest, and taxes.
- Operating Profit Margin (TTM): The Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) Operating Margin stands at a loss of -43.96%. The company is spending significantly more on sales, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses than it is bringing in after Cost of Goods Sold (COGS).
- Net Profit Margin (TTM): The TTM Net Margin is a deep loss at -47.55%. This reflects the full cost structure, including operating expenses, interest, and taxes, showing the company is not yet profitable on a GAAP basis.
Here's the quick math on the positive shift: Adjusted EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization), which strips out non-cash and non-core items, was a strong $10.1 million in Q3 2025, yielding an Adjusted EBITDA Margin of 19.6%. This is a key indicator of core business health, showing the underlying operations are generating cash before accounting for large non-cash charges.
Trends in Profitability and Operational Efficiency
The trend shows a clear sequential improvement in profitability metrics as the company scales its new programs. The Q3 2025 GAAP Gross Margin of 39.9% is a notable jump from the Q2 2025 GAAP Gross Margin of 33.2%. This suggests that the high-growth Telos ID and Security Solutions segments are starting to realize better economies of scale, or the revenue mix is shifting to higher-margin offerings.
The launch of products like Xacta.ai is designed to drive efficiency, which should help shrink the Operating Margin loss over time by automating cybersecurity tasks. Management forecasts Full Year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA to be between $14.8 million and $16.5 million, which would be a significant year-over-year improvement and a clear sign of increasing operational leverage.
Comparison with Industry Averages
Telos Corporation operates in the 'IT Services' and 'Cybersecurity' space, which has a wide range of profitability depending on the business model. For comparison, here are the 2025 industry benchmarks for similar US sectors:
| Industry Segment | Average Gross Profit Margin | Average Net Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Software (SaaS) | 75% - 85% | N/A |
| Professional Services (Consulting) | 55% - 65% | N/A |
| Aerospace & Defense | 17.05% | 4.37% |
Telos Corporation's Q3 2025 Gross Margin of 39.9% sits well below the high-margin Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) model but is significantly better than the typical 17.05% for the Aerospace/Defense sector, a segment with which Telos Corporation shares some federal contract characteristics. The company's deep negative Net Margin of -47.55% is a clear outlier, but it is typical for a company aggressively investing in a high-growth phase, especially with new products like Xacta.ai. The key is that the gross margin is healthy enough to support the eventual path to net profitability. To understand the strategic context of these numbers, you should review the company's long-term goals in its Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Telos Corporation (TLS).
Debt vs. Equity Structure
You're looking at Telos Corporation (TLS) and want to know how they fund their growth-smart. In the world of tech, especially cybersecurity, a company's capital structure tells you a lot about its risk tolerance and future flexibility. The direct takeaway here is that Telos Corporation is operating with an extremely conservative, debt-light balance sheet, which is a major strength, but it also highlights their reliance on equity and cash flow for funding.
As of the end of the second quarter of 2025, Telos Corporation's management stated they had no outstanding debt, which is defintely a rare position for a growth-focused public company. This is a massive advantage in a rising interest rate environment. This ultra-low leverage is clearly reflected in the company's Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio, which sits at a minuscule 0.07.
Here's the quick math: a D/E ratio of 0.07 means the company finances only about seven cents of debt for every dollar of shareholder equity. Compare that to the broader tech industry, where the average for related sectors like Communication Equipment is around 0.47. Telos Corporation is essentially self-funded, holding approximately $57 million in cash and cash equivalents as of June 30, 2025.
The company's capital strategy is clearly leaning into equity and organic growth, not debt financing. This is a deliberate choice that maps to clear actions for investors:
- No Debt Issuance Risk: Zero near-term risk from rising interest payments or refinancing activity.
- Equity Confidence: Instead of issuing new debt or dilutive equity, Telos Corporation deployed $7.6 million to repurchase 2.1 million shares at a weighted average price of $3.69 per share through Q3 2025.
- Liquidity Buffer: The strong cash position provides a significant buffer to fund new programs, like the scaling of the TSA PreCheck® enrollment locations, without needing to seek outside capital.
What this estimate hides, however, is the reliance on internal cash flow and profitability to sustain operations, especially given the historical net losses. Since the company has no outstanding debt, there are no credit ratings to analyze, but their Altman Z-Score of 3.11-well above the 3.0 threshold-signals a low risk of financial distress. The balance is a trade-off: maximum financial safety for less potential growth acceleration that a leveraged structure might provide. You can read more about the company's full financial picture in Breaking Down Telos Corporation (TLS) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
Next Step: Focus your analysis on the company's ability to generate Free Cash Flow (FCF) and convert its strong revenue growth into consistent net profits, as that is the true engine of its debt-free model.
Liquidity and Solvency
You want to know if Telos Corporation (TLS) can cover its near-term bills and if the cash flow engine is running smoothly. The short answer is yes, Telos has a strong liquidity cushion right now, but you must watch the underlying profitability trend that still lags behind the cash performance.
The company's liquid position is defintely robust, primarily due to a significant cash balance and minimal debt. As of the most recent data, the Current Ratio sits at a healthy 2.76, and the Quick Ratio is also strong at 2.67. A current ratio this high means Telos has $2.76 in current assets for every dollar of current liabilities, far exceeding the safe 1.0 benchmark. This is a fortress balance sheet for short-term obligations.
Here's the quick math on their immediate cash position and debt: as of June 30, 2025, Telos held approximately $57 million in cash and cash equivalents and, crucially, reported no outstanding debt. This zero-debt position is a major solvency strength, as it removes the pressure of debt service payments that often strain high-growth, lower-margin companies.
Analysis of Working Capital Trends
Telos's management has actively focused on working capital management, which has been a key driver of their recent cash flow improvement. They've seen a 'working capital tailwind,' essentially a temporary boost from how they manage their receivables and payables, but they expect this tailwind to moderate in the second half of 2025. This means future cash generation will need to rely more on core business performance, specifically higher Adjusted EBITDA, which is the sustainable source of cash flow.
Cash Flow Statements Overview
The cash flow statement for the 2025 fiscal year shows a clear, positive trend, moving from a cash-burn position in the prior year to a cash-generating one. This is a critical inflection point for the company.
- Operating Cash Flow (OCF): This was $9.1 million in Q3 2025, following $7 million in Q2 2025. This positive OCF is the most important signal that the core business is generating cash.
- Investing Cash Flow (ICF): The improvement in free cash flow is partly attributed to lower capitalized software development costs. This suggests a more disciplined approach to capital expenditure (CapEx) in their investing activities.
- Financing Cash Flow (FCF): Telos has been actively returning capital to shareholders, deploying $3.6 million in Q3 2025 for share repurchases, adding to the $4 million used in Q2 2025. This is a strong sign of management confidence in their internal cash generation.
Overall, the company is guiding for positive free cash flow for the full year 2025.
Potential Liquidity Concerns or Strengths
The biggest strength is the liquidity position itself: high current and quick ratios, zero debt, and positive OCF. Management is confident, stating they have sufficient liquidity to fund all their operating, investing, and financing needs.
However, the main caveat for investors is the disconnect between this strong liquidity and the company's bottom-line profitability. The net margin is still significantly negative at -47.55%, and the Return on Equity (ROE) is also negative at -42.68% as of the Q3 2025 results. This is a clear signal: the company is flush with cash and manages its working capital well, but it still struggles with consistent, GAAP-based profitability. Your next step should be to dig into the Breaking Down Telos Corporation (TLS) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors to see how they plan to convert that cash strength into net income.
Valuation Analysis
You're looking for a clear signal on Telos Corporation (TLS) stock, and the data gives a mixed, but ultimately compelling, picture: the stock is currently trading at a discount to its projected future earnings power, suggesting it is undervalued based on analyst consensus and forward-looking metrics, despite a high Price-to-Book ratio.
The core issue is that Telos Corporation is a growth-focused company that hasn't achieved consistent profitability yet, which skews traditional valuation metrics. This means we have to lean on forward-looking ratios and Enterprise Value to get a defintely clearer view of the business.
Is Telos Corporation (TLS) Overvalued or Undervalued?
The market's view on Telos Corporation is fractured, which is typical for a software security firm in a turnaround phase. On the one hand, some models suggest the stock is trading as much as 67% below its estimated intrinsic fair value. But, to be fair, the price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 3.30 is elevated compared to its historical average, signaling investors are already paying a premium for the company's net assets.
Here's the quick math on the key valuation ratios using the most recent 2025 fiscal year data:
- Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: The trailing P/E is not a useful metric right now because the company has negative earnings per share (EPS). However, the Forward P/E, which uses projected earnings, sits at a high 71.87. This signals significant expected earnings growth to justify the current price, or that the stock is expensive on near-term earnings.
- Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: The P/B is 3.30, which is a high multiple, telling you the market values the company at over three times its book value (assets minus liabilities).
- Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA): This is the best metric for a non-profitable growth company. With an Enterprise Value of $358.15 million and an FY2025 Adjusted EBITDA projection midpoint of $15.65 million (the range is $14.8M to $16.5M), the Forward EV/EBITDA is approximately 22.88x. This multiple is high, but not unreasonable for a high-growth security solutions provider.
Stock Price Trends and Analyst Consensus
The stock has been volatile but has shown strong recovery over the past year. The closing price as of November 18, 2025, was $5.63. Over the last 52 weeks, the stock has traded in a wide range, from a low of $1.83 to a high of $8.36, reflecting the market's uncertainty about its turnaround.
The good news is that the stock has seen a 71.47% price increase over the last year, which is a strong momentum signal. Still, it's a long way from the all-time high of $41.84 reached in January 2021.
Analyst sentiment is clearly positive on the stock's future. The consensus rating from a group of analysts is a Buy. The average 12-month price target is $7.75, which suggests an upside potential of over 41.42% from the current price. The targets range from a low of $4.50 to a high of $10.00, showing a wide divergence of opinion on the speed of the company's profitability ramp.
Dividend Policy and Actionable Insight
Telos Corporation is not a dividend-paying stock. The trailing twelve-month (TTM) dividend payout and dividend yield are both 0.00% as of November 2025. The company is prioritizing reinvestment into its core business-cyber, cloud, and enterprise security solutions-to drive future growth and finally achieve sustainable profitability, so don't expect a payout anytime soon.
If you want to dive deeper into the operational details driving these numbers, you can read the full analysis at Breaking Down Telos Corporation (TLS) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
Next Step: Review the company's Q3 2025 earnings call transcript to assess the confidence level in the $14.8 million to $16.5 million FY2025 Adjusted EBITDA forecast, focusing on new contract wins. Owner: You (Investor/Analyst).
Risk Factors
You're looking at Telos Corporation (TLS) and seeing the recent surge in revenue-a massive 116% jump in Q3 2025 to $51.4 million-but as a seasoned analyst, you know top-line growth doesn't erase all risk. The core challenge for Telos remains a classic one: converting that impressive program-driven growth into sustainable, company-wide profitability while managing a high concentration of government revenue.
The financial picture is improving, but it's defintely not clean yet. Telos is still operating at a loss, with a Q3 2025 Net Loss of $(2.1) million, and a trailing Net Margin of -47.55% as of the November 2025 analysis. This tells us the operational inefficiencies are deep, even as the company forecasts full-year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA to land between $14.8 million and $16.5 million.
Operational and Margin Risks: The Program Mix Problem
The biggest internal risk is the significant revenue concentration and the margin dilution that comes with scaling large, new government programs. The Security Solutions segment is the clear growth engine, accounting for approximately 90% of total revenue in Q2 2025 and seeing a 91% revenue increase to $104.8 million for the first nine months of 2025. Meanwhile, the Secure Networks segment is in a steep decline, contracting by 51% over the same nine-month period. This is a two-segment company that is becoming a one-segment show.
Here's the quick math on the margin risk: Management anticipates a sequential cash gross margin dilution of approximately 600 basis points from the first half to the second half of 2025. This is because the rapid ramp-up of programs like the Defense Manpower Data Center (DMDC) and TSA PreCheck, while driving volume, brings with it lower margins initially. You have to watch the margin trend, not just the revenue number.
- Secure Networks Decline: Revenue down 51% year-to-date through Q3 2025.
- Security Solutions Concentration: Drives approximately 90% of Q2 2025 revenue.
- Margin Pressure: Expect a 600 basis point sequential cash gross margin dilution in 2H 2025.
External Risks: Government Dependence and Competition
Telos Corporation's reliance on the U.S. federal government is both its greatest strength and its most acute external risk. A majority of the company's revenue is derived from prime contracts and subcontracts with federal agencies. This dependence exposes Telos to unique political and budgetary volatility that commercial-focused companies don't face.
The Q3 2025 earnings call specifically highlighted the risk of a U.S. government shutdown, which can temporarily pause contract awards, directly delaying revenue and impacting cash flow. Plus, the cybersecurity and identity management market is intensely competitive. Telos must constantly innovate to keep its edge against larger, more diversified players, especially as threats become more sophisticated. You can learn more about who is betting on this growth in Exploring Telos Corporation (TLS) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?.
| Risk Category | 2025 Financial Impact / Metric | Nature of Risk |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Health | Net Margin of -47.55% (Nov 2025) | Challenges in achieving sustainable, company-wide profitability despite high revenue growth. |
| Operational/Segment | Secure Networks segment down 51% YTD 2025 | High revenue concentration risk on a few Security Solutions programs. |
| External/Regulatory | Majority of revenue from U.S. Federal Government | Vulnerability to government shutdowns, budget delays, and shifting political priorities. |
Mitigation Strategies and Clear Actions
Management is not sitting still; they are actively working to mitigate these risks. The launch of Xacta.ai, an Artificial Intelligence capability within the Xacta cyber Governance, Risk, and Compliance (GRC) platform, is a strategic move to address the competition and operational efficiency risks. CEO John Wood noted this product has the potential to improve efficiencies up to 93% in cyber governance tasks.
On the financial front, the balance sheet remains relatively strong, with a Current Ratio of 2.65 and a low Debt-to-Equity ratio of 0.08, suggesting good near-term liquidity. Furthermore, the company has resumed capital deployment, spending $3.6 million in Q3 2025 to repurchase over 584,000 shares, a move that signals management's confidence in the stock's intrinsic value and future cash flow generation. The focus now is on execution and converting that impressive $5 billion pipeline into profitable contracts.
Next step: Finance: Stress-test Q4 2025 guidance against a 30-day government funding delay by end of week.
Growth Opportunities
You're looking for a clear path to Telos Corporation's (TLS) future growth, and the story is simple: it's a pivot from legacy government contracting to high-margin, scalable software and identity solutions. The data for fiscal year 2025 shows this shift is accelerating, with consensus revenue estimates pointing to a substantial increase, driven by two core, high-impact growth engines.
The company is defintely moving the needle, projecting an annual revenue growth rate that is forecast to beat the US Software - Infrastructure industry's average. This isn't just a hopeful forecast; it's grounded in recent, massive contract execution and the launch of key product innovations.
Product Innovations and Competitive Edge
The biggest growth driver is product innovation, specifically within the Security Solutions segment, which is expected to make up approximately 90% of total revenue. Telos Corporation's competitive advantage lies in its deep entrenchment within the US Federal Government's highest security standards.
- Xacta.ai Launch: This new product enhances the company's cyber risk management platform, Xacta, by integrating artificial intelligence (AI). It's a huge efficiency play, with the potential to reduce the need for professional services and improve efficiency by up to 93% for existing customers. That's a powerful upsell story.
- FedRAMP High Authorization: The Xacta software achieved FedRAMP High Authorization in 2025, which is the highest standard for protecting sensitive government data. This certification is a critical barrier to entry for competitors and positions Telos Corporation to win larger, more complex federal cloud and security contracts.
The Xacta platform is already recognized in the 2025 Gartner Hype Cycle for Cyber-Risk Management in the Continuous Controls Monitoring (CCM) category. This third-party validation underscores its market position as a cyber Governance, Risk, and Compliance (GRC) automation leader.
Market Expansion and Financial Projections
The second major tailwind is the rapid market expansion of Telos ID, primarily through the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) PreCheck program. This is a high-volume, transactional business that is scaling fast.
The expansion has been aggressive: Telos Corporation surpassed 500 TSA PreCheck enrollment locations by October 2025, a significant milestone that drove a remarkable 116% revenue increase in the third quarter of 2025. The company is now operating this network at scale, focusing on new partnerships and underserved areas to continue growing the program.
Here's the quick math on what analysts are projecting for the full year, based on the momentum from Q3 2025:
| Metric | Fiscal Year 2025 Consensus Estimate | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Estimate | $163.19 million | Represents a significant year-over-year growth rate |
| EPS Estimate | $0.05 | A move toward profitability, following a strong Q3 2025 actual EPS of $0.09 |
| Estimated Contract Pipeline | $4 billion | Represents 200 unique deals, weighted toward Q4 2025 and Q1 2026 awards |
What this estimate hides is the potential impact of the company's massive opportunity pipeline, which stands at around $4 billion in estimated contract value. Winning even a fraction of those 200 unique deals, especially in the Security Solutions segment, could easily push the final revenue number higher.
To be fair, the company still faces challenges in profitability, with a net margin of -47.55% reported in Q3 2025. But the strong revenue growth and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08 suggest financial stability as they execute their growth strategy. You can dive deeper into the ownership structure and market sentiment by Exploring Telos Corporation (TLS) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Next Step: Finance should track the Xacta.ai customer adoption rate and the TSA PreCheck enrollment volume monthly to validate the 2026 revenue baseline of $180 million mentioned by management.

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