CEL-SCI Corporation (CVM) Bundle
If you're looking at CEL-SCI Corporation (CVM) right now, you're asking the right question: who is buying a clinical-stage biotech that reported a net loss of $5.7 million for its fiscal third quarter ending June 30, 2025? Honestly, the investor profile is a fascinating split between long-term institutional bets and deep insider conviction. We see major players like Vanguard Group Inc. holding 292,563 shares and BlackRock, Inc. owning 136,087 shares as of September 30, 2025, which signals a calculated, long-view exposure to the company's core asset, the cancer immunotherapy Multikine (Leukocyte Interleukin, Injection). The real action, though, is the high-stakes regulatory momentum: the company is pushing for a Breakthrough Medicine Designation in Saudi Arabia, which could see Multikine available for commercialization as early as summer 2025, based on Phase 3 data showing a 73% five-year survival rate in a target head and neck cancer patient group, compared to just 45% for the control group. Plus, insiders, led by CEO Geert R. Kersten with his 19.06 million shares-a massive stake-have been net buyers, even as the stock price sits near $6.50 per share as of November 2025, following capital raises totaling $10.7 million in May and July 2025. Are these institutions betting on a global regulatory breakthrough, or just a small-cap momentum trade? Let's dive into the data.
Who Invests in CEL-SCI Corporation (CVM) and Why?
The CEL-SCI Corporation (CVM) investor base is not your typical large-cap structure; it is heavily skewed toward high-conviction individual investors and insiders, making it a classic high-risk, high-reward biotech play. The core motivation for nearly every shareholder is the binary outcome of the company's lead drug, Multikine, which promises massive upside but carries substantial regulatory and financial risk.
Key Investor Types: The Retail-Driven Roster
If you look at the ownership breakdown, you'll see immediately this is a stock driven by individual belief, not institutional mandates. As of late 2025, an estimated 92.22% of the stock is held by retail investors and public companies, a staggering figure that explains the stock's characteristic volatility. Institutional ownership remains low, hovering around the 4.07% to 12.66% range, which is common for a clinical-stage company with a single, high-stakes asset.
To be fair, the company's insiders hold a significant stake-up to 95.93%-which aligns management's interests with shareholders, but also concentrates risk. This dynamic means that trading volume and price action are defintely more susceptible to news headlines and social sentiment than to quarterly earnings reports, which is something you need to factor into your strategy.
Here's a quick snapshot of the ownership structure and key institutional players:
| Investor Type | Approximate Ownership Percentage | Key Examples (2025 Data) |
|---|---|---|
| Retail & Individual Investors | ~92.22% | Individual Accounts, High-Conviction Traders |
| Institutional Investors | ~4.07% to 12.66% | Vanguard Group Inc. (holding 292,563 shares), BlackRock, Inc. (holding 136,087 shares), Geode Capital Management LLC |
| Insiders | ~19.05% to 95.93% | Geert R. Kersten (CEO and largest individual shareholder) |
Investment Motivations: Betting on a Binary Catalyst
Investors are buying CEL-SCI Corporation (CVM) for one reason: the potential of Multikine (Leukocyte Interleukin Injection) to revolutionize first-line treatment for head and neck cancer. The investment thesis is simple: if the drug gets regulatory approval, the stock price will soar; if it fails, the stock will essentially collapse. This is the definition of a binary event.
The primary catalyst is the ongoing Confirmatory Registration Study, which is designed to replicate the Phase 3 results that showed a remarkable 73% five-year survival rate in a specific patient subset (low PD-L1 expression and no lymph node involvement) versus 45% in the control group. That's a massive 28 percentage-point absolute survival advantage. The company is targeting an estimated 212 patients for this trial, with enrollment expected to complete by Q2 2026.
Also, a near-term opportunity is the potential for a Breakthrough Medicine Designation in Saudi Arabia, which could provide regulatory clarity and a commercial pathway as early as 2025. However, you must pair this potential with the company's financial reality: a cash burn of $11.7 million in the first half of fiscal year 2025, which gave the company a cash runway of only 6-8 months without further funding as of July 2025. This financial tightness means the company is constantly in a race against the clock.
Investment Strategies: High-Conviction Long-Term vs. Short-Term Speculation
Given the nature of the stock, you see two main investment strategies at play. The majority of long-term holders are employing a deep value, high-conviction strategy, essentially buying and holding for the Multikine approval event. They are willing to stomach the extreme volatility and dilution risks because the potential return from a successful drug launch is so high, potentially transforming the company's valuation from a small-cap to a commercial entity.
- Buy and Hold: Long-term focus on the Multikine regulatory catalyst.
- Short-Term Trading: Speculating on clinical trial updates and financing news.
- Value Investing: Only for those who see the Phase 3 data as a deep discount to intrinsic value.
The company's reverse stock split in May 2025 was specifically aimed at raising the share price to attract more institutional investors, who often have minimum price requirements. This move signals a management effort to transition the investor base from one dominated by retail speculation to one with broader institutional support, a key step for any biotech moving toward commercialization.
For a deeper dive into the company's balance sheet and cash flow, you should read Breaking Down CEL-SCI Corporation (CVM) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
Finance: Track the Q4 2025 earnings report for an updated cash runway view by the end of November.
Institutional Ownership and Major Shareholders of CEL-SCI Corporation (CVM)
You're looking at CEL-SCI Corporation (CVM) and trying to figure out if the smart money is buying in. That's the right question to ask. For a clinical-stage biotech like CVM, institutional ownership-the stake held by large funds, banks, and asset managers-is a critical signal, even if the total percentage is lower than a mega-cap stock.
As of the most recent filings (Q3 2025), institutional investors hold approximately 11.17% of CEL-SCI Corporation's shares outstanding, representing a total institutional value of about $6.434 million USD. This is a low figure compared to the 66% average for large-cap companies, but it's not unusual for a small-cap, high-risk, high-reward biotech where retail investors often drive early-stage volatility. The key is who is buying, and why they are moving now.
Who are CEL-SCI Corporation's Top Institutional Investors?
The institutional landscape for CEL-SCI Corporation (CVM) is dominated by a mix of passive index funds and active asset managers. These are the players who have the research teams-the ones who defintely pore over the Multikine Phase 3 data and the company's regulatory path.
Here's the quick math: the top five institutional holders alone account for a significant portion of the total institutional float. The most recent 13F filings, which track these major holdings, show a clear hierarchy of commitment as of September 30, 2025:
| Institutional Holder | Shares Held (as of 9/30/2025) | % of Institutional Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc. | 292,563 | 32.77% |
| Commonwealth Equity Services, LLC | 175,209 | 19.62% |
| BlackRock, Inc. | 136,087 | 15.24% |
| MAI Capital Management | 76,861 | 8.61% |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 60,751 | 6.80% |
Notice the presence of Vanguard Group Inc. and BlackRock, Inc. These are two of the world's largest asset managers, and their holdings are largely driven by their index funds (like the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF). Their presence is often more about CVM's inclusion in a small-cap index than a specific, active bet on Multikine.
Tracking Recent Changes in Ownership: The Q3 2025 Shift
The real story isn't just who holds shares, but how their conviction is changing. We saw some major shifts in the third quarter of 2025, suggesting a re-evaluation of the company's risk/reward profile following the Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of CEL-SCI Corporation (CVM). and other corporate actions.
Overall, institutional investors bought a total of 590,945 shares in the last 24 months, but the recent activity shows a mixed picture. The most aggressive buyers and sellers in the Q3 2025 filings tell you where the active money is moving:
- Geode Capital Management, LLC increased its stake by an enormous 134.397%, signaling a massive new position build.
- Vanguard Group Inc., while largely passive, still added significantly, increasing its position by 59.686%.
- BlackRock, Inc. also showed increased confidence, boosting its holdings by 19.119%.
On the flip side, some funds were clearly taking chips off the table. UBS Group AG, for instance, dramatically cut its position by over -47.936% in the same period. This divergence is typical in biotech: one fund sees a clinical milestone as a green light, while another sees the same event as a good time to reduce exposure and lock in gains.
The Impact of Institutional Investors on CVM's Strategy and Stock
For a small-cap biotech like CEL-SCI Corporation, institutional investors play a dual role: they provide capital and they validate the business. In May 2025, the company executed a 1-for-30 reverse stock split. The CEO, Geert Kersten, was explicit: the move was needed because a low stock price prohibits many larger funds from investing and to comply with major US stock exchange requirements for a higher share price. This is a clear example of institutional requirements directly driving corporate strategy.
The presence of these large funds, even at a relatively low percentage, provides a floor of professional scrutiny. Institutions spend heavily on research, and their ownership is often perceived by the broader market as an indicator of good value. The current trend in the biotech sector, as of late 2025, is a shift in investor focus toward companies with strong clinical-stage data-a category CVM, with its flagship Multikine in the confirmatory Registration Study phase, is actively trying to fit into. The increase in institutional buying from active funds like Geode Capital Management, LLC suggests that some professional analysts are starting to see a clearer path to commercialization for the company's lead drug candidate.
Key Investors and Their Impact on CEL-SCI Corporation (CVM)
You're looking at CEL-SCI Corporation (CVM) and trying to figure out who's buying and what their conviction is, which is smart. The investor profile here is a classic biotech story: a mix of passive institutional money providing a floor and high-risk capital providers driving recent dilution. The key takeaway is that institutional ownership is low, but the recent capital raises show a willingness from certain investors to fund the next stage of the Multikine commercialization push, particularly in the Middle East.
As of the third quarter of fiscal year 2025 (ending September 30, 2025), CEL-SCI Corporation (CVM) had a total of 41 institutional owners holding a combined total of 892,762 shares. This is a small float, which means any large transaction can move the stock a lot. For a company focused on its lead investigational drug Multikine, the institutional presence is less about governance and more about passive index tracking or high-conviction specialist funds.
The Passive Giants and Their Recent Moves
The largest shareholders are often the passive index funds, which buy and sell based on the stock's inclusion in an index, not a deep dive into the Phase 3 data. These firms provide stability, but they aren't 'activist' investors pushing for change. Still, their sheer size matters. Here's a quick look at the major institutional holders as of Q3 2025:
- Vanguard Group Inc.: Held 292,563 shares as of September 30, 2025. What's interesting is their position increased by a significant 59.686% in the quarter, likely due to index rebalancing after the reverse stock split.
- BlackRock, Inc.: Held 136,087 shares, an increase of 19.119%. This is another major index player following the same passive strategy.
- Lincoln Alternative Strategies LLC: This is a notable holder with a 13G filing in August 2025, reporting beneficial ownership of 555,000 shares, which represented 6.94% of the common stock outstanding at the time. A 13G indicates they are a passive investor, not looking to influence control.
To be fair, the recent 1-for-30 reverse stock split, implemented on May 20, 2025, definitely complicated the share count for all investors. The move was necessary to get the stock price high enough to comply with major exchange listing requirements, which is a common, though painful, step for clinical-stage biotechs. It was a survival move, not a growth one.
Capital Raises and Insider Conviction
The real story in 2025 has been the company's aggressive capital raising, which is where the near-term risk of dilution maps to the opportunity for commercialization. The investors here are often specialist funds or high-net-worth individuals willing to take on significant risk for a massive payoff if Multikine gets regulatory approval.
Here's the quick math on the dilution:
- In May 2025, CEL-SCI Corporation (CVM) raised gross proceeds of $5 million by selling 2,000,000 shares at a price of $2.50 per share.
- In July 2025, they followed up with an at-the-market offering, raising gross proceeds of approximately $5.7 million from the sale of 1,500,000 shares at $3.82 per share.
This steady stream of offerings is how a clinical-stage biotech funds its operations, but it also increases the total share count, which dilutes the value of existing shares. The opportunity is clear: these funds are betting on the company's progress, specifically the potential commercialization and regulatory partnership for Multikine in Saudi Arabia, which was a major focus in Q3 2025. The CEO and a Director also showed their commitment, purchasing a combined total of 32,116 shares of restricted common stock in July 2025, a small but important signal of insider belief.
Investor Influence and The Defensive Stance
The influence of these investors is primarily financial, not strategic, with one key exception. The company's Board of Directors extended its Shareholder Rights Agreement (often called a 'poison pill') to 2030 in November 2025. This move is a clear defensive signal to any potential activist investor or corporate suitor, making a hostile takeover prohibitively expensive. This tells you the current management team, led by CEO Geert Kersten, is focused on executing its long-term strategy, including the Confirmatory Registration Study in the U.S. and the Saudi partnership, without external interference.
The passive institutions are buying because the stock is in their index, and the specialist funds are buying the offerings because they believe in the Multikine pipeline-it's a high-stakes bet on a binary outcome. You can learn more about the company's foundational milestones and ownership structure in this piece: CEL-SCI Corporation (CVM): History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money.
Your action here is simple: Monitor the news flow from the Saudi Food and Drug Authority (SFDA). That regulatory decision is the next major catalyst that will either validate the recent capital raises or send the stock lower.
Market Impact and Investor Sentiment
You're looking at CEL-SCI Corporation (CVM), a high-risk, high-reward biotech stock, and the investor profile is a fascinating study in contrast. The direct takeaway is this: insiders are buying aggressively, but the stock's extreme volatility and negative near-term financials keep institutional ownership relatively low and overall market sentiment cautious. This is a classic clinical-stage biotech setup-you're betting on the flagship product, Multikine, not the current balance sheet.
Insider sentiment is defintely the strongest positive signal here. Over the last year, insiders have collectively bought $4.22 million worth of shares in open-market purchases while selling $0. This is a powerful vote of confidence. For example, CEO Geert Kersten significantly boosted his personal holdings by 66.91%, which tells you the people who know the company best are putting their own capital on the line. That's a clear signal of conviction.
Institutional interest is present but measured. As of the third quarter of 2025, major institutions like The Vanguard Group, Inc. and BlackRock, Inc. are among the top holders. BlackRock, Inc. increased its position by 19.119% in the quarter, holding 136,087 shares, and Vanguard Group Inc. increased its stake by 59.686% to 292,563 shares. Still, the overall institutional ownership percentage remains modest, reflecting the speculative nature of a company still in the clinical trial phase. The short interest has also dropped, plummeting by 50.6% since July 31, 2025, suggesting a reduction in bearish bets.
- Insiders bought $4.22M in stock (last year).
- BlackRock, Inc. increased holdings by 19.119% (Q3 2025).
- Short interest dropped 50.6% (since July 2025).
Recent Market Reactions and Volatility
The stock market's reaction to CEL-SCI Corporation (CVM) is one of extreme volatility. The stock closed at $6.22 on November 19, 2025, after falling -7.03% on that single day. This is a stock that moved between a 52-week low of $0.180 and a high of $13.48 (as of November 2025), which shows you the massive swings in investor emotion. It's a very high-risk play. The stock's year-to-date surge was a staggering 3,160.82% earlier in 2025, but it has since fallen back, illustrating how quickly gains can erode.
Market reactions to capital raises are also telling. The company completed a $10 million public offering in August 2025, and a $5.7 million offering in July 2025, primarily to fund the development of its Multikine immunotherapy. These offerings inject cash for trials but also create dilution, which can pressure the stock price. The market's reaction to these events is often a short-term dip, but the long-term investors are focused on the clinical progress this cash enables. If you want to understand the core mission, you can read the Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of CEL-SCI Corporation (CVM).
Analyst Perspectives on Key Investors' Impact
The analyst community is split, but the high-end price targets are what draw speculative investors. Some analysts are highly bullish, with an average target price of $300.03 (as of August 2025), suggesting a potential upside of over 3,000%. Other, more conservative forecasts place the average target at $42.50 (with a high of $60.00). The consensus is a 'Buy' rating from the few analysts covering the stock, but this low coverage underscores the speculative nature.
Here's the quick math: The average analyst target of $42.50 is nearly 7 times the recent stock price of $6.22. This huge gap is not a prediction of guaranteed returns, but a valuation based on the successful commercialization of Multikine. The key investor impact isn't about their trading volume; it's about the stability their capital provides. Institutional holders like Vanguard Group Inc. help stabilize the float, while insider buying reinforces the narrative that the product pipeline is worth the risk, despite the company's negative free cash flow of approximately -$4.96 million and negative EPS of -$9.13 in 2025.
| Metric | 2025 Fiscal Year Data | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Insider Buying (L12M) | $4.22 million | Strong internal conviction. |
| Recent Stock Price (Nov 19, 2025) | $6.22 | High volatility, recent drop. |
| Analyst Average Price Target | $42.50 - $300.03 | Massive potential upside if Multikine succeeds. |
| Forecasted Revenue Growth Rate | 122.7% per year | Projected explosive growth from product launch. |
| Negative Free Cash Flow (Approx.) | -$4.96 million | Heavy R&D burn rate; reliance on capital raises. |
The bottom line is that key investors-both institutional and insider-are buying into the future revenue growth of 122.7% per year, not the current financial picture. Your action item: Finance should model a worst-case scenario for cash burn over the next 18 months, assuming no new capital raises, to fully understand the runway.

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