Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) Bundle
You've seen the headlines about Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) missing its Q3 2025 earnings, reporting non-GAAP EPS of only $2.14 against a $2.58 estimate, and you're wondering why institutional money is still piling in. Honestly, the near-term noise from the cyclical dip in political advertising is a distraction for the big players. The real story is that 95.30% of this stock is already held by institutions, and they are defintely not selling; just look at the Ontario Teachers Pension Plan Board, which boosted its stake by 189.1% recently. They see a clear path to a projected full-year 2025 revenue of around $5.03 billion and a forward dividend yield of 4.1%, which translates to an annualized payout of $7.44. The core thesis is simple: the $6.2 billion definitive agreement to acquire TEGNA Inc. is expected to create massive free cash flow, plus the company is on track to get The CW Network to breakeven by 2026. Are you positioned to profit from this long-term media consolidation play, or are you focused on the quarter-to-quarter volatility?
Who Invests in Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) and Why?
If you're looking at Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST), you're looking at a stock that is overwhelmingly controlled by large, professional money managers. The investor profile is less about the individual retail trader and more about the massive institutional funds that see its dominant market position and reliable cash flow as a long-term anchor for their portfolios.
The core takeaway is this: NXST is a cash-generating machine in a consolidating industry, and its ownership structure reflects a deep-seated confidence from the world's largest asset managers, who are betting on its dividend growth and political advertising cycle strength.
Here's the quick math: Institutional investors and hedge funds own a staggering 95.30% of the outstanding shares. This isn't a stock where retail sentiment drives the price; it's a battleground for multi-billion-dollar funds.
Key Investor Types: The Institutional Giants
The ownership breakdown for Nexstar Media Group, Inc. is a textbook example of a mature, cash-flow-rich company. The vast majority of shares are held by institutional investors, which include mutual funds, pension funds, and large asset managers. Retail investors, while numerous, hold a much smaller piece of the pie, estimated around 10.02% of the stock. This high institutional concentration means the stock's stability is tied to the long-term mandates of these behemoths.
The top shareholders are the names you see everywhere, indicating a huge passive investment component. These passive funds, or index trackers, are forced to own the stock because it's in the indices they track, like the S&P Mid-Cap 400.
- BlackRock, Inc.: Holds approximately 10.2% of shares.
- Vanguard Group Inc: Holds approximately 10.1% of shares.
- Dimensional Fund Advisors LP: A major holder, often associated with value investing strategies.
This level of ownership from BlackRock and Vanguard means a substantial portion of the float is locked up in long-term, passive hands, which often dampens short-term volatility. The CEO, Perry Sook, is also a significant insider, holding about 5.77% of the shares, which aligns management's interests defintely with long-term shareholder returns.
Investment Motivations: Cash Flow and Political Cycles
What attracts these sophisticated investors to Nexstar Media Group, Inc. is a clear-cut mix of recession-resistant cash flow and predictable cyclical catalysts. It's not a high-flying tech stock; it's a media utility with a massive footprint.
The primary motivations boil down to three things:
- High and Growing Dividends: Nexstar is a dividend growth story. The company recently announced a quarterly dividend of $1.86 per share, representing an annualized payout of $7.44. This marks the twelfth consecutive year the company has raised its dividend, a huge draw for income-focused funds and retirees.
- Market Dominance and Distribution Revenue: As the largest local television broadcaster in the U.S., Nexstar Media Group, Inc. has a massive negotiation advantage. Its distribution revenue-the fees paid by cable and satellite providers to carry its stations-is a steady, predictable income stream. This is why Q1 and Q2 2025 Net Revenue was strong, at $1.23 billion for both quarters, driven by record distribution revenue.
- Cyclical Political Advertising: The upcoming 2026 political cycle is a huge tailwind. Local broadcast is the single most effective medium for political ads, and Nexstar Media Group, Inc. is the biggest player. Investors are positioning now to capture that massive, high-margin revenue spike.
If you want to understand the long-term vision, you should read the Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST).
Investment Strategies: Value, Income, and M&A
The strategies employed by the major holders of Nexstar Media Group, Inc. are typically long-term and value-oriented, reflecting the company's stable, yet consolidating, industry position.
| Strategy Type | Investor Profile | NXST Rationale (2025 Data) |
|---|---|---|
| Passive/Index Investing | BlackRock, Vanguard Group Inc, State Street Corp | Automatic buying due to inclusion in major indices. Provides stability and a permanent floor of demand. |
| Value Investing | Dimensional Fund Advisors LP, LSV Asset Management | Betting on the company's strong free cash flow and a relatively low P/E ratio (analysts predict $21.62 EPS for 2025). The Piotroski F-Score of 7 suggests a very healthy financial situation. |
| Dividend/Income Investing | Pension Funds, Income Mutual Funds | Focus on the reliable, annually increasing dividend of $7.44 annualized, with a current yield around 4.1%. |
| Growth-Through-M&A | Hedge Funds, Strategic Investors | Capitalizing on the company's ability to consolidate the market, such as the pending acquisition of TEGNA, which would expand its reach to 80% of the U.S. population. |
The value investors, in particular, are attracted to the company's efficient operations, which delivered Q2 2025 Net Income of $91 million. They see a business that generates significant cash, pays down debt, and consistently returns capital to shareholders through both dividends and stock buybacks. For example, in Q2 2025 alone, the company repurchased 311,998 shares for a total of $50 million. That's a clear action that boosts shareholder value.
Next Step: Finance needs to model the impact of the $7.44 annualized dividend on total portfolio yield versus the peer group by end of next week.
Institutional Ownership and Major Shareholders of Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST)
If you're looking at Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST), the first thing to grasp is that this is defintely an institutionally-driven stock. The percentage of shares held by large funds and institutions is an exceptionally high 101.94%, which tells you that the stock's direction is largely in the hands of major financial players, not individual retail investors.
This high ownership concentration, valued at approximately $5.784 billion based on the company's Q3 2025 market capitalization, signals strong confidence from sophisticated investors in Nexstar's long-term strategy, particularly its dominant position as the largest U.S. television station owner-operator. This isn't a speculative bet; it's a core holding for many of the world's largest asset managers.
Top Institutional Investors and Their Stakes
When you peel back the layers on who owns NXST, you find a predictable list of the world's biggest index and active fund managers. These are the firms that manage trillions in assets, so their positions are massive and often passive (meaning they track an index), but their sheer size gives them enormous influence.
As of the end of the third quarter of 2025 (September 30, 2025), the top institutional holders of Nexstar Media Group, Inc. demonstrate this scale. Here's a quick look at the major players and their share counts:
| Owner Name | Shares Held (as of 9/30/2025) | Change in Shares (Q3 2025) |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | 3,098,797 | -7,814 (Decrease) |
| Vanguard Group Inc | 3,065,367 | -12,006 (Decrease) |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors Lp | 1,391,323 | +42,391 (Increase) |
| Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 1,158,367 | +21,830 (Increase) |
| Lsv Asset Management | 1,157,545 | -36,406 (Decrease) |
The two largest holders, BlackRock, Inc. and Vanguard Group Inc, are primarily index funds, so their movements are often tied to the stock's weighting in indices like the S&P Mid-Cap 400. Still, their combined stake is a powerful anchor for the stock.
Recent Shifts in Institutional Ownership
The third quarter of 2025 showed a fascinating mix of activity, which is typical when a company is navigating a major strategic event. While the largest passive investors slightly trimmed their positions, many other funds were actively increasing their stakes.
Overall, the institutional sentiment was net positive on a position count basis. In Q3 2025, there were 260 institutional investors who increased their positions, totaling 3,523,132 shares bought, compared to 215 institutions that decreased their positions, selling 2,780,724 shares. This is a net accumulation of shares, which suggests that, beyond the passive index funds, a significant number of active managers saw the recent price as a buying opportunity.
- Buy-side activity was strong: Royal Bank Of Canada, for instance, boosted its holdings by 127,543 shares.
- Smaller funds showed conviction: Mitsubishi UFJ Trust & Banking Corp increased its holdings by 128.4% in the second quarter.
- The net accumulation of shares indicates that the market views the near-term risks as manageable relative to the long-term value.
Impact of Institutional Investors on NXST's Strategy
For a company like Nexstar Media Group, Inc., these large investors don't just hold the stock; they fundamentally influence its capital allocation and strategic direction. Their primary focus is on maximizing free cash flow (FCF) and the return of capital to shareholders.
The most concrete example of their influence is the definitive agreement to acquire TEGNA, a cash transaction valued at $6.2 billion. This massive deal, which is expected to close in the second half of 2026, is a direct strategic move to consolidate the local media market and is overwhelmingly supported by shareholders (TEGNA shareholders voted 98% in favor).
Here's the quick math on capital allocation: In Q3 2025, Nexstar returned $56 million to shareholders in dividends and repaid $25 million in mandatory debt. They explicitly stated they did not repurchase shares because they are conserving cash for the TEGNA acquisition, which they believe will be more accretive-meaning it will add more value-than a stand-alone share repurchase strategy. The institutions are implicitly endorsing this strategy of prioritizing a major acquisition over immediate buybacks, which is a powerful signal. You can read more about the long-term goals that drive these decisions here: Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST).
Key Investors and Their Impact on Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST)
If you're looking at Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST), you're looking at a company where the investment landscape is dominated by institutional money. Over 83% of the company's stock is held by large financial institutions, which tells you that the stock's stability and movement are primarily driven by the big players, not retail sentiment.
The investor profile is less about activist hedge funds demanding immediate change and more about massive, long-term index and passive funds-the kind of funds that own a piece of almost every major US company. This passive ownership structure means they generally support the current management's strategy, especially when that strategy is delivering on scale and shareholder returns, as Nexstar Media Group, Inc. has been. The company's focus on broadcast ownership reform and its unique scale are key selling points for these long-horizon investors. Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST).
The Passive Giants: BlackRock and Vanguard
The largest shareholders in Nexstar Media Group, Inc. are exactly who you'd expect: the indexing behemoths. These aren't activist funds; they are passive investors whose holdings reflect the company's inclusion in major indexes and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). To be fair, their sheer size gives them immense influence, even if they aren't shouting from the rooftops.
As of the end of the third quarter of 2025, the top institutional holders were led by BlackRock, Inc. and Vanguard Group Inc.. BlackRock, Inc. held approximately 3,098,797 shares, and Vanguard Group Inc. held about 3,065,367 shares. This is a classic case of index funds being the anchor investors. They aren't buying because of a deep-dive, contrarian thesis; they are buying because the company is a core component of the S&P MidCap 400 and other major indices.
Here's a quick look at the top institutional stakes as of September 30, 2025:
| Institution | Shares Held (Q3 2025) | Change from Prior Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | 3,098,797 | Decreased by 7,814 |
| Vanguard Group Inc | 3,065,367 | Decreased by 12,006 |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors Lp | 1,391,323 | Increased by 42,391 |
| Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 1,158,367 | Increased by 21,830 |
| Lsv Asset Management | 1,157,545 | Decreased by 36,406 |
The slight decreases from BlackRock, Inc. and Vanguard Group Inc. in Q3 2025 are minimal rebalancing moves, not a flight of capital. Dimensional Fund Advisors Lp and Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc. actually increased their positions, showing continued confidence in the stock's value proposition.
Recent Moves and the TEGNA Acquisition Catalyst
The most significant recent move that all investors are focused on is the proposed acquisition of TEGNA Inc. for $6.2 billion. This is a massive, highly accretive transaction that, if approved by the FCC, would cement Nexstar Media Group, Inc.'s position as the dominant player in U.S. local broadcasting, potentially expanding its reach to cover over 80% of the U.S. population.
This strategic growth is the core reason why institutional investors are holding firm. They are betting on:
- Scale advantages in retransmission consent negotiations.
- Increased leverage for political advertising revenue in the 2026 cycle.
- Future revenue from the next-generation broadcast standard (ATSC 3.0), which could generate up to $15 billion annually for the industry by 2030.
The company is also actively returning capital, which is a big draw for income-focused funds. In October 2025, the company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $1.86 per share, which annualizes to $7.44. That kind of consistent, high-yield payout is a clear signal to the market that management is confident in its future cash flow, despite a non-political year like 2025, where Q3 net revenue was $1.20 billion.
Insider and Activist Influence
While the institutional ownership is high, it's also important to note the influence of the company's founder, Chairman, and CEO, Perry A. Sook. He is a top individual shareholder, holding approximately 1,749,151 shares, representing a 5.77% stake. This level of insider ownership, while not as high as some companies, is substantial and aligns the interests of the CEO directly with those of the shareholders. His employment agreement was also extended through March 2029, signaling leadership stability in a period of intense industry consolidation.
You don't see a lot of classic activist investor noise because the current strategy-acquire, consolidate, pay down debt, and return capital-is already a highly successful activist playbook. The company's commitment to shareholder value is defintely clear in its actions, like the debt repayment of $25 million and dividend payment of $56 million in Q3 2025 alone.
Action Item: Monitor the FCC approval process for the TEGNA acquisition. That regulatory decision is the single biggest near-term catalyst for the stock's next major move.
Market Impact and Investor Sentiment
You're looking at Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) and wondering if the big money is still buying, and honestly, the answer is a qualified yes. Institutional investor sentiment is defintely strong, with a consensus Wall Street rating of Moderate Buy. It's a classic story of a company executing a massive, transformative deal, which always brings both excitement and regulatory jitters.
The sheer level of institutional ownership tells you a lot. As of the most recent filings, Nexstar Media Group, Inc. has over 1,000 institutional owners holding a total of over 39.7 million shares. This translates to an institutional ownership percentage that is actually over 100% of the float, a common occurrence when you factor in short interest and various reporting methodologies, but it underscores the conviction of large funds. This is a stock where the big players are heavily invested, not just dipping a toe in.
The largest shareholders include titans like BlackRock, Inc., The Vanguard Group Inc., and Dimensional Fund Advisors LP. For example, BlackRock, Inc. showed its hand in the first quarter of 2025 by adding a significant chunk of shares-over 526,000-valued at an estimated $94.3 million. That kind of accumulation speaks louder than any press release.
- BlackRock, Inc. added 526,125 shares in Q1 2025.
- The Vanguard Group Inc. is a perennial top holder.
- Institutional ownership is currently over 100% of the float.
Recent Market Reactions to Big Investor Moves
The market has responded to Nexstar Media Group, Inc.'s strategic moves with a clear upward trend, though with some volatility around earnings. The stock hit an all-time high of $222.56 in August 2025, reflecting robust investor confidence in the company's performance and strategic direction. A major catalyst came in February 2025 when the stock saw a single-day jump of 11.83%, largely fueled by the company's decision to increase its quarterly cash dividend by 10% to $1.86 per share. That's a strong signal of management's faith in future free cash flow (FCF).
But it's not all smooth sailing. The mixed Q3 2025 earnings report, where the company missed EPS expectations (reporting $2.14 instead of the forecasted $2.62), led to some tempered sentiment. This is where you see the push and pull: the core business faces headwinds like the decline in political ad revenue in a non-election year, but the strategic growth initiatives keep the long-term investors locked in. This is a cyclical business, so you have to look beyond a single quarter. For a deeper dive into the company's stability, you should check out Breaking Down Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
Analyst Perspectives on the TEGNA Acquisition
The entire analyst community is focused on the proposed $6.2 billion all-cash acquisition of TEGNA Inc. This deal is a game-changer, projected to create a broadcasting entity with 265 full-power television stations. Management is targeting $300 million in projected annual synergies, with a substantial majority expected within the first year.
Here's the quick math on the synergy potential: 45% of those synergies are expected to come from retransmission revenue, and the other 55% from operating expense reductions. That's a clear path to boosting the bottom line. Still, what this estimate hides is the regulatory risk. One analyst recently downgraded the stock from 'Buy' to 'Hold' in November 2025, specifically citing the uncertainty of the deal closing without significant regulatory pushback. The market is pricing in a successful deal, but any hiccup could cause a sharp correction.
The overall conviction remains high, as evidenced by the consensus price target of $225.00, with some analysts setting a high estimate of $250.00. They see the long-term value of expanding Nexstar Media Group, Inc.'s reach to 80% of the U.S. population. The key takeaway is that the big funds are betting on management's ability to execute this integration, just as they did with the Media General and Tribune Media acquisitions in prior years.
| Metric | Q2 2025 Value | Q3 2025 Value | Analyst Consensus (FY 2025) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Revenue | $1.23 billion | $1.20 billion | Approx. $5.03 billion |
| Earnings Per Share (EPS) | $3.06 (Beat Estimate) | $2.14 (Missed Estimate) | N/A |
| Adjusted EBITDA | $389 million | $358 million | N/A |
| Quarterly Dividend | $1.86 per share | $1.86 per share | $7.44 Annualized |

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