Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co., Ltd. (000837SZ) DCF Valuation

Qinchuan -Werkzeugmaschine & Werkzeuggruppe Share Co., Ltd. (000837.sz) DCF -Bewertung

CN | Industrials | Industrial - Machinery | SHZ
Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co., Ltd. (000837SZ) DCF Valuation
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Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co., Ltd. (000837.SZ) Bundle

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Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)

Year AY1
2019
AY2
2020
AY3
2021
AY4
2022
AY5
2023
FY1
2024
FY2
2025
FY3
2026
FY4
2027
FY5
2028
Revenue 3,165.0 4,095.1 5,052.4 4,101.1 3,761.1 4,002.2 4,258.8 4,531.9 4,822.5 5,131.6
Revenue Growth, % 0 29.39 23.38 -18.83 -8.29 6.41 6.41 6.41 6.41 6.41
EBITDA 188.4 516.1 593.6 515.8 307.3 408.6 434.8 462.7 492.4 524.0
EBITDA, % 5.95 12.6 11.75 12.58 8.17 10.21 10.21 10.21 10.21 10.21
Depreciation 143.1 161.8 179.2 182.4 199.2 174.2 185.4 197.3 209.9 223.4
Depreciation, % 4.52 3.95 3.55 4.45 5.3 4.35 4.35 4.35 4.35 4.35
EBIT 45.2 354.3 414.4 333.4 108.1 234.4 249.5 265.4 282.5 300.6
EBIT, % 1.43 8.65 8.2 8.13 2.87 5.86 5.86 5.86 5.86 5.86
Total Cash 763.8 912.6 1,260.0 1,229.8 2,138.3 1,266.3 1,347.5 1,433.8 1,525.8 1,623.6
Total Cash, percent .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0
Account Receivables 1,298.7 1,595.6 1,401.0 1,580.2 1,441.1
Account Receivables, % 41.03 38.96 27.73 38.53 38.32
Inventories 1,465.9 1,647.0 1,744.1 1,792.7 1,947.4 1,733.3 1,844.5 1,962.7 2,088.6 2,222.5
Inventories, % 46.32 40.22 34.52 43.71 51.78 43.31 43.31 43.31 43.31 43.31
Accounts Payable 1,221.1 1,480.3 1,704.6 1,874.2 2,001.2 1,659.9 1,766.4 1,879.6 2,000.1 2,128.3
Accounts Payable, % 38.58 36.15 33.74 45.7 53.21 41.47 41.47 41.47 41.47 41.47
Capital Expenditure -58.2 -93.6 -136.3 -322.2 -294.9 -180.3 -191.8 -204.1 -217.2 -231.1
Capital Expenditure, % -1.84 -2.29 -2.7 -7.86 -7.84 -4.5 -4.5 -4.5 -4.5 -4.5
Tax Rate, % 29.57 29.57 29.57 29.57 29.57 29.57 29.57 29.57 29.57 29.57
EBITAT 50.4 289.4 330.8 315.8 76.1 200.0 212.9 226.5 241.0 256.5
Depreciation
Changes in Account Receivables
Changes in Inventories
Changes in Accounts Payable
Capital Expenditure
UFCF -1,408.2 138.8 695.5 118.0 91.7 30.5 107.0 113.9 121.2 128.9
WACC, % 7.87 7.79 7.79 7.84 7.75 7.81 7.81 7.81 7.81 7.81
PV UFCF
SUM PV UFCF 389.5
Long Term Growth Rate, % 3.00
Free cash flow (T + 1) 133
Terminal Value 2,762
Present Terminal Value 1,897
Enterprise Value 2,286
Net Debt -1,047
Equity Value 3,333
Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM 945
Equity Value Per Share 3.53

Benefits You Will Receive

  • Comprehensive Financial Model: Access to Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group's actual data supports accurate DCF valuation.
  • Complete Forecast Flexibility: Modify revenue growth, profit margins, WACC, and other essential parameters.
  • Real-Time Calculations: Automatic updates allow you to see outcomes instantly as you make adjustments.
  • Professional Grade Template: An expertly crafted Excel file suitable for high-level valuations.
  • Customizable and Reusable: Designed for adaptability, enabling multiple uses for in-depth forecasts.

Key Features

  • Comprehensive Qinchuan Data: Includes historical financial performance and future projections for Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co., Ltd. (000837SZ).
  • Customizable Financial Inputs: Modify key variables such as revenue growth, profit margins, discount rates, tax rates, and capital expenditures.
  • Interactive Valuation Model: Automatically refreshes Net Present Value (NPV) and intrinsic value based on user-defined parameters.
  • Forecast Scenario Analysis: Develop various scenarios to evaluate different potential valuation results.
  • Intuitive User Interface: Designed to be accessible, structured, and efficient for both seasoned professionals and newcomers.

How It Works

  1. Step 1: Download the Excel file.
  2. Step 2: Review the pre-filled data for Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co., Ltd. (000837SZ), including historical and projected figures.
  3. Step 3: Modify the key assumptions (highlighted in yellow) according to your analysis.
  4. Step 4: Observe the automatic recalculations for Qinchuan's intrinsic value.
  5. Step 5: Utilize the results for investment decisions or reporting purposes.

Why Opt for This Calculator?

  • Designed for Industry Experts: A specialized tool utilized by analysts, CFOs, and consultants in the field.
  • Accurate Data Integration: Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group's historical and forecasted financials are preloaded for precision.
  • Scenario Analysis: Effortlessly simulate various forecasts and assumptions.
  • Comprehensive Outputs: Automatically generates intrinsic value, NPV, and key performance indicators.
  • User-Friendly Experience: Step-by-step guidance ensures a smooth process.

Who Can Benefit from This Product?

  • Manufacturing Students: Understand production techniques and apply them with real-world examples.
  • Researchers: Utilize industry-standard models in academic studies or dissertations.
  • Investors: Validate your hypotheses and evaluate financial projections for Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co., Ltd. (000837SZ).
  • Market Analysts: Enhance your efficiency with a ready-made, adaptable DCF model.
  • Entrepreneurs: Discover how major corporations like Qinchuan Machine Tool are evaluated in the market.

Contents of the Template

  • Operating and Balance Sheet Data: Pre-filled historical data and forecasts for Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co., Ltd. (000837SZ), including revenue, EBITDA, EBIT, and capital expenditures.
  • WACC Calculation: A dedicated sheet for the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC), featuring parameters such as Beta, risk-free rate, and share price.
  • DCF Valuation (Unlevered and Levered): Customizable Discounted Cash Flow models that reveal intrinsic value along with detailed calculations.
  • Financial Statements: Pre-loaded annual and quarterly financial statements to facilitate comprehensive analysis.
  • Key Ratios: Includes profitability, leverage, and efficiency ratios specifically for Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co., Ltd. (000837SZ).
  • Dashboard and Charts: A visual summary of valuation outputs and underlying assumptions for easier result analysis.


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