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Valoración de DCF de Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG)
US | Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | NYSE
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![Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) DCF Valuation](http://dcfmodeling.com/cdn/shop/files/cmg-dcf-analysis.png?v=1735041450&width=1100)
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Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) Bundle
¿Busca determinar el valor intrínseco de Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.? Nuestra calculadora CMG DCF integra datos del mundo real con características integrales de personalización, lo que le permite refinar sus pronósticos y tomar decisiones de inversión informadas.
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)
Year | AY1 2019 |
AY2 2020 |
AY3 2021 |
AY4 2022 |
AY5 2023 |
FY1 2024 |
FY2 2025 |
FY3 2026 |
FY4 2027 |
FY5 2028 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 5,586.4 | 5,984.6 | 7,547.1 | 8,634.7 | 9,871.6 | 11,401.1 | 13,167.5 | 15,207.6 | 17,563.7 | 20,285.0 |
Revenue Growth, % | 0 | 7.13 | 26.11 | 14.41 | 14.33 | 15.49 | 15.49 | 15.49 | 15.49 | 15.49 |
EBITDA | 690.9 | 574.8 | 1,067.4 | 1,468.4 | 1,939.9 | 1,659.4 | 1,916.5 | 2,213.4 | 2,556.3 | 2,952.4 |
EBITDA, % | 12.37 | 9.6 | 14.14 | 17.01 | 19.65 | 14.55 | 14.55 | 14.55 | 14.55 | 14.55 |
Depreciation | 376.7 | 423.1 | 254.7 | 286.8 | 319.4 | 541.4 | 625.3 | 722.2 | 834.1 | 963.3 |
Depreciation, % | 6.74 | 7.07 | 3.37 | 3.32 | 3.24 | 4.75 | 4.75 | 4.75 | 4.75 | 4.75 |
EBIT | 314.2 | 151.7 | 812.8 | 1,181.5 | 1,620.5 | 1,118.0 | 1,291.2 | 1,491.2 | 1,722.2 | 1,989.1 |
EBIT, % | 5.62 | 2.54 | 10.77 | 13.68 | 16.42 | 9.81 | 9.81 | 9.81 | 9.81 | 9.81 |
Total Cash | 880.8 | 951.6 | 1,076.3 | 899.1 | 1,295.4 | 1,584.0 | 1,829.4 | 2,112.8 | 2,440.1 | 2,818.2 |
Total Cash, percent | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 |
Account Receivables | 108.3 | 387.3 | 193.7 | 154.6 | 168.5 | 330.0 | 381.1 | 440.2 | 508.4 | 587.2 |
Account Receivables, % | 1.94 | 6.47 | 2.57 | 1.79 | 1.71 | 2.89 | 2.89 | 2.89 | 2.89 | 2.89 |
Inventories | 26.1 | 26.4 | 32.8 | 35.7 | 39.3 | 49.1 | 56.8 | 65.6 | 75.7 | 87.4 |
Inventories, % | 0.46714 | 0.44188 | 0.43495 | 0.41308 | 0.3982 | 0.43105 | 0.43105 | 0.43105 | 0.43105 | 0.43105 |
Accounts Payable | 115.8 | 122.0 | 163.2 | 184.6 | 197.6 | 237.4 | 274.2 | 316.7 | 365.8 | 422.5 |
Accounts Payable, % | 2.07 | 2.04 | 2.16 | 2.14 | 2 | 2.08 | 2.08 | 2.08 | 2.08 | 2.08 |
Capital Expenditure | -333.9 | -373.4 | -442.5 | -479.2 | -560.7 | -668.3 | -771.8 | -891.4 | -1,029.5 | -1,189.0 |
Capital Expenditure, % | -5.98 | -6.24 | -5.86 | -5.55 | -5.68 | -5.86 | -5.86 | -5.86 | -5.86 | -5.86 |
Tax Rate, % | 24.18 | 24.18 | 24.18 | 24.18 | 24.18 | 24.18 | 24.18 | 24.18 | 24.18 | 24.18 |
EBITAT | 240.1 | 183.7 | 653.0 | 899.1 | 1,228.7 | 913.7 | 1,055.3 | 1,218.8 | 1,407.6 | 1,625.7 |
Depreciation | ||||||||||
Changes in Account Receivables | ||||||||||
Changes in Inventories | ||||||||||
Changes in Accounts Payable | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | ||||||||||
UFCF | 264.4 | -39.8 | 693.6 | 764.4 | 983.0 | 655.3 | 886.8 | 1,024.2 | 1,182.9 | 1,366.2 |
WACC, % | 10.1 | 10.15 | 10.11 | 10.1 | 10.1 | 10.11 | 10.11 | 10.11 | 10.11 | 10.11 |
PV UFCF | ||||||||||
SUM PV UFCF | 3,742.2 | |||||||||
Long Term Growth Rate, % | 4.00 | |||||||||
Free cash flow (T + 1) | 1,421 | |||||||||
Terminal Value | 23,240 | |||||||||
Present Terminal Value | 14,356 | |||||||||
Enterprise Value | 18,098 | |||||||||
Net Debt | 3,491 | |||||||||
Equity Value | 14,607 | |||||||||
Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM | 1,386 | |||||||||
Equity Value Per Share | 10.54 |
What You Will Get
- Real CMG Financials: Includes historical and forecasted data for precise valuation.
- Adjustable Inputs: Modify WACC, tax rates, revenue growth, and capital expenditures.
- Automatic Calculations: Intrinsic value and NPV are calculated dynamically.
- Scenario Analysis: Test multiple scenarios to evaluate Chipotle’s future performance.
- Clear and Intuitive Design: Tailored for professionals yet user-friendly for beginners.
Key Features
- Pre-Loaded Data: Chipotle’s historical financial statements and pre-filled forecasts.
- Fully Adjustable Inputs: Edit WACC, tax rates, revenue growth, and EBITDA margins.
- Instant Results: See Chipotle’s intrinsic value recalculate in real time.
- Clear Visual Outputs: Dashboard charts display valuation results and key metrics.
- Built for Accuracy: A professional tool for analysts, investors, and finance experts.
How It Works
- Download: Access the ready-to-use Excel file with Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.'s (CMG) financial data.
- Customize: Adjust forecasts, including revenue growth, EBITDA %, and WACC.
- Update Automatically: The intrinsic value and NPV calculations update in real-time.
- Test Scenarios: Create multiple projections and compare outcomes instantly.
- Make Decisions: Use the valuation results to guide your investment strategy.
Why Choose This Calculator for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG)?
- Designed for Industry Experts: A sophisticated tool utilized by financial analysts, CFOs, and industry consultants.
- Accurate Financial Insights: Chipotle’s historical and projected financial data preloaded for precise analysis.
- Flexible Scenario Analysis: Effortlessly simulate various forecasts and assumptions.
- Comprehensive Outputs: Automatically computes intrinsic value, NPV, and essential financial metrics.
- User-Friendly Interface: Step-by-step guidance simplifies the calculation process.
Who Should Use This Product?
- Investors: Assess Chipotle’s valuation prior to making investment decisions.
- CFOs and Financial Analysts: Optimize valuation methodologies and evaluate financial forecasts.
- Startup Founders: Understand the valuation strategies of leading companies like Chipotle.
- Consultants: Provide comprehensive valuation analyses for their clients.
- Students and Educators: Utilize real market data to learn and teach valuation principles.
What the Template Contains
- Pre-Filled Data: Includes Chipotle’s historical financials and forecasts.
- Discounted Cash Flow Model: Editable DCF valuation model with automatic calculations.
- Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC): A dedicated sheet for calculating WACC based on custom inputs.
- Key Financial Ratios: Analyze Chipotle’s profitability, efficiency, and leverage.
- Customizable Inputs: Edit revenue growth, margins, and tax rates with ease.
- Clear Dashboard: Charts and tables summarizing key valuation results.
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