Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) DCF Valuation

Valoración de DCF de Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG)

US | Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | NYSE
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) DCF Valuation
  • Completamente Editable: Adáptelo A Sus Necesidades En Excel O Sheets
  • Diseño Profesional: Plantillas Confiables Y Estándares De La Industria
  • Predeterminadas Para Un Uso Rápido Y Eficiente
  • No Se Necesita Experiencia; Fáciles De Seguir

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) Bundle

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¿Busca determinar el valor intrínseco de Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.? Nuestra calculadora CMG DCF integra datos del mundo real con características integrales de personalización, lo que le permite refinar sus pronósticos y tomar decisiones de inversión informadas.


Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)

Year AY1
2019
AY2
2020
AY3
2021
AY4
2022
AY5
2023
FY1
2024
FY2
2025
FY3
2026
FY4
2027
FY5
2028
Revenue 5,586.4 5,984.6 7,547.1 8,634.7 9,871.6 11,401.1 13,167.5 15,207.6 17,563.7 20,285.0
Revenue Growth, % 0 7.13 26.11 14.41 14.33 15.49 15.49 15.49 15.49 15.49
EBITDA 690.9 574.8 1,067.4 1,468.4 1,939.9 1,659.4 1,916.5 2,213.4 2,556.3 2,952.4
EBITDA, % 12.37 9.6 14.14 17.01 19.65 14.55 14.55 14.55 14.55 14.55
Depreciation 376.7 423.1 254.7 286.8 319.4 541.4 625.3 722.2 834.1 963.3
Depreciation, % 6.74 7.07 3.37 3.32 3.24 4.75 4.75 4.75 4.75 4.75
EBIT 314.2 151.7 812.8 1,181.5 1,620.5 1,118.0 1,291.2 1,491.2 1,722.2 1,989.1
EBIT, % 5.62 2.54 10.77 13.68 16.42 9.81 9.81 9.81 9.81 9.81
Total Cash 880.8 951.6 1,076.3 899.1 1,295.4 1,584.0 1,829.4 2,112.8 2,440.1 2,818.2
Total Cash, percent .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0
Account Receivables 108.3 387.3 193.7 154.6 168.5
Account Receivables, % 1.94 6.47 2.57 1.79 1.71
Inventories 26.1 26.4 32.8 35.7 39.3 49.1 56.8 65.6 75.7 87.4
Inventories, % 0.46714 0.44188 0.43495 0.41308 0.3982 0.43105 0.43105 0.43105 0.43105 0.43105
Accounts Payable 115.8 122.0 163.2 184.6 197.6 237.4 274.2 316.7 365.8 422.5
Accounts Payable, % 2.07 2.04 2.16 2.14 2 2.08 2.08 2.08 2.08 2.08
Capital Expenditure -333.9 -373.4 -442.5 -479.2 -560.7 -668.3 -771.8 -891.4 -1,029.5 -1,189.0
Capital Expenditure, % -5.98 -6.24 -5.86 -5.55 -5.68 -5.86 -5.86 -5.86 -5.86 -5.86
Tax Rate, % 24.18 24.18 24.18 24.18 24.18 24.18 24.18 24.18 24.18 24.18
EBITAT 240.1 183.7 653.0 899.1 1,228.7 913.7 1,055.3 1,218.8 1,407.6 1,625.7
Depreciation
Changes in Account Receivables
Changes in Inventories
Changes in Accounts Payable
Capital Expenditure
UFCF 264.4 -39.8 693.6 764.4 983.0 655.3 886.8 1,024.2 1,182.9 1,366.2
WACC, % 10.1 10.15 10.11 10.1 10.1 10.11 10.11 10.11 10.11 10.11
PV UFCF
SUM PV UFCF 3,742.2
Long Term Growth Rate, % 4.00
Free cash flow (T + 1) 1,421
Terminal Value 23,240
Present Terminal Value 14,356
Enterprise Value 18,098
Net Debt 3,491
Equity Value 14,607
Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM 1,386
Equity Value Per Share 10.54

What You Will Get

  • Real CMG Financials: Includes historical and forecasted data for precise valuation.
  • Adjustable Inputs: Modify WACC, tax rates, revenue growth, and capital expenditures.
  • Automatic Calculations: Intrinsic value and NPV are calculated dynamically.
  • Scenario Analysis: Test multiple scenarios to evaluate Chipotle’s future performance.
  • Clear and Intuitive Design: Tailored for professionals yet user-friendly for beginners.

Key Features

  • Pre-Loaded Data: Chipotle’s historical financial statements and pre-filled forecasts.
  • Fully Adjustable Inputs: Edit WACC, tax rates, revenue growth, and EBITDA margins.
  • Instant Results: See Chipotle’s intrinsic value recalculate in real time.
  • Clear Visual Outputs: Dashboard charts display valuation results and key metrics.
  • Built for Accuracy: A professional tool for analysts, investors, and finance experts.

How It Works

  • Download: Access the ready-to-use Excel file with Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.'s (CMG) financial data.
  • Customize: Adjust forecasts, including revenue growth, EBITDA %, and WACC.
  • Update Automatically: The intrinsic value and NPV calculations update in real-time.
  • Test Scenarios: Create multiple projections and compare outcomes instantly.
  • Make Decisions: Use the valuation results to guide your investment strategy.

Why Choose This Calculator for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG)?

  • Designed for Industry Experts: A sophisticated tool utilized by financial analysts, CFOs, and industry consultants.
  • Accurate Financial Insights: Chipotle’s historical and projected financial data preloaded for precise analysis.
  • Flexible Scenario Analysis: Effortlessly simulate various forecasts and assumptions.
  • Comprehensive Outputs: Automatically computes intrinsic value, NPV, and essential financial metrics.
  • User-Friendly Interface: Step-by-step guidance simplifies the calculation process.

Who Should Use This Product?

  • Investors: Assess Chipotle’s valuation prior to making investment decisions.
  • CFOs and Financial Analysts: Optimize valuation methodologies and evaluate financial forecasts.
  • Startup Founders: Understand the valuation strategies of leading companies like Chipotle.
  • Consultants: Provide comprehensive valuation analyses for their clients.
  • Students and Educators: Utilize real market data to learn and teach valuation principles.

What the Template Contains

  • Pre-Filled Data: Includes Chipotle’s historical financials and forecasts.
  • Discounted Cash Flow Model: Editable DCF valuation model with automatic calculations.
  • Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC): A dedicated sheet for calculating WACC based on custom inputs.
  • Key Financial Ratios: Analyze Chipotle’s profitability, efficiency, and leverage.
  • Customizable Inputs: Edit revenue growth, margins, and tax rates with ease.
  • Clear Dashboard: Charts and tables summarizing key valuation results.


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