China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880HK) DCF Valuation

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880.HK) DCF Valuation

CN | Consumer Cyclical | Specialty Retail | HKSE
China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880HK) DCF Valuation

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Gain insights into your China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880HK) valuation analysis using our state-of-the-art DCF Calculator! Preloaded with real (1880HK) data, this Excel template enables you to adjust forecasts and assumptions to accurately compute the intrinsic value of China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited.


Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)

Year AY1
2020
AY2
2021
AY3
2022
AY4
2023
AY5
2024
FY1
2025
FY2
2026
FY3
2027
FY4
2028
FY5
2029
Revenue 56,002.2 72,055.8 57,956.0 71,911.6 60,129.1 62,653.5 65,283.9 68,024.6 70,880.5 73,856.3
Revenue Growth, % 0 28.67 -19.57 24.08 -16.38 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2
EBITDA 10,649.8 17,356.2 9,522.1 10,476.9 8,187.2 10,991.8 11,453.3 11,934.1 12,435.1 12,957.2
EBITDA, % 19.02 24.09 16.43 14.57 13.62 17.54 17.54 17.54 17.54 17.54
Depreciation 334.3 1,360.6 1,205.5 954.6 1,143.0 976.6 1,017.6 1,060.3 1,104.8 1,151.2
Depreciation, % 0.59691 1.89 2.08 1.33 1.9 1.56 1.56 1.56 1.56 1.56
EBIT 10,315.6 15,995.6 8,316.7 9,522.3 7,044.2 10,015.2 10,435.7 10,873.8 11,330.3 11,806.0
EBIT, % 18.42 22.2 14.35 13.24 11.72 15.99 15.99 15.99 15.99 15.99
Total Cash 15,665.5 17,947.2 28,632.3 35,550.8 37,070.9 26,737.1 27,859.6 29,029.2 30,247.9 31,517.8
Total Cash, percent .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0
Account Receivables 1,315.9 1,377.2 1,503.2 147.8 1,043.1
Account Receivables, % 2.35 1.91 2.59 0.20557 1.73
Inventories 15,686.6 21,001.4 29,734.0 22,419.8 18,471.2 21,347.0 22,243.2 23,177.0 24,150.0 25,163.9
Inventories, % 28.01 29.15 51.3 31.18 30.72 34.07 34.07 34.07 34.07 34.07
Accounts Payable 4,606.8 6,260.5 8,175.6 6,817.4 5,021.9 6,121.6 6,378.6 6,646.4 6,925.5 7,216.2
Accounts Payable, % 8.23 8.69 14.11 9.48 8.35 9.77 9.77 9.77 9.77 9.77
Capital Expenditure -1,313.6 -2,294.3 -3,189.3 -1,918.2 -1,191.4 -1,965.0 -2,047.5 -2,133.4 -2,223.0 -2,316.3
Capital Expenditure, % -2.35 -3.18 -5.5 -2.67 -1.98 -3.14 -3.14 -3.14 -3.14 -3.14
Tax Rate, % 30.6 30.6 30.6 30.6 30.6 30.6 30.6 30.6 30.6 30.6
EBITAT 6,548.6 10,432.6 5,492.5 7,394.5 4,889.0 6,846.6 7,134.0 7,433.5 7,745.6 8,070.8
Depreciation
Changes in Account Receivables
Changes in Inventories
Changes in Accounts Payable
Capital Expenditure
UFCF -6,826.4 5,776.5 -3,434.8 13,742.3 6,098.4 4,023.2 5,418.6 5,646.1 5,883.1 6,130.1
WACC, % 10.93 10.94 10.94 10.96 10.94 10.94 10.94 10.94 10.94 10.94
PV UFCF
SUM PV UFCF 19,695.1
Long Term Growth Rate, % 2.00
Free cash flow (T + 1) 6,253
Terminal Value 69,932
Present Terminal Value 41,611
Enterprise Value 61,306
Net Debt -32,422
Equity Value 93,729
Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM 2,069
Equity Value Per Share 45.30

Benefits of Using This Model

  • Customizable Forecast Inputs: Easily modify assumptions (growth %, margins, WACC) to create various scenarios for analysis.
  • Real-Time Data: Pre-filled financial data from China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880HK) to enhance your analysis.
  • Automatic DCF Calculations: The template automatically computes Net Present Value (NPV) and intrinsic value for your convenience.
  • Professional and Tailored: A sleek Excel model that can be adjusted to meet your specific valuation requirements.
  • Designed for Analysts and Investors: Perfect for assessing projections, validating strategies, and optimizing your time.

Key Features

  • Authentic 1880HK Data: Pre-populated with China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited’s historical performance and future estimates.
  • Completely Customizable Inputs: Modify revenue growth rates, profit margins, discount rates, tax implications, and capital investments.
  • Adaptive Valuation Model: Automatic recalculations of Net Present Value (NPV) and intrinsic value based on your specified parameters.
  • Scenario Analysis: Generate various forecasting scenarios to explore diverse valuation results.
  • User-Centric Design: Intuitive, organized layout suitable for both experienced professionals and newcomers.

How It Functions

  1. Download the Template: Obtain immediate access to the Excel-based CTG DCF Calculator for China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880HK).
  2. Input Your Assumptions: Modify the yellow-highlighted cells for growth rates, WACC, margins, and other variables.
  3. Instant Calculations: The model automatically refreshes to display the intrinsic value of China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880HK).
  4. Test Scenarios: Experiment with various assumptions to assess potential changes in valuation.
  5. Analyze and Decide: Utilize the findings to inform your investment or financial evaluations.

Why Opt for This Calculator?

  • Designed for Experts: A sophisticated tool utilized by analysts, CFOs, and consultants.
  • Real-World Insights: Historical and projected financial data for China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880HK) preloaded for precision.
  • Scenario Analysis: Effortlessly test various forecasts and assumptions.
  • Transparent Results: Instantly calculates intrinsic value, NPV, and essential metrics.
  • User-Friendly: Step-by-step guidance simplifies the process.

Who Should Consider Our Services?

  • Tourism Students: Discover key industry trends and apply them using real-world data.
  • Researchers: Integrate advanced models into your studies or academic work.
  • Investors: Validate your investment strategies and assess market outcomes for China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880HK).
  • Market Analysts: Enhance your efficiency with a customizable financial model tailored for the tourism sector.
  • Entrepreneurs: Learn how leading firms like China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880HK) are evaluated and analyzed.

Contents of the Template

  • Historical Data: Features past financial information and baseline forecasts for China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880HK).
  • DCF and Levered DCF Models: Comprehensive templates designed to determine the intrinsic value of China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880HK).
  • WACC Sheet: Pre-configured calculations for Weighted Average Cost of Capital specific to China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880HK).
  • Editable Inputs: Adjust essential drivers such as growth rates, EBITDA percentages, and CAPEX assumptions.
  • Quarterly and Annual Statements: A thorough analysis of China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880HK) financials.
  • Interactive Dashboard: Dynamically visualize valuation results and future projections.


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