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China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880.HK) Avaliação DCF
CN | Consumer Cyclical | Specialty Retail | HKSE
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China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880.HK) Bundle
Obtenha informações sobre o seu Grupo de Turismo da China Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880HK) Análise de avaliação usando nossa calculadora DCF de última geração! Pré -carregado com dados reais (1880HK), este modelo do Excel permite ajustar as previsões e suposições para calcular com precisão o valor intrínseco do grupo de turismo da China Limited Free Corporation Limited.
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)
| Year | AY1 2019 |
AY2 2020 |
AY3 2021 |
AY4 2022 |
AY5 2023 |
FY1 2024 |
FY2 2025 |
FY3 2026 |
FY4 2027 |
FY5 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 51,921.8 | 56,178.6 | 72,282.8 | 58,138.6 | 72,138.2 | 79,600.2 | 87,834.2 | 96,919.8 | 106,945.3 | 118,007.9 |
| Revenue Growth, % | 0 | 8.2 | 28.67 | -19.57 | 24.08 | 10.34 | 10.34 | 10.34 | 10.34 | 10.34 |
| EBITDA | 8,241.4 | 10,683.4 | 17,410.9 | 9,552.1 | 10,509.9 | 14,324.2 | 15,805.9 | 17,440.9 | 19,245.0 | 21,235.7 |
| EBITDA, % | 15.87 | 19.02 | 24.09 | 16.43 | 14.57 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 |
| Depreciation | 316.0 | 335.3 | 1,364.8 | 1,209.3 | 957.6 | 1,035.0 | 1,142.0 | 1,260.2 | 1,390.5 | 1,534.4 |
| Depreciation, % | 0.60855 | 0.59691 | 1.89 | 2.08 | 1.33 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| EBIT | 7,925.5 | 10,348.1 | 16,046.0 | 8,342.9 | 9,552.3 | 13,289.2 | 14,663.9 | 16,180.7 | 17,854.5 | 19,701.4 |
| EBIT, % | 15.26 | 18.42 | 22.2 | 14.35 | 13.24 | 16.69 | 16.69 | 16.69 | 16.69 | 16.69 |
| Total Cash | 13,336.1 | 15,714.9 | 18,003.8 | 28,722.5 | 35,662.8 | 28,243.1 | 31,164.6 | 34,388.2 | 37,945.4 | 41,870.5 |
| Total Cash, percent | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 |
| Account Receivables | 161.8 | 1,320.0 | 1,381.6 | 1,507.9 | 148.3 | 1,173.6 | 1,295.0 | 1,429.0 | 1,576.8 | 1,739.9 |
| Account Receivables, % | 0.31153 | 2.35 | 1.91 | 2.59 | 0.20557 | 1.47 | 1.47 | 1.47 | 1.47 | 1.47 |
| Inventories | 9,575.0 | 15,736.0 | 21,067.5 | 29,827.7 | 22,490.5 | 25,166.3 | 27,769.5 | 30,642.0 | 33,811.7 | 37,309.2 |
| Inventories, % | 18.44 | 28.01 | 29.15 | 51.3 | 31.18 | 31.62 | 31.62 | 31.62 | 31.62 | 31.62 |
| Accounts Payable | 3,889.2 | 4,621.3 | 6,280.2 | 8,201.4 | 6,838.8 | 7,640.3 | 8,430.6 | 9,302.7 | 10,265.0 | 11,326.8 |
| Accounts Payable, % | 7.49 | 8.23 | 8.69 | 14.11 | 9.48 | 9.6 | 9.6 | 9.6 | 9.6 | 9.6 |
| Capital Expenditure | -1,619.4 | -1,317.7 | -2,301.5 | -3,199.3 | -1,924.3 | -2,677.6 | -2,954.6 | -3,260.2 | -3,597.4 | -3,969.5 |
| Capital Expenditure, % | -3.12 | -2.35 | -3.18 | -5.5 | -2.67 | -3.36 | -3.36 | -3.36 | -3.36 | -3.36 |
| Tax Rate, % | 22.34 | 22.34 | 22.34 | 22.34 | 22.34 | 22.34 | 22.34 | 22.34 | 22.34 | 22.34 |
| EBITAT | 4,955.5 | 6,569.2 | 10,465.5 | 5,509.8 | 7,417.8 | 8,901.9 | 9,822.7 | 10,838.7 | 11,959.9 | 13,197.0 |
| Depreciation | ||||||||||
| Changes in Account Receivables | ||||||||||
| Changes in Inventories | ||||||||||
| Changes in Accounts Payable | ||||||||||
| Capital Expenditure | ||||||||||
| UFCF | -2,195.5 | -1,000.4 | 5,794.7 | -3,445.6 | 13,785.6 | 4,359.6 | 6,075.9 | 6,704.3 | 7,397.8 | 8,163.1 |
| WACC, % | 10.69 | 10.69 | 10.7 | 10.71 | 10.76 | 10.71 | 10.71 | 10.71 | 10.71 | 10.71 |
| PV UFCF | ||||||||||
| SUM PV UFCF | 23,668.6 | |||||||||
| Long Term Growth Rate, % | 2.00 | |||||||||
| Free cash flow (T + 1) | 8,326 | |||||||||
| Terminal Value | 95,598 | |||||||||
| Present Terminal Value | 57,481 | |||||||||
| Enterprise Value | 81,149 | |||||||||
| Net Debt | -29,047 | |||||||||
| Equity Value | 110,196 | |||||||||
| Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM | 2,069 | |||||||||
| Equity Value Per Share | 53.26 |
Benefits of Using This Model
- Customizable Forecast Inputs: Easily modify assumptions (growth %, margins, WACC) to create various scenarios for analysis.
- Real-Time Data: Pre-filled financial data from China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880HK) to enhance your analysis.
- Automatic DCF Calculations: The template automatically computes Net Present Value (NPV) and intrinsic value for your convenience.
- Professional and Tailored: A sleek Excel model that can be adjusted to meet your specific valuation requirements.
- Designed for Analysts and Investors: Perfect for assessing projections, validating strategies, and optimizing your time.
Key Features
- Authentic 1880HK Data: Pre-populated with China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited’s historical performance and future estimates.
- Completely Customizable Inputs: Modify revenue growth rates, profit margins, discount rates, tax implications, and capital investments.
- Adaptive Valuation Model: Automatic recalculations of Net Present Value (NPV) and intrinsic value based on your specified parameters.
- Scenario Analysis: Generate various forecasting scenarios to explore diverse valuation results.
- User-Centric Design: Intuitive, organized layout suitable for both experienced professionals and newcomers.
How It Functions
- Download the Template: Obtain immediate access to the Excel-based CTG DCF Calculator for China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880HK).
- Input Your Assumptions: Modify the yellow-highlighted cells for growth rates, WACC, margins, and other variables.
- Instant Calculations: The model automatically refreshes to display the intrinsic value of China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880HK).
- Test Scenarios: Experiment with various assumptions to assess potential changes in valuation.
- Analyze and Decide: Utilize the findings to inform your investment or financial evaluations.
Why Opt for This Calculator?
- Designed for Experts: A sophisticated tool utilized by analysts, CFOs, and consultants.
- Real-World Insights: Historical and projected financial data for China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880HK) preloaded for precision.
- Scenario Analysis: Effortlessly test various forecasts and assumptions.
- Transparent Results: Instantly calculates intrinsic value, NPV, and essential metrics.
- User-Friendly: Step-by-step guidance simplifies the process.
Who Should Consider Our Services?
- Tourism Students: Discover key industry trends and apply them using real-world data.
- Researchers: Integrate advanced models into your studies or academic work.
- Investors: Validate your investment strategies and assess market outcomes for China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880HK).
- Market Analysts: Enhance your efficiency with a customizable financial model tailored for the tourism sector.
- Entrepreneurs: Learn how leading firms like China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880HK) are evaluated and analyzed.
Contents of the Template
- Historical Data: Features past financial information and baseline forecasts for China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880HK).
- DCF and Levered DCF Models: Comprehensive templates designed to determine the intrinsic value of China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880HK).
- WACC Sheet: Pre-configured calculations for Weighted Average Cost of Capital specific to China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880HK).
- Editable Inputs: Adjust essential drivers such as growth rates, EBITDA percentages, and CAPEX assumptions.
- Quarterly and Annual Statements: A thorough analysis of China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (1880HK) financials.
- Interactive Dashboard: Dynamically visualize valuation results and future projections.
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