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China Express Airlines Co., Ltd (002928.sz) Avaliação DCF
CN | Industrials | Airlines, Airports & Air Services | SHZ
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China Express Airlines Co.,LTD (002928.SZ) Bundle
Simplifique sua análise e melhore a precisão com a calculadora DCF (002928SZ)! Utilizando dados reais da China Express Airlines e suposições personalizáveis, essa ferramenta permite que você preveja, avalie e value a China Express Airlines Co., LTD como um investidor experiente.
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)
| Year | AY1 2019 |
AY2 2020 |
AY3 2021 |
AY4 2022 |
AY5 2023 |
FY1 2024 |
FY2 2025 |
FY3 2026 |
FY4 2027 |
FY5 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 5,407.1 | 4,732.1 | 3,965.0 | 2,643.2 | 5,151.3 | 5,574.4 | 6,032.3 | 6,527.9 | 7,064.1 | 7,644.4 |
| Revenue Growth, % | 0 | -12.48 | -16.21 | -33.34 | 94.89 | 8.21 | 8.21 | 8.21 | 8.21 | 8.21 |
| EBITDA | 1,175.3 | 1,217.8 | 1,337.6 | -766.2 | 718.8 | 737.7 | 798.3 | 863.9 | 934.9 | 1,011.7 |
| EBITDA, % | 21.74 | 25.74 | 33.73 | -28.99 | 13.95 | 13.23 | 13.23 | 13.23 | 13.23 | 13.23 |
| Depreciation | 428.9 | 462.7 | 1,036.0 | 1,153.6 | 1,250.4 | 1,246.0 | 1,348.3 | 1,459.1 | 1,578.9 | 1,708.6 |
| Depreciation, % | 7.93 | 9.78 | 26.13 | 43.64 | 24.27 | 22.35 | 22.35 | 22.35 | 22.35 | 22.35 |
| EBIT | 746.4 | 755.2 | 301.6 | -1,919.8 | -531.6 | -508.2 | -550.0 | -595.2 | -644.1 | -697.0 |
| EBIT, % | 13.8 | 15.96 | 7.61 | -72.63 | -10.32 | -9.12 | -9.12 | -9.12 | -9.12 | -9.12 |
| Total Cash | 1,274.6 | 1,488.9 | 1,390.7 | 1,789.4 | 1,920.4 | 2,175.0 | 2,353.7 | 2,547.1 | 2,756.3 | 2,982.7 |
| Total Cash, percent | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 |
| Account Receivables | 987.8 | 1,120.1 | 1,125.9 | 2,029.3 | 900.7 | 1,835.0 | 1,985.8 | 2,148.9 | 2,325.4 | 2,516.4 |
| Account Receivables, % | 18.27 | 23.67 | 28.39 | 76.78 | 17.48 | 32.92 | 32.92 | 32.92 | 32.92 | 32.92 |
| Inventories | 88.8 | 112.8 | 139.6 | 172.4 | 193.6 | 198.8 | 215.1 | 232.7 | 251.9 | 272.6 |
| Inventories, % | 1.64 | 2.38 | 3.52 | 6.52 | 3.76 | 3.57 | 3.57 | 3.57 | 3.57 | 3.57 |
| Accounts Payable | 361.5 | 478.8 | 454.6 | 546.8 | 554.4 | 665.8 | 720.5 | 779.7 | 843.7 | 913.0 |
| Accounts Payable, % | 6.69 | 10.12 | 11.47 | 20.69 | 10.76 | 11.94 | 11.94 | 11.94 | 11.94 | 11.94 |
| Capital Expenditure | -1,127.7 | -756.1 | -1,809.2 | -351.6 | -541.3 | -1,184.8 | -1,282.1 | -1,387.4 | -1,501.4 | -1,624.7 |
| Capital Expenditure, % | -20.86 | -15.98 | -45.63 | -13.3 | -10.51 | -21.25 | -21.25 | -21.25 | -21.25 | -21.25 |
| Tax Rate, % | 12.4 | 12.4 | 12.4 | 12.4 | 12.4 | 12.4 | 12.4 | 12.4 | 12.4 | 12.4 |
| EBITAT | 642.1 | 641.9 | 266.2 | -1,616.5 | -465.7 | -438.2 | -474.2 | -513.2 | -555.3 | -601.0 |
| Depreciation | ||||||||||
| Changes in Account Receivables | ||||||||||
| Changes in Inventories | ||||||||||
| Changes in Accounts Payable | ||||||||||
| Capital Expenditure | ||||||||||
| UFCF | -771.8 | 309.4 | -563.5 | -1,658.7 | 1,358.6 | -1,205.2 | -520.4 | -563.1 | -609.4 | -659.5 |
| WACC, % | 5.08 | 5.05 | 5.14 | 5.03 | 5.12 | 5.08 | 5.08 | 5.08 | 5.08 | 5.08 |
| PV UFCF | ||||||||||
| SUM PV UFCF | -3,117.9 | |||||||||
| Long Term Growth Rate, % | 2.00 | |||||||||
| Free cash flow (T + 1) | -673 | |||||||||
| Terminal Value | -21,811 | |||||||||
| Present Terminal Value | -17,021 | |||||||||
| Enterprise Value | -20,139 | |||||||||
| Net Debt | 11,804 | |||||||||
| Equity Value | -31,943 | |||||||||
| Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM | 1,274 | |||||||||
| Equity Value Per Share | -25.08 |
What You Will Receive
- Comprehensive Financial Model: Utilizes China Express Airlines' actual data for accurate DCF valuation.
- Complete Forecast Control: Modify revenue growth, profit margins, WACC, and other essential factors.
- Real-Time Calculations: Automatic updates provide immediate results as you adjust inputs.
- Professional-Grade Template: A polished Excel file crafted for high-quality valuation purposes.
- Flexible and Reusable: Designed for adaptability, enabling ongoing use for in-depth forecasts.
Key Features
- Customizable Forecast Variables: Adjust essential factors such as passenger growth, operational efficiency %, and maintenance costs.
- Instant DCF Valuation: Quickly computes intrinsic value, NPV, and other key metrics.
- High-Precision Results: Leverages China Express Airlines' real financial data for accurate valuation assessments.
- Simplified Scenario Analysis: Effortlessly evaluate various assumptions and analyze potential results.
- Efficiency Booster: Remove the hassle of creating intricate valuation models from the ground up.
How It Works
- Download: Get the comprehensive Excel file containing China Express Airlines Co., LTD's (002928SZ) financial data.
- Customize: Modify key projections, including revenue growth, EBITDA %, and WACC to suit your analysis.
- Update Automatically: Watch as the intrinsic value and NPV calculations refresh in real time for accuracy.
- Test Scenarios: Simulate various projections and instantly compare the results for better insights.
- Make Decisions: Utilize the valuation outcomes to inform your investment portfolio strategies.
Why Opt for This Calculator?
- Reliable Data: Authentic financials from China Express Airlines Co.,LTD (002928SZ) provide trustworthy valuation outcomes.
- Flexible Options: Modify essential factors such as growth rates, WACC, and tax rates to align with your forecasts.
- Efficiency: Ready-made calculations save you the time of starting from the ground up.
- Professional-Quality Tool: Tailored for investors, analysts, and consultants in the aviation sector.
- Easy to Use: User-friendly design and clear, step-by-step guidance make it accessible for everyone.
Who Should Use This Product?
- Individual Investors: Make informed decisions about buying or selling China Express Airlines stock (002928SZ).
- Financial Analysts: Enhance valuation processes with comprehensive financial models tailored for the airline industry.
- Consultants: Provide accurate and timely valuation insights for your clients in the aviation sector.
- Business Owners: Gain a better understanding of how major airlines like China Express Airlines are valued to inform your own business strategies.
- Finance Students: Explore valuation methodologies using real-world data and scenarios from the airline industry.
What the Template Includes
- Pre-Filled DCF Model: China Express Airlines' financial data preloaded for immediate analysis.
- WACC Calculator: Comprehensive calculations for Weighted Average Cost of Capital.
- Financial Ratios: Assess China Express Airlines' profitability, leverage, and operational efficiency.
- Editable Inputs: Modify assumptions such as growth rates, profit margins, and capital expenditures to suit your analysis.
- Financial Statements: Access annual and quarterly reports for thorough examination.
- Interactive Dashboard: Effortlessly visualize key valuation metrics and outcomes.
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