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China Railway Group Limited (0390HK) DCF Valuation

China Railway Group Limited (0390.HK) Avaliação DCF

CN | Industrials | Engineering & Construction | HKSE
China Railway Group Limited (0390HK) DCF Valuation

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China Railway Group Limited (0390.HK) Bundle

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TOTAL: $121 $71

Simplifique a avaliação limitada do China Railway Group com esta calculadora DCF personalizável! Com o Real China Railway Group Limited Financials e os insumos de previsão ajustável, você pode testar cenários e descobrir o valor justo limitado do China Railway Group em minutos.


Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)

Year AY1
2020
AY2
2021
AY3
2022
AY4
2023
AY5
2024
FY1
2025
FY2
2026
FY3
2027
FY4
2028
FY5
2029
Revenue 1,037,839.0 1,142,738.8 1,229,073.9 1,345,252.6 1,235,412.1 1,293,970.6 1,355,304.8 1,419,546.2 1,486,832.7 1,557,308.6
Revenue Growth, % 0.00 10.11 7.56 9.45 -8.17 4.74 4.74 4.74 4.74 4.74
EBITDA 57,317.5 72,095.1 78,092.2 68,051.5 70,860.6 75,050.3 78,607.7 82,333.7 86,236.3 90,323.9
EBITDA, % 5.52 6.31 6.35 5.06 5.74 5.80 5.80 5.80 5.80 5.80
Depreciation 10,665.5 10,812.9 11,381.7 13,503.5 16,119.0 13,457.3 14,095.2 14,763.3 15,463.1 16,196.0
Depreciation, % 1.03 0.95 0.93 1.00 1.30 1.04 1.04 1.04 1.04 1.04
EBIT 46,652.0 61,282.2 66,710.4 54,548.0 54,741.6 61,593.0 64,512.5 67,570.4 70,773.2 74,127.9
EBIT, % 4.50 5.36 5.43 4.05 4.43 4.76 4.76 4.76 4.76 4.76
Total Cash 191,465.0 198,110.1 264,861.9 259,146.4 279,050.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total Cash, percent .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0
Account Receivables 274,529.0 294,649.8 314,167.6 419,499.5 666,013.1
Account Receivables, % 26.45 25.78 25.56 31.18 53.91
Inventories 205,131.7 216,613.7 221,325.4 233,558.7 261,619.5 246,501.4 258,185.6 270,423.6 283,241.6 296,667.3
Inventories, % 19.77 18.96 18.01 17.36 21.18 19.05 19.05 19.05 19.05 19.05
Accounts Payable 145,056.1 134,885.3 182,827.3 328,247.2 823,212.3 340,831.9 356,987.3 373,908.5 391,631.7 410,195.1
Accounts Payable, % 13.98 11.80 14.88 24.40 66.63 26.34 26.34 26.34 26.34 26.34
Capital Expenditure -46,093.0 -59,596.6 -66,341.0 -62,228.6 -61,756.1 -63,922.1 -66,952.1 -70,125.6 -73,449.5 -76,931.0
Capital Expenditure, % -4.44 -5.22 -5.40 -4.63 -5.00 -4.94 -4.94 -4.94 -4.94 -4.94
Tax Rate, % 24.55 26.52 26.56 27.32 28.26 26.64 26.64 26.64 26.64 26.64
EBITAT 35,199.3 45,029.0 48,991.5 39,644.5 39,272.5 45,184.6 47,326.4 49,569.6 51,919.2 54,380.2
Depreciation 10,665.5 10,812.9 11,381.7 13,503.5 16,119.0 13,457.3 14,095.2 14,763.3 15,463.1 16,196.0
Changes in Account Receivables 244,437.5 -19,982.7 -20,929.9 -21,921.9 -22,961.0
Changes in Inventories 15,118.1 -11,684.2 -12,238.0 -12,818.0 -13,425.7
Changes in Accounts Payable -482,380.4 16,155.4 16,921.2 17,723.2 18,563.4
Capital Expenditure -46,093.0 -59,596.6 -66,341.0 -62,228.6 -61,756.1 -63,922.1 -66,952.1 -70,125.6 -73,449.5 -76,931.0
UFCF -334,832.7 -45,528.3 17,744.8 18,774.0 214,026.2 -228,105.1 -21,042.0 -22,039.3 -23,083.9 -24,178.2
WACC, % 3.37 3.31 3.31 3.28 3.25 3.30 3.30 3.30 3.30 3.30
PV UFCF -220,818.1 -19,719.1 -19,993.9 -20,272.5 -20,555.2
SUM PV UFCF -301,358.8
Long Term Growth Rate, % 2.00
Free cash flow (T + 1) -24,661.8
Terminal Value -1,897,058.8
Present Terminal Value -1,612,795.1
Enterprise Value -1,914,153.8
Net Debt 231,082.0
Equity Value -2,145,235.8
Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM 24,611.0
Equity Value Per Share -87.17

Benefits You Will Receive

  • Editable Forecast Parameters: Effortlessly modify assumptions (growth %, margins, WACC) to generate various scenarios.
  • Real-World Financial Data: China Railway Group Limited’s financial data pre-loaded to facilitate your analysis.
  • Automatic DCF Calculations: The template computes Net Present Value (NPV) and intrinsic value for you.
  • Customizable and Professional Design: A refined Excel model tailored to meet your valuation requirements.
  • Designed for Analysts and Investors: Perfect for evaluating projections, confirming strategies, and enhancing efficiency.

Key Features

  • 🔍 Real-Life CRG Financials: Pre-populated historical and projected data for China Railway Group Limited (0390HK).
  • ✏️ Fully Customizable Inputs: Modify all essential parameters (yellow cells) such as WACC, growth %, and tax rates.
  • 📊 Professional DCF Valuation: Integrated formulas compute China Railway Group's intrinsic value using the Discounted Cash Flow approach.
  • ⚡ Instant Results: Visualize China Railway Group's valuation immediately after adjustments.
  • Scenario Analysis: Analyze and compare outcomes for different financial assumptions side-by-side.

How It Works

  1. Step 1: Download the Excel file.
  2. Step 2: Review pre-entered China Railway data (historical and projected).
  3. Step 3: Adjust key assumptions (yellow cells) based on your analysis.
  4. Step 4: View automatic recalculations for China Railway's intrinsic value.
  5. Step 5: Use the outputs for investment decisions or reporting.

Why Opt for This Calculator?

  • Precision: Utilizes authentic China Railway Group Limited (0390HK) financials for reliable data.
  • Versatility: Tailored for users to effortlessly adjust and experiment with inputs.
  • Efficiency: Avoid the complexities of building a DCF model from the ground up.
  • Enterprise-Level: Crafted with the accuracy and usability expected by CFOs.
  • Intuitive: Simple to navigate, even for those lacking advanced financial modelling skills.

Who Should Utilize This Product?

  • Investors: Accurately assess the fair value of China Railway Group Limited (0390HK) before making investment choices.
  • CFOs: Utilize a professional-grade DCF model for detailed financial reporting and analysis.
  • Consultants: Efficiently modify the template for client valuation reports.
  • Entrepreneurs: Acquire valuable insights into the financial modeling practices of leading companies.
  • Educators: Employ it as a teaching resource to illustrate valuation techniques.

Contents of the Template

  • Preloaded CRG Data: Historical and projected financial figures, including revenue, EBIT, and capital expenditures.
  • DCF and WACC Models: High-quality spreadsheets for determining intrinsic value and Weighted Average Cost of Capital.
  • Editable Inputs: Cells highlighted in yellow for modifying revenue growth, tax rates, and discount rates.
  • Financial Statements: Detailed annual and quarterly financial reports for thorough analysis.
  • Key Ratios: Metrics for profitability, leverage, and efficiency to assess company performance.
  • Dashboard and Charts: Visual representations of valuation results and underlying assumptions.


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