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Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co., Ltd. (600199.SS) Avaliação DCF
CN | Consumer Defensive | Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries | SHH
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Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co., Ltd. (600199.SS) Bundle
Descubra o verdadeiro valor da Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co., Ltd. (600199Ss) com nossa calculadora DCF avançada! Ajuste as suposições críticas, explore vários cenários e avalie como os ajustes afetam a avaliação da Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co., Ltd. (600199Ss)-tudo dentro de um modelo de excel amigável.
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)
| Year | AY1 2019 |
AY2 2020 |
AY3 2021 |
AY4 2022 |
AY5 2023 |
FY1 2024 |
FY2 2025 |
FY3 2026 |
FY4 2027 |
FY5 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 914.1 | 1,037.9 | 1,211.3 | 1,185.8 | 1,469.4 | 1,660.7 | 1,876.8 | 2,121.1 | 2,397.2 | 2,709.2 |
| Revenue Growth, % | 0 | 13.55 | 16.7 | -2.11 | 23.92 | 13.02 | 13.02 | 13.02 | 13.02 | 13.02 |
| EBITDA | -93.1 | -177.8 | -137.9 | -118.0 | 61.7 | -147.6 | -166.9 | -188.6 | -213.1 | -240.9 |
| EBITDA, % | -10.18 | -17.13 | -11.39 | -9.95 | 4.2 | -8.89 | -8.89 | -8.89 | -8.89 | -8.89 |
| Depreciation | 39.9 | 41.8 | 45.3 | 48.5 | 57.5 | 66.9 | 75.6 | 85.4 | 96.5 | 109.1 |
| Depreciation, % | 4.36 | 4.03 | 3.74 | 4.09 | 3.91 | 4.03 | 4.03 | 4.03 | 4.03 | 4.03 |
| EBIT | -133.0 | -219.6 | -183.2 | -166.5 | 4.2 | -214.5 | -242.5 | -274.0 | -309.7 | -350.0 |
| EBIT, % | -14.55 | -21.16 | -15.12 | -14.04 | 0.28287 | -12.92 | -12.92 | -12.92 | -12.92 | -12.92 |
| Total Cash | 1,343.8 | 1,354.6 | 990.3 | 510.6 | 507.3 | 1,193.5 | 1,348.9 | 1,524.5 | 1,722.9 | 1,947.1 |
| Total Cash, percent | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 |
| Account Receivables | 90.0 | 156.7 | 225.4 | 225.4 | 182.2 | 249.0 | 281.4 | 318.0 | 359.4 | 406.2 |
| Account Receivables, % | 9.84 | 15.1 | 18.61 | 19.01 | 12.4 | 14.99 | 14.99 | 14.99 | 14.99 | 14.99 |
| Inventories | 837.8 | 969.3 | 1,341.9 | 1,328.6 | 1,467.4 | 1,610.5 | 1,820.2 | 2,057.1 | 2,324.8 | 2,627.4 |
| Inventories, % | 91.65 | 93.39 | 110.78 | 112.04 | 99.86 | 96.98 | 96.98 | 96.98 | 96.98 | 96.98 |
| Accounts Payable | 320.4 | 450.0 | 360.6 | 329.9 | 422.8 | 547.3 | 618.6 | 699.1 | 790.1 | 892.9 |
| Accounts Payable, % | 35.06 | 43.36 | 29.77 | 27.83 | 28.77 | 32.96 | 32.96 | 32.96 | 32.96 | 32.96 |
| Capital Expenditure | -44.3 | -77.6 | -64.1 | -67.8 | -73.2 | -94.0 | -106.3 | -120.1 | -135.8 | -153.4 |
| Capital Expenditure, % | -4.85 | -7.48 | -5.29 | -5.72 | -4.98 | -5.66 | -5.66 | -5.66 | -5.66 | -5.66 |
| Tax Rate, % | 740.39 | 740.39 | 740.39 | 740.39 | 740.39 | 740.39 | 740.39 | 740.39 | 740.39 | 740.39 |
| EBITAT | -203.6 | -339.8 | -185.7 | -186.3 | -26.6 | -171.6 | -194.0 | -219.2 | -247.7 | -280.0 |
| Depreciation | ||||||||||
| Changes in Account Receivables | ||||||||||
| Changes in Inventories | ||||||||||
| Changes in Accounts Payable | ||||||||||
| Capital Expenditure | ||||||||||
| UFCF | -815.3 | -444.2 | -735.2 | -223.0 | -45.0 | -284.2 | -395.5 | -446.9 | -505.1 | -570.8 |
| WACC, % | 9.62 | 9.62 | 9.62 | 9.62 | 9.57 | 9.61 | 9.61 | 9.61 | 9.61 | 9.61 |
| PV UFCF | ||||||||||
| SUM PV UFCF | -1,638.6 | |||||||||
| Long Term Growth Rate, % | 2.00 | |||||||||
| Free cash flow (T + 1) | -582 | |||||||||
| Terminal Value | -7,652 | |||||||||
| Present Terminal Value | -4,837 | |||||||||
| Enterprise Value | -6,475 | |||||||||
| Net Debt | -507 | |||||||||
| Equity Value | -5,968 | |||||||||
| Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM | 736 | |||||||||
| Equity Value Per Share | -8.11 |
What You Will Receive
- Authentic Anhui Golden Seed Data: Preloaded financial metrics – from revenue to EBIT – based on verified and projected figures.
- Comprehensive Customization: Modify all key variables (yellow cells) such as WACC, growth %, and tax rates.
- Real-Time Valuation Adjustments: Automatic recalculations to evaluate the effects of changes on Anhui Golden Seed’s fair value.
- User-Friendly Excel Template: Designed for quick modifications, scenario analysis, and detailed forecasting.
- Efficient and Precise: Eliminate the need to build models from scratch while ensuring accuracy and adaptability.
Key Features
- Accurate Financial Data: Gain access to reliable pre-loaded historical financials and future outlooks for Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co., Ltd. (600199SS).
- Customizable Forecast Parameters: Modify the yellow-highlighted cells for key metrics such as WACC, growth rates, and profit margins.
- Real-time Calculations: Automatic updates for DCF, Net Present Value (NPV), and cash flow assessments.
- User-friendly Dashboard: Intuitive charts and summaries designed to help you easily visualize your valuation findings.
- Suitable for All Skill Levels: A straightforward, easy-to-navigate layout tailored for investors, CFOs, and consultants alike.
How It Works
- Step 1: Download the Excel file.
- Step 2: Examine the pre-filled financial data and forecasts for Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co., Ltd. (600199SS).
- Step 3: Adjust key variables such as revenue growth, WACC, and tax rates (highlighted cells).
- Step 4: Observe the DCF model refresh in real-time as you modify your assumptions.
- Step 5: Review the outputs and leverage the results for informed investment decisions.
Why Opt for Anhui Golden Seed Winery's Calculator?
- All-in-One Tool: Combines DCF, WACC, and detailed financial ratio analyses for a complete evaluation.
- Flexible Inputs: Modify the highlighted cells to explore different financial scenarios.
- In-Depth Analysis: Automatically determines the intrinsic value and Net Present Value for Anhui Golden Seed Winery (600199SS).
- Pre-Loaded Information: Access to historical and projected data for precise calculations.
- High-Quality Standards: Perfectly suited for financial analysts, investors, and business consultants.
Who Can Benefit from This Product?
- Investors: Evaluate Anhui Golden Seed Winery's valuation prior to trading stocks.
- CFOs and Financial Analysts: Optimize valuation workflows and assess financial forecasts.
- Startup Founders: Gain insights into how prominent public companies like Anhui Golden Seed Winery are appraised.
- Consultants: Provide comprehensive valuation reports to clients in the wine industry.
- Students and Educators: Utilize real-life data to practice and instruct valuation methodologies.
What the Template Includes
- Preloaded AGSW Data: Historical and projected financial information, encompassing revenue, EBIT, and capital expenditures.
- DCF and WACC Models: High-quality sheets designed for calculating intrinsic value and Weighted Average Cost of Capital.
- Editable Inputs: Yellow-highlighted cells for modifying revenue growth rates, tax rates, and discount rates.
- Financial Statements: Detailed annual and quarterly financial reports for in-depth analysis.
- Key Ratios: Metrics for profitability, leverage, and efficiency to assess performance.
- Dashboard and Charts: Visual representations of valuation outcomes and underlying assumptions.
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