Shopify Inc. (SHOP) DCF Valuation

Shopify Inc. (SHOP) DCF Valuation

CA | Technology | Software - Application | NYSE
Shopify Inc. (SHOP) DCF Valuation
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Shopify Inc. (SHOP) Bundle

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Explore Shopify Inc. (SHOP) financial future with our user-friendly DCF Calculator! Enter your assumptions for growth, margins, and costs to calculate Shopify Inc. (SHOP) intrinsic value and refine your investment strategy.


Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)

Year AY1
2019		 AY2
2020		 AY3
2021		 AY4
2022		 AY5
2023		 FY1
2024		 FY2
2025		 FY3
2026		 FY4
2027		 FY5
2028
Revenue 1,578.2 2,929.5 4,611.9 5,599.9 7,060.0 10,423.2 15,388.7 22,719.5 33,542.6 49,521.6
Revenue Growth, % 0 85.63 57.43 21.42 26.07 47.64 47.64 47.64 47.64 47.64
EBITDA -61.6 160.2 335.0 -383.0 -8.0 39.2 57.8 85.3 126.0 186.0
EBITDA, % -3.9 5.47 7.26 -6.84 -0.11331 0.37563 0.37563 0.37563 0.37563 0.37563
Depreciation 36.5 73.8 65.7 86.9 70.0 183.4 270.8 399.8 590.2 871.4
Depreciation, % 2.31 2.52 1.43 1.55 0.9915 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.76
EBIT -98.0 86.5 269.2 -469.9 -78.0 -144.3 -213.0 -314.5 -464.2 -685.4
EBIT, % -6.21 2.95 5.84 -8.39 -1.1 -1.38 -1.38 -1.38 -1.38 -1.38
Total Cash 2,455.2 6,388.0 7,768.1 5,053.0 5,008.0 9,613.7 14,193.5 20,955.0 30,937.6 45,675.6
Total Cash, percent .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0
Account Receivables 240.7 421.5 687.3 885.0 1,155.0
Account Receivables, % 15.25 14.39 14.9 15.8 16.36
Inventories .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0
Inventories, % 0.0000000634 0.0000000341 0.0000000217 0 0 0.0000000238 0.0000000238 0.0000000238 0.0000000238 0.0000000238
Accounts Payable 90.5 168.7 284.0 364.0 364.0 611.0 902.1 1,331.8 1,966.2 2,902.9
Accounts Payable, % 5.74 5.76 6.16 6.5 5.16 5.86 5.86 5.86 5.86 5.86
Capital Expenditure -62.4 -42.0 -50.8 -50.0 -39.0 -165.4 -244.2 -360.5 -532.3 -785.8
Capital Expenditure, % -3.95 -1.43 -1.1 -0.8932 -0.55241 -1.59 -1.59 -1.59 -1.59 -1.59
Tax Rate, % 28.65 28.65 28.65 28.65 28.65 28.65 28.65 28.65 28.65 28.65
EBITAT -127.7 114.9 249.9 -448.9 -55.7 -132.6 -195.8 -289.1 -426.8 -630.1
Depreciation
Changes in Account Receivables
Changes in Inventories
Changes in Accounts Payable
Capital Expenditure
UFCF -303.8 44.0 114.4 -529.7 -294.7 -311.7 -639.9 -944.8 -1,394.8 -2,059.3
WACC, % 15.52 15.52 15.52 15.52 15.51 15.52 15.52 15.52 15.52 15.52
PV UFCF
SUM PV UFCF -3,146.5
Long Term Growth Rate, % 2.00
Free cash flow (T + 1) -2,100
Terminal Value -15,537
Present Terminal Value -7,553
Enterprise Value -10,699
Net Debt -263
Equity Value -10,436
Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM 1,296
Equity Value Per Share -8.06

What You Will Get

  • Real SHOP Financials: Access to historical and projected data for precise valuation.
  • Customizable Inputs: Adjust WACC, tax rates, revenue growth, and capital expenditures to fit your analysis.
  • Instant Calculations: Intrinsic value and NPV are computed in real-time.
  • Scenario Analysis: Explore various scenarios to assess Shopify's future performance.
  • User-Friendly Design: Designed for professionals while remaining easy to navigate for beginners.

Key Features

  • Real-Time SHOP Data: Pre-loaded with Shopify’s historical performance metrics and future growth forecasts.
  • Comprehensive Customization Options: Modify key variables such as sales growth, profit margins, discount rates, tax implications, and investment expenditures.
  • Interactive Valuation Framework: Instantaneous recalculations of Net Present Value (NPV) and intrinsic value based on user-defined parameters.
  • Scenario Analysis: Develop various forecasting scenarios to evaluate different potential valuation results.
  • Intuitive User Interface: Streamlined, organized design suitable for both industry experts and newcomers.

How It Works

  • Step 1: Download the prebuilt Excel template with Shopify Inc.'s (SHOP) data included.
  • Step 2: Explore the pre-filled sheets and familiarize yourself with the key metrics.
  • Step 3: Update forecasts and assumptions in the editable yellow cells (WACC, growth, margins).
  • Step 4: Instantly view recalculated results, including Shopify Inc.'s (SHOP) intrinsic value.
  • Step 5: Make informed investment decisions or generate reports using the outputs.

Why Choose the Shopify Calculator?

  • Accuracy: Real Shopify financials ensure data precision.
  • Flexibility: Tailored for users to experiment and adjust inputs effortlessly.
  • Time-Saving: Eliminate the need to construct a financial model from the ground up.
  • Professional-Grade: Crafted with CFO-level accuracy and user experience in focus.
  • User-Friendly: Intuitive design, accessible even for those without extensive financial modeling skills.

Who Should Use This Product?

  • E-commerce Entrepreneurs: Discover effective strategies for scaling your online business using real market data.
  • Researchers: Integrate advanced e-commerce models into your academic studies or projects.
  • Investors: Evaluate your investment strategies and assess valuation metrics for Shopify Inc. (SHOP).
  • Market Analysts: Enhance your analysis with a ready-to-use, customizable financial model tailored for e-commerce.
  • Small Business Owners: Understand how major e-commerce platforms like Shopify are evaluated in the market.

What the Template Contains

  • Pre-Filled Data: Includes Shopify Inc.'s historical financials and forecasts.
  • Discounted Cash Flow Model: Editable DCF valuation model with automatic calculations.
  • Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC): A dedicated sheet for calculating WACC based on custom inputs.
  • Key Financial Ratios: Analyze Shopify Inc.'s profitability, efficiency, and leverage.
  • Customizable Inputs: Edit revenue growth, margins, and tax rates with ease.
  • Clear Dashboard: Charts and tables summarizing key valuation results.

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