Elastic N.V. (ESTC) Bundle
You're looking at Elastic N.V. (ESTC) and seeing a company that's trying to balance high growth with disciplined profitability, which is always a tough tightrope walk. Honestly, you need to look past the daily noise and focus on the fundamentals. The full Fiscal Year 2025 results, which ended April 30, 2025, show a business that is defintely executing, pulling in total revenue of $1.483 billion, which is a solid 17% year-over-year increase. More importantly, they are doing this efficiently, delivering a non-GAAP operating income of $225 million-a 15% margin-and generating robust adjusted free cash flow of $286 million. That's real cash flow, not just accounting magic. Still, the 112% Net Revenue Retention Rate suggests that while customers are sticking around, the expansion story isn't as explosive as some investors want, so we need to break down where the Search AI momentum is really driving value and what those strong cash numbers mean for their crucial push into Generative AI.
Revenue Analysis
If you're looking at Elastic N.V. (ESTC), the headline is a solid, albeit moderating, top-line expansion, but the real story is the accelerating shift to their cloud platform. For the full fiscal year 2025, Elastic N.V. delivered total revenue of $1.483 billion, representing a year-over-year growth of approximately 17%. That's defintely healthy growth, but the underlying mix is what matters most for future valuation.
Primary Revenue Sources and Segment Contribution
Elastic N.V.'s revenue primarily comes from two buckets: Elastic Cloud and their self-managed subscription business, which includes professional services. The Cloud segment is the clear growth driver, showing the market's preference for consumption-based models over traditional licensing.
Here's the quick math on the fiscal year 2025 split:
- Elastic Cloud Revenue: This segment brought in $688 million.
- Non-Cloud Revenue: The remainder, which includes self-managed subscriptions and professional services, accounted for approximately $795 million. (Calculated as $1.483B total revenue minus $688M Cloud revenue.)
This means the Elastic Cloud platform now contributes nearly half of the total business.
| Revenue Stream (FY2025) | Amount | Contribution to Total Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Elastic Cloud | $688 million | ~46.4% |
| Non-Cloud (Subscription/Services) | ~$795 million | ~53.6% |
| Total Revenue | $1.483 billion | 100% |
Year-over-Year Growth and Trends
The overall revenue growth of 17% for FY2025 is solid, but it's the segment growth that tells you where the company is headed. The Elastic Cloud revenue stream grew at an impressive 26% year-over-year. In contrast, the non-cloud portion grew at a slower pace. This divergence is a crucial trend for investors to watch, as cloud revenue typically carries higher long-term gross margins and a more predictable consumption pattern.
The company is successfully migrating its customer base to its cloud offering, which is a good sign for its long-term operating leverage (how efficiently revenue scales into profit). You want to see the cloud percentage keep climbing.
The Generative AI Impact
The most significant change in Elastic N.V.'s revenue narrative is the deepening integration with Search AI and Generative AI (Gen AI) applications. This isn't just a buzzword; it's driving concrete customer commitments. The company has explicitly stated that customer interest in building Gen AI applications and consolidating onto a single platform helped drive their outperformance in the latter half of FY2025. This AI-driven demand is a tailwind, particularly for the Elastic Cloud segment, as customers use the Elasticsearch vector database capabilities for their new AI workloads. This shift is fueling larger deals, including a rise in customers with an Annual Contract Value (ACV) greater than $100,000, which grew to over 1,510 by the end of FY2025. To understand who is driving this growth, you should read Exploring Elastic N.V. (ESTC) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?.
Profitability Metrics
You're looking at Elastic N.V. (ESTC) because you see the growth story, but the real question is: is the company converting that revenue into sustainable profit? The short answer is yes, but you have to look past the statutory accounting to see it. That means focusing on non-GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) metrics, which strip out things like stock-based compensation (SBC), a huge cost for high-growth tech firms.
For the full fiscal year 2025 (FY2025), which ended April 30, 2025, Elastic N.V. delivered total revenue of just over $1.483 billion. The profitability picture is a classic software-as-a-service (SaaS) model in transition, where operational efficiency is defintely improving.
- Gross Profit Margin: The non-GAAP gross margin for Q1 FY2025 stood at 76.3%. This is exactly where a high-quality SaaS business should be, sitting comfortably within the industry benchmark range of 75% to 85%. This strong margin shows the core product delivery is highly efficient.
- Operating Profit Margin: The full-year non-GAAP operating margin hit 15%, a massive step toward maturity. This is a crucial metric, showing that after core operating expenses (like sales and R&D), the business is highly profitable. The GAAP operating margin, by contrast, was a loss of -4%, primarily due to that heavy SBC expense.
- Net Profit Margin: On a GAAP basis, the company reported a net loss of $108.1 million for FY2025, translating to a net loss margin of approximately -7.3%. However, the non-GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) was a positive $2.04, indicating true operational profitability.
Here's the quick math on how Elastic N.V. stacks up against the industry, focusing on non-GAAP figures that show the underlying health of the business model. This comparison is key because it maps their cost management to market expectations.
| Profitability Metric (FY2025) | Elastic N.V. (ESTC) | SaaS Industry Benchmark | Insight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Non-GAAP Gross Margin | ~76.3% (Q1 FY2025) | 75% - 85% | In-line; strong core product economics. |
| Non-GAAP Operating Margin | 15% | 15% - 20% (for established growth) | Solid and expanding; shows cost discipline. |
| Non-GAAP Net Margin (Estimated from EPS) | Positive (EPS of $2.04) | 5% - 10% (for scaling businesses) | Achieving bottom-line profitability on an adjusted basis. |
The trend in operational efficiency is clearly upward. Elastic N.V. has successfully shifted from a deep-loss-making entity to one delivering a 15% non-GAAP operating margin in FY2025. This move is driven by better cost management and the high-margin nature of their subscription and cloud services, especially Elastic Cloud revenue, which grew 26% year-over-year to $688 million in FY2025. The focus on scaling their cloud infrastructure efficiently and managing sales and marketing spend is paying off, and that's what a seasoned analyst looks for when assessing long-term value. You can dive deeper into the full picture in our comprehensive analysis: Breaking Down Elastic N.V. (ESTC) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
The next action item is simple: Monitor the non-GAAP operating margin in the coming quarters. If it continues to expand toward the 20% mark, it confirms the management's ability to balance aggressive growth with disciplined spending. That's the sign of a mature, investable software company.
Debt vs. Equity Structure
You're looking at Elastic N.V. (ESTC)'s balance sheet to understand how they fund their growth, and the direct takeaway is this: the company is conservatively financed, relying far more on equity and its own cash flow than on debt. Elastic N.V. maintains a strong net cash position, meaning its cash and equivalents significantly outweigh its total debt.
As of the end of the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 (July 2025), Elastic N.V.'s debt profile was minimal in the context of its overall size. The company reported a total debt load of approximately $594 million, which breaks down into a small amount of short-term debt and capital lease obligations at just $8 million, with the bulk being long-term debt and capital lease obligations at $586 million. That's a very clean structure.
Here's the quick math on leverage: the Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio stood at about 0.61 as of July 2025. This ratio compares a company's total debt to its total shareholders' equity, which was approximately $971 million in the same period. For a high-growth technology company, a D/E ratio well below 1.0 is a sign of financial strength and low risk. To be fair, many software peers operate with even lower D/E ratios, sometimes near zero or even negative, but Elastic N.V.'s 0.61 is defintely manageable and signals a prudent approach to financial leverage (the use of borrowed money to finance assets).
The company's financing strategy clearly favors equity funding and internally generated cash flow over aggressive debt-fueled expansion. You can see this in their consistent net-cash position. As of April 2025, Elastic N.V. held approximately $1.40 billion in cash and equivalents against about $570 million in total debt, creating a substantial net cash buffer of roughly $830 million. This cash strength allows for flexibility, which is critical in a competitive market.
Recent activity confirms this conservative, yet shareholder-friendly, strategy. S&P Global Ratings affirmed Elastic N.V.'s 'BB' issuer credit rating and, notably, revised the outlook from Stable to Positive in October 2025, citing swift deleveraging and strong earnings expectations. There have been no major debt issuances recently; instead, the focus has shifted to returning capital to shareholders, a clear sign of financial maturity. In October 2025, the company announced a $500 million share repurchase program, and they had already deployed about $114 million of that program by the end of the second quarter of fiscal 2026. This shift from pure growth to balancing growth with shareholder returns is a key development for investors to track.
The company's approach is simple: self-fund growth and use excess cash to reward owners.
- Short-Term Debt (Jul 2025): $8 million
- Long-Term Debt (Jul 2025): $586 million
- Debt-to-Equity Ratio (Jul 2025): 0.61
- Credit Rating Outlook (Oct 2025): Positive (S&P Global Ratings)
For a deeper dive into the company's profitability and valuation, you can read the full analysis here: Breaking Down Elastic N.V. (ESTC) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
The table below summarizes the core leverage metrics based on the latest available data:
| Metric | Value (as of July 2025) | Significance |
|---|---|---|
| Total Debt (approx.) | $594 million | Low for a company with a $9.39 billion market cap. |
| Total Shareholders' Equity | $971 million | Strong capital base. |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 0.61 | Moderate leverage, indicating low financial risk. |
| Net Cash Position (Apr 2025) | Approx. $830 million | Substantial liquidity buffer. |
Liquidity and Solvency
Elastic N.V. (ESTC) exhibits a strong short-term liquidity position, which is a significant green flag for investors. This strength comes from a healthy balance of current assets (what the company expects to convert to cash within a year) versus current liabilities (short-term debts).
The key takeaway is that the company has more than double the liquid assets needed to cover its immediate obligations. Honestly, for a growth-focused software company, this level of liquidity is defintely reassuring.
Here is the quick math on their current liquidity as of November 2025 (Trailing Twelve Months or TTM):
- Current Ratio: The ratio stands at a robust 2.09. This means Elastic has $2.09 in current assets for every dollar of current liabilities.
- Quick Ratio: The Quick Ratio is also an impressive 2.09. This is a powerful signal because the Quick Ratio excludes inventory, and since the two ratios are identical, it confirms that Elastic, as a software-as-a-service (SaaS) provider, carries virtually no inventory, making its current assets highly liquid.
The trend in working capital (Current Assets minus Current Liabilities) is positive, with the Current Ratio climbing from 1.76 in April 2024 to 1.92 at the close of the fiscal year 2025 (April 30, 2025), and then to 2.09 by November 2025. This translates to a working capital of roughly $0.92 billion at the end of FY2025, based on current assets of $1.93 billion and current liabilities of $1.01 billion. This expansion shows the company is effectively managing its short-term cash cycle while funding growth.
Looking at the cash flow statement overview for the full fiscal year 2025 (FY2025), the picture gets even clearer. While the company is not yet profitable on a GAAP basis-reporting a net loss of $108.1 million for FY2025-its cash generation is strong. This is a common situation for high-growth tech firms, where non-cash expenses like stock-based compensation weigh on net income, but cash flow remains healthy.
The cash flow trends are critical for understanding the company's financial self-sufficiency:
| Cash Flow Category (FY2025) | Amount | Trend/Significance |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow (OCF) | $266 million | Significantly improved from $148.8 million in FY2024. Shows core operations are a cash source. |
| Adjusted Free Cash Flow (FCF) | $286 million | Strong FCF indicates ample cash for internal investment and capital returns after accounting for capital expenditures. |
| Financing Cash Flow (CFF) | $77 million (TTM July 2025) | The company is actively returning capital, repurchasing approximately $114 million in shares during Q2 FY2026. |
The strong OCF and FCF demonstrate that Elastic N.V. is generating substantial cash from its core business to fund its operations and growth, so there are no near-term liquidity concerns. The Altman Z-Score, a measure of financial distress risk, is also strong at 3.99, which is well into the safe zone. The main risk remains the GAAP net loss, but the cash flow strength mitigates this by showing the business model is cash-generative. You can dig deeper into the company's ownership structure and market sentiment by Exploring Elastic N.V. (ESTC) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Valuation Analysis
You're looking at Elastic N.V. (ESTC) and asking the core question: is the stock priced fairly, or are we paying too much for future growth? The quick answer is that while its traditional valuation metrics scream 'overvalued' because of its growth-stock status, the analyst consensus points to a significant near-term upside.
To be clear, Elastic N.V. is a growth company, so its valuation multiples (ratios) are high or negative, which is typical before a company achieves consistent GAAP profitability (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles). You defintely need to look past the surface numbers here.
Is Elastic N.V. (ESTC) Overvalued or Undervalued?
Based on the latest fiscal year 2025 data (ending April 30, 2025), Elastic N.V.'s valuation metrics show a company trading at a premium, still prioritizing market share and platform development over near-term profits. Here's the quick math on the key ratios:
- Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: -67.8x (FY 2025)
- Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: 10.5x (FY 2025)
- Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA): -119.2x (FY 2025)
A negative P/E ratio, like the -67.8x for FY 2025, simply means the company is still reporting a net loss. This isn't a surprise for a high-growth software vendor, but it tells you the stock price is purely based on future earnings potential, not current profits. Similarly, the EV/EBITDA of -119.2x is negative because the company's Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA) is negative. The Price-to-Book ratio of 10.5x is high, reflecting that the market values the company's intangible assets-its technology, customer base, and future revenue stream-at over ten times its net tangible assets.
Stock Price Trajectory and Analyst Outlook
The stock has seen considerable volatility over the last 12 months, which is a common near-term risk. The 52-week trading range shows a low of approximately $70.14 and a high of $118.84. As of November 2025, the stock is trading around the $88 to $89 range, which is a significant drop from its 52-week peak.
Still, the professional analyst community sees this as an opportunity. The consensus recommendation from 29 brokerage firms is 'Outperform,' translating to an average brokerage recommendation of 2.0 on a 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Sell) scale. The average one-year price target is between $109.09 and $119.00, suggesting a potential upside of over 20% from the current price. The market is pricing in a significant rebound toward the higher end of its recent trading range.
Dividend Policy
If you're looking for income, Elastic N.V. is not the stock for you. The company does not currently pay a dividend. Therefore, the dividend yield and payout ratio are 0.00%. This capital allocation strategy makes sense: they are reinvesting every dollar back into the business to fuel that high-growth story, particularly in the AI search and observability space.
To dig deeper into who is buying into this growth story, check out Exploring Elastic N.V. (ESTC) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
| Metric | Value (FY 2025) | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | -67.8x | Not profitable on a GAAP basis; valued on growth. |
| P/B Ratio | 10.5x | High premium over book value; intangible assets are key. |
| EV/EBITDA | -119.2x | Negative EBITDA; typical for a high-growth SaaS company. |
| 52-Week Range | $70.14 to $118.84 | Significant volatility, stock is currently near the middle. |
| Analyst Consensus | Outperform (2.0) | Strong buy signal from the brokerage community. |
Risk Factors
You need to know that even with Elastic N.V. (ESTC)'s strong growth-total revenue hit $1.483 billion in Fiscal Year 2025-the road ahead isn't without significant speed bumps. The biggest risks are external competition and the internal pressure to maintain a premium valuation while still grappling with profitability.
The core challenge is that Elastic operates in a hyper-competitive space that is constantly evolving, especially with the Generative AI (Gen AI) race. Your investment thesis must account for the fact that the company is still not GAAP profitable; the Fiscal Year 2025 GAAP net loss was $108.1 million. That's a real number you can't ignore.
- External Competition: Large cloud providers and established enterprise software companies are aggressively bundling similar capabilities in search, logging, and security. This aggressive feature bundling can pressure Elastic's pricing and slow down its market share gains. For example, the acquisition of Chronosphere by Palo Alto Networks creates a more formidable competitor in the observability and security space, directly targeting the same enterprise displacement opportunities.
- Valuation and Growth Execution: The market values Elastic N.V. (ESTC) at a premium, essentially betting on consistent, strong non-GAAP operating margin expansion. If the cloud growth deceleration-a trend noted by analysts in the recent quarter-continues, or if the pace of large AI-driven deals slows, the stock's valuation could compress quickly. The company's non-GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.04 for FY2025 is a positive signal, but it relies on non-GAAP adjustments.
- Operational and Market Volatility: Elastic's quarterly results are sensitive to factors like seasonality and billing variability. We saw this risk materialize with renewal slippage from U.S. government agencies due to a shutdown, which pushed revenue recognition into a subsequent quarter. This kind of external, non-business-related event can still materially impact short-term financial reporting.
Here's the quick math on the profitability picture:
| Metric | FY 2025 Value | Insight |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.483 billion | Strong top-line growth. |
| GAAP Net Loss | $108.1 million | Still not profitable under GAAP. |
| Elastic Cloud Revenue | $688 million | Cloud is a major growth engine (46% of total revenue). |
| Non-GAAP Operating Margin | 15% | Shows strong operational leverage improvement. |
To be fair, management is taking clear steps to mitigate these risks. They are doubling down on their Search AI platform, which is driving large deals. The acquisition of Jina AI is a concrete move to accelerate their Generative AI strategy, specifically expanding their multilingual and multimodal embedding capabilities. Plus, focusing on a unified platform for search, observability, and security is a smart strategic defense against competitors who want to force customers to consolidate tools. You can see their strategic focus in their Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Elastic N.V. (ESTC).
What this estimate hides is the speed of AI innovation; if a competitor leapfrogs Elastic's technology, the mitigation strategies will need to change defintely. The key action for you is to monitor the Net Expansion Rate-it was approximately 112% recently-as a drop below 110% would signal that competition is truly starting to erode their existing customer base.
Growth Opportunities
You're looking past the solid fiscal year 2025 results for Elastic N.V. (ESTC) and asking what the next 12 to 18 months really hold. Honestly, the story here isn't just about search anymore; it's about the company's aggressive, well-executed pivot to Search AI, Observability, and Security. This strategic focus is defintely the engine for future growth, but it comes with a slightly moderated top-line expectation as the business matures.
The core takeaway is that while the growth rate is decelerating slightly from previous years, the profitability and strategic positioning are strengthening. Elastic N.V. (ESTC) is moving from a high-growth, high-loss model to a more balanced, efficient growth trajectory, which is a good sign for long-term investors.
Future Revenue and Earnings Projections
The company finished its fiscal year 2025 (FY25) with total revenue of $1.483 billion, a solid 17% year-over-year increase. The real highlight was Elastic Cloud revenue, which grew 26% to $688 million. Here's the quick math on what management expects for the near-term future, which is their fiscal year 2026 (FY26) guidance, reflecting their confidence in platform consolidation and AI adoption.
For FY26, the company has raised its revenue guidance to a range between $1.715 billion and $1.721 billion. That puts the midpoint at about a 16% growth rate. On the bottom line, non-GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) is expected to hit about $2.43 at the midpoint, a substantial increase from the $2.04 achieved in FY25. This shows a clear focus on disciplined cost management alongside growth.
| Metric | FY 2025 Actual | FY 2026 Guidance (Midpoint) |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.483 billion | ~$1.718 billion |
| Year-over-Year Growth | 17% | ~16% |
| Non-GAAP Diluted EPS | $2.04 | ~$2.43 |
Key Growth Drivers and Strategic Initiatives
The future growth of Elastic N.V. (ESTC) hinges on three main areas: the Generative AI (GenAI) tailwind, continued cloud expansion, and product innovation in its core solution areas. The CEO has explicitly stated that AI is positively impacting all areas of the business, and the company is making smart moves to capitalize on that.
- Accelerate GenAI Adoption: Launched Agent Builder, a context engineering platform for creating AI agents, and the Elastic Inference Service (EIS) for GPU-accelerated AI workflows.
- Acquire Strategic Technology: The acquisition of Jina AI was a key move to deepen their vector search capabilities, which is essential for advanced AI-driven search.
- Expand Cloud Footprint: Continued expansion of Elastic Cloud Serverless, now generally available on both Google Cloud and Amazon Web Services (AWS) in multiple regions, drives recurring, high-margin revenue.
- Capture Enterprise Deals: Focus on securing large enterprise deals, with over 1,600 customers now having an Annual Contract Value (ACV) greater than $100,000.
This is a platform play now, not just a product one.
Competitive Advantages
Elastic N.V. (ESTC)'s competitive edge comes down to its open-source heritage and its robust, sticky business model. Their open standards-first architecture, particularly being OpenTelemetry (OTel) native, reduces tooling complexity for customers, making it easier to consolidate data onto their platform for observability and security. This is a huge selling point against more closed competitors.
Also, the financial stability from their revenue model is a significant strength. Their subscription-based revenue model accounted for approximately 93% of total revenue in FY25, providing a predictable and resilient financial base. This high revenue visibility allows them to invest heavily in Research and Development, which totaled $365.8 million in FY25, ensuring they stay ahead in the AI-search race.
Finance: Review the full analysis of the company's current financial health by reading Breaking Down Elastic N.V. (ESTC) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors by the end of the week.

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