Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) Bundle
You're looking at Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) because you see the raw numbers: a trailing twelve-month (TTM) revenue of $11.01 Billion as of August 2025, with comparable store sales growth hitting a solid 5% in the fiscal second quarter. But who exactly is driving the stock's institutional ownership, which sits north of 110% of shares outstanding? We need to look past the top-line growth and understand the conviction behind the big money.
Is the buying momentum from firms like JPMorgan Chase & Co., holding over 6.84 million shares as of September 2025, a bet on the off-price model's recession resilience, or is it a play on the raised full-year adjusted earnings per share (EPS) guidance of $9.19 to $9.59? When you see BlackRock, Inc. and Vanguard Group Inc. holding millions of shares, you have to ask: what specific financial levers are they pulling, and what near-term risks-like inventory caution-are they willing to overlook? Let's defintely unpack the institutional tradecraft driving Burlington's valuation.
Who Invests in Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) and Why?
You want to know who is buying Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) and why, and the short answer is that the stock is overwhelmingly owned by large, growth-focused institutions that are betting on the off-price retail model's resilience and expansion. The investor base is a mix of passive index funds and highly active hedge funds, all drawn by the company's robust Fiscal Year 2025 growth projections.
As of late 2025, institutional investors-meaning mutual funds, pension funds, and asset managers-hold the vast majority of Burlington Stores, Inc.'s shares. This is not a stock driven by retail investors. In fact, a total of 1,141 institutional owners collectively hold approximately 96,717,303 shares, which is a massive commitment to the company's future.
Key Investor Types: The Institutional Giants
The investor profile for Burlington Stores, Inc. is dominated by the largest asset managers in the world, the same ones that anchor the S&P 500. These are the passive holders, the ones who buy and hold for the long haul because Burlington Stores, Inc. is a component of major indices and ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds).
- Passive Index Funds: Firms like Vanguard Group Inc. and BlackRock, Inc. are consistently among the top shareholders. Their holdings are enormous, reflecting their strategy of tracking the market, not trying to beat it.
- Active Asset Managers: Companies like Capital International Investors and JPMorgan Chase & Co. take active positions, making calculated bets on the stock's outperformance. For example, JPMorgan Chase & Co. notably added 973,876 shares to its portfolio in the third quarter of 2025.
- Hedge Funds: These investors are the swing traders, the ones driving volatility. Their activity is highly tactical, with recent quarters showing both significant accumulation and sharp reductions. Citadel Advisors LLC, for instance, removed 656,253 shares in Q3 2025, while others were adding.
Here's the quick math: Institutional ownership is high, and insider ownership-executives and directors-is low, sitting at about 1.75% of the total shares outstanding. This means the stock's price action is defintely a reflection of institutional sentiment.
Investment Motivations: Growth and the Off-Price Edge
Investors are attracted to Burlington Stores, Inc. for two primary reasons: its superior growth prospects in a challenging retail environment and the defensive nature of its off-price business model, especially as consumers remain price-sensitive.
The core thesis is simple: the off-price model works, especially when inflation is high. Burlington Stores, Inc. offers in-season, high-quality branded merchandise at up to 60% off other retailers' prices. That value proposition is a magnet for shoppers, and therefore, for investors.
This confidence is reflected in the company's Fiscal Year 2025 guidance. Management expects total sales to increase in the range of 6% to 8%, on top of the prior year's strong growth. More importantly, the Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS) guidance for FY 2025 is projected to be between $8.70 and $9.30. This kind of growth forecast-an expected year-over-year earnings growth of 15.3% for the current fiscal year-is what earns the stock a strong 'A' Growth Style Score from analysts. You won't find a dividend here; all that cash is being plowed back into store expansion, with a plan to open approximately 100 net new stores.
Investment Strategies: Long-Term Growth vs. Tactical Trading
The strategies used by these investors fall into two distinct camps, creating a dynamic trading environment for the stock.
| Investor Type | Primary Strategy | Motivation | Near-Term Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Passive Institutions (e.g., Vanguard) | Long-Term Holding | Market capitalization inclusion; broad sector exposure. | Maintain core position; minimal trading. |
| Active Funds (e.g., Capital International) | Growth Investing (GARP) | Store expansion potential; EPS growth of 15.3%. | Accumulate on dips; hold for 3-5 year growth cycle. |
| Hedge Funds (e.g., Citadel) | Short-Term/Tactical Trading | Exploiting quarterly earnings surprises; momentum shifts. | High-volume additions/reductions based on Q3 2025 results. |
The long-term holders are essentially betting on the company's capacity to keep expanding its store footprint and improve merchandising. This is a multi-year growth story. The active managers, however, are focused on the near-term execution. The analyst consensus rating is a 'Moderate Buy,' with an average price target of $344.14, suggesting analysts see a clear path to appreciation from current prices.
If you are looking for a deeper dive into the raw numbers that support this growth narrative, you should read Breaking Down Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors. Your next concrete step should be to compare Burlington Stores, Inc.'s projected capital expenditures of approximately $950 million for FY 2025 against its expected free cash flow to ensure the growth is self-funded.
Institutional Ownership and Major Shareholders of Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL)
You want to know who is driving the action in Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) stock, and the quick answer is institutional money. As a seasoned analyst, I can tell you that the sheer scale of institutional ownership here-over 100% of the float-means these massive players, not retail investors, set the tone for the stock price and corporate strategy.
As of late 2025, institutional investors collectively hold a dominant stake, owning approximately 96,717,303 shares, which translates to an aggregate institutional value of around $21.91 billion based on a recent share price of $280.83. This isn't just a big number; it means the company's trajectory is defintely tied to the decisions of a few dozen financial giants.
Top Institutional Investors: Who Holds the Keys to BURL?
The investor profile for Burlington Stores, Inc. is top-heavy, dominated by the world's largest asset managers. These are the passive index funds and active managers who see the long-term value in the off-price retail model, especially in a volatile economic climate. They are buying the company's consistent performance, like the Q2 2025 revenue of $2.70 billion that beat expectations.
The largest shareholders, based on recent 13F filings (which disclose holdings by major institutional investors), include the usual suspects you'd expect to see in a stable, large-cap US company. Here's a snapshot of the top holders and their reported shares from the Q2 and Q3 2025 filings:
| Owner Name | Reporting Date | Shares Held |
|---|---|---|
| Capital International Investors | 06/30/2025 | 8,605,685 |
| JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 09/30/2025 | 6,841,913 |
| Vanguard Group Inc. | 09/30/2025 | 6,782,201 |
| BlackRock, Inc. | 06/30/2025 | 6,478,480 |
| Morgan Stanley | 06/30/2025 | 2,889,246 |
It's a classic list of foundational asset managers. Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL): History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money is a good read if you want to understand the business model these firms are betting on.
Recent Shifts: Are Institutions Buying or Selling?
In the most recent quarter (Q3 2025), the overall trend shows a slight net accumulation, but the activity beneath the surface is a tug-of-war. The total institutional shares (Long) increased by 5.80% in the most recent quarter, which is a strong signal of conviction.
But here's the thing: while 269 institutional investors added shares, 304 decreased their positions. This tells me the smart money is split on BURL's near-term outlook, likely debating the balance between the company's strong off-price model and broader retail spending risks. You see significant moves in both directions:
- Buying: JPMorgan Chase & Co. added 973,876 shares, a 16.6% increase, in Q3 2025.
- Aggressive Buying: Barclays PLC dramatically increased its position by 526.2%, adding 786,138 shares.
- Selling: Citadel Advisors LLC removed 656,253 shares, a 57.9% reduction, in Q3 2025.
Honestly, this mixed activity is normal for a stock that has seen significant price appreciation, like the 8.79% increase in its share price over the year leading up to November 2025. Some are taking profits; others are doubling down on the value proposition.
Impact of Institutional Investors on BURL's Strategy
These large investors don't just passively hold shares; they are a critical force in a company's stock performance and corporate governance. When institutions own over 100% of the float, their collective buying or selling can move the stock price far more than any news event or retail frenzy. It's a simple supply and demand equation.
The role they play in strategy is more subtle but equally important. They push for capital efficiency. For Burlington Stores, Inc., this means institutions are implicitly endorsing the strategy of aggressive store expansion and maintaining a lean, flexible inventory model-the core of the off-price success. The company's strong return on equity of 42.74% and net margin of 4.96% in Q2 2025 is what keeps them invested.
If the majority of these large holders start selling, it signals a loss of confidence in management's ability to deliver on their guidance, such as the Fiscal Year 2025 EPS target of $9.19-$9.59. Right now, the net accumulation suggests they still believe in the management team and the off-price model's resilience. Your next step should be to monitor the upcoming Q3 2025 earnings release on November 25, 2025; any deviation from the guidance will trigger the next wave of institutional buying or selling.
Key Investors and Their Impact on Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL)
If you're looking at Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL), you need to know who's driving the bus-and in the public markets, that means the big institutional money. The short answer is that BURL is overwhelmingly owned by large, passive, and active funds, which means their investment decisions are less about short-term noise and more about the company's long-term off-price model.
Institutional investors hold a massive stake, owning approximately 112.5% of the company's float as of the end of the second quarter of fiscal 2025. This high percentage is common for companies with a smaller public float and signifies a deep concentration of professional money. This is a fund-driven stock, plain and simple.
The Heavy Hitters: Who Owns the Largest Stakes?
The top shareholders of Burlington Stores, Inc. are exactly who you'd expect: the giants of the asset management world. These are not individual traders; they are multi-trillion-dollar firms whose positions reflect a long-term belief in the off-price retail sector's resilience and BURL's execution within it. Their sheer size means their moves are a significant market factor.
The largest institutional holders, based on filings from mid-to-late 2025, include a mix of passive index managers and major active funds.
| Top Institutional Holder | Reported Shares Held (Approx.) | % of Total Shares Outstanding (Approx.) | Date Reported (2025) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Research and Management Company | 8,727,750 | 14.02% | June 29 |
| The Vanguard Group, Inc. | 6,549,843 | 10.52% | June 29 |
| BlackRock, Inc. | 6,478,433 | 10.40% | June 29 |
| JP Morgan Asset Management | 5,119,523 | 8.22% | June 29 |
The Vanguard Group, Inc. and BlackRock, Inc. are largely passive investors, meaning they own shares because Burlington Stores, Inc. is a component of major indices like the S&P 500. Their influence is structural; they don't push for strategy changes, but their continuous buying for index funds provides a constant, stabilizing demand for the stock.
Recent Moves: Following the Smart Money in 2025
Looking at the recent 13F filings (which disclose institutional holdings), you can see a clear picture of conviction, particularly from active managers. The first three quarters of fiscal 2025 showed some significant capital flows, indicating a strong appetite for BURL's growth story, especially after the company posted strong Q2 2025 results with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.72 and total sales growth of 10%.
The biggest recent action was a massive build-up from Capital International Investors, which added 2,896,060 shares in the second quarter of 2025, an estimated value of $673,739,398. This isn't a small trade; it's a huge vote of confidence in the company's ability to deliver on its strategy of opening 100 net new stores in 2025 and achieving full-year total sales growth of 7% to 8%.
Other notable moves in the 2025 fiscal year include:
- JPMORGAN CHASE & CO added 973,876 shares in Q3 2025, valued at an estimated $247,851,442.
- SAMLYN CAPITAL, LLC added 673,533 shares in Q1 2025, showing strong conviction early in the year.
- Conversely, some hedge funds like HOLOCENE ADVISORS, LP and MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC reduced their positions in Q1 and Q2 2025, likely taking profits after a strong run or rebalancing their exposure to off-price retail.
What this tells you is that while there's some profit-taking on the margins, the largest, most strategic funds are increasing their bets. They like the growth story. For more on the strategic foundation they're betting on, you can read the Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL).
Investor Influence: The Power of Passive and Active Capital
For Burlington Stores, Inc., the influence of its investors is less about activist drama and more about capital allocation discipline. Unlike companies that face constant pressure from activist investors-which BURL has not seen a major instance of recently-its management team is primarily accountable to these massive institutional owners who value consistent execution.
The company's focus on off-price fundamentals and store expansion, aiming for 100 net new stores in fiscal 2025, is a strategy that resonates with these large, growth-focused funds. Their collective ownership stabilizes the stock, but any significant, coordinated selling-say, due to a major earnings miss-could trigger a sharp decline. That's the nature of a fund-heavy stock. The stock's current price of around $274.96 per share as of November 2025 reflects this institutional confidence, trading at a premium to its 52-week low of $212.92.
The key takeaway is that the institutional base acts as a long-term anchor, rewarding management for delivering on their ambitious growth targets, like the expected full-year sales growth of 7% to 8%. If management falters, the selling pressure from a few of these behemoths is defintely enough to move the stock price substantially.
Market Impact and Investor Sentiment
The investor sentiment toward Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) is defintely bullish, driven by the company's strong execution in the off-price retail sector and its clear growth trajectory. This is not just a feeling; the numbers show it. The consensus brokerage recommendation sits at a strong 1.7, a clear 'Outperform' status, which means the Street is betting on continued success.
Major institutional shareholders like Vanguard Group Inc. and BlackRock Inc. are maintaining their massive positions, which signals long-term confidence in the business model. This isn't a quick trade for them; it's a core holding. You see this stability reflected in the high institutional ownership, which is a major anchor for the stock.
Major Shareholders: Who's Buying and Why
When you look at who owns the largest chunks of Burlington Stores, Inc., you're looking at the titans of asset management, and their sentiment is overwhelmingly positive. These firms are not passive investors; their large stakes give them significant influence, and their continued holding is a vote of confidence in management's strategy of aggressive store expansion and inventory management.
For instance, Vanguard Group Inc. is one of the top institutional holders, controlling approximately 6.78 million shares as of November 2025. This holding was recently increased by about 3.5%, which is a concrete action showing they are still adding to their position. BlackRock Inc. is right there too, holding around 6.39 million shares, valued at approximately $1.81 billion. These firms are buying because the off-price model is resilient, especially when consumers are trading down due to persistent inflation.
- Vanguard Group Inc.: Increased stake by 3.5%, signaling confidence.
- BlackRock Inc.: Holds a position valued over $1.8 billion.
- Capital Research and Management Company: Owns the single largest institutional stake, representing over 14% of the company.
Here's the quick math: when the biggest players are holding or increasing their multi-billion-dollar positions, they are essentially endorsing the company's long-term value proposition. You can read more about the company's foundation and strategy in Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL): History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money.
Recent Market Reactions to Ownership Moves
The stock market has reacted predictably and positively to strong operational news, which validates the major shareholders' conviction. The stock's movement in 2025 shows that beating expectations is instantly rewarded.
A prime example was the Q1 2025 earnings release: Burlington Stores, Inc. reported an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.67, which significantly surpassed the analyst consensus forecast of $1.43. The stock responded immediately, climbing 2.2% in pre-market trading. That's a clear signal that the market is sensitive to operational outperformance. Also, earlier in the year, the stock saw a dramatic single-day surge of 9.49% following news of a strategic initiative to expand its U.S. footprint, proving that growth-focused announcements move the needle.
What this estimate hides is the occasional noise from smaller institutional selling, like one firm cutting its stake by 96.5% in Q2, but these moves are typically drowned out by the sheer volume and stability of the top-tier holders. The stock has still managed a modest 2.9% gain over the past year, reflecting stability despite broader market volatility.
Analyst Perspectives on Key Investor Impact
Analysts are connecting the dots between the high institutional backing and the company's financial outlook, which is why the consensus is so bullish. The average analyst price target is currently set at $347.57, implying a substantial upside of 26.69% from the recent price of $274.34.
This optimistic view is grounded in the company's projected fiscal year 2025 performance. The current full-year EPS guidance is a tight range of $9.19 to $9.59. Analysts see the off-price model as a winner, especially since the company boasts a Growth Style Score of 'A' and is forecasting year-over-year earnings growth of 15.3% for the current fiscal year. The analysts' confidence is bolstered because they know the major institutional investors will hold management accountable for delivering on these growth metrics.
Here is a snapshot of the recent analyst action:
| Firm | Date | Rating | Price Target (USD) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Telsey Advisory Group | Nov 18, 2025 | Outperform (Maintained) | $350.00 |
| Morgan Stanley | Nov 5, 2025 | Overweight (Maintained) | $330.00 (Raised from $328.00) |
| Citigroup | Nov 3, 2025 | Buy (Maintained) | $351.00 (Lowered from $358.00) |
| Wells Fargo | Oct 27, 2025 | Overweight (Maintained) | $315.00 (Reduced from $330.00) |
Even with minor price target adjustments, the core recommendation remains 'Buy' or 'Overweight.' This shows that while there are near-term concerns-like the high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.94 mentioned in an August 2025 analysis-the market's major players are focused on the long-term growth story.

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