Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) DCF Valuation

Avaliação DCF da Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG)

US | Consumer Cyclical | Auto - Recreational Vehicles | NYSE
Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) DCF Valuation

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Torne-se um especialista em avaliar a perspectiva financeira da Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG)! Essa calculadora DCF (HOG) oferece dados financeiros pré-preenchidos, juntamente com a flexibilidade para modificar o crescimento da receita, o WACC, as margens de lucro e outras suposições vitais para corresponder às suas projeções.


Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)

Year AY1
2020
AY2
2021
AY3
2022
AY4
2023
AY5
2024
FY1
2025
FY2
2026
FY3
2027
FY4
2028
FY5
2029
Revenue 4,054.4 5,336.3 5,755.1 5,836.5 5,186.8 5,572.6 5,987.0 6,432.3 6,910.7 7,424.6
Revenue Growth, % 0 31.62 7.85 1.41 -11.13 7.44 7.44 7.44 7.44 7.44
EBITDA 323.2 999.5 1,106.8 1,055.4 708.6 865.7 930.1 999.3 1,073.6 1,153.5
EBITDA, % 7.97 18.73 19.23 18.08 13.66 15.54 15.54 15.54 15.54 15.54
Depreciation 185.7 165.2 151.9 158.1 160.7 179.7 193.1 207.4 222.8 239.4
Depreciation, % 4.58 3.1 2.64 2.71 3.1 3.22 3.22 3.22 3.22 3.22
EBIT 137.5 834.3 954.9 897.3 547.9 686.0 737.1 791.9 850.8 914.0
EBIT, % 3.39 15.63 16.59 15.37 10.56 12.31 12.31 12.31 12.31 12.31
Total Cash 3,257.2 1,874.7 1,433.2 1,533.8 1,589.6 2,198.9 2,362.5 2,538.2 2,726.9 2,929.7
Total Cash, percent .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0
Account Receivables 1,652.6 1,647.7 2,034.9 2,380.9 2,265.8
Account Receivables, % 40.76 30.88 35.36 40.79 43.68
Inventories 523.5 712.9 951.0 930.0 745.8 814.8 875.4 940.5 1,010.4 1,085.6
Inventories, % 12.91 13.36 16.52 15.93 14.38 14.62 14.62 14.62 14.62 14.62
Accounts Payable 290.9 375.0 378.0 349.2 298.7 362.3 389.3 418.2 449.4 482.8
Accounts Payable, % 7.18 7.03 6.57 5.98 5.76 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5
Capital Expenditure -131.1 -120.2 -151.7 -207.4 -196.6 -172.3 -185.2 -198.9 -213.7 -229.6
Capital Expenditure, % -3.23 -2.25 -2.64 -3.55 -3.79 -3.09 -3.09 -3.09 -3.09 -3.09
Tax Rate, % 11.95 11.95 11.95 11.95 11.95 11.95 11.95 11.95 11.95 11.95
EBITAT -11.3 662.0 760.2 731.4 482.4 450.8 484.3 520.3 559.0 600.6
Depreciation
Changes in Account Receivables
Changes in Inventories
Changes in Accounts Payable
Capital Expenditure
UFCF -1,841.9 606.5 138.3 328.2 695.4 584.5 299.8 322.1 346.1 371.8
WACC, % 5.54 7.05 7.06 7.1 7.22 6.79 6.79 6.79 6.79 6.79
PV UFCF
SUM PV UFCF 1,608.4
Long Term Growth Rate, % 1.00
Free cash flow (T + 1) 376
Terminal Value 6,481
Present Terminal Value 4,666
Enterprise Value 6,274
Net Debt 950
Equity Value 5,325
Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM 132
Equity Value Per Share 40.25

What You Will Get

  • Pre-Filled Financial Model: Harley-Davidson’s actual data facilitates accurate DCF valuation.
  • Full Forecast Control: Modify revenue growth, margins, WACC, and other essential drivers.
  • Instant Calculations: Automatic updates provide real-time results as you adjust inputs.
  • Investor-Ready Template: A polished Excel file crafted for professional-level valuation.
  • Customizable and Reusable: Designed for adaptability, allowing repeated application for in-depth forecasts.

Key Features

  • Customizable Performance Metrics: Adjust essential variables such as sales growth, operating margin, and capital investments.
  • Instant DCF Valuation: Quickly computes intrinsic value, NPV, and additional financial metrics.
  • Industry-Leading Precision: Leverages Harley-Davidson’s real-world financial data for accurate valuation results.
  • Effortless Scenario Analysis: Easily explore various assumptions and assess different outcomes.
  • Efficiency Booster: Remove the hassle of creating intricate valuation models from the ground up.

How It Works

  1. Download the Template: Gain immediate access to the Excel-based HOG DCF Calculator.
  2. Input Your Assumptions: Modify the yellow-highlighted cells for growth rates, WACC, margins, and other variables.
  3. Instant Calculations: The model automatically recalculates Harley-Davidson’s intrinsic value.
  4. Test Scenarios: Experiment with various assumptions to assess potential valuation shifts.
  5. Analyze and Decide: Utilize the outcomes to inform your investment or financial analysis.

Why Choose This Calculator?

  • User-Friendly Interface: Tailored for both novices and seasoned users.
  • Customizable Inputs: Adjust parameters easily to suit your financial evaluations.
  • Real-Time Feedback: Observe immediate changes to Harley-Davidson’s valuation as you modify inputs.
  • Pre-Loaded Data: Comes with Harley-Davidson’s latest financial information for swift analysis.
  • Relied Upon by Experts: Favored by investors and analysts for making educated decisions.

Who Should Use This Product?

  • Investors: Evaluate Harley-Davidson’s valuation before making investment decisions.
  • CFOs and Financial Analysts: Optimize valuation methodologies and assess future forecasts.
  • Startup Founders: Understand the valuation strategies of established brands like Harley-Davidson.
  • Consultants: Provide comprehensive valuation analyses for clients in the automotive sector.
  • Students and Educators: Utilize current data to learn and teach valuation principles.

What the Template Contains

  • Pre-Filled DCF Model: Harley-Davidson’s financial data preloaded for immediate use.
  • WACC Calculator: Detailed calculations for Weighted Average Cost of Capital.
  • Financial Ratios: Evaluate Harley-Davidson’s profitability, leverage, and efficiency.
  • Editable Inputs: Change assumptions such as growth, margins, and CAPEX to fit your scenarios.
  • Financial Statements: Annual and quarterly reports to support detailed analysis.
  • Interactive Dashboard: Easily visualize key valuation metrics and results.


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