First Bancorp (FBNC) Bundle
You're looking at First Bancorp (FBNC) right now and wondering if the recent volatility is a buying signal or a warning, which is defintely the right question to ask a regional bank in this environment.
The core health of the business is strong, but you have to look beyond the headline GAAP net income of just $20.4 million for the third quarter of 2025; the real story is in the adjusted metrics and operational momentum.
For the first nine months of 2025, the company delivered an adjusted diluted earnings per share (D-EPS) of $2.82, showing a clear path toward the full-year consensus EPS estimate of around $3.80. This performance is fueled by a robust loan book, which saw an annualized growth rate of 9.3% in Q3 2025, pushing total loans to $8.4 billion. That's a serious engine. Still, the $27.9 million pre-tax securities loss they took in Q3 is a necessary caution sign, a clear reminder that balance sheet management is the near-term risk to watch, which is why the recent appointment of a new Chief Risk Officer is so timely.
Revenue Analysis
You need a clear picture of where First Bancorp (FBNC)'s money is coming from, and the 2025 data shows a banking model heavily reliant on its core lending business, but with a recent, sharp hit to its non-interest segment. The core business, Net Interest Income (NII), is strong, but the overall revenue growth is nearly flat because of a significant securities loss.
For the trailing twelve months (TTM) ending September 30, 2025, First Bancorp reported total revenue of approximately $364.80 million. This represents a modest year-over-year revenue growth rate of only +0.59%, which is a slowdown from prior periods and reflects the impact of the securities loss transactions. Honestly, that near-zero growth is the first thing you should be asking about.
Primary Revenue Sources: NII vs. Noninterest Income
As a bank holding company, First Bancorp's revenue is fundamentally split into two segments: Net Interest Income (NII) and Noninterest Income. NII is the money made from loans and investments minus the interest paid on deposits and borrowings-the bread and butter of banking. Noninterest Income comes from fees, service charges, and other non-lending activities.
The core lending business is robust. For the third quarter of 2025, Net Interest Income (NII) was $102.5 million, which is the dominant revenue stream. The noninterest segment, however, saw a major shift.
- Net Interest Income (NII): The primary driver, reflecting strong loan growth (9% annualized in Q3 2025) and improved net interest margin (NIM) of 3.46% in Q3 2025.
- Noninterest Income: The smaller, but more volatile, segment, which includes fees from services, wealth management, and mortgage banking.
Segment Contribution and Significant Changes
The most significant change in 2025 is the impact of a securities loss-earnback transaction. This action, taken to reposition the balance sheet, created a one-time, non-cash hit that dramatically skewed the reported Noninterest Income figures.
Here is the breakdown of the third quarter 2025 revenue, which totaled $89.95 million:
| Revenue Segment | Q3 2025 Amount | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Net Interest Income (NII) | $102.5 million | Core lending income. |
| Noninterest Income (Adjusted) | $15.0 million | Excludes the securities loss. |
| Securities Loss | ($27.9 million) | Significant one-time loss. |
| Total Reported Revenue | $89.95 million | Reflects the impact of the loss. |
Here's the quick math: The core Noninterest Income, excluding the loss, was actually $15.0 million in Q3 2025, a 10.7% increase from the same quarter in 2024. But when you factor in the $27.9 million loss on securities, the total reported Noninterest Income for the quarter became a negative $12.9 million. This is what dragged the overall revenue down, masking the strength in NII. You have to look past the headline number to see the underlying business performance.
The NII growth is a clear opportunity, driven by increased loan yields as assets reprice in a higher-rate environment. You can explore the investor sentiment around these moves in Exploring First Bancorp (FBNC) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
The key takeaway is that the core revenue engine is healthy; the noninterest segment is defintely under pressure from strategic balance sheet adjustments.
Profitability Metrics
You're looking for the core earnings power of First Bancorp (FBNC), and the Q3 2025 results, adjusted for a one-time securities loss, defintely show a business improving its pricing power and maintaining disciplined cost control. The key takeaway is that FBNC's operational efficiency is significantly better than the industry median, and its Net Interest Margin (NIM) is trending up, which is a strong signal in the current rate environment.
For a bank, profitability is best measured by Net Interest Margin (NIM), which is the bank's equivalent of a gross margin, and the Pre-Tax, Pre-Provision (PTPP) margin, which acts as your operating margin. FBNC's management is executing well on both fronts. Here's the quick math on the core Q3 2025 performance, adjusted to exclude the $27.9 million securities loss:
- Gross Profit Margin (NII as % of Total Revenue): 87.2%
- Operating Profit Margin (PTPP Margin): 48.8%
- Net Profit Margin (Adjusted Net Income as % of Total Revenue): 35.6%
What this estimate hides is the one-time impact of the $27.9 million securities loss, which dragged the GAAP Net Income down to $20.4 million for the quarter. The adjusted net income, which better reflects core operations, was $41.8 million.
Profitability Trends and Operational Efficiency
The trend in First Bancorp's most critical profitability metric, the Net Interest Margin (NIM), is positive. The NIM expanded to 3.46% in the third quarter of 2025, an increase of 14 basis points from the 3.32% reported in the linked second quarter. This expansion is a direct result of successfully managing deposit costs and increasing loan yields, a strategic advantage in a volatile rate environment. This focus on the spread between what they earn on assets and what they pay on liabilities is working.
Operational efficiency is another strong point. The efficiency ratio (Non-interest expense as a share of total revenue) is a crucial measure of cost management for a bank. FBNC's noninterest expenses for Q3 2025 were $60.2 million.
Here is how First Bancorp stacks up against the broader industry:
| Metric | First Bancorp (FBNC) - Q3 2025 (Adjusted) | US Banking Industry Average / Peer | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Interest Margin (NIM) | 3.46% | 3.25% (Q1 2025 Industry Average) | FBNC is earning a wider spread than the average. |
| Efficiency Ratio | ~51.2% ($60.2M/$117.5M) | 56.2% (Q1 2025 Industry Average) | Excellent cost control; 50% is a benchmark for top-tier banks. |
| Net Profit Margin (Adjusted) | 35.6% | 28.67% (Regions Financial Corp. Peer Q3 2025) | Higher conversion of revenue to net income than a large regional peer. |
| Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio | 20.7x | 11.2x (US Banks Industry Average) | Market is pricing in significant future growth/premium. |
The efficiency ratio of approximately 51.2% is a testament to strong cost management, beating the industry-wide average of 56.2% reported in the first quarter of 2025. This operational discipline provides a cushion against future rate changes or credit cycle shifts. The market's optimism, however, is reflected in the high P/E ratio of 20.7x, which is nearly double the US Banks industry average of 11.2x. This implies investors expect the current profitability and growth trajectory to continue, so management must defintely keep delivering. You can find a deeper dive into the market's perspective here: Exploring First Bancorp (FBNC) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Debt vs. Equity Structure
You need to know how First Bancorp (FBNC) is funding its growth, and the quick answer is: primarily through equity, not debt. The company maintains an exceptionally conservative financial structure, which is a significant strength in the volatile regional banking sector.
This approach minimizes financial risk, but it also means the company isn't aggressively using financial leverage (borrowing to boost returns on equity). For investors, this translates to a very stable balance sheet, though perhaps a less aggressive growth profile than some peers.
Overview of Debt Levels and Financing Mix
First Bancorp's debt load is remarkably low, especially when compared to its equity base. As of the second quarter of 2025, the company reported its long-term debt at just over $14.913 million, with short-term debt and capital lease obligations at $0, according to its regulatory filings used in the Debt-to-Equity calculation.
Here's the quick math on the core components for the second quarter of 2025 (figures in millions USD):
- Total Debt (Long-Term + Short-Term): $14.913 million
- Total Stockholders Equity: $1,556.18 million
The company relies heavily on deposits, which are classified as liabilities but are the core funding for a bank, and retained earnings (equity) rather than traditional corporate debt like bonds or notes. This is a key distinction for bank balance sheets.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio: A Conservative Stance
The Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio is the clearest signal of First Bancorp's conservative financing strategy. This ratio, which compares total debt to total shareholder equity, tells you how much leverage the company is using.
For First Bancorp, the Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) Debt-to-Equity ratio as of late 2025 stands at approximately 0.06. To be fair, some calculations for the June 2025 quarter show it even lower at 0.01. That is a tiny number.
Compare this to the industry. The average Debt-to-Equity ratio for the US Regional Banks sector is closer to 0.5 as of November 2025. First Bancorp is using nearly 8 times less debt per dollar of equity than its average peer. This low ratio is a strong indicator of low financial risk and a high capacity to absorb unexpected losses without jeopardizing solvency.
| Metric | First Bancorp (FBNC) Value (2025) | Regional Bank Industry Average (Nov 2025) |
|---|---|---|
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio (TTM) | 0.06 | 0.5 |
| Long-Term Debt (Q2 2025) | $14.913 million | N/A |
| Total Stockholders Equity (Q2 2025) | $1,556.18 million | N/A |
Capital Strategy: Equity Over Issuance
The company's capital strategy is clearly focused on retaining strong capital ratios, which is defintely a good thing for a bank. The low D/E ratio shows First Bancorp is largely funding its loan growth and operations through retained earnings and new equity, not through a reliance on new corporate debt issuances.
While there have been no major new bond issuances or refinancing activities reported in late 2025, the company's capital adequacy ratios-like the Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio-are robust. This strong equity base acts as a significant buffer, which is why analysts have a consensus 'Buy' rating on the stock as of November 2025. They see a well-capitalized bank. You can find more detail on the company's long-term strategy in its Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of First Bancorp (FBNC).
What this estimate hides is that a bank's liabilities are mostly customer deposits, not bonds, so the D/E ratio is not the only measure of risk. Still, the low ratio confirms the bank's strong capital position relative to its own corporate borrowing.
Liquidity and Solvency
You need to know if First Bancorp (FBNC) can cover its short-term obligations, and the answer is yes, but you have to look past the usual manufacturing-sector metrics. For a bank, liquidity is about deposit stability and access to funding, not a high current ratio, so their position is solid, backed by substantial off-balance sheet capacity.
Assessing First Bancorp's Liquidity Position
The traditional Current Ratio (current assets divided by current liabilities) for a bank like FBNC will always look low because their main assets-loans-are not considered current. For December 2024, the ratio stood at just 0.23. [cite: 7, original search] Don't panic; this is normal. A low ratio simply reflects the long-term nature of their primary assets against the short-term nature of deposits.
Instead, we focus on their available liquidity. As of June 30, 2025, FBNC's on-balance sheet liquidity ratio was 20.0%, a healthy figure for the sector. [cite: 1, original search] More importantly, their total liquidity ratio, which includes available off-balance sheet sources, was a robust 36.1%. [cite: 2, original search] This means they have a significant cushion to meet unexpected demands.
Here are the key liquidity strengths as of late 2025:
- Available off-balance sheet sources totaled $2.5 billion at September 30, 2025.
- Day-one liquidity (cash and immediately available funds) was $718 million at June 30, 2025. [cite: 3, original search]
- This day-one liquidity was sufficient to cover 150% of estimated uninsured deposits. [cite: 3, original search]
Cash Flow Statement Overview and Trends
Reviewing the Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) cash flow ending September 30, 2025, shows a clear strategic direction: the bank is actively funding loan growth and managing its investment portfolio.
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) remains the core engine of the business, coming in at a strong positive $216.7 million (TTM Sep 30, 2025). This is the cash generated from the bank's primary activities-taking deposits and making loans-and it's a defintely positive trend, showing core profitability is converting to cash.
The Investing and Financing sections, however, show significant outflows, which is typical for a growing bank:
| Cash Flow Activity (TTM Sep 30, 2025) | Amount (Millions USD) | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $216.7 | Strong, positive cash generation from core banking activities. |
| Investing Cash Flow | $-700.69 | Large outflow, primarily funding loan growth and security purchases. [cite: 11, original search] |
| Financing Cash Flow | Negative (Trend) | Outflow driven by dividends (Q3 2025: $0.23/share) and capital management. [cite: 3, second search] |
The Investing Cash Flow outflow of $-700.69 million is the largest signal here. [cite: 11, original search] Here's the quick math: they are deploying OCF and other funding sources to grow their loan book, which reached $8.4 billion at September 30, 2025. This is a strategic move to boost future interest income, but it eats up current cash.
Liquidity Strengths and Near-Term Actions
FBNC's liquidity strength is not in its current ratio but in its funding mix and collateralization. Uninsured deposits were only 17.7% of total deposits at June 30, 2025, and 73% of those were fully collateralized. [cite: 3, original search] That collateralization is a huge risk mitigator, reducing the likelihood of a major funding crisis.
The only near-term risk is the continued aggressive loan growth (up 9.3% annualized in Q3 2025) requiring constant funding, which is why the Investing Cash Flow is so negative. The opportunity, though, is that this growth is expanding the Net Interest Margin (NIM) to 3.46% in Q3 2025, up from 3.32% in the prior quarter. You can read more about this in Breaking Down First Bancorp (FBNC) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
Action: Monitor the next quarterly report to ensure the pace of loan growth is matched by stable deposit growth and that the on-balance sheet liquidity ratio doesn't dip below 19.0%.
Valuation Analysis
You're looking at First Bancorp (FBNC) and wondering if the market has it right. Is it a value play or is the recent run-up justified? The direct takeaway is this: First Bancorp trades at a premium to its historical average on a trailing basis, but the forward-looking earnings picture suggests a more reasonable valuation, leading to a Moderate Buy consensus from analysts.
Is First Bancorp Overvalued or Undervalued?
The valuation story for First Bancorp is a tale of two ratios, depending on your time horizon. Looking back over the last twelve months, the trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio sits at 21.33 as of November 2025. That's a bit rich, especially compared to its historical five-year average of 13.86. However, the forward P/E, which uses estimated 2025 earnings, drops significantly to 13.46. Here's the quick math: investors are betting that 2025 earnings growth will accelerate, making today's price much cheaper relative to future profits.
The Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio, a key metric for banks that measures market value against book value (net tangible assets), is 1.27x. This is a healthy premium over book value, suggesting the market trusts the quality of the bank's assets and its ability to generate returns on equity. The Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio is less standard for a bank, but the last reported figure was 12.1x for December 2024.
- Forward P/E (2025E): 13.46x - Suggests a fair valuation if earnings targets are met.
- P/B Ratio (TTM): 1.27x - Indicates a premium for asset quality and profitability.
- Analyst Consensus: Moderate Buy - The Street sees upside.
Stock Performance and Income Profile
First Bancorp's stock price has defintely shown strength in 2025. The stock gained 16.23% year-to-date, reflecting robust market confidence in the regional banking sector and the company's specific execution. As of November 21, 2025, the stock price was $50.40, trading comfortably above its 52-week low of $34.50 but still below the high of $56.45. This range shows volatility, but the trend is clearly up.
For income-focused investors, the dividend profile is solid and sustainable. The annual dividend is approximately $0.90 per share, resulting in a current dividend yield of about 1.8%. The dividend payout ratio is a very safe 37.7% to 38.3%, meaning the bank is using less than four out of every ten dollars of earnings to cover the dividend. That leaves plenty of capital for growth and to weather any economic bumps. You can review the strategic direction that supports this growth in the Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of First Bancorp (FBNC).
| Valuation Metric | Value (2025 Data) | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E (2025E) | 13.46x | Reasonable based on expected earnings growth. |
| Price-to-Book (P/B) | 1.27x | Premium over net assets; market values the franchise. |
| Dividend Yield | ~1.8% | Modest yield, but reliable. |
| Payout Ratio | ~38% | Very sustainable, low risk of a cut. |
Analyst Consensus and Action
Wall Street analysts are generally bullish, with a consensus rating of Moderate Buy. The average 12-month price target is $56.67, which suggests an upside of over 12% from the current price. What this estimate hides, however, is the risk of interest rate shifts impacting net interest margin (NIM) in a bank. If the Federal Reserve changes its rate path unexpectedly, that target could shift fast. Still, the current outlook is positive.
Your clear action here is to dig into the next earnings report to confirm the projected earnings that drive that low 13.46 forward P/E. If they deliver on that growth, the stock is undervalued at current levels.
Risk Factors
You're looking at First Bancorp (FBNC) and seeing solid growth in net interest income, but you need to know what's lurking beneath the surface. My two decades in finance tell me that even the best-performing regional banks face near-term headwinds, and for First Bancorp, the risks are concentrated in noninterest income volatility and the persistent pressure of the macroeconomic environment.
Honestly, the biggest financial risk that jumped out from the Q3 2025 earnings was the hit to noninterest income. The company reported a significant pre-tax loss of $27.9 million from a securities loss-earnback transaction in the third quarter of 2025. This single event caused noninterest income to drop to a negative $12.9 million for the quarter. That's a huge swing.
Here's the quick math: The adjusted net income for Q3 2025 was a strong $41.8 million, but the reported net income was only $20.4 million. What this estimate hides is the reliance on securities and the associated market risks that can lead to unpredictable revenue streams outside of core lending.
- External/Market Risk: The primary operating area is North and South Carolina, so a regional economic downturn is a direct threat.
- Regulatory/Interest Rate Risk: Potential Federal Reserve rate cuts could pressure the Net Interest Margin (NIM), which was 3.46% in Q3 2025.
- Operational/Financial Risk: Volatility in noninterest income due to significant net securities losses.
Strategic and Credit Risk Management
Despite the noninterest income shock, the bank's core credit quality remains strong, which is a defintely positive sign. Nonperforming assets (NPAs) were low at just $39.0 million as of September 30, 2025, representing only 0.31% of total assets. Still, we saw a slight uptick in the provision for credit losses to $3.4 million in Q3 2025, up from $2.2 million in the prior quarter. This was driven by loan growth and, critically, management's acknowledgment of 'somewhat deteriorating macro-economic projections'.
The company is taking clear action to mitigate these risks. The securities sale, while painful in the short term, was a strategic move to reposition the balance sheet for higher returns and better liquidity management. Also, they've been proactive on the governance front, appointing Bridget Welborn as Chief Risk Officer and Head of Legal in October 2025 to strengthen risk oversight and regulatory compliance. That's a smart move to address the lingering questions about leadership experience.
Their strategy to counter margin pressure is focused on managing deposit costs and increasing loan yields, which helped expand the NIM to 3.46% in Q3 2025.
For more on the long-term direction, you should review their core principles: Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of First Bancorp (FBNC).
| Risk Category | Specific 2025 Data Point | Mitigation/Action |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Volatility | Q3 2025 pre-tax securities loss of $27.9 million | Strategic sale of low-yielding securities to free capital for high-return assets |
| Credit Risk | NPAs at 0.31% of total assets (Q3 2025) | Provision for credit losses increased to $3.4 million (Q3 2025) due to loan growth and macro-economic concerns |
| Management/Strategic Risk | Lingering questions on leadership experience | Appointed Bridget Welborn as Chief Risk Officer in October 2025 to bolster risk oversight |
The bottom line is that while First Bancorp's credit quality is excellent and capital ratios are strong (Common Equity Tier I at a preliminary 14.35% in Q3 2025), investors must watch noninterest income for stabilization and monitor the cost of funds closely to see if the NIM expansion is sustainable against potential rate changes.
Growth Opportunities
You're looking for a clear map of where First Bancorp (FBNC) is headed, and the short answer is: they are prioritizing margin expansion and risk-managed growth over aggressive, high-cost expansion. The key growth drivers aren't a massive acquisition, but rather a disciplined focus on core banking profitability and strategic strengthening of their operational foundation.
The company's ability to effectively manage its interest-earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities is a defintely strong tailwind. For the third quarter of 2025, First Bancorp reported net interest income after provision for credit losses of $99,047 thousand, a significant jump from the prior year. That's how they are pushing profitability in a challenging rate environment.
Here's a look at the consensus estimates for the full 2025 fiscal year, showing the market's expectation for continued strength:
| Metric | Fiscal Period Ending Dec 2025 | Source of Growth |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus EPS Estimate | $3.80 | Core earnings progression and cost discipline. |
| Consensus Revenue Estimate | $456.96 million | Expansion in commercial and consumer banking services. |
| Net Income (Nine Months Ended Sep 30, 2025) | $95,335 thousand | Effective management of interest-earning assets. |
The company's growth strategy centers on three clear pillars that position them well in the Southeast banking market:
- Geographic and Product Expansion: With total assets growing to $12.8 billion, First Bancorp has the capacity to increase its footprint in commercial and consumer banking and explore new financial products. They already have a strong brand reputation built on a wide range of services, including Small Business Administration (SBA) lending and investment advisory, which helps with customer retention.
- Operational Efficiency: Management is focused on substantial margin expansion and continued expense discipline, which contributed to a net interest margin (NIM) expansion to 3.46% in Q3 2025, up from 3.32% in the prior quarter.
- Risk and Governance Strengthening: The recent appointment of Bridget Welborn as Chief Risk Officer and Head of Legal in October 2025 is a critical strategic move. This executive hire, with a focus on legal, risk, and regulatory compliance, signals a proactive effort to strengthen risk oversight, which is paramount for sustainable growth in the banking sector.
What this estimate hides, of course, is the volatility in noninterest income, which posted a loss of $12,879 thousand in the third quarter of 2025 due to securities losses. That's a risk that needs careful watching. Still, the underlying core earnings story is strong.
If you want to dig deeper into the shareholder base driving this momentum, you can check out Exploring First Bancorp (FBNC) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?. The bottom line is that First Bancorp is leveraging its strong liquidity position-a total liquidity ratio of 35.3%-to fund organic growth and maintain a prudent credit risk management strategy.

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