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JD Logistics, Inc. (2618.hk) Avaliação DCF
CN | Industrials | Integrated Freight & Logistics | HKSE
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JD Logistics, Inc. (2618.HK) Bundle
Simplifique sua análise e aumente a precisão com a nossa calculadora DCF (2618HK)! Equipado com dados de logística JD reais e suposições personalizáveis, essa ferramenta o capacita a prever, analisar e valorizar a JD Logistics, Inc. como um investidor experiente.
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)
| Year | AY1 2019 |
AY2 2020 |
AY3 2021 |
AY4 2022 |
AY5 2023 |
FY1 2024 |
FY2 2025 |
FY3 2026 |
FY4 2027 |
FY5 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 53,261.7 | 78,400.2 | 111,863.9 | 146,812.7 | 178,036.9 | 200,021.1 | 224,720.1 | 252,468.8 | 283,644.1 | 318,668.9 |
| Revenue Growth, % | 0 | 47.2 | 42.68 | 31.24 | 21.27 | 12.35 | 12.35 | 12.35 | 12.35 | 12.35 |
| EBITDA | 57.1 | 1,699.2 | -7,608.3 | 10,769.0 | 15,999.8 | 4,718.5 | 5,301.2 | 5,955.8 | 6,691.2 | 7,517.4 |
| EBITDA, % | 0.10719 | 2.17 | -6.8 | 7.34 | 8.99 | 2.36 | 2.36 | 2.36 | 2.36 | 2.36 |
| Depreciation | 4,202.8 | 5,552.3 | 8,328.4 | 10,702.5 | 13,172.3 | 14,844.2 | 16,677.1 | 18,736.5 | 21,050.1 | 23,649.4 |
| Depreciation, % | 7.89 | 7.08 | 7.45 | 7.29 | 7.4 | 7.42 | 7.42 | 7.42 | 7.42 | 7.42 |
| EBIT | -4,145.7 | -3,853.1 | -15,936.7 | 66.4 | 2,827.5 | -10,125.7 | -11,376.0 | -12,780.7 | -14,358.9 | -16,131.9 |
| EBIT, % | -7.78 | -4.91 | -14.25 | 0.0452497 | 1.59 | -5.06 | -5.06 | -5.06 | -5.06 | -5.06 |
| Total Cash | 9,909.4 | 11,628.7 | 30,894.0 | 37,854.1 | 35,337.9 | 42,679.6 | 47,949.7 | 53,870.6 | 60,522.6 | 67,996.1 |
| Total Cash, percent | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 |
| Account Receivables | 15,710.6 | 19,046.5 | 13,118.6 | 16,280.0 | 16,083.5 | 34,260.0 | 38,490.5 | 43,243.4 | 48,583.1 | 54,582.3 |
| Account Receivables, % | 29.5 | 24.29 | 11.73 | 11.09 | 9.03 | 17.13 | 17.13 | 17.13 | 17.13 | 17.13 |
| Inventories | 277.7 | 420.0 | 730.0 | 691.8 | 667.0 | 1,022.3 | 1,148.6 | 1,290.4 | 1,449.8 | 1,628.8 |
| Inventories, % | 0.52145 | 0.53572 | 0.65254 | 0.4712 | 0.37467 | 0.51112 | 0.51112 | 0.51112 | 0.51112 | 0.51112 |
| Accounts Payable | 4,228.5 | 6,209.7 | 7,236.6 | 9,723.1 | 9,327.5 | 13,677.6 | 15,366.6 | 17,264.0 | 19,395.8 | 21,790.9 |
| Accounts Payable, % | 7.94 | 7.92 | 6.47 | 6.62 | 5.24 | 6.84 | 6.84 | 6.84 | 6.84 | 6.84 |
| Capital Expenditure | -1,913.2 | -3,443.7 | -4,531.0 | -5,348.6 | -5,856.4 | -7,587.8 | -8,524.8 | -9,577.4 | -10,760.0 | -12,088.7 |
| Capital Expenditure, % | -3.59 | -4.39 | -4.05 | -3.64 | -3.29 | -3.79 | -3.79 | -3.79 | -3.79 | -3.79 |
| Tax Rate, % | 61.94 | 61.94 | 61.94 | 61.94 | 61.94 | 61.94 | 61.94 | 61.94 | 61.94 | 61.94 |
| EBITAT | -4,294.1 | -3,841.7 | -15,998.4 | 89.0 | 1,076.2 | -8,865.3 | -9,960.0 | -11,189.9 | -12,571.7 | -14,124.0 |
| Depreciation | ||||||||||
| Changes in Account Receivables | ||||||||||
| Changes in Inventories | ||||||||||
| Changes in Accounts Payable | ||||||||||
| Capital Expenditure | ||||||||||
| UFCF | -13,764.4 | -3,230.0 | -5,556.2 | 4,806.3 | 8,217.7 | -15,790.7 | -4,475.4 | -5,028.1 | -5,648.9 | -6,346.5 |
| WACC, % | 7.57 | 7.57 | 7.57 | 7.57 | 6.9 | 7.44 | 7.44 | 7.44 | 7.44 | 7.44 |
| PV UFCF | ||||||||||
| SUM PV UFCF | -31,302.3 | |||||||||
| Long Term Growth Rate, % | 3.50 | |||||||||
| Free cash flow (T + 1) | -6,569 | |||||||||
| Terminal Value | -166,805 | |||||||||
| Present Terminal Value | -116,526 | |||||||||
| Enterprise Value | -147,828 | |||||||||
| Net Debt | 10,734 | |||||||||
| Equity Value | -158,561 | |||||||||
| Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM | 6,275 | |||||||||
| Equity Value Per Share | -25.27 |
What You Will Receive
- Pre-Filled Financial Model: JD Logistics’ actual data facilitates an accurate DCF valuation.
- Comprehensive Forecast Control: Modify revenue growth, profit margins, WACC, and other essential drivers.
- Real-Time Calculations: Automatic updates ensure immediate visibility of results as you implement changes.
- Investor-Ready Template: A polished Excel file crafted for professional-level valuation.
- Customizable and Reusable: Designed for adaptability, allowing repeated application for in-depth forecasts.
Key Features
- Comprehensive JD Logistics Financials: Access reliable historical data and future forecasts tailored for [2618HK].
- Flexible Forecast Assumptions: Modify highlighted cells to adjust parameters such as WACC, growth rates, and profit margins.
- Real-Time Calculations: Automatic updates for DCF, Net Present Value (NPV), and cash flow analysis are provided.
- User-Friendly Dashboard: Clear charts and summaries to help you easily interpret your valuation outcomes.
- Suitable for All Skill Levels: An intuitive design created for investors, CFOs, and consultants alike.
How It Works
- Step 1: Download the prebuilt Excel template featuring JD Logistics, Inc.’s (2618HK) data.
- Step 2: Navigate through the pre-filled sheets to grasp the essential metrics.
- Step 3: Modify forecasts and assumptions in the editable yellow cells (WACC, growth, margins).
- Step 4: Instantly view the recalculated results, including the intrinsic value of JD Logistics, Inc. (2618HK).
- Step 5: Make informed investment decisions or create reports based on the outputs.
Why Opt for This Calculator?
- Designed for Experts: A sophisticated tool favored by analysts, CFOs, and consultants.
- Accurate Data: JD Logistics' historical and projected financials preloaded for precision.
- Scenario Analysis: Easily test various forecasts and assumptions.
- Clear Results: Automatically provides intrinsic value, NPV, and essential metrics.
- User-Friendly: Step-by-step guidance makes the process straightforward.
Who Can Benefit from JD Logistics, Inc. (2618HK)?
- Investors: Evaluate JD Logistics’ financial health before making stock transactions.
- CFOs and Financial Analysts: Enhance valuation methods and analyze future projections.
- Startup Founders: Gain insights into how leading logistics firms like JD Logistics are appraised.
- Consultants: Create comprehensive valuation reports for client consultations.
- Students and Educators: Utilize real-life data to practice and instruct on valuation methodologies.
What the Template Includes
- Preloaded JD Logistics Data: Historical and forecasted financial metrics, encompassing revenue, EBIT, and capital expenditures.
- DCF and WACC Models: Advanced spreadsheets designed for calculating intrinsic value and Weighted Average Cost of Capital.
- Editable Inputs: Cells highlighted in yellow for modifying revenue growth, tax rates, and discount rates.
- Financial Statements: Detailed annual and quarterly financial reports for in-depth analysis.
- Key Ratios: Metrics on profitability, leverage, and efficiency to assess company performance.
- Dashboard and Charts: Visual representations of valuation results and underlying assumptions.
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