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Avaliação DCF do FirstGroup PLC (FGP.L)
GB | Industrials | Railroads | LSE
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
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FirstGroup plc (FGP.L) Bundle
Procurando avaliar o valor intrínseco do FirstGroup PLC? Nossa calculadora DCF (FGPL) integra dados do mundo real com recursos abrangentes de personalização, permitindo ajustar as previsões e aprimorar suas estratégias de investimento.
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)
Year | AY1 2019 |
AY2 2020 |
AY3 2021 |
AY4 2022 |
AY5 2023 |
FY1 2024 |
FY2 2025 |
FY3 2026 |
FY4 2027 |
FY5 2028 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 4,642.8 | 4,318.8 | 4,591.1 | 4,755.0 | 4,715.1 | 4,739.4 | 4,763.7 | 4,788.2 | 4,812.9 | 4,837.6 |
Revenue Growth, % | 0 | -6.98 | 6.3 | 3.57 | -0.83912 | 0.51432 | 0.51432 | 0.51432 | 0.51432 | 0.51432 |
EBITDA | 398.9 | 857.3 | 863.6 | 896.7 | 656.2 | 758.6 | 762.5 | 766.4 | 770.3 | 774.3 |
EBITDA, % | 8.59 | 19.85 | 18.81 | 18.86 | 13.92 | 16.01 | 16.01 | 16.01 | 16.01 | 16.01 |
Depreciation | 631.9 | 684.5 | 739.7 | 730.5 | 593.0 | 696.8 | 700.4 | 704.0 | 707.6 | 711.2 |
Depreciation, % | 13.61 | 15.85 | 16.11 | 15.36 | 12.58 | 14.7 | 14.7 | 14.7 | 14.7 | 14.7 |
EBIT | -233.0 | 172.8 | 123.9 | 166.2 | 63.2 | 61.8 | 62.1 | 62.4 | 62.7 | 63.1 |
EBIT, % | -5.02 | 4 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 1.34 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Total Cash | 968.9 | 1,438.9 | 787.7 | 791.4 | 496.5 | 933.8 | 938.6 | 943.4 | 948.3 | 953.2 |
Total Cash, percent | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 |
Account Receivables | 738.5 | 239.5 | 302.5 | 829.8 | 397.3 | 511.1 | 513.7 | 516.3 | 519.0 | 521.7 |
Account Receivables, % | 15.91 | 5.55 | 6.59 | 17.45 | 8.43 | 10.78 | 10.78 | 10.78 | 10.78 | 10.78 |
Inventories | 63.3 | 29.4 | 28.9 | 26.0 | 25.9 | 35.7 | 35.9 | 36.1 | 36.3 | 36.5 |
Inventories, % | 1.36 | 0.68074 | 0.62948 | 0.54679 | 0.5493 | 0.75394 | 0.75394 | 0.75394 | 0.75394 | 0.75394 |
Accounts Payable | 336.9 | 182.3 | 253.3 | 338.8 | 277.4 | 284.4 | 285.9 | 287.3 | 288.8 | 290.3 |
Accounts Payable, % | 7.26 | 4.22 | 5.52 | 7.13 | 5.88 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Capital Expenditure | -331.0 | -420.6 | -251.6 | -177.9 | -216.9 | -290.9 | -292.4 | -293.9 | -295.4 | -296.9 |
Capital Expenditure, % | -7.13 | -9.74 | -5.48 | -3.74 | -4.6 | -6.14 | -6.14 | -6.14 | -6.14 | -6.14 |
Tax Rate, % | 15.43 | 15.43 | 15.43 | 15.43 | 15.43 | 15.43 | 15.43 | 15.43 | 15.43 | 15.43 |
EBITAT | -225.4 | 465.6 | -4,454.8 | 149.1 | 53.5 | 45.8 | 46.1 | 46.3 | 46.5 | 46.8 |
Depreciation | ||||||||||
Changes in Account Receivables | ||||||||||
Changes in Inventories | ||||||||||
Changes in Accounts Payable | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | ||||||||||
UFCF | -389.4 | 1,107.8 | -3,958.2 | 262.8 | 800.8 | 335.1 | 452.7 | 455.0 | 457.4 | 459.7 |
WACC, % | 7.61 | 7.71 | 4.68 | 7.4 | 7.24 | 6.93 | 6.93 | 6.93 | 6.93 | 6.93 |
PV UFCF | ||||||||||
SUM PV UFCF | 1,760.2 | |||||||||
Long Term Growth Rate, % | 3.50 | |||||||||
Free cash flow (T + 1) | 476 | |||||||||
Terminal Value | 13,875 | |||||||||
Present Terminal Value | 9,926 | |||||||||
Enterprise Value | 11,686 | |||||||||
Net Debt | 1,134 | |||||||||
Equity Value | 10,552 | |||||||||
Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM | 663 | |||||||||
Equity Value Per Share | 1,591.72 |
What You Will Receive
- Authentic FirstGroup Data: Preloaded financials – including revenue and EBIT – derived from actual and projected figures.
- Comprehensive Customization: Modify all essential parameters (yellow cells) such as WACC, growth %, and tax rates.
- Instant Valuation Updates: Automatic recalculations to assess the effects of changes on FirstGroup's fair value.
- Flexible Excel Template: Designed for quick adjustments, scenario testing, and thorough projections.
- Efficient and Precise: Avoid starting models from the ground up while ensuring accuracy and adaptability.
Key Features
- Comprehensive FGPL Data: Pre-loaded with FirstGroup plc's historical financial performance and future projections.
- Fully Customizable Inputs: Modify revenue growth rates, profit margins, discount rates, tax percentages, and capital investments.
- Dynamic Valuation Model: Automatically recalculates Net Present Value (NPV) and intrinsic value based on your adjustments.
- Scenario Analysis: Build various forecasting scenarios to evaluate different valuation results.
- User-Friendly Interface: Intuitive, organized, and suitable for both seasoned professionals and newcomers.
How It Operates
- Step 1: Download the Excel file.
- Step 2: Examine FirstGroup plc’s (FGPL) pre-filled financial data and projections.
- Step 3: Adjust key inputs such as revenue growth, WACC, and tax rates (highlighted cells).
- Step 4: Observe the DCF model refresh in real-time as you modify your assumptions.
- Step 5: Evaluate the outputs and apply the findings for your investment strategies.
Why Opt for This Calculator?
- Reliable Data: Accurate financials from FirstGroup plc (FGPL) ensure trustworthy valuation outcomes.
- Flexible Options: Modify essential parameters like growth rates, WACC, and tax rates to fit your forecasts.
- Efficiency Boost: Pre-configured calculations save time and eliminate the hassle of starting from zero.
- Expert-Level Tool: Tailored for investors, analysts, and consultants in the field.
- User-Friendly Experience: A straightforward design and guided instructions make it accessible for everyone.
Who Can Benefit from This Product?
- Investors: Evaluate the fair value of FirstGroup plc (FGPL) to inform investment choices.
- CFOs: Utilize a sophisticated DCF model for enhanced financial reporting and analysis.
- Consultants: Easily customize the template for client valuation reports.
- Entrepreneurs: Discover financial modeling techniques employed by major corporations.
- Educators: Implement it as a resource to illustrate valuation principles in the classroom.
Contents of the Template
- Preloaded FGPL Data: Historical and projected financial information, encompassing revenue, EBIT, and capital expenditures.
- DCF and WACC Models: Professional-grade sheets designed for calculating intrinsic value and Weighted Average Cost of Capital.
- Editable Inputs: Yellow-highlighted cells for customizing revenue growth, tax rates, and discount rates.
- Financial Statements: Detailed annual and quarterly financials for in-depth analysis.
- Key Ratios: Profitability, leverage, and efficiency ratios to assess performance.
- Dashboard and Charts: Visual representations of valuation results and underlying assumptions.
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