CarMax, Inc. (KMX) DCF Valuation

Carmax, Inc. (KMX) Avaliação DCF

US | Consumer Cyclical | Auto - Dealerships | NYSE
CarMax, Inc. (KMX) DCF Valuation

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CarMax, Inc. (KMX) Bundle

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Aprimore suas estratégias de investimento com a Calculadora DCF da Carmax, Inc. (KMX)! Explore dados financeiros reais para Carmax, ajuste as projeções e despesas de crescimento e observe instantaneamente como essas modificações afetam o valor intrínseco da Carmax, Inc. (KMX).


Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)

Year AY1
2021
AY2
2022
AY3
2023
AY4
2024
AY5
2025
FY1
2026
FY2
2027
FY3
2028
FY4
2029
FY5
2030
Revenue 18,950.1 31,900.4 29,684.9 26,536.0 26,353.4 29,652.8 33,365.3 37,542.6 42,242.9 47,531.7
Revenue Growth, % 0.00 68.34 -6.95 -10.61 -0.69 12.52 12.52 12.52 12.52 12.52
EBITDA 1,285.3 1,825.1 1,022.4 1,043.1 1,032.6 1,411.5 1,588.2 1,787.0 2,010.8 2,262.5
EBITDA, % 6.78 5.72 3.44 3.93 3.92 4.76 4.76 4.76 4.76 4.76
Depreciation 242.2 273.2 265.2 276.8 255.3 299.5 337.0 379.2 426.7 480.1
Depreciation, % 1.28 0.86 0.89 1.04 0.97 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01
EBIT 1,043.2 1,551.9 757.2 766.3 777.3 1,112.0 1,251.2 1,407.8 1,584.1 1,782.4
EBIT, % 5.50 4.86 2.55 2.89 2.95 3.75 3.75 3.75 3.75 3.75
Total Cash 132.3 102.7 314.8 574.1 247.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total Cash, percent .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0
Account Receivables 239.1 561.0 298.8 221.2 188.7
Account Receivables, % 1.26 1.76 1.01 0.83 0.72
Inventories 3,157.2 5,124.6 3,726.1 3,678.1 3,934.6 4,391.6 4,941.4 5,560.1 6,256.2 7,039.4
Inventories, % 16.66 16.06 12.55 13.86 14.93 14.81 14.81 14.81 14.81 14.81
Accounts Payable 799.3 937.7 826.6 933.7 977.8 1,017.1 1,144.4 1,287.7 1,448.9 1,630.3
Accounts Payable, % 4.22 2.94 2.78 3.52 3.71 3.43 3.43 3.43 3.43 3.43
Capital Expenditure -164.5 -308.5 -422.7 -465.3 -467.9 -403.3 -453.8 -510.6 -574.5 -646.4
Capital Expenditure, % -0.87 -0.97 -1.42 -1.75 -1.78 -1.36 -1.36 -1.36 -1.36 -1.36
Tax Rate, % 22.62 22.86 23.88 25.30 25.22 23.97 23.97 23.97 23.97 23.97
EBITAT 807.2 1,197.2 576.4 572.4 581.3 845.4 951.3 1,070.4 1,204.4 1,355.2
Depreciation 242.2 273.2 265.2 276.8 255.3 299.5 337.0 379.2 426.7 480.1
Changes in Account Receivables -143.4 -41.6 -46.8 -52.6 -59.3
Changes in Inventories -457.0 -549.8 -618.7 -696.1 -783.2
Changes in Accounts Payable 39.3 127.3 143.3 161.2 181.4
Capital Expenditure -164.5 -308.5 -422.7 -465.3 -467.9 -403.3 -453.8 -510.6 -574.5 -646.4
UFCF -1,712.1 -989.1 1,968.4 616.7 188.7 180.5 370.4 416.9 469.1 527.8
WACC, % 5.89 5.89 5.86 5.82 5.83 5.86 5.86 5.86 5.86 5.86
PV UFCF 170.6 330.6 351.4 373.5 397.0
SUM PV UFCF 1,623.0
Long Term Growth Rate, % 2.00
Free cash flow (T + 1) 538.4
Terminal Value 13,947.0
Present Terminal Value 10,491.1
Enterprise Value 12,114.1
Net Debt 18,975.0
Equity Value -6,860.9
Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM 156.0
Equity Value Per Share -43.98

What You Will Get

  • Editable Forecast Inputs: Easily modify assumptions (growth %, margins, WACC) to generate various scenarios.
  • Real-World Data: CarMax’s financial data pre-filled to kickstart your analysis.
  • Automatic DCF Outputs: The template computes Net Present Value (NPV) and intrinsic value for you.
  • Customizable and Professional: A sleek Excel model that adjusts to your valuation requirements.
  • Built for Analysts and Investors: Perfect for evaluating projections, confirming strategies, and saving time.

Key Features

  • Comprehensive KMX Data: Pre-loaded with CarMax’s historical performance metrics and future growth estimates.
  • Fully Customizable Inputs: Tailor revenue growth rates, profit margins, WACC, tax implications, and capital investments.
  • Dynamic Valuation Model: Automatic recalculations of Net Present Value (NPV) and intrinsic value based on your parameters.
  • Scenario Analysis: Develop various forecasting scenarios to evaluate different valuation results.
  • User-Friendly Interface: Intuitive, organized, and suitable for both experienced analysts and newcomers.

How It Works

  1. Step 1: Download the Excel file.
  2. Step 2: Review pre-entered CarMax, Inc. (KMX) data (historical and projected).
  3. Step 3: Adjust key assumptions (yellow cells) based on your analysis.
  4. Step 4: View automatic recalculations for CarMax, Inc. (KMX)’s intrinsic value.
  5. Step 5: Use the outputs for investment decisions or reporting.

Why Choose This Calculator for CarMax, Inc. (KMX)?

  • Designed for Industry Experts: A sophisticated tool utilized by financial analysts, CFOs, and automotive consultants.
  • Accurate Financial Data: CarMax’s historical and projected financials preloaded for precise analysis.
  • Flexible Scenario Analysis: Easily simulate various forecasts and assumptions to assess different outcomes.
  • Comprehensive Outputs: Automatically computes intrinsic value, NPV, and essential financial metrics.
  • User-Friendly Interface: Step-by-step guidance ensures a smooth navigation through the calculation process.

Who Should Use CarMax, Inc. (KMX)?

  • Car Buyers: Gain confidence in your purchase with transparent pricing and quality assurance.
  • Automotive Enthusiasts: Explore a wide selection of vehicles and stay informed about market trends.
  • Dealership Professionals: Streamline your sales process with user-friendly tools and resources.
  • Investors: Analyze the automotive retail market and make informed investment decisions.
  • Students and Educators: Utilize CarMax's business model as a case study in automotive and retail courses.

What the Template Contains

  • Preloaded KMX Data: Historical and projected financial data, including revenue, EBIT, and capital expenditures.
  • DCF and WACC Models: Professional-grade sheets for calculating intrinsic value and Weighted Average Cost of Capital.
  • Editable Inputs: Yellow-highlighted cells for adjusting revenue growth, tax rates, and discount rates.
  • Financial Statements: Comprehensive annual and quarterly financials for deeper analysis.
  • Key Ratios: Profitability, leverage, and efficiency ratios to evaluate performance.
  • Dashboard and Charts: Visual summaries of valuation outcomes and assumptions.


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