Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. (ALEX) Bundle
You're looking at Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. (ALEX) as a core Hawaii real estate investment trust (REIT), and the Q3 2025 numbers defintely show a mixed picture you need to unpack before committing capital.
The good news is the portfolio's stability is clear: total leased occupancy hit a strong 95.6% as of September 30, 2025, which is a solid 160 basis point improvement year-over-year, and management felt confident enough to raise the full-year Funds From Operations (FFO) guidance to a range of $1.36 to $1.41 per diluted share. But honestly, you have to look past the headline beat in Q3 net income of $14.3 million, because the same-store Net Operating Income (NOI) growth-a key measure of a REIT's organic health-slowed to just 0.6% for the quarter, a significant dip from prior periods. That slowing growth, plus the $475.2 million in debt on the books, means you need to focus on how they'll execute on their projected full-year Same-Store NOI growth of 3.4% to 3.8% to justify the current valuation.
Revenue Analysis
You need a clear picture of where Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. (ALEX) makes its money, especially since its core business shifted to a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT). The direct takeaway is that Commercial Real Estate (CRE) in Hawaii is the engine, but the overall top-line revenue for the Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ending Q3 2025 saw a slight dip, coming in at $226.06 million, a -2.08% decrease year-over-year.
This slight revenue contraction, while not ideal, reflects the lumpy nature of the Land Operations segment, which is highly dependent on the timing of land sales. Still, the core CRE portfolio is defintely showing strength, which is what matters for a REIT.
Alexander & Baldwin, Inc.'s revenue streams are geographically concentrated in Hawaii and primarily driven by rental income from its portfolio of high-quality commercial properties. The company is the state's largest owner of grocery-anchored, neighborhood shopping centers, which are defensive assets.
The business operates mainly through two segments: Commercial Real Estate (CRE) and Land Operations. The CRE segment is the stable, income-generating core, while Land Operations provides episodic, high-margin gains from land sales and development.
- Commercial Real Estate (CRE): Rental income from approximately 4.0 million square feet of retail, industrial, and office space across Hawaii. This is the primary, recurring revenue source.
- Land Operations: Revenue from the sale of land parcels and income from joint ventures. This segment is volatile, with Q3 2025 showing an operating loss due to no land sales in the quarter.
Here's the quick math on the segment contribution, using the most recent quarterly data to illustrate the core business dominance. In the third quarter of 2025, the CRE segment generated $50.2 million in operating revenue. The total reported revenue for that quarter was $51.84 million.
| Segment | Q3 2025 Operating Revenue (in millions) | Contribution to Q3 Total Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Commercial Real Estate (CRE) | $50.2 | ~96.8% |
| Land Operations & Other (Calculated) | ~$1.64 | ~3.2% |
| Total Q3 2025 Revenue | $51.84 | 100% |
What this breakdown hides is the underlying health of the CRE portfolio. Same-Store Net Operating Income (NOI), a key REIT metric, increased by 0.6% year-over-year in Q3 2025, and total leased occupancy stood at a strong 95.6% as of September 30, 2025. This shows solid operational performance even as the total revenue figure softens due to the volatile Land Operations segment. For more on the strategic direction, you should review the Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. (ALEX).
Profitability Metrics
You're looking at Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. (ALEX) to see if its recent profit surge is sustainable, and the quick answer is that while the headline net margin is stellar, you need to look past a one-time gain. The company's core operational efficiency is strong, but the net profit margin is defintely poised for a near-term correction.
For a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT), we focus less on a traditional 'Gross Profit' and more on Commercial Real Estate (CRE) Operating Profit and Net Operating Income (NOI). Here's the quick math: for the second quarter of 2025, Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. reported CRE Operating Income of $22.2 million on CRE Operating Revenue of $50.2 million, which translates to a robust CRE Operating Profit Margin of approximately 44.2%.
The trailing twelve months (TTM) Net Profit Margin, which includes the full impact of all expenses and non-core items, stands at an impressive 32.9% as of November 2025. This marks a significant jump from the prior year's TTM margin of 23.8%. That huge leap, however, was materially boosted by a non-recurring $15.7 million one-off gain, so you can't expect that 32.9% to hold.
Here is how Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. stacks up against the broader REIT sector:
| Profitability Metric | Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. (ALEX) (2025 TTM/Q2) | US REIT Industry Average (TTM) | ALEX vs. Industry |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Profit Margin (TTM) | 32.9% | N/A (Industry P/E is 15.5x) | Strong, but inflated by one-off gain. |
| Operating Profit Margin (Calculated Q2) | Approx. 54.3% | 29.17% | Significantly higher. |
| Same-Store NOI Growth (2025 Guidance) | 3.4% to 3.8% | 2.7% (Q2 2025) | Outperforms core operations. |
When you look at the operational efficiency, Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. is executing well. The company's full-year 2025 Same-Store Net Operating Income (SS NOI) growth guidance is between 3.4% and 3.8%, which is comfortably ahead of the overall US REIT industry's Q2 2025 SS NOI growth of just 2.7%. This outperformance is a clear sign of effective cost management and strong rent growth in their core Hawaiian market.
Plus, management is focused on cost control, reporting a 3.3% decrease in General and Administrative (G&A) expenses in Q2 2025 compared to the prior year, which helps the bottom line. But here is the critical caveat: analysts project Alexander & Baldwin, Inc.'s Net Profit Margin will fall to a more normalized 23.3% over the next few years as the one-time boost fades. That's still a solid margin, but it means the recent spike is not a new baseline. You should focus on the consistent SS NOI growth and the high operating margin, which are the real indicators of a healthy, well-managed property portfolio. For a deeper look at who is betting on this Hawaii-focused REIT, check out Exploring Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. (ALEX) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
- Net Margin: Expect a drop from 32.9% TTM to around 23.3%.
- Operating Margin: Strong at approximately 54.3%, nearly double the REIT average.
- Operational Efficiency: SS NOI growth guidance of 3.4% to 3.8% beats the industry's 2.7%.
Debt vs. Equity Structure
Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. (ALEX) maintains a highly conservative capital structure for a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT), relying significantly more on equity than debt to finance its assets. Your takeaway here is simple: the company's financial leverage is notably low, which provides a substantial buffer against rising interest rates and economic downturns.
As of the second quarter of the 2025 fiscal year, the company reported total debt of approximately $450.3 million against total equity capital and reserves of roughly $1.01 billion. This is a strong balance sheet. For a company focused on the unique Hawaii market, this low leverage is defintely a strategic choice to manage regional economic risks. You can read more about this strategy in the Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. (ALEX).
The company's debt-to-equity (D/E) ratio is a key indicator of this conservative approach. A lower ratio means less risk from debt financing.
- ALEX Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 0.44
- Retail REIT Industry Average: 1.043
Honestly, a D/E ratio of 0.44 is exceptional for a REIT, which typically uses leverage to enhance returns, often operating within a range of 1.0 to over 8.0:1. Alexander & Baldwin, Inc.'s ratio suggests a strong preference for equity funding, meaning a greater portion of its assets are funded by shareholder capital rather than borrowed money. This is a very safe position.
Refinancing and Debt Management in 2025
The company recently took clear action to manage its near-term debt risk. In November 2025, Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. amended its credit facility, adding a new $200 million term loan facility. This was a smart move to term out existing short-term exposure.
Here's the quick math on the refinancing: The company immediately borrowed the full $200 million and used the proceeds to repay the outstanding revolving credit balance of $191 million. This action converted a potentially short-term liability into a fixed-schedule, long-term debt maturing in November 2030. This reduces refinancing risk significantly.
The company also locked in its interest costs, which is crucial in the current rate environment. The full $200 million borrowing is swapped to a 4.69% weighted average fixed rate through its maturity. This move reinforces the existing structure, where approximately 95.3% of the company's total debt is already in fixed-rate form, which is well above the broader REIT industry's fixed-rate percentage of 90.9% as of Q1 2025. They are not betting on rate cuts; they are locking in certainty.
This balance between debt and equity is also reflected in the Net Debt to Trailing Twelve Months Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA ratio, which stood at a manageable 3.5 times as of September 30, 2025. For a REIT, that is a healthy multiple, showing strong cash flow coverage for their debt. The company is using debt for strategic growth and acquisitions in Hawaii, but it's doing so with a firm, fixed-rate foundation.
Liquidity and Solvency
Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. (ALEX) maintains a tight, but well-managed, liquidity profile typical of a real estate investment trust (REIT). While the reported Quick Ratio of just 0.15 as of October 2025 might look alarming to a traditional industrial investor, it reflects the company's asset base: most of its value is tied up in long-term, income-producing properties, not quick-turn inventory or large cash reserves.
The real measure of near-term financial strength for Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. is its total liquidity, which stood at a robust $284.3 million as of September 30, 2025. This figure is a combination of $17.3 million in cash on hand and a substantial $267.0 million available on its revolving credit line. This structure gives the company immediate access to capital for opportunities or unexpected needs. To be fair, this total liquidity has been trending down slightly from $323.9 million at the end of Q1 2025, but it remains a solid buffer.
Working Capital and Ratio Analysis
The low current and quick ratios (liquidity positions) are a structural reality for Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. because a REIT's working capital (Current Assets minus Current Liabilities) is often negative or very low. You shouldn't look for a Current Ratio of 2.0 here; that's not the business model.
- Quick Ratio (Q3 2025): 0.15.
- Total Liquidity (Q3 2025): $284.3 million.
- Net Debt to TTM Adjusted EBITDA (Q3 2025): 3.5 times.
This low ratio means the company relies heavily on its credit facility and its predictable rental income for short-term obligations, not on selling off current assets. The working capital trend is stable in its low-ratio position, which is the norm for a company whose core assets are long-term real estate holdings. What this estimate hides is the value of the real estate portfolio backing the debt.
Cash Flow Statements Overview
Analyzing the cash flow statements gives a clearer picture of where the money is moving. For a REIT, Funds From Operations (FFO) is a better proxy for operating cash flow than traditional net income. Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. reported total FFO of $21.4 million for the third quarter of 2025.
The Investing Cash Flow trend shows the company is actively deploying capital back into its portfolio, which is a sign of growth focus. In Q3 2025 alone, Cash Flow from Investing Activities was $-30.43 million, reflecting capital expenditures for development projects like the new industrial buildings at Komohana Industrial.
Financing Cash Flow remains focused on managing debt and rewarding shareholders. The company maintained its quarterly dividend of $0.2250 per share throughout 2025. The manageable Net Debt to TTM Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA ratio of 3.5 times as of Q3 2025 shows the debt load is well within the acceptable range for a REIT of this size and asset quality.
Potential Liquidity Concerns or Strengths
The primary strength is the quality and high occupancy of the Hawaii-focused commercial real estate portfolio, which stood at 95.6% as of September 30, 2025. That high occupancy rate translates directly into stable, recurring cash flow to service debt and fund operations. The biggest potential liquidity concern is less about immediate cash and more about the cost of capital. If interest rates rise further, tapping into the $267.0 million credit line becomes more expensive, but with approximately 97% of their debt at fixed rates with a weighted average interest rate of 4.65% as of Q1 2025, they are well protected from near-term rate hikes.
Here's the quick math on the Q3 2025 cash flow picture:
| Cash Flow Metric (Q3 2025) | Amount (Millions USD) |
|---|---|
| Total Funds From Operations (FFO) | $21.4 |
| Cash Flow from Investing Activities | $-30.43 |
| Cash on Hand (End of Q3) | $17.3 |
This shows more cash is going out for strategic investments than is being generated in FFO, which is fine for a growth-oriented REIT, but it requires continuous monitoring of the credit line usage. For a deeper dive into who is buying and why, check out Exploring Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. (ALEX) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Valuation Analysis
You're looking at Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. (ALEX) and wondering if the market has it right, especially with the stock down over the last year. The direct takeaway is this: Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. appears undervalued right now, trading at a significant discount to its estimated fair value, but the market is cautious, holding a consensus rating of Hold due to near-term earnings uncertainty.
As a seasoned analyst, I look past the headline price to the core valuation multiples. Here's the quick math: the company's current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is around 15.7x. To be fair, this is slightly higher than the Global REIT industry average of 15.6x, but it sits well below the peer group average, which is closer to 36.9x. That gap suggests a potential mispricing.
The core valuation metrics for Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. for the 2025 fiscal year tell a story of a solid, if currently unloved, asset base:
| Valuation Metric | Value (2025 FY) | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Price-to-Earnings (P/E) | 15.7x | Below peer average, suggesting value. |
| Price-to-Book (P/B) | 1.11 | Trading close to book value (assets on paper). |
| Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) | 14.0x | A reasonable multiple for a stable REIT. |
| Dividend Yield (Annual) | ~5.8% | Attractive yield for income investors. |
The Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio is only 1.11. For a real estate investment trust (REIT), which often has conservative book values, a P/B this low suggests the market isn't fully recognizing the value of the underlying Hawaiian commercial real estate portfolio. The Net Debt to Trailing Twelve Months Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA was 3.5 times as of September 30, 2025, which is a manageable leverage level for a REIT.
Stock Performance and Analyst Sentiment
The stock price trend over the last 12 months has defintely been rough. Alexander & Baldwin, Inc.'s total shareholder return is down 11.6% over the past year, with a year-to-date decline of 9.4% as of early November 2025. The 52-week trading range shows the pressure, bouncing between a low of $15.39 and a high of $19.95. The recent closing price is around $15.91.
Still, the analyst community sees a clear path to upside. The consensus is a Hold rating, which means analysts are telling you to maintain your position, not necessarily to sell. But the price targets are much higher: the average 12-month price target is $21.00, representing a potential upside of 33.76% from the current price. Our own fair value estimates range from $21.25 to as high as $26.40, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 24.8% to 39.7%. The market is overlooking something.
For income investors, the dividend is a major factor. Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. pays an annual dividend of $0.90 per share, translating to a compelling dividend yield of approximately 5.8% [cite: 3, 4, search 1]. The payout ratio is high at 89.1% of trailing earnings, but it is more conservative at 66.67% based on this year's earnings estimates, which is a more sustainable level for a REIT [cite: 3, 4, search 1].
- The stock is trading below its intrinsic value.
- The average analyst price target is $21.00.
- The dividend yield is robust at about 5.8% [cite: 3, 4, search 1].
The risk here is that the market is factoring in a one-off $15.7 million gain that boosted profits this year, which isn't expected to repeat. What this estimate hides is the resilience of their core business: high occupancy rates (around 95.8%) and strategic redevelopment projects in the supply-constrained Hawaiian market. For a deeper dive into the operational side, check out Breaking Down Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. (ALEX) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
Next step: Review your portfolio to see if Alexander & Baldwin, Inc.'s high yield and potential capital appreciation fit your risk profile.
Risk Factors
You're looking at Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. (ALEX) because you believe in the unique, supply-constrained nature of the Hawaiian commercial real estate market. That's a smart thesis, but even the best assets carry risk. The biggest challenge for Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. isn't its portfolio quality-which is strong, with total leased occupancy at 95.6% as of September 30, 2025-it's the concentration risk that comes with being a Hawaii-focused Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT).
The core risk is simple: Alexander & Baldwin, Inc.'s financial health is defintely tied to the performance of the state of Hawaii's economy. If tourism or the broader local economy falters, tenant stability and rental growth suffer. This reliance on a single, albeit robust, regional economy is the most material external risk.
Market Competition and Economic Headwinds
The Hawaii real estate market is getting hot, and that brings a new level of competition. We're seeing increased interest from mainland capital, which intensifies the bidding for high-quality acquisition targets. This competition could drive up asset prices and compress the investment returns Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. can achieve on new deals. To counter this, the company recently amended its credit facility, adding up to a $200 million term loan capacity to ensure financial flexibility and the ability to act quickly on new opportunities.
Also, watch the cost side. Inflation and construction costs, particularly due to tariffs, remain a persistent operational risk, especially as Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. continues with its development and redevelopment projects. The company is mitigating this by using forward pricing and conservative contingencies in its project budgets.
- Same-Store NOI growth is slowing: Q3 2025 growth was 0.6%, down from 4.1% in Q3 2024.
- Full-year 2025 FFO guidance is strong, projected at $1.36 to $1.41 per share, but growth needs to be sustained.
- Legacy liabilities in the Land Operations segment, while management believes they are fully reserved, still represent a potential drag.
Operational and Regulatory Challenges
Internally, the challenge is maintaining that high occupancy and managing tenant turnover. Same-store Net Operating Income (NOI) growth could be negatively impacted by tenant move-outs or an unexpected rise in bad debt expense. While the company's retail occupancy is strong at 95.5% as of Q3 2025, any significant economic downturn in Hawaii would pressure these numbers.
The company also faces specific regulatory and land use risks inherent to operating in Hawaii. The land development process is subject to strict zoning and environmental regulations, which can significantly impact the timing and cost of new projects. For investors, this means development timelines can be longer and more unpredictable than in mainland markets. You should review the company's long-term strategy, which is detailed here: Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. (ALEX).
Here's a quick snapshot of the financial context for these risks:
| Metric | Q3 2025 Value | Full-Year 2025 Guidance (Midpoint) |
|---|---|---|
| Net Income (Diluted EPS) | $0.20 per share | $0.98 per share |
| Total FFO per Share | $0.29 per share | $1.385 per share |
| Same-Store NOI Growth (YOY) | 0.6% | 3.6% |
The takeaway: Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. is executing well, raising its full-year guidance for the third consecutive quarter, but the single-market concentration and rising competition are the two most important risks to monitor.
Growth Opportunities
You're looking for a clear path forward for Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. (ALEX), and the takeaway is simple: their growth story is defintely a niche play, but it's a high-conviction one. The company is leveraging its unique position as the only publicly-traded real estate investment trust (REIT)-a company that owns and often operates income-producing real estate-focused exclusively on Hawaii. This dominance, coupled with strategic industrial development and an active acquisition hunt, underpins their raised 2025 earnings guidance.
The Power of Hawaii-Focused Competitive Advantage
Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. (ALEX) holds a significant competitive advantage because of its exclusive focus on the Hawaiian market and its specialization in necessity-based retail. They are the state's largest owner of grocery-anchored, neighborhood shopping centers, which provides a stable, resilient revenue stream regardless of broader economic fluctuations. This focus is a major asset in a market with extremely limited land availability, which naturally drives up property values and rental rates.
The operational discipline is clear in the numbers. As of September 30, 2025, total leased occupancy stood at a strong 95.6%, a 160 basis point improvement from the prior year. This high occupancy rate allows them to maintain pricing power. For the full 2025 fiscal year, the company projects Commercial Real Estate (CRE) Same-Store Net Operating Income (NOI)-the profit generated by properties owned for the entire period-growth to be between 3.4% to 3.8%. They own the market, so they control the pricing.
- Maintain high occupancy: 95.6% leased as of Q3 2025.
- Focus on necessity retail: Grocery-anchored centers ensure stable cash flow.
- Benefit from limited supply: Hawaii's unique geography restricts new competition.
Strategic Development and External Expansion
The near-term growth drivers aren't just about maximizing existing assets; they're about smart, targeted expansion. Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. (ALEX) is actively pursuing external growth through strategic acquisitions in Hawaii's investment market, aiming to leverage its solid financial foundation-Net Debt to Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA was a manageable 3.5 times as of Q3 2025.
Plus, they are executing on a clear product innovation strategy, shifting to meet the rising demand for logistics and industrial space. This includes significant redevelopment and build-to-suit activity, which is expected to add over 150,000 square feet of Gross Leasable Area (GLA) by 2027, translating to an anticipated stabilized NOI of $3.8 million. For example, securing a pre-lease for a new industrial building at Komohana Industrial Park shows they are capitalizing on the e-commerce logistics trend. This is how you manufacture growth in a supply-constrained market.
You can see the long-term thinking in their foundational principles, which are crucial for any investor to understand: Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. (ALEX).
2025 Financial Outlook and Earnings Estimates
Following strong performance through the third quarter, Alexander & Baldwin, Inc. (ALEX) raised its full-year 2025 guidance, signaling confidence in their operational execution. The core measure for a REIT is Funds From Operations (FFO), which essentially translates net income to cash flow by adding back non-cash items like depreciation. The raised guidance gives us a clear target for the end of the fiscal year.
Here's the quick math on what management expects for 2025:
| Metric | Full-Year 2025 Guidance (Raised) |
|---|---|
| Net Income per Diluted Share | $0.95 to $1.00 |
| FFO per Diluted Share | $1.36 to $1.41 |
| CRE and Corporate FFO per Diluted Share | $1.13 to $1.17 |
| Same-Store NOI Growth | 3.4% to 3.8% |
What this estimate hides is the potential impact of rising redevelopment costs and increased competition from mainland capital, which management noted could intensify. Still, the raised FFO guidance of up to $1.41 per diluted share shows management believes their internal leasing strength and development pipeline will more than offset those headwinds.

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