AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) Bundle
You're watching AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) because the defense sector is hot, but you're defintely wondering if the stock price reflects reality or just hype. Honestly, the financials from the 2025 fiscal year tell a story of incredible operational momentum mixed with a serious valuation challenge. The company hit a record GAAP revenue of $821 million, a solid 14% jump, and secured a massive $726 million funded backlog, which shot up 82% from the prior year. That demand is real, driven by their battle-proven Loitering Munitions Systems. But here's the quick math: with the stock trading at a 60.5% premium to its discounted cash flow (DCF) intrinsic value of $184.09 per share, and a Forward P/E of 80.17 against an industry average of 34.45, you have to ask if all that future growth is already priced in. Operational strength is one thing; justifying a premium that high is another. We need to map the near-term risks to see if this is a buy-the-dip opportunity or a classic case of growth-trap overvaluation.
Revenue Analysis
You need to know where AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) is making its money, and the short answer is that the company is transitioning from a steady drone supplier to a high-growth loitering munition powerhouse. For fiscal year 2025 (FY 2025), AeroVironment, Inc. reported a record total revenue of $820.6 million, marking a solid 14% increase over the prior year. This growth is defintely not uniform across the board, so you have to look at the segments to understand the true momentum.
The primary revenue source remains the sale of products-integrated hardware and software platforms-rather than services alone. The shift is clear: while Uncrewed Systems (UxS) still provides the largest chunk of volume, the Loitering Munitions Systems (LMS) segment is the explosive growth engine, driven by global demand for battle-proven, tactical solutions like the Switchblade.
Breakdown of Primary Revenue Streams
AeroVironment, Inc.'s revenue streams are segmented into three main areas, plus a significant international component. This is not just a US defense contractor; international sales accounted for 52% of the total revenue in FY 2025, showing broad multi-national adoption. Loitering Munitions Systems (LMS) is the segment you need to watch most closely, as its performance signals the company's future trajectory.
Here's the quick math on the segment contributions for FY 2025, based on the record $820.6 million in total revenue:
- Uncrewed Systems (UxS): Approximately $382.0 million, making it the largest segment by volume, fueled by platforms like the Puma and Raven small Uncrewed Aircraft Systems (UAS).
- Loitering Munitions Systems (LMS): The key growth driver, seeing a massive 87% year-over-year revenue increase in the fourth quarter alone. This segment focuses on precision strike systems like the Switchblade.
- MacCready Works (MW): This segment, which handles advanced research and development (R&D) and specialized projects, also saw strong Q4 growth of 24%.
Year-over-Year Revenue Growth and Segment Shifts
The 14% annual revenue growth to $820.6 million is a solid number, but the real story is the acceleration within the segments. This is a classic example of a legacy business (UxS) providing stability while a newer, high-demand product line (LMS) drives the overall growth rate higher. The Q4 numbers illustrate this perfectly:
| Business Segment | Q4 FY 2025 Revenue Increase (YoY) | Primary Products |
|---|---|---|
| Loitering Munitions Systems (LMS) | 87% | Switchblade, tactical missile systems |
| MacCready Works (MW) | 24% | Advanced R&D and specialized systems |
| Uncrewed Systems (UxS) | 9% | Puma, Raven, JUMP 20 UAS platforms |
What this breakdown hides is the sheer scale of the bookings. AeroVironment, Inc. secured $1.2 billion in total bookings in FY 2025, pushing the funded backlog to a record $726 million, an 82% jump from FY 2024. That backlog is your visibility into future revenue, and it looks strong.
Near-Term Revenue Opportunity: The BlueHalo Acquisition
The biggest change to the revenue structure is yet to be fully reflected in the FY 2025 numbers: the transformational acquisition of BlueHalo, which closed in May 2025, marking the start of FY 2026. This acquisition immediately diversifies AeroVironment, Inc. into higher-growth areas like space, cyber, and directed energy. The combined entity's revenue guidance for FY 2026 is projected to be between $1.9 billion and $2 billion. That's nearly a doubling of the business, so you need to evaluate the company based on this new, much larger scale. The company is now an all-domain defense technology player. You can find a deeper dive into this shift in the full post: Breaking Down AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
The transition from a UAS specialist to a broad defense-tech prime is a critical factor for any valuation model you run.
Profitability Metrics
You need to know if AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) is turning its record sales into solid profits, and the short answer is yes, but the margins tell a more complex story about operational efficiency. For fiscal year 2025 (FY2025), the company delivered a GAAP net income of $43.6 million on $820.6 million in revenue, which is a solid step up from recent years.
Here's the quick math on the core profitability ratios for FY2025, which ended April 30, 2025:
- Gross Profit Margin: 38.87%
- Operating Profit Margin: 4.99%
- Net Profit Margin: 5.31%
That 38.87% gross profit margin is a great sign. It shows the company is highly efficient at managing the direct costs of producing its unmanned aerial systems and loitering munitions (Cost of Goods Sold, or COGS). But notice the sharp drop-off to the operating and net margins; that's where the real story lies.
Operational Efficiency and Cost Management
The gap between the gross margin and the operating margin is where all the selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses and research & development (R&D) costs live. The operating profit margin of 4.99% is relatively thin for a defense-tech company. This is why you see the company's non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) at a much healthier $146.4 million for FY2025.
To be fair, the company is investing heavily, and that hits the bottom line. The operating income of $41 million for FY2025 was impacted by non-cash charges like a goodwill impairment of $18.4 million related to the Uncrewed Ground Vehicle (UGV) business in the fourth quarter, plus an increase in SG&A, partly due to acquisition-related expenses for the BlueHalo deal. They are definitely managing costs in some areas, like a decrease in R&D expense in Q4, but the strategic, one-time costs are significant. You can't ignore those costs, but you can see them as part of a larger growth strategy.
Profitability Trends and Industry Comparison
AeroVironment, Inc.'s profitability has been volatile, but the trend is positive, moving away from past losses. The net profit margin of 5.31% in FY2025 is lower than the 8.37% recorded in FY2024, but it's a huge recovery from the net loss in FY2023. [cite: 7 in step 1]
When you compare AeroVironment, Inc. to the broader Aerospace & Defense industry, the picture is mixed, which points to its niche as a high-growth, mid-cap defense-tech player versus the established primes. You should be looking at the margins this way:
| Profitability Ratio | AeroVironment, Inc. (FY2025) | Industry Average (Aerospace & Defense) | Takeaway |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 38.87% | 28.8% [cite: 6 in step 2] | Superior product pricing and COGS management. |
| Operating Profit Margin | 4.99% | ~10.5% (Defense Primes) [cite: 8 in step 3] | Lower due to high R&D and acquisition-related SG&A spend. |
| Net Profit Margin | 5.31% | 5.7% [cite: 6 in step 2] | In line with the industry, despite higher operating expenses. |
The company's gross margin is significantly better than the industry average, which means its core products-like the Loitering Munitions Systems (LMS) that saw an 87% revenue increase in Q4 FY2025-have strong pricing power. The lower operating margin simply highlights that AeroVironment, Inc. is in a heavy investment phase, spending to capture the massive demand for unmanned systems and integrate acquisitions like BlueHalo. For a deeper look at who is betting on this strategy, check out Exploring AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Your action here is to watch the FY2026 guidance, which projects revenue between $1.9 billion and $2.0 billion. This massive jump will test whether the company can scale its operations without letting the operating expenses grow faster than the gross profit. If they can hold the gross margin near 38% on a much larger revenue base, the operating margin will defintely expand.
Debt vs. Equity Structure
You're looking at AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) and trying to figure out how they pay for their aggressive growth, especially after a major acquisition. The short answer is: they are still very conservative on leverage, but their financing mix saw a dramatic, strategic shift right after the 2025 fiscal year ended.
For the fiscal year ending April 30, 2025, AeroVironment, Inc. maintained a very low debt profile. Their long-term debt, net of the current portion, stood at just $30.0 million. This is a tiny figure compared to their total stockholders' equity of approximately $886.5 million. This capital structure is typical for a growth-focused defense-tech firm that prioritizes financial flexibility over aggressive debt-fueled expansion.
Here's the quick math on their leverage as of the end of FY2025:
- Debt-to-Equity Ratio: The ratio was exceptionally low at about 0.07.
- Industry Comparison: This compares very favorably to the Aerospace & Defense industry average, which currently sits around 0.35.
Honestly, a 0.07 Debt-to-Equity ratio means the company is relying almost entirely on shareholder capital and retained earnings, not borrowing. That's a sign of a strong, unleveraged balance sheet, which is defintely a plus in a high-growth environment.
The Post-Acquisition Financing Shift
The picture changed immediately after the fiscal year closed, driven by the transformational acquisition of BlueHalo. To finance this deal, AeroVironment, Inc. temporarily took on a term loan and revolving credit facility, but they quickly replaced this short-term bridge financing with a strategic mix of long-term debt and equity.
In July 2025, the company executed a dual-pronged capital raise. They priced an upsized offering of common stock (equity) alongside an upsized offering of $650 million aggregate principal amount of 0% convertible senior notes due 2030 (debt). The total net proceeds from this combined offering were expected to be approximately $1.47 billion. This is a smart move because it uses non-dilutive debt (the convertible notes) with a 0% coupon, meaning no cash interest payments, plus new equity.
This financing activity resulted in a new balance sheet composition. The long-term debt jumped significantly to approximately $726 million by July 2025, and the total equity also increased substantially due to the stock offering. This instantly shifted the Debt-to-Equity ratio to around 0.19 or 0.27x in the period immediately following the transaction.
The new Debt-to-Equity ratio, even after absorbing a major acquisition, remains well below the industry benchmark of 0.35. They balanced the need for capital with a commitment to a conservative leverage profile, using a mix of funding sources to power their new Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV).
What this estimate hides is the true cost of the convertible notes; while the coupon is 0%, the conversion feature means future dilution risk if the stock price rises above the conversion price. Still, the new structure provides a solid foundation for their projected fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance of $1.9 billion to $2 billion.
Here is a snapshot of the change:
| Metric | FY 2025 (April 30, 2025) | Post-Financing (July/Aug 2025) |
|---|---|---|
| Long-Term Debt | $30.0 million | ~$726 million |
| Total Equity | ~$886.5 million | ~$4.43 billion |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 0.07 | ~0.19 - 0.27 |
| Industry Average D/E | N/A | 0.35 |
Next step: Check the conversion premium on those 0% notes to quantify the potential dilution risk for your portfolio model.
Liquidity and Solvency
When you look at AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV)'s balance sheet, the immediate takeaway is a rock-solid liquidity position, especially as of the end of fiscal year (FY) 2025 (April 30, 2025). This company is defintely not struggling to meet its near-term obligations.
The core of this strength is visible in the liquidity ratios. AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV)'s current ratio-which measures current assets against current liabilities-stands at a very healthy 5.96 (Trailing Twelve Months, or TTM, as of November 2025). A ratio this high, well above the typical 1.5 to 2.0 benchmark for comfort, signals a massive cushion. Even more telling is the quick ratio (or acid-test ratio), which strips out less-liquid inventory, sitting at 5.12. This means the company could cover its short-term debts over five times using only its most liquid assets like cash and receivables. That's a strong indicator of financial flexibility.
Working Capital and Near-Term Strength
The sheer size of these ratios points to a significant working capital surplus. While high ratios can sometimes indicate inefficient asset use, in a defense contractor environment, this level of liquidity is a major strength, especially given the long-cycle nature of government contracts and the need to fund large projects before payment is received. The company itself anticipates 'favorable improvements' to working capital balances in early FY 2026, which suggests management is actively optimizing this area following a period of high investment.
- Current Ratio: 5.96 (TTM Nov 2025)
- Quick Ratio: 5.12 (TTM Nov 2025)
- Fiscal Year 2025 Revenue: $820.6 million
- Fiscal Year 2025 Bookings: $1.2 billion
Cash Flow Statement Overview
To understand where this liquidity comes from, you have to look at the cash flow statement. For the full fiscal year ended April 30, 2025, the trends are clear, showing a business in a growth and acquisition phase:
| Cash Flow Activity (FY Ended April 30, 2025) | Amount (in thousands) | Trend Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Net Cash (Used in) Provided by Operating Activities | (30,660) | Negative cash flow from operations, often tied to working capital changes like inventory build-up or receivables growth to support the $820.6 million in revenue. |
| Net Cash (Used in) Investing Activities | (40,848) | Outflow driven by capital expenditures, reflecting investment back into the business's long-term growth. |
| Net Cash (Used in) Provided by Financing Activities | (2,856) | A small net outflow, primarily due to debt principal payments, indicating a focus on reducing leverage rather than taking on new debt in FY 2025. |
Here's the quick math: The company had a net cash decrease of $32.4 million for the year, which is the sum of the operating, investing, and financing cash flows. The negative operating cash flow of ($30.7 million) is a key point to monitor; it suggests that while the company is profitable (Net Income of $43.6 million), the conversion of that profit to cash was strained by working capital demands in FY 2025. This is a common situation for high-growth firms with significant sales and a record $1.2 billion in new bookings. Exploring AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Liquidity Concerns and Strengths
The primary strength is the huge liquidity buffer, as shown by the 5.96 current ratio. The company is not at risk of defaulting on short-term debt. The main potential concern is the negative operating cash flow for FY 2025. This isn't a crisis, but it means the company is currently funding its growth and working capital needs from its existing cash reserves or through non-operating means. Given the massive $4.1 billion enterprise value acquisition of BlueHalo that closed right after the fiscal year end (May 1, 2025), the liquidity picture is about to shift dramatically due to the associated debt and equity actions in FY 2026. This is a growth-driven cash flow dynamic, not a sign of financial distress.
Valuation Analysis
You're looking at AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) and trying to figure out if the market has gotten ahead of itself, or if this defense technology stock still has room to run. The short answer is that, based on near-term profitability metrics, the stock looks expensive, but that's common for a high-growth defense innovator.
The core of the valuation story is a disconnect between trailing twelve-month (TTM) earnings and forward-looking growth expectations. The stock is a Moderate Buy to Strong Buy consensus among analysts, with an average 12-month price target of around $356.07. That implies a decent upside from the recent price of approximately $291.21 as of mid-November 2025.
Is AeroVironment, Inc. Overvalued or Undervalued?
The valuation picture is complex because of a negative Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio on a GAAP basis. When a company's TTM Earnings Per Share (EPS) is negative, as AeroVironment's was at $-0.64 as of July 2025, the P/E ratio is effectively 'At Loss'. This means traditional P/E is not a useful gauge right now. For context, the P/E for the full fiscal year 2025 (ending April 30, 2025) was a high 88.78.
Here's a quick look at the key valuation multiples, using the latest available TTM data up to November 2025:
| Valuation Metric | AeroVironment (AVAV) Value (Nov 2025) | Context/Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Price-to-Earnings (P/E) | At Loss (TTM GAAP) | Traditional P/E is unusable due to negative EPS. |
| Price-to-Book (P/B) | 3.28 | Suggests the stock trades at over 3x book value, common for a tech-focused company with intangible assets. |
| Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) | ~222.83x (TTM) | Extremely high, especially compared to the Aerospace & Defense industry median of ~22.375x. This signals a premium for expected growth and a high market capitalization relative to near-term operating profit. |
The EV/EBITDA multiple is the clearest sign of a rich valuation. An EV/EBITDA of over 200x tells you investors are pricing in massive future growth and margin expansion, far beyond what the current TTM earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) can justify. This is a bet on the company's record fiscal year 2025 revenue of $820.6 million and its $1.2 billion in new bookings translating into significantly higher profits in fiscal year 2026 and beyond.
Stock Momentum and Dividend Policy
The market has already rewarded this growth outlook. Over the last 12 months, AeroVironment, Inc.'s stock price has increased by approximately 39.51%. The 52-week trading range of $102.25 to $417.86 shows significant volatility, but the long-term trend is clearly up. A stock that has nearly quadrupled its price from five years ago is defintely not an undiscovered secret.
- Stock Price: Increased 39.51% over the last 12 months.
- 52-Week Range: $102.25 to $417.86.
- Dividend Yield: 0.00%; the company does not pay a dividend.
Since the company is in a high-growth, high-capital expenditure phase, it retains all earnings, which is why the dividend yield and payout ratio are both 0.00%. You shouldn't expect any income from this stock; it's purely a capital appreciation play. The analyst consensus is bullish, with a Strong Buy rating from 12 analysts, and a Moderate Buy from 20 analysts, but the high multiples mean there is little room for error in execution.
To be fair, the market is paying for the future of unmanned systems and loitering munitions, not the past. But still, that EV/EBITDA multiple is a flashing yellow light-it demands perfection. For a deeper look at who is driving this valuation, check out Exploring AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Next Step: Portfolio Manager: Stress-test the consensus price target of $356.07 against a 10% miss in FY2026 revenue to gauge downside risk by end of week.
Risk Factors
You're looking at AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) because its unmanned systems and loitering munitions are clearly in high demand, but you need to see the potholes ahead. The biggest risk is simple: AVAV's financial health is tied directly to government spending, and that's never a straight line. For fiscal year 2025, about 35% of their revenue came from the U.S. government, particularly the Department of Defense (DoD). That's a huge concentration risk.
Any delay in contract awards, budget cuts, or even a new initiative like the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) reviewing Pentagon spending can instantly translate into a revenue slowdown. We saw a hint of this with a U.S. Army stop-work order that affected about $13 million in backlog during Q3 FY2025. That's the reality of the defense sector: one customer, one change of priority, and your forecast shifts. That's why you have to track the budget cycle defintely.
Beyond the domestic dependency, the company's international exposure is significant, accounting for roughly 52% of FY2025 revenue. This is a double-edged sword. It's great for growth, but it exposes the company to foreign currency exchange fluctuations and the unpredictable regulatory and economic conditions of foreign markets. Plus, the integration of new acquisitions, like BlueHalo, introduces execution risk. The company expects the amortization of acquired intangibles from the BlueHalo deal to be a significant non-cash expense in FY2026, which will impact GAAP earnings.
Here's a quick breakdown of the core risks you should focus on, based on the FY2025 filings:
- Concentrated Customer Base: Heavy reliance on DoD funding.
- Technological Obsolescence: Operating in a rapidly evolving market requires continuous R&D investment to avoid products becoming obsolete.
- Acquisition Integration: Successfully merging BlueHalo's operations and culture.
- Segment Weakness: Operational issues in the Uncrewed Ground Vehicle (UGV) unit led to a non-cash goodwill impairment charge of $18.4 million in Q4 FY2025.
The good news is that AVAV is taking clear actions to mitigate some of this. They hit a record $1.2 billion in total bookings in FY2025, which provides a strong cushion against near-term contract volatility. They are also expanding their manufacturing capacity with a new Utah facility, which will more than double their Switchblade loitering munition capacity. This is a smart move to address supply chain risk and meet the rising global demand for their products. You can dive deeper into who is underwriting this growth by Exploring AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
To be fair, the company's full-year FY2025 revenue was a record $820.6 million, up 14% year-over-year, and non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA was a record $146.4 million. They are executing well on current contracts. Still, the underlying risks of government dependence and the operational challenge of integrating a major acquisition remain the top two items on my watchlist for the next 18 months.
Next step: Portfolio Manager: Model the impact of a 10% DoD budget cut on AVAV's FY2026 revenue by the end of the week.
Growth Opportunities
You're looking at AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) and wondering if the recent surge is sustainable, and honestly, the numbers point to a strong runway ahead. The company closed fiscal year 2025 (FY2025) with record revenue of $820.6 million, a 14% jump year-over-year, and a funded backlog that nearly doubled to $726.6 million. That massive backlog gives us excellent visibility into future revenue, which is a defintely good sign.
The core of this growth isn't just one product, but a deliberate expansion of their portfolio into integrated defense solutions, especially following the transformational acquisition of BlueHalo. This move immediately broadened their capabilities beyond Uncrewed Systems (UxS) and Loitering Munitions Systems (LMS) into the high-priority areas of space, cyber, and directed energy.
Key Growth Drivers: Munitions and Multi-Domain Tech
The biggest near-term driver is the demand for their Loitering Munitions Systems, particularly the Switchblade series. This segment's revenue soared 87% in the fourth quarter of FY2025 alone. Here's the quick math on what's fueling this:
- Switchblade Dominance: The Switchblade 600 platform now accounts for 80% of their LMS revenue, securing nearly $250 million in orders from eight different countries in FY2025.
- International Expansion: International revenue made up 52% of total FY2025 revenue, showing their battle-proven solutions are gaining traction globally.
- Product Innovation: AeroVironment launched three new products in FY2025, backed by a significant investment of $100.7 million in Research and Development (R&D).
The defense market is shifting toward automated, low-cost precision systems, and AeroVironment is positioned right at the center of that trend.
Future Revenue Projections and Earnings Estimates
Management's guidance for the next fiscal year, FY2026, reflects this accelerated scale and integration. We're talking about a significant leap, not just incremental growth. What this estimate hides is the full impact of the BlueHalo integration and the ramp-up of major programs.
Here is the company's forward-looking guidance, issued in June 2025, which gives you clear targets to measure against:
| Metric | Fiscal Year 2026 Guidance | FY2025 Actual (for comparison) |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.9 billion to $2.0 billion | $820.6 million |
| Adjusted EBITDA | $300 million to $320 million | $146.4 million |
| Adjusted EPS | $2.80 to $3.00 | N/A (FY2025 Non-GAAP EPS was $3.18 to $3.49 estimate) |
This is a forecast for more than double the revenue, which is why the market has been so optimistic. They already have 70% revenue visibility to the midpoint of that FY2026 guidance, thanks to the strong backlog. That's a huge de-risker for investors.
Strategic Partnerships and Competitive Edge
AeroVironment isn't just relying on organic growth; they are locking in strategic alliances that will define their competitive position for the next decade. These partnerships are critical for moving beyond being a component supplier to becoming a prime integrator of defense technology.
Key strategic moves in 2025 include:
- SNC Alliance: A major partnership announced in August 2025 with SNC to develop integrated air and missile defense capabilities for the Golden Dome for America campaign. This aims to create multilayer defense systems for high-value sites like military bases.
- U.S. Army Contract: A significant win in October 2025, securing a $95.9 million contract to deliver the FE-1 for the U.S. Army's Long-Range Kinetic Interceptor (LRKI) program.
- European Footprint: A $46.6 million agreement with Italy in April 2025 for Jump 20 fixed-wing Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) and a partnership with UAS Denmark to expand their operational presence in Europe.
Their competitive advantage is moving from being the leader in small drones to being a multi-domain defense technology provider. The BlueHalo acquisition gives them the capabilities-like directed energy and cyber-to deliver integrated solutions across air, land, sea, space, and cyber, which is what modern warfare demands. For a deeper dive into the company's financial structure, check out Breaking Down AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.

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