The Boeing Company (BA) Bundle
You're looking at The Boeing Company (BA) and seeing a classic high-stakes puzzle: massive long-term demand clashing with near-term operational risks. Honestly, Q3 2025 results show this tension perfectly; the company posted a whopping $23.3 billion in revenue, a sign of strong commercial delivery volume, but that was overshadowed by a core loss per share of ($7.47). The major culprit was a $4.9 billion pre-tax charge tied to the updated certification timing of the critical 777X program. Still, the underlying cash picture is showing a pulse, with operating cash flow hitting $1.1 billion in the quarter, and they even generated positive free cash flow of $0.2 billion for the first time in nearly two years. The real story, though, is the sheer scale of future work-a total company backlog that swelled to a staggering $636 billion, which is the ultimate long-term support. The question isn't about demand; it's about execution and how quickly they can convert that backlog into profitable cash flow while navigating the $53.4 billion in debt they still carry. That's the tightrope walk we need to break down.
Revenue Analysis
You need to know where The Boeing Company (BA) is actually making its money, and the story for 2025 is a sharp pivot back to its core business: commercial aircraft. The trailing twelve months (TTM) ending September 30, 2025, show total revenue hitting an impressive $80.76 billion, a 10.18% year-over-year increase, signaling a clear operational recovery.
The primary revenue streams for The Boeing Company (BA) are split across three major segments, but the composition is shifting. The Commercial Airplanes segment is the heavy lifter, finally pulling its weight again after years of issues. Here's the quick math on the TTM contribution to that $80.76 billion total:
- Commercial Airplanes: $34.88 billion (about 43.2% of total revenue).
- Defense, Space & Security: $25.23 billion (about 31.2% of total revenue).
- Global Services: $20.83 billion (about 25.8% of total revenue).
The Commercial Airplanes segment is defintely the growth engine right now. In the second quarter of 2025 alone, Commercial Airplanes revenue surged by a massive 81% year-on-year, generating $10.9 billion. This jump wasn't magic; it was driven by a significant increase in aircraft deliveries, hitting 150 commercial airplanes in Q2, up from 92 in the prior year. Production stability on the 737 program, now at 38 aircraft per month, is the key driver here.
While the Commercial side is volatile, the other two segments provide critical stability and high-margin income. Global Services, which covers maintenance, parts, and training, is a consistent performer. The segment saw a 10% year-over-year revenue increase in Q3 2025, reaching $5.4 billion, and boasts the highest operating margin of all segments at 19.9% in Q2 2025. Defense, Space & Security also showed strength, with Q3 2025 revenue rising 25% to $6.9 billion, supported by a robust backlog of $76 billion.
The significant change is the Commercial Airplanes segment's return to dominance, but the near-term risk remains execution. If you want to dive deeper into the operational challenges and valuation, you can check out the full analysis here: Breaking Down The Boeing Company (BA) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
| Segment | TTM Revenue (Sep 30, 2025) | % of Total TTM Revenue | Q2 2025 YoY Revenue Growth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Commercial Airplanes | $34.88 Billion | 43.2% | +81% |
| Defense, Space & Security | $25.23 Billion | 31.2% | +10% (Q2) / +25% (Q3) |
| Global Services | $20.83 Billion | 25.8% | +8% (Q2) / +10% (Q3) |
Profitability Metrics
You're looking at The Boeing Company (BA) right now and the headline numbers on profitability are tough to stomach, so let's be real about what the 2025 fiscal year data is telling us. Simply put, The Boeing Company is not profitable right now, and the margins are starkly negative, driven by a massive, one-off program charge.
The core issue is program execution, which is hitting the top of the income statement. For the third quarter of 2025 (Q3 2025), The Boeing Company reported a negative gross profit margin of -10.21% on $23.3 billion in revenue. Here's the quick math: a negative gross margin means the direct cost of building the airplanes and defense systems-the Cost of Goods Sold-was actually higher than the revenue generated from selling them. That's a serious operational red flag.
The immediate pain point is the $4.9 billion pre-tax earnings charge taken in Q3 2025 related to the delayed 777X program. This charge is what drove the massive quarterly GAAP net loss per share of ($7.14). This kind of charge is a classic example of how long-cycle aerospace manufacturing can create extreme volatility in profitability.
Margin Comparison: The Boeing Company vs. Industry Peers
When you stack The Boeing Company's current performance against its peers, the operational struggles become even clearer. The Aerospace & Defense industry, as a whole, is a high-margin business, even with its own supply chain issues. You can see the difference when you look at the trailing twelve months (TTM) data for the sector.
| Profitability Metric (TTM/Q3 2025) | The Boeing Company (BA) | Aerospace & Defense Industry Average | Peer Example (RTX Corporation) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | -0.2% (LTM Oct 2025) | 28.8% | N/A |
| Operating Margin | Consistently Negative | N/A | 7.67% (Nov 2025) |
| Net Profit Margin | Significantly Negative (Implied by -$7.14 EPS) | 5.7% | 7.7% (Oct 2025) |
The industry average gross margin sits around 28.8%, and even a major defense-heavy peer like RTX Corporation is posting a healthy TTM operating margin of 7.67%. The Boeing Company's LTM gross margin of -0.2% tells you the company is essentially selling its products for what it costs to make them, before even paying for R&D, sales, or administration. That's not a business; it's a turnaround project. You can defintely see the difference between a company focused on production stability and one still dealing with legacy program fallout.
Operational Efficiency and Margin Trends
The trend in The Boeing Company's profitability is one of extreme volatility, not a smooth recovery. While the company has shown signs of stabilizing the 737 production line, the gross margin is still subject to massive swings caused by program accounting adjustments. The fact that the gross margin peaked around 11.9% in 2023 but then hit a low of -10.21% in Q3 2025 underscores a lack of consistent cost management and operational control.
The good news is that the backlog is huge-over $636 billion-which means demand is not the problem. The opportunity here is purely operational: if The Boeing Company can move past these one-time charges, stabilize production, and start benefiting from the scale of its massive order book, those margins have a lot of room to run. The entire investment thesis hinges on the company's ability to translate that backlog into a consistent, positive gross margin, and eventually, a positive operating margin.
For a deeper look at the institutional players betting on this turnaround, check out Exploring The Boeing Company (BA) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Next Step: Finance should model a scenario where The Boeing Company achieves a 15% gross margin by the end of 2026, mapping the required reduction in Cost of Goods Sold per unit to hit that target.
Debt vs. Equity Structure
The Boeing Company (BA) relies heavily on debt to finance its operations, a situation compounded by a deeply negative shareholder equity position. The debt-to-equity (D/E) ratio is a crucial metric here, and for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, Boeing's D/E ratio stood at an alarming -6.47.
This negative ratio is a clear signal of financial stress, indicating that the company's total liabilities exceed its total assets, resulting in negative stockholders' equity. For context, the average D/E ratio for the broader Aerospace & Defense industry is a modest 0.35, meaning Boeing is an extreme outlier in its capital structure. Honestly, that negative equity is a massive red flag for any seasoned investor.
Here's the quick math on the debt load as of Q3 2025:
- Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation: $44.611 billion
- Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation: $8.742 billion
- Total Debt: Approximately $53.353 billion
The company's financing strategy over the last year has been a deliberate, albeit forced, balance between debt and equity to manage liquidity and looming maturities. In late 2024, The Boeing Company issued $24.3 billion in equity and equity-linked securities. This substantial equity injection was a strategic move to mitigate expected cash flow deficits through 2025 and cover a $4 billion debt maturity due in April 2025, avoiding the need for incremental debt financing. This shows management is willing to dilute shareholders to de-risk the balance sheet.
In terms of credit quality, the major rating agencies have different views on the near-term path. S&P Global Ratings affirmed the company's 'BBB-' issuer credit rating in October 2025, revising the outlook to stable from negative, on the expectation that production improvements will lead to better cash flow next year. Separately, Moody's Ratings has a 'Baa3' rating with a negative outlook, anticipating that the company will need to issue new debt to cover a shortfall in free cash flow relative to the $8 billion of debt coming due in 2026.
What this estimate hides is the impact of asset sales on the balance. The company is actively deleveraging, with the expected sale of its aviation software business for $10 billion anticipated to close in late 2025, which will provide a significant cash boost to pay down debt and improve the financial structure. For a deeper dive into the operational challenges driving these financial decisions, be sure to read the full post: Breaking Down The Boeing Company (BA) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
Liquidity and Solvency
The Boeing Company (BA) is showing a critical tension in its financial health: a recent, hard-won return to positive operational cash flow is battling a massive, entrenched debt load. Your immediate takeaway should be that while the company has adequate short-term liquidity, its long-term solvency (the ability to pay long-term debts) is under severe pressure, evidenced by a key debt covenant breach and a distressed financial health score.
You're looking at a company with a massive order backlog, but one that is still burning cash overall for the full year 2025. This is a classic case where near-term operational execution is the only thing that can fix the structural balance sheet issues. If you're an investor, you need to watch cash flow like a hawk.
Liquidity Ratios: A Tight Squeeze
The company's short-term liquidity position is technically adequate, but it's far from comfortable. The Current Ratio (current assets divided by current liabilities) for The Boeing Company (BA) as of September 2025 is approximately 1.18. This means the company has $1.18 in short-term assets for every $1.00 in short-term debt, which is generally acceptable but low for a manufacturing giant. The Quick Ratio (or acid-test ratio), which strips out inventory-a less liquid asset-is a much tighter 0.34 in the third quarter of 2025. Here's the quick math: since a large portion of Boeing's current assets are work-in-progress inventory (like partially built planes), only 34 cents of truly liquid assets are available to cover every dollar of immediate liability. That's a low buffer, defintely indicating reliance on continuous production and customer advances.
Working Capital and Cash Flow Trends
Working capital (current assets minus current liabilities) is a key indicator of operational efficiency in a business like this. The Net Working Capital is expected to decline to about $19.9 billion as of September 2025. The projected change in working capital for the year is a negative ($8.3 billion). This decline suggests that current liabilities are growing faster than current assets, or that the company is converting inventory to cash more slowly than it is taking on new short-term obligations-a sign of operational strain. Still, the cash flow statements show a recent, positive shift.
The company reported Net Cash From Operating Activities of $1.123 billion in Q3 2025, a significant milestone after a long period of negative cash flow. However, the full-year picture is still challenging. The Boeing Company anticipates a Free Cash Flow (FCF) utilization-meaning cash burn-of approximately $2.5 billion for the full fiscal year 2025. This is a crucial distinction: while the operational engine is starting to turn positive, the overall business still uses cash to fund capital expenditures (CapEx) and other needs. This is why you must look beyond just the operating line.
| Metric | Value (Approx. as of Q3/FY 2025) | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.18 | Adequate, but low short-term liquidity buffer. |
| Quick Ratio | 0.34 | Low liquid asset coverage, high reliance on inventory. |
| Projected FY 2025 Free Cash Flow (FCF) | Utilization of $2.5 billion | Overall cash burn for the year, despite Q3 positive OCF. |
| Debt-to-Capital Ratio | 106.6% | Significant leverage, breach of a 60% covenant threshold. |
| Altman Z-Score | 1.27 | Distress zone, indicating potential financial instability risk. |
Near-Term Liquidity Risks and Strengths
The most immediate liquidity strength is the raw cash on hand. The Boeing Company holds approximately $26.28 billion in cash and has access to another $10 billion in undrawn credit facilities. That's a substantial liquidity buffer that buys the company time to fix its production issues. The risk, however, is structural. The total debt stands at $53.3 billion, and the Debt-to-Capital ratio is a staggering 106.6%, which violates a key 60% covenant in a recent $3 billion credit facility agreement. Plus, the Altman Z-Score, a measure of bankruptcy risk, is a distressed 1.27. What this estimate hides is the enormous value of the $600+ billion order backlog, which acts as a powerful, albeit long-term, cash flow guarantee.
The core action for the company is to execute its production ramp-up-especially the 737 MAX-to convert that backlog into cash faster than the debt matures. If production delays or supply chain bottlenecks persist, that $26.28 billion cash reserve will deplete quickly under the weight of the $53.3 billion debt load. You can dive deeper into the forces driving these numbers in Exploring The Boeing Company (BA) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Valuation Analysis
Is The Boeing Company (BA) currently overvalued or undervalued? The short answer is that traditional valuation metrics are a mess right now, so you have to look past the surface. With the stock trading around $191.81 as of mid-November 2025, the market is pricing in a massive operational turnaround, but the core financial ratios still reflect the deep, multi-year losses from the 737 MAX crisis and production issues.
When you look at the Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) data ending September 2025, the valuation ratios are mostly negative. This isn't a sign of cheapness; it's a red flag that the company is still losing money, which makes standard metrics like the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio useless. You simply can't divide a price by negative earnings.
- Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: The TTM P/E is negative (around -14.27 to -14.57) because TTM Earnings Per Share (EPS) is negative, for example, $-13.68 as of September 2025.
- Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: This ratio is also deeply negative, ranging from approximately -17.64 to -49.47. This happens because The Boeing Company has accumulated significant deficits, pushing its total shareholder equity into negative territory.
- Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA): This multiple, which accounts for debt, is also negative, sitting around -35.76 to -37.78. Here's the quick math: the TTM EBITDA is negative (around $-4,984 million as of September 2025), which is why the ratio is inverted.
The bottom line here is that The Boeing Company is a story stock right now, not a value stock. You are buying the future recovery of cash flow, not current earnings.
Stock Performance and Analyst Sentiment
Despite the negative fundamental ratios, the stock has shown significant momentum, a sign the market is forward-looking. Over the last 12 months leading up to November 2025, the stock price has climbed by approximately 40.81%, with a 52-week high of $242.69 set in July 2025. The recent price pullback from that high, down to the current range of $191.81, is likely due to continued production quality concerns and delivery delays, but the long-term trend is still up.
On the income front, the dividend situation is straightforward: The Boeing Company's common stock (BA) is not currently an income play. The TTM dividend payout is $0.00, resulting in a 0.00% dividend yield as of November 2025. They suspended the dividend years ago to conserve cash, and it's defintely not coming back until free cash flow is robust and consistent.
Analyst consensus, however, leans bullish. The average rating is a Moderate Buy or Strong Buy, with a consensus price target of approximately $230.77 to $241.05 across 23 analysts. This implies an upside of about 20% to 25% from the current price. The highest target is an aggressive $282.00, while the lowest is $140.00. This wide range tells you there's a lot of debate about the timing of the company's operational stability. For a deeper dive into the company's long-term strategy, you can review their Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of The Boeing Company (BA).
| Valuation Metric | Value (TTM/FY 2025) | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | -14.27 to -14.57 | Negative due to losses (not applicable for valuation) |
| P/B Ratio (TTM) | -17.64 to -49.47 | Negative due to negative shareholder equity |
| EV/EBITDA (TTM) | -35.76 to -37.78 | Negative due to negative EBITDA (not applicable for valuation) |
| 12-Month Stock Return | +40.81% | Strong market belief in recovery/turnaround |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% | No dividend currently paid on common stock |
| Analyst Consensus Target | $230.77 to $241.05 | Implies a Buy rating and significant upside |
What this estimate hides is the execution risk. The company needs to hit its production targets for the 737 and 787 programs without further quality control issues to justify that target price.
Next Step: Finance should model a scenario where 737 production rates are capped at 35 per month for the next 18 months to stress-test the consensus price target.
Risk Factors
You're looking at The Boeing Company (BA) and seeing a massive, $636 billion backlog, which is defintely a strong signal of future demand. But honestly, the near-term picture is still dominated by operational and financial risks that we need to map out before you make a move. The core takeaway is this: while demand is robust, execution risk remains the single biggest threat to The Boeing Company's recovery and its 2025 financial targets.
The company's financial health is under significant stress, reflected in a distressed Altman Z-Score of 1.27, which signals a potential risk of financial distress. Also, for the full 2025 fiscal year, the company projects a free cash flow (FCF) utilization-meaning a cash burn-of approximately $2.5 billion, not even factoring in the cost of potential extended production shutdowns. That's a huge number to overcome.
Operational & Program Execution Risks
The most immediate concerns are rooted in the factory floor and the supply chain. Ongoing quality control failures and production bottlenecks have created a perfect storm of operational risk. You saw the fallout from the 2024-2025 labor strikes, which analysts estimated could cost the company between $5 billion and $10 billion in combined losses. This is a direct hit to cash flow and reputation.
The Commercial Airplanes division has three major programs facing critical operational headwinds:
- 737 MAX: Production is now set to increase to 42 jets per month following a joint agreement with the FAA in October 2025, up from the previous cap of 38. The risk here is pushing the production tempo too quickly, which could repeat past quality mistakes.
- 787 Dreamliner: The company is targeting an output of 8 aircraft per month by the end of 2025. However, an FAA mandate for inspections on over 145 operational Dreamliners in March 2025, due to faulty parts, shows that quality issues are far from resolved.
- 777X: This program has faced significant delays, pushing the first delivery out to 2027. This delay resulted in a massive $4.9 billion non-cash charge in the third quarter of 2025 alone.
Financial & Regulatory Headwinds
Beyond the factory, two major external forces are applying pressure: competition and regulators. The Boeing Company faces stiff competition from Airbus, which is always ready to capitalize on any production or safety slip-up. More acutely, the high level of debt remains a concern, with a debt-to-equity ratio of -16.18 indicating a highly leveraged balance sheet.
Regulatory scrutiny from the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) is intense following the January 2024 737 MAX 9 door plug incident. This oversight is a necessary check on quality, but it also means the production ramp-up is subject to strict, unpredictable government control. Furthermore, the U.S. government has signaled it may pressure defense contractors like The Boeing Company to reduce stock buybacks and instead focus capital on R&D and improving delivery timelines.
Mitigation Strategies and Actions
The company is taking clear, concrete steps to address these risks. The CEO's focus is on operational stabilization and quality enhancement, which is the right first step.
Breaking Down The Boeing Company (BA) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors
To bolster its balance sheet and reduce its debt pile, The Boeing Company announced plans in Q1 2025 to sell portions of its digital aviation solutions business to Thoma Bravo for $10.55 billion. This sale is a direct, tangible action to improve liquidity. Also, the Defense, Space & Security segment is performing well, securing substantial contracts, including a $2.8 billion deal with the U.S. Space Force, which provides a stable revenue base to offset commercial volatility.
Growth Opportunities
You're looking at The Boeing Company (BA) and wondering if the operational recovery is translating into real, sustainable growth. The direct takeaway is this: the massive backlog and a sharp uptick in delivery rates are the primary engines, projecting a significant earnings rebound even as the company works through its financial challenges. We're seeing a clear path to growth, but it's all about execution on the factory floor.
The core growth driver is simply delivering the planes customers have already ordered. The Commercial Airplanes backlog stood at a colossal $545 billion as of the end of Q1 2025, representing over 5,600 commercial aircraft. To chip away at that, The Boeing Company is aggressively ramping up production, aiming to stabilize the 737 MAX line at an initial rate of 38 aircraft per month by year-end 2025. This production increase for both the 737 MAX and 787 Dreamliner is how they spread fixed costs and drive operating leverage, which is a fancy way of saying they get more profitable with every plane they build. In Q2 2025, commercial aircraft deliveries jumped 63% year-over-year, which is defintely a huge step.
The financial projections for this turnaround are optimistic. Analysts are forecasting a revenue growth rate of 10.9% per year, which is actually ahead of the broader US market's anticipated 10.3% annual increase. More dramatically, earnings are projected to rebound with a massive 79.5% annual growth as the company pulls itself out of recent losses. Here's the quick math on the recent performance:
| Metric | Q1 2025 Result | Q2 2025 Result |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $19.49 billion (+18% YoY) | $22.75 billion (+35% YoY) |
| Loss Per Share | $0.49 (vs. $1.13 Q1 2024) | $1.24 (vs. $2.90 Q2 2024) |
| Free Cash Flow | -$2.3 billion | -$200 million (a huge improvement) |
What this estimate hides is the execution risk; persistent program delays, especially on the 737-7 and 737-10 variants, could prolong negative program margins. Still, the trend is clear: the operational improvements are starting to show up on the income statement.
Beyond the commercial aircraft delivery ramp, The Boeing Company has a few strategic initiatives and competitive advantages that position it well. The company is one half of a global duopoly (two dominant players) in commercial jets, which is a powerful structural advantage. Plus, the Defense, Space & Security segment and the high-margin Boeing Global Services (BGS) business provide essential diversification and stability. BGS revenue is a strong profit driver, helping to prop up the bottom line while the Commercial Airplanes division recovers. The company is also investing heavily in the future, spending $2,651 million on Research & Development (R&D) in the nine months ending September 30, 2025, focusing on next-generation aircraft and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF).
Strategic moves also include market expansion, such as a focused pivot toward the burgeoning Southeast Asian market, and a long-term view on the Middle East, where the fleet is projected to more than double by 2044, requiring nearly 1,400 new widebody passenger jets. This is a long-haul play, but it shows a clear path for their larger aircraft. They're also leveraging their technology in new areas like the drones market and space exploration through partnerships with NASA.
- Delivery ramp is the immediate cash driver.
- Defense and Services segments provide profit stability.
- R&D spend of $2,651 million secures future tech leadership.
To be fair, the new CEO, Kelly Ortberg, is also actively evaluating the portfolio to streamline non-core businesses, which can raise cash and cut costs, further improving investor perception. If you want to dive deeper into the company's long-term philosophy, you can read their Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of The Boeing Company (BA).
Next Step: Finance should model a scenario where the 737 MAX production rate hits 42 per month by mid-2026 to see the full upside potential on FCF.

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