PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) Bundle
You're looking at PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) and wondering if the operational efficiency story is defintely translating to long-term value, especially with revenue growth slowing down. The headline numbers for fiscal year 2025, which closed in January, tell a classic software-as-a-service (SaaS) transition story: total revenue hit $467.5 million, up 8.5% year-over-year, which isn't the hyper-growth investors once expected. But here's the pivot you should focus on: while the GAAP net loss was still $54.5 million, the company generated a solid $108.4 million in free cash flow, sitting on a substantial cash, cash equivalents, and investments balance of $570.8 million as of January 31, 2025. That cash generation is the real signal for investors right now, showing a clear shift from growth-at-any-cost to disciplined profitability, plus they're pouring resources into their Agentic Artificial Intelligence (AI) offerings to reignite future expansion. We need to map if that cash cushion is enough to weather continued large deal deferrals and make the AI bet pay off.
Revenue Analysis
You're looking at PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) and trying to figure out if the growth story still holds up, especially as the market prioritizes profitability alongside expansion. The direct takeaway is this: PagerDuty delivered $467.5 million in total revenue for the full fiscal year 2025, a solid but decelerating growth rate of 8.5% year-over-year. That's a clear signal of market maturity and the need for new product catalysts.
The core of PagerDuty, Inc.'s financial health is its subscription-based business model, which falls under the Software & Programming segment. Honestly, this is a pure-play software-as-a-service (SaaS) model, meaning nearly all of its revenue is recurring, which is what we like to see. For FY 2025, the entire $467.5 million in revenue came from this single segment, the digital operations management platform. This product focus is a strength, but it also means there's no geographic or product-line diversification to cushion a slowdown in the core market.
Here's the quick math on their recent performance and the near-term risks:
- Full Year FY25 Revenue: $467.5 million
- Year-over-Year Growth: 8.5%
- Ending Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR): $494 million (up 9% Y/Y)
- Dollar-Based Net Retention Rate (DBNR): 106%
The DBNR of 106% is a key metric; it means existing customers spent 6% more this year than last. Still, this figure is down slightly from the prior year's 107%, which tells me that the upsell and cross-sell engine is facing some friction, likely from corporate budget tightening. What this estimate hides is the slowing pace of new customer acquisition in the commercial segment, even as enterprise accounts remain strong.
The most significant change in the revenue stream is the strategic pivot toward Agentic Artificial Intelligence (AI) offerings within the PagerDuty Operations Cloud. This is a necessary move to drive future growth and re-accelerate that DBNR. New features, like the generative AI offering PagerDuty Advance, are now generally available and represent a new monetization pathway. This is defintely the lever they are pulling to justify higher pricing and multi-product adoption, which is critical for the next few years.
To understand the customer dynamics driving these numbers, you should be Exploring PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
The table below breaks down the primary revenue metrics for the fiscal year ending January 31, 2025:
| Metric | Value (FY 2025) | Insight |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $467.5 million | Core business size. |
| Y/Y Revenue Growth | 8.5% | Decelerating growth from prior years. |
| Primary Revenue Segment | Software & Programming | 100% of revenue is subscription-based. |
| Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) | $494 million | Forward-looking revenue base. |
| Dollar-Based Net Retention Rate | 106% | Expansion from existing customers is slowing slightly. |
Profitability Metrics
You're looking at PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) to see if they've finally turned the corner on profitability, and the quick answer is that their core business is incredibly efficient, but their spending on growth still pushes them into a GAAP loss. You have to look at both the GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) and non-GAAP numbers to get the full picture.
For the full fiscal year 2025, which ended January 31, 2025, PagerDuty, Inc.'s total revenue hit $467.5 million, an increase of 8.5% year-over-year. The real story here is the gross margin, which is a fantastic signal of their operational efficiency and scalability.
- Gross Profit Margin: The company consistently reported a gross margin of 86% in fiscal 2025, which is at the high end of their target range.
- Operating Profit Margin (Non-GAAP): This metric, which strips out stock-based compensation and other non-cash items, was a strong 17.7% for the full year.
- Net Profit Margin (GAAP): The bottom line still shows a GAAP net loss of $54.5 million, resulting in a negative net profit margin of approximately -11.7%.
Here's the quick math on that gross profit: a margin of 86% on $467.5 million in revenue means PagerDuty, Inc. generated approximately $402.05 million in gross profit. That is a phenomenal figure for a Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) company, and it's defintely a key reason why investors remain interested.
Comparing Margins and Efficiency
When you stack PagerDuty, Inc.'s profitability ratios against the industry, their gross margin is a clear outperformer. The average gross profit margin for the SaaS sector typically falls between 70% and 80%, with top-tier companies clearing 80%. The company's 86% margin signals a highly scalable and cost-effective technical architecture, meaning they can add new customers without a proportional increase in their direct costs (Cost of Goods Sold or COGS).
What this estimate hides is the significant spending on Sales, Marketing, and Research & Development, which drives the GAAP operating loss of $59.8 million (a -12.8% operating margin) for the year. This is a strategic choice: invest heavily now to capture market share and drive future revenue growth. The narrowing of the GAAP net loss by 33% from the prior fiscal year shows a clear trend toward overall GAAP profitability.
The company is also actively improving operational efficiency (OpEx) through product innovation. The launch of their Agentic AI offerings, including the SRE Agent and Insights Agent, is aimed at automating incident response and reducing the need for manual toil, which translates directly into lower OpEx over time. Early adopters of this technology have already reported up to 50% faster issue resolution. This focus on AI-driven efficiency will be crucial for them to achieve their goal of GAAP profitability in the near future. You can see how this aligns with their core strategy in their Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of PagerDuty, Inc. (PD).
| Profitability Metric (FY2025) | PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) Value | SaaS Industry Benchmark (Target) |
|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 86% | 70% - 80%+ |
| Operating Margin (GAAP) | -12.8% | Varies widely (often negative for high-growth) |
| Operating Margin (Non-GAAP) | 17.7% | Positive is strong; 20%+ is top-tier |
| Net Profit (GAAP) | -$54.5 million | Focus is often on cash flow/Non-GAAP profit |
The key takeaway is that the underlying unit economics are excellent, but the company is still in a growth-spending phase. The improvement in non-GAAP operating margin and the narrowing GAAP loss shows a clear, disciplined path to balancing growth and profitability.
Debt vs. Equity Structure
You want to know how PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) is financing its growth, and the short answer is: cautiously, relying on a smart mix of convertible debt and significant cash reserves. The company's strategy leans toward maintaining flexibility, but its Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio is higher than many pure-play Software as a Service (SaaS) peers. For the most recent fiscal data, PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) reports total debt of roughly $394.54 million against total equity of about $197.68 million, giving a Debt-to-Equity ratio of approximately 199.6%.
Here's the quick math on why that D/E ratio isn't as scary as it looks: PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) ended Fiscal Year 2025 (FYE January 31, 2025) with cash, cash equivalents, and investments totaling $570.8 million. That cash pile comfortably exceeds the total debt, which means the company is net-cash positive. This is defintely a key distinction from a capital-intensive business where debt is used to fund physical assets.
The company's debt structure is almost entirely composed of convertible senior notes, which is a common financing tool for growth-stage tech companies. This debt is less risky than traditional bank loans because it can be converted into equity (shares) if the stock price hits a certain threshold, limiting the cash repayment burden. Still, the D/E ratio of 199.6% is high when you look at competitors like Gitlab or Freshworks, who often show 0.0% long-term debt-to-equity.
Recent financing activity shows a clear focus on managing the maturity schedule and reducing dilution:
- Refinanced Debt: In October 2023, PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) priced $350 million of 1.50% Convertible Senior Notes due 2028.
- Repurchased Old Notes: A significant portion of the proceeds, approximately $224.5 million, was used to repurchase $230.0 million of the older 2025 notes.
- Equity Management: The Board also authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $150 million in March 2025, following an earlier $100 million program announced in May 2024.
This balance of debt financing and equity funding is strategic. The convertible notes provide low-interest capital for growth without immediate shareholder dilution, while the share repurchase programs actively manage the share count creep that comes from stock-based compensation. So, PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) is using debt to fund expansion while simultaneously using cash to manage its equity base, aiming for the best of both worlds. The lack of traditional credit ratings is typical for a company relying on convertible notes rather than syndicated bank debt. For a deeper dive into the company's overall financial picture, check out the full post: Breaking Down PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
Liquidity and Solvency
PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) shows a solid liquidity position for fiscal year 2025 (FY2025), which ended January 31, 2025, largely driven by its software-as-a-service (SaaS) business model and a substantial cash reserve. This is the defintely the first thing I look for: can the company cover its near-term bills?
The core liquidity ratios are strong. The Current Ratio (Current Assets divided by Current Liabilities) for PagerDuty, Inc. at the end of FY2025 stood at approximately 1.93 ($711.7 million / $369.2 million). This means the company holds nearly two dollars in current assets for every one dollar of current liabilities. Even better, the Quick Ratio (or Acid-Test Ratio), which strips out less-liquid assets like prepaid expenses, was a strong 1.84. For a SaaS firm with negligible inventory, a quick ratio this close to the current ratio signals high-quality, easily accessible liquid assets.
The company's working capital position is robust, but the composition requires a closer look. Working capital (Current Assets minus Current Liabilities) was a positive $342.6 million as of January 31, 2025. This is a significant buffer. However, a major component of Current Liabilities is Current Deferred Revenue at $243.3 million. This is money already collected for services yet to be delivered, which isn't a cash drain, but rather a future revenue obligation.
- Total Current Assets: $711.7 million
- Total Current Liabilities: $369.2 million
- Positive Working Capital: $342.6 million (A strong liquidity buffer)
- Current Deferred Revenue: $243.3 million (A non-cash-draining liability)
Here's the quick math on the liquidity ratios:
| Metric | Value (FY2025) | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.93 | Strong; nearly 2x coverage of short-term debt. |
| Quick Ratio | 1.84 | Excellent; high-quality, liquid assets cover liabilities. |
| Working Capital | $342.6 million | Large positive buffer for operations. |
Cash Flow Statements Overview and Trends
The cash flow statement for PagerDuty, Inc. in FY2025 tells a clear story of a company achieving cash flow generation despite GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) losses. The most important number here is the net cash provided by operating activities (CFO), which hit $117.9 million for the full fiscal year 2025. This positive cash flow from core operations is the lifeblood of a growth company, indicating that the business model is now self-sustaining from a cash perspective.
The Investing and Financing sections reflect a capital-efficient business and a shareholder-friendly approach:
- Operating Cash Flow (CFO): $117.9 million (Strongly positive, up from $77.4 million in FY2024, showing a clear trend of operational efficiency)
- Investing Cash Flow (CFI): -$20.0 million (This negative figure is typical, mostly reflecting capital expenditures (CapEx) to support the business, which is a manageable outflow.)
- Financing Cash Flow (CFF): The company authorized a new share repurchase program for up to $150 million in March 2025. This is a key financing signal. It shows management is confident in their sustainable free cash flow generation and is committing capital to manage share count dilution, rather than needing to raise new equity.
The trend is clear: PagerDuty, Inc. is transitioning from a high-growth, cash-burning phase to one of efficient growth and sustainable cash generation. This cash flow strength is what underpins the Board's decision to authorize the share repurchase. For a deeper dive into who is buying and selling shares, you can read Exploring PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
The company's liquidity is a significant strength. They hold over $570.8 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments as of January 31, 2025. Plus, they are generating cash from operations. This combination means they face no near-term liquidity concerns and have ample capital for strategic investments, debt service, and the authorized share repurchases.
Valuation Analysis
You're looking at PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) and trying to figure out if the recent stock dip makes it a bargain or a value trap. My quick take: the stock is currently trading like a growth company that has hit a profitability speed bump, but analysts still see modest upside. The key is separating the noise from the core business strength.
As of November 2025, the stock is trading around the $15.09 to $15.44 range, which is a significant drop. Over the last 12 months, PagerDuty, Inc. (PD)'s stock price has decreased by about 18.57%, which tells you the market is defintely punishing the slower revenue growth we saw in fiscal year 2025. This stock has been volatile, hitting a 52-week high of $21.98 and a low of $13.70. The market is clearly trying to price in the shift from hyper-growth to profitable growth.
Is PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) Overvalued or Undervalued?
To answer that, we have to look past the simple Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio, which is nearly useless for a company still in its early profitability journey. Since PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) reported a net loss, the Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) P/E ratio is a negative number, sitting at about -104.733. Similarly, the Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio is also negative, at approximately -128.70. Both figures reflect the current lack of TTM earnings and EBITDA, which is typical for a software-as-a-service (SaaS) company focused on reinvesting cash flow back into growth.
Here's the quick math on what matters more for a company like this:
- Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: At about 8.29 as of early November 2025, this is high. A P/B ratio this high means the market values PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) at over eight times its net asset value. Investors are betting heavily on intangible assets like its technology and future cash flows, not just the assets on its balance sheet.
- EV/Sales (Not P/E): This is the better metric for a cloud company. While not explicitly listed, an EV/Sales ratio around 2.54 (based on TTM revenue of $467.5 million for FY2025) is relatively low for a SaaS business, suggesting it might be undervalued compared to its peers if it can re-accelerate growth.
Analyst Consensus and Dividend Reality
Wall Street is mixed but leaning positive, which is a good sign for stability. The average analyst consensus is 'Hold' or 'Outperform' (a rating of 2.3 on a 1-to-5 scale). The average price target from analysts currently sits between $18.11 and $18.70, implying a potential upside of around 20% from the current stock price. That's a reasonable expectation, but it hinges on PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) hitting its upcoming earnings targets.
One clean one-liner: This isn't a dividend stock, so don't wait for a payout.
To be fair, PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) is not a mature, dividend-paying company. It's a growth stock. Therefore, its dividend yield and payout ratio are both 0.00% and effectively non-applicable (N/A). The company is rightly focused on using its capital for buybacks and reinvestment, not shareholder distributions. They announced a $150 million share repurchase program earlier this year, which is a better use of capital right now than a small, token dividend.
For a deeper dive into who is making these bets, you should check out Exploring PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
The table below summarizes the key valuation metrics you need to track:
| Metric | Value (as of Nov 2025) | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Current Stock Price | ~$15.09 - $15.44 | Near the bottom of the 52-week range ($13.70 to $21.98). |
| Price-to-Earnings (TTM) | -104.733 | Negative, as the company is not TTM profitable (Net Loss). |
| Price-to-Book (P/B) | 8.29 | High, indicating significant reliance on intangible assets and future growth. |
| EV/EBITDA (TTM) | -128.70 | Negative, as the company is not TTM EBITDA positive. |
| Analyst Average Target Price | ~$18.11 - $18.70 | Implies a 20% upside from current levels. |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% (N/A) | Growth company; no dividend paid. |
The action here is simple: if you believe in the long-term potential of their AI-driven operations cloud and their ability to sustain non-GAAP profitability, the current price offers a margin of safety. If they miss their next few quarterly revenue targets, expect the price to test that $13.70 low again.
Risk Factors
You need to look past PagerDuty, Inc.'s (PD) recent non-GAAP profitability wins; the core risks remain tied to decelerating growth and intense competition in a market that is rapidly shifting to AI-driven operations. While the company generated a solid $108.4 million in Free Cash Flow for fiscal year 2025, the path to sustained, accelerated top-line growth is the main headwind you must account for.
Here's the quick math: PagerDuty, Inc.'s full-year fiscal 2025 revenue was $467.5 million, an increase of only 8.5% year-over-year. That's a slow-down, and it's a red flag when competitors in the software industry are posting significantly higher growth rates. The market is not forgiving of slowing growth, even with improved margins.
External and Competitive Pressures
The digital operations management space is crowded and aggressive. This is a clear external risk. PagerDuty, Inc. is fighting for every dollar of Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), which grew 9% to $494 million as of January 31, 2025. But when you compare that to peers like Datadog, which has shown revenue growth around 28% year-over-year, PagerDuty, Inc.'s slower expansion trajectory becomes a major strategic concern.
The Dollar-based Net Retention Rate (DBNRR)-a key measure of customer expansion-also dipped to 106% as of January 31, 2025, down from 107% in the prior year. This suggests existing customers are spending less or that competition is successfully chipping away at services. Honestly, in high-growth software, you want to see that number holding strong or rising.
- Slower revenue growth: 8.5% in FY2025.
- Intense DevOps market competition.
- Decreasing customer expansion (DBNRR at 106%).
Operational and Financial Risks
The most immediate operational and financial risk is the unpredictable nature of their evolving usage-based pricing model. This model can cause unexpected revenue swings from quarter to quarter, making it harder for investors to model performance accurately. Plus, while the company focuses on operational excellence, the GAAP-to-Non-GAAP gap is still wide.
For the full fiscal year 2025, PagerDuty, Inc. reported a GAAP net loss of $54.5 million, or $0.59 per share. This is despite a Non-GAAP operating income of $82.7 million. What this estimate hides is the significant non-cash expenses, like stock-based compensation, which continue to weigh on true GAAP profitability. You need to watch that GAAP loss closely; it matters for long-term shareholder value.
Mitigation Strategies and the AI Pivot
PagerDuty, Inc. is defintely aware of these risks and is executing clear mitigation strategies. The primary one is an aggressive push into Agentic Artificial Intelligence (AI) offerings within the PagerDuty Operations Cloud. This is a strategic bet to make the platform more essential and drive usage-based expansion.
On the financial side, management is using its strong cash position-Free Cash Flow was $108.4 million in FY2025-to return capital to shareholders. They authorized a $150 million share repurchase program to help offset share count growth and signal confidence in their long-term strategy. To understand the company's long-term vision behind this pivot, you should review their Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of PagerDuty, Inc. (PD).
| Risk Factor | FY2025 Financial Context | Mitigation Strategy |
|---|---|---|
| Slowing Revenue Growth | Revenue grew 8.5% to $467.5 million. | AI-driven product innovation (Agentic AI) to accelerate enterprise adoption. |
| GAAP Profitability Gap | GAAP Net Loss of $54.5 million. | Tighter cost controls and focus on operational efficiency; Non-GAAP Operating Income was $82.7 million. |
| Competitive Pressure | Dollar-based Net Retention Rate at 106%. | $150 million share repurchase program; strengthening platform capabilities. |
Growth Opportunities
You want to know where PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) goes from here, and the answer is simple: the future growth is tied directly to their aggressive push into Artificial Intelligence (AI) and their ability to sell more products to their existing enterprise customer base. The company is actively shifting its revenue model to capture value from increased platform usage, not just seat count, which is a big change.
For the full Fiscal Year 2025 (FY2025), which ended January 31, 2025, PagerDuty, Inc. reported total revenue of $467.5 million, an increase of 8.5% year-over-year. More importantly, they achieved a Non-GAAP net income per diluted share of $0.85, demonstrating a focus on profitable growth. This operational discipline is key, as their Non-GAAP operating margin expanded to 17.7% for the year.
AI and Product Innovation: The Core Growth Driver
The biggest near-term opportunity is product innovation, specifically the roll-out of their Agentic Artificial Intelligence (AI) offerings within the PagerDuty Operations Cloud. This isn't just a marketing buzzword; it's a measurable growth engine, with usage-based AI operations growing above 60% in a recent quarter. The goal is to automate the entire incident management lifecycle, from detection to resolution, which is a massive value proposition for enterprises.
The company's competitive advantage lies in its extensive network of over 700 integrations with essential enterprise tools like AWS, Datadog, and Splunk, allowing them to orchestrate incident response across a complex technology landscape. Their new AI Agent Suite, including Shift, Scribe, Insights, and SRE, is designed to slash incident response times and drive platform adoption. That's a clear action item for customers: reduce resolution time from minutes to seconds.
- Integrate AI agents (Shift, Scribe) for faster incident resolution.
- Expand multi-product adoption, currently driving 65% of total Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR).
- Leverage 700+ integrations for platform stickiness.
Future Revenue Projections and Strategic Shifts
The financial estimates for the next fiscal year reflect this strategic shift toward enterprise and AI-driven expansion. Management has guided for a full fiscal year revenue range of $471 million to $477 million, representing a growth rate of 9% to 11%. This is a modest acceleration, but the quality of the earnings is what matters.
Here's the quick math: the focus is on expanding the spend of existing large customers. Customers with an ARR over $100 thousand grew to 849 as of January 31, 2025. Plus, the company is making solid traction in its enterprise strategy, with about 25% of enterprise accounts seeing expansion activity in a recent quarter. This is defintely a key metric to watch.
| Metric | FY2025 Actual (Ended Jan 31, 2025) | FY2026 Revenue Projection (Guidance Midpoint) |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $467.5 million | $474 million (Midpoint of $471M-$477M) |
| YoY Revenue Growth | 8.5% | ~10.0% (Midpoint of 9%-11%) |
| Non-GAAP Net Income per Diluted Share | $0.85 | $0.685 (Midpoint of $0.66-$0.71) |
| Free Cash Flow | $108.4 million | N/A |
What this estimate hides is the risk of their usage-based pricing model, which can lead to unpredictable revenue swings. The company is also making a push into the public sector, aiming for FedRAMP Moderate authorization, which should open up a significant new market, building on the 700+ agencies they already serve. If you want to dive deeper into who is betting on these trends, you can check out Exploring PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?

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