Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) Bundle
You're looking at Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) and trying to map out its role in your portfolio for the next few years, wondering if the utility giant is a stable income anchor or a debt-laden risk. The quick takeaway is that the market is signaling a cautious 'Hold' right now, even as the company delivered a strong Q3 2025 operating earnings beat of $1.06 per share and narrowed its full-year operating earnings guidance to a solid range of $3.33 to $3.48 per share. That operational strength is real, but you must weigh it against the balance sheet's burden: Dominion Energy's total long-term debt hit $37.17 billion as of September 30, 2025, which translates to a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.7, a number that suggests a real liquidity challenge. We need to understand how the company plans to fund its massive capital expenditure (CapEx) program, including the updated $11.2 billion Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project, because the average analyst price target of $64.22 tells you Wall Street is defintely waiting for clarity on their infrastructure pivot before giving a definitive 'Buy' signal.
Revenue Analysis
You need to know where Dominion Energy, Inc. (D)'s money is actually coming from, especially with their big push into regulated infrastructure and renewables. The direct takeaway is that the company's revenue base is growing at a healthy clip, largely driven by its core regulated utility business in Virginia, plus a significant boost from customer growth like new data centers.
For the twelve months ending September 30, 2025, Dominion Energy, Inc.'s total revenue was approximately $15.81 billion. This represents a strong year-over-year revenue growth of +8.36%, a clear acceleration from the modest +0.46% growth seen in the 2024 fiscal year. This growth is defintely a positive signal, showing that their capital investments (CapEx) are starting to translate into higher top-line results, which is exactly what you want to see from a utility focused on regulated returns.
The primary revenue streams are simple: selling electricity and natural gas to regulated customers. This is a stability play, as regulated utilities generally have an approved rate of return (ROR) on their assets. The regional breakdown for the third quarter of 2025 clearly shows the dominance of the Virginia market, which is also benefiting from significant commercial load growth, particularly from the booming data center industry in the region.
Here's the quick math on the segment contribution for the third quarter of 2025, when total revenue hit $4.53 billion:
| Business Segment | Q3 2025 Revenue (Billions USD) | Contribution to Q3 Total |
|---|---|---|
| Dominion Energy Virginia | $3.31 | 73.1% |
| Dominion Energy South Carolina | $0.942 | 20.8% |
| Contracted Energy & Corporate/Other | $0.278 | 6.1% |
| Total Q3 2025 Revenue | $4.53 | 100% |
What this breakdown shows is that Dominion Energy Virginia is the undisputed engine, contributing nearly three-quarters of the quarterly revenue. The Contracted Energy segment, which includes nonregulated power generation, is smaller but is a key focus for the company's clean energy transition. You can read more about their strategic direction here: Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Dominion Energy, Inc. (D).
The most significant change in the revenue mix is the strategic de-risking of the business, moving away from non-core assets to double down on the regulated utility segments. This shift means more predictable, regulated earnings. Also, the company is heavily investing $50 billion between 2025 and 2029 in new infrastructure, which will grow the rate base (the assets on which the utility is allowed to earn a return) and drive future revenue. This is a long-term play, so near-term risks around capital expenditure and regulatory approvals are always present.
- Dominion Energy Virginia is the core revenue driver.
- Data center demand is a major growth catalyst.
- Renewable projects, like Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW), are the future revenue source.
So, the revenue growth is robust, but it's tied directly to successfully executing massive capital projects and securing favorable regulatory outcomes in Virginia and South Carolina. That's the entire investment thesis right there.
Profitability Metrics
You want to know if Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) is making money efficiently, which means looking past the big revenue numbers to the actual margins. The short answer is that Dominion's profitability is strong, with its current net margin sitting just under the sector average, but its operational efficiency is a clear competitive advantage right now.
For the third quarter of 2025, Dominion Energy reported GAAP net income of $1.0 billion, or $1.16 per share. Operating earnings, which strip out non-core items like mark-to-market impacts, were $921 million, or $1.06 per share. This performance allowed the company to narrow its full-year 2025 operating earnings per share guidance to a range of $3.33 to $3.48, keeping the midpoint at $3.40. That's a solid, predictable earnings profile for a regulated utility.
Margin Analysis: Dominion vs. The Sector
When we look at the core profitability ratios, Dominion Energy is performing well, especially in controlling its operational costs. Its net profit margin for the trailing twelve months (TTM) is around 16.7%. To be fair, this is a slight dip compared to the broader Utilities sector, which reported a blended net profit margin of 17.2% for Q3 2025. Still, Dominion's margin is significantly above the sector's five-year average of 13.6%.
The real story is in the operating margin. This metric shows how much profit a company makes from its core business operations before interest and taxes. Dominion's TTM operating margin is robust at nearly 29.7%. This high figure reflects the stable, regulated nature of its business, plus effective cost management, which is defintely a win for shareholders.
Here's a quick comparison of the key margins:
- Gross Profit Margin (2024): 47.87%
- Operating Margin (TTM): ~29.7%
- Net Profit Margin (TTM): ~16.7%
The gap between the operating and net margins highlights the impact of interest expense and taxes, which is a critical point for a capital-intensive utility with significant debt.
Operational Efficiency and Profitability Trends
The trend shows a strong rebound and stabilization. Dominion's net income margin has been on a clear upward trajectory, reaching 14.69% in 2024, up from a lower 9.48% in 2022. This recovery suggests management has successfully navigated some of the cost pressures from prior years.
Operational efficiency is also evident in the earnings beats. Q1 2025 reported net income of $646 million, a substantial +46.49% increase over Q1 2024. This jump was largely attributed to operational strength and better cost management, signaling that the company is effectively utilizing its regulated rate base and controlling expenses. Strong core operations are the bedrock of a stable utility investment. For a deeper look at the long-term strategic plan that supports these numbers, you should review the Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Dominion Energy, Inc. (D).
The focus on regulated assets, like the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW) project, provides earnings visibility, which helps stabilize the margins. Regulated utilities benefit from a predictable return on invested capital (rate base) that is approved by public utility commissions. This mechanism is key to maintaining high operating margins, even as capital spending for new projects like CVOW increases.
Debt vs. Equity Structure
You're looking at Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) and trying to figure out if its growth is built on a solid foundation or too much borrowed money. For a capital-intensive utility, debt is a given, but the balance is what matters. As of September 2025, Dominion Energy's financial structure shows a high reliance on debt, with a Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.75, which is right in line with the heavily leveraged utility sector.
This D/E ratio means the company has $1.75 in total debt for every dollar of shareholder equity. To put that in perspective, the broader Utilities sector often sees an average D/E ratio around 1.751, or 1.84 for the Utilities SPDR (XLU) as of November 2025. So, Dominion Energy is not an outlier, but it's certainly not a low-leverage stock either. This is a capital-intensive business; they need to keep the lights on and the gas flowing, and that requires massive, long-term infrastructure investment.
Here's the quick math on the balance sheet: as of the quarter ending September 2025, the company carried $43.291 billion in Long-Term Debt and Capital Lease Obligations, plus $5.258 billion in Short-Term Debt and Capital Lease Obligations. That total debt load of over $48.5 billion is being balanced against $27.691 billion in Total Stockholders' Equity.
- Long-Term Debt: $43.291 billion (Sep 2025)
- Short-Term Debt: $5.258 billion (Sep 2025)
- Total Equity: $27.691 billion (Sep 2025)
To fund its ongoing capital programs, Dominion Energy has been active in the debt markets in 2025. In March 2025, they issued $1.5 billion in Senior Notes, followed by another $1 billion in Senior Notes in May 2025. Then, in August 2025, they issued $1.525 billion in Junior Subordinated Notes due in 2056, which rating agencies sometimes classify as having partial equity credit-a clever way to bolster the balance sheet without issuing common stock.
This balancing act between debt and equity is defintely a tightrope walk. On the debt side, the company's Corporate/Issuer credit rating sits at Baa2 from Moody's and BBB+ from S&P and Fitch. Moody's, however, revised the outlook to Negative in May 2025, a sign that the debt load and regulatory environment are creating pressure. On the equity side, the company announced an at-the-market stock offering to raise up to $1.2 billion in fresh equity, which shows they are using both levers to finance their growth, like the massive Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project. You should look at Exploring Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why? to see who is picking up that new stock.
| Rating Agency | Corporate/Issuer Rating | Short-Term Rating | Outlook (Nov 2025) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moody's | Baa2 | P-2 | Negative |
| S&P | BBB+ | A-2 | Stable |
| Fitch | BBB+ | F2 | Stable |
Liquidity and Solvency
You need to know if Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) can cover its short-term bills, and the data from the 2025 fiscal year suggests a tight, but managed, liquidity position. The company's liquidity ratios are low, which is common for a regulated utility with massive capital expenditure (CapEx) needs, but this still warrants close attention.
The core of the issue is a structural working capital deficit, meaning current liabilities consistently outweigh current assets. For the third quarter of 2025 (Q3 2025), the Current Ratio-which measures current assets against current liabilities-stood at just 0.67. The more stringent Quick Ratio (which strips out inventory) was even lower at 0.49. Simply put, for every dollar of near-term debt, the company holds less than 70 cents in assets that can be quickly converted to cash. This is defintely a liquidity challenge, as noted by analysts, but it's often offset by the predictable, regulated cash flow from operations.
Here is a snapshot of the core liquidity metrics based on the latest 2025 data:
| Metric | Value (Q3 2025) | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.67 | Suggests insufficient current assets to cover current liabilities. |
| Quick Ratio | 0.49 | A low figure, highlighting reliance on non-current assets or financing for short-term needs. |
| Working Capital Trend | Persistent Deficit | Current liabilities consistently exceed current assets. |
Looking at the cash flow statement provides a clearer picture of how Dominion Energy, Inc. is funding its operations and growth. The company is generating solid cash from its core business, but the sheer scale of its infrastructure investments creates a massive cash drain.
- Operating Cash Flow (CFO): This is the strength. Net cash from operating activities was strong, hitting $1,945 million in Q3 2025 alone, and showing a positive trend throughout the year. This stable, regulated cash flow is what supports the company's financial structure.
- Investing Cash Flow (CFI): This is the pressure point. The company is in a heavy CapEx cycle, driven by projects like the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW) and expanding data center capacity. The five-year capital plan (2025-2029) is a massive $50.1 billion, which means CFI is significantly negative and drives a substantial negative free cash flow (FCF) margin of nearly -53.0%.
- Financing Cash Flow (CFF): To bridge the gap between strong CFO and massive CFI, the company is highly active in the capital markets. Year-to-date in 2025, Dominion Energy, Inc. exceeded its fixed income guidance by issuing $8.7 billion in debt and completed its planned $1.0 billion at-the-market equity issuance. They are funding growth with debt and equity.
The takeaway is simple: Operating cash flow is healthy, but the capital intensity of the business model means the company is a serial issuer of debt and equity. The liquidity ratios are a flashing yellow light, but the company's access to capital, evidenced by the successful 2025 issuances, is a key strength that mitigates immediate solvency risk. For a deeper dive into the company's long-term debt and solvency, you should check out the full post at Breaking Down Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors. Your action item is to monitor the cost of that new debt, as interest rate sensitivity is a major headwind for capital-intensive utilities right now.
Valuation Analysis
You're looking at Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) and wondering if the market has it right. The quick answer is that the stock is priced at a premium relative to historical norms on some metrics, suggesting a fair to slightly overvalued position, but the analyst consensus is holding steady.
The core of the valuation story comes down to its traditional utility status versus its growth investments, especially in areas like the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project. Here's the quick math on where D stands as of November 2025, using the most recent trailing twelve months (TTM) data.
- Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: D's TTM P/E ratio sits between approximately 20.34 and 22.38. This is higher than the historical 10-year average P/E of 30.02 but still indicates a premium compared to the broader utility sector median.
- Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: The P/B ratio is currently around 1.92 to 1.96. To be fair, this ratio is near its 3-year high, suggesting investors are willing to pay more for the company's net assets than in the recent past, which is a mixed valuation signal.
- Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA): The TTM EV/EBITDA is around 13.16 (as of June 2025). This is actually below its 13-year median of 15.30, but it's still worse than 68.17% of its peers in the Utilities - Regulated industry, where the median is 10.46.
When you map these metrics, the stock isn't screaming cheap, but it's not wildly expensive either. The elevated P/E shows confidence in future earnings, especially with the company's full-year 2025 operating earnings per share (EPS) guidance set at a range of $3.33 to $3.48.
Stock Trend and Dividend Reality Check
The stock price has shown a positive trend, increasing by 6.49% over the last 12 months leading up to November 2025. The 52-week trading range of $48.07 to $62.52 shows it's currently trading near the high end, with a recent closing price around $61.46.
For income investors, the dividend is a major factor. The annualized dividend is $2.67 per share, resulting in a yield of approximately 4.3% to 4.44%. But, you must look at the payout ratio, which is high at about 90.82%. This means nearly all of the company's earnings are being paid out, leaving less capital for reinvestment or a cushion against unexpected costs. A payout ratio this high defintely introduces a sustainability risk, even for a regulated utility.
| Valuation Metric (TTM/Current) | Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) Value (Nov 2025) | Context/Implication |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 20.34 - 22.38 | Higher than the sector median, suggesting premium valuation. |
| P/B Ratio | 1.92 - 1.96 | Near 3-year high, indicating investor confidence in book value. |
| EV/EBITDA Ratio | 13.16 | Above the industry median of 10.46, signaling higher leverage/valuation vs. peers. |
| Dividend Yield | 4.3% - 4.44% | Attractive yield, but check the high payout ratio. |
| Payout Ratio | ~90.82% | High, limiting retained earnings for growth or debt reduction. |
Analyst Consensus and the Next Step
The Wall Street view is generally cautious. Out of twelve analysts covering the stock, the consensus rating is a Hold, with 9 Hold ratings, 2 Buy ratings, and 1 Sell rating. This tells you most professionals see D as fairly priced right now. The average 12-month price target is $64.22, which suggests only a modest upside from the current price.
So, what's your move? Given the high payout ratio and the premium P/B, the stock's upside is constrained unless the company executes flawlessly on its capital-intensive projects, like the offshore wind farm. Your next step should be to dig deeper into the company's debt profile and regulatory environment, which you can read about in our full analysis: Breaking Down Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
Risk Factors
You're looking at Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) and seeing a utility with strong operational tailwinds, particularly from the data center boom, but you defintely need to map the financial and regulatory risks. This company is navigating a complex, capital-intensive transition, and its balance sheet is showing the strain.
Financial and Capital Structure Risks
The most immediate financial risk is the company's high leverage. While Dominion Energy's operating margin is robust-around 29.74% as of Q3 2025-its financial strength is rated as poor due to significant debt levels. The debt-to-equity ratio is high, standing at roughly 1.75 in November 2025, which signals a reliance on debt financing. For a seasoned analyst, the quick math here is concerning: the Altman Z-Score, a measure of financial distress, sits at approximately 0.7, placing the company in the distress zone. That's a clear warning sign about liquidity and long-term solvency.
Also, the cost of capital is a near-term headwind. Fluctuations in interest rates and capital market conditions directly impact the financing costs for major projects. To manage this, the company has been active in capital raising, exceeding its 2025 guidance for fixed income activities with $8.7 billion issued year-to-date, against a guidance range of $5.5 billion to $8.0 billion. They also completed a planned $1.0 billion at-the-market equity issuance in 2025.
Major Project and Operational Execution Risks
The Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW) project is a massive, central risk. Its total cost is now updated to $11.2 billion, with Dominion Energy's remaining capital commitment estimated at $1.5 billion. Any further cost overruns or delays in regulatory approvals could pressure the company's financial profile and the regulated returns it can earn. The good news is the project is two-thirds complete, with first power expected in late Q1 2026.
Another operational risk is weather volatility. As a utility, earnings are sensitive to extreme weather events. For example, adverse weather conditions alone led to a $0.06 per share unfavorable impact on Q3 2025 operating earnings. This is a constant, unpredictable factor that can derail quarter-to-quarter performance.
- CVOW Cost: Total project cost is $11.2 billion.
- Weather Impact: Q3 2025 earnings hit by $0.06/share.
- High Leverage: Debt-to-equity ratio near 1.75.
External and Regulatory Challenges
As a predominantly regulated utility, Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) is highly exposed to regulatory risk. Rate-case decisions, especially in Virginia, and the approval process for major infrastructure investments like CVOW are critical. Adverse rulings can limit the return on equity (ROE) the company is allowed to earn, directly impacting profitability. Plus, the ongoing transition to clean energy creates a risk of stranded assets, particularly for its natural gas infrastructure.
The company's mitigation strategy here is twofold: active engagement in the regulatory process and a clear commitment to decarbonization. Dominion Energy has a Net Zero emissions goal by 2050 and is employing voluntary methane reduction strategies and investing in renewable natural gas (RNG) and hydrogen to mitigate the stranded asset risk on its gas system. This strategic alignment is crucial for long-term stability. You can see their full commitment in their Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Dominion Energy, Inc. (D).
Here's a quick summary of the near-term risk landscape:
| Risk Category | Specific 2025 Impact/Metric | Mitigation Strategy |
|---|---|---|
| Financial/Liquidity | Altman Z-Score of 0.7 (Distress Zone) | Raised $8.7 billion in fixed income in 2025. |
| Major Project Execution | CVOW remaining cost of $1.5 billion for Dominion. | Project is two-thirds complete and on schedule for Q1 2026 first power. |
| External/Regulatory | Ongoing regulatory scrutiny on rate cases and project approvals. | Focus on regulated growth and Net Zero by 2050 commitment. |
The strategic opportunity, of course, is the massive demand from data centers, with contracted capacity increasing to 47.1 gigawatts in September 2025. This demand validates the need for their major capital projects, but it doesn't eliminate the risk of executing them profitably under regulatory oversight.
Growth Opportunities
You're looking at Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) and seeing a utility, but honestly, the core growth story for 2025 is driven by two massive, high-tech trends: data centers and decarbonization. The company is leaning hard into its regulated utility model (a stable revenue source) to fund an aggressive, multi-year capital plan.
Dominion Energy's management has narrowed its full-year 2025 operating earnings guidance to a range of $3.33 to $3.48 per share, with a midpoint of $3.40. That's a clear signal of confidence. More importantly, they've reaffirmed a long-term operating earnings per share (EPS) growth rate of 5% to 7% through 2029. That kind of predictable growth is what you buy a utility for, but the sources of that growth are anything but boring.
Key Growth Drivers: Data Centers and Clean Energy
The biggest near-term catalyst is the explosive demand from data centers, particularly in Northern Virginia. This isn't just steady customer growth; it's a surge. Dominion Energy's contracted capacity for data centers jumped 17% from December 2024 to September 2025, hitting 47.1 GW. To support this, and their broader transition, the company has earmarked a staggering $50 billion in capital expenditures from 2025 to 2029. Here's the quick math: that investment is going straight into the regulated asset base, which means more predictable returns for shareholders.
The second driver is the transition to clean energy. This isn't a side project; it's the main event. Their Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW) project, a massive 2.6-gigawatt initiative, is a centerpiece. They project nearly 80% of incremental power generation over the next 15 years will be carbon-free. This commitment to low-carbon solutions is also driving product innovation, like the shift in 2025 to large-scale hydrogen infrastructure projects, including the proposed Chesterfield Energy Reliability Center (CERC) designed for a future hydrogen blend.
- Data Center Demand: 47.1 GW contracted capacity as of Q3 2025.
- Capital Investment: $50 billion planned for 2025-2029.
- Clean Energy Goal: 80% carbon-free incremental power over 15 years.
Competitive Edge and Financial Stability
Dominion Energy's competitive advantage is simple: scale and a stable, regulated business model. This model provides stable revenue and reduces market volatility, which is crucial when undertaking multi-billion dollar projects. Plus, their electricity rates remain competitive. For example, Dominion Energy Virginia's rate of 16.0¢/kWh is below the U.S. average of 17.6¢/kWh. This affordability helps maintain a strong customer base and supports the regulatory framework that allows for these large infrastructure investments.
For the 2025 fiscal year, the company's Q3 operating revenue was $4.53 billion, demonstrating strong operational execution. They also reaffirmed a 2025 dividend per share of $2.67. This blend of high-growth infrastructure investment, backed by a stable utility structure, is defintely a compelling proposition for investors seeking both capital appreciation and income. You can see how this aligns with their long-term vision here: Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Dominion Energy, Inc. (D).
| Metric | Value (2025 Fiscal Year Data) | Source/Context |
|---|---|---|
| Operating EPS Guidance (Full-Year) | $3.33 to $3.48 | Narrowed guidance range |
| Operating EPS (Q3 2025) | $1.06 | Reported Q3 2025 earnings |
| Long-Term EPS Growth Rate | 5% to 7% | Guidance through 2029 |
| Capital Expenditure Plan | $50 billion | Total planned investment from 2025-2029 |
| 2025 Dividend Per Share | $2.67 | Reaffirmed dividend for 2025 |
What this estimate hides is the regulatory risk and the sheer execution challenge of a $50 billion capital plan, but the company's Q3 2025 results, with an operating EPS of $1.06, suggest they are managing costs and projects well.
Next Step: You should model the impact of the $50 billion capital plan on the rate base to see how it supports the 5% to 7% EPS growth forecast.

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