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Tilly's, Inc. (TLYS) Évaluation DCF
US | Consumer Cyclical | Apparel - Retail | NYSE
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- ✓ Entièrement Modifiable: Adapté À Vos Besoins Dans Excel Ou Sheets
- ✓ Conception Professionnelle: Modèles Fiables Et Conformes Aux Normes Du Secteur
- ✓ Pré-Construits Pour Une Utilisation Rapide Et Efficace
- ✓ Aucune Expertise N'Est Requise; Facile À Suivre
Tilly's, Inc. (TLYS) Bundle
Gardez un aperçu de l'analyse de l'évaluation de votre Tilly, Inc. (TLYS) en utilisant notre calculatrice sophistiquée DCF! Ce modèle Excel est préchargé avec des données réelles (TLYS), vous permettant d'ajuster les prévisions et les hypothèses pour déterminer avec précision la valeur intrinsèque de Tilly's, Inc. (TLYSS).
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - (USD MM)
Year | AY1 2019 |
AY2 2020 |
AY3 2021 |
AY4 2022 |
AY5 2023 |
FY1 2024 |
FY2 2025 |
FY3 2026 |
FY4 2027 |
FY5 2028 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 619.3 | 531.3 | 775.7 | 672.3 | 623.1 | 640.4 | 658.2 | 676.5 | 695.3 | 714.6 |
Revenue Growth, % | 0.00 | -14.20 | 45.99 | -13.33 | -7.32 | 2.78 | 2.78 | 2.78 | 2.78 | 2.78 |
EBITDA | 49.4 | 16.0 | 104.4 | 25.6 | -18.1 | 32.5 | 33.4 | 34.3 | 35.3 | 36.2 |
EBITDA, % | 7.98 | 3.01 | 13.46 | 3.81 | -2.91 | 5.07 | 5.07 | 5.07 | 5.07 | 5.07 |
Depreciation | 20.9 | 19.1 | 16.8 | 14.1 | 12.8 | 17.0 | 17.5 | 18.0 | 18.5 | 19.0 |
Depreciation, % | 3.38 | 3.59 | 2.17 | 2.10 | 2.06 | 2.66 | 2.66 | 2.66 | 2.66 | 2.66 |
EBIT | 28.5 | -3.0 | 87.6 | 11.5 | -31.0 | 15.4 | 15.9 | 16.3 | 16.8 | 17.2 |
EBIT, % | 4.59 | -0.57 | 11.29 | 1.70 | -4.97 | 2.41 | 2.41 | 2.41 | 2.41 | 2.41 |
Total Cash | 139.9 | 141.1 | 139.2 | 113.3 | 95.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Total Cash, percent | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 |
Account Receivables | 7.5 | 8.7 | 6.7 | 9.2 | 5.9 | 7.7 | 8.0 | 8.2 | 8.4 | 8.6 |
Account Receivables, % | 1.21 | 1.64 | 0.86 | 1.37 | 0.95 | 1.21 | 1.21 | 1.21 | 1.21 | 1.21 |
Inventories | 56.9 | 55.7 | 65.6 | 62.1 | 63.2 | 60.8 | 62.5 | 64.3 | 66.1 | 67.9 |
Inventories, % | 9.19 | 10.48 | 8.46 | 9.24 | 10.14 | 9.50 | 9.50 | 9.50 | 9.50 | 9.50 |
Accounts Payable | 20.6 | 25.0 | 28.1 | 16.0 | 14.5 | 20.9 | 21.5 | 22.1 | 22.7 | 23.4 |
Accounts Payable, % | 3.32 | 4.70 | 3.63 | 2.37 | 2.33 | 3.27 | 3.27 | 3.27 | 3.27 | 3.27 |
Capital Expenditure | -14.3 | -8.5 | -13.4 | -15.1 | -14.0 | -12.9 | -13.3 | -13.7 | -14.0 | -14.4 |
Capital Expenditure, % | -2.31 | -1.59 | -1.73 | -2.25 | -2.24 | -2.02 | -2.02 | -2.02 | -2.02 | -2.02 |
Tax Rate, % | 28.07 | 53.33 | 26.14 | 27.83 | -33.55 | 20.36 | 20.36 | 20.36 | 20.36 | 20.36 |
EBITAT | 20.5 | -1.4 | 64.7 | 8.3 | -41.4 | 12.3 | 12.6 | 13.0 | 13.3 | 13.7 |
Depreciation | 20.9 | 19.1 | 16.8 | 14.1 | 12.8 | 17.0 | 17.5 | 18.0 | 18.5 | 19.0 |
Changes in Account Receivables | -1.8 | -0.3 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.2 | |||||
Changes in Inventories | 2.4 | -1.7 | -1.8 | -1.8 | -1.8 | |||||
Changes in Accounts Payable | 6.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | |||||
Capital Expenditure | -14.3 | -8.5 | -13.4 | -15.1 | -14.0 | -12.9 | -13.3 | -13.7 | -14.0 | -14.4 |
UFCF | -16.6 | 13.6 | 63.3 | -3.9 | -41.8 | 23.3 | 15.5 | 16.0 | 16.5 | 16.9 |
WACC, % | 6.05 | 5.30 | 6.10 | 6.04 | 6.86 | 6.07 | 6.07 | 6.07 | 6.07 | 6.07 |
PV UFCF | 22.0 | 13.8 | 13.4 | 13.0 | 12.6 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | 74.8 | |||||||||
Long Term Growth Rate, % | 2.00 | |||||||||
Free cash flow (T + 1) | 17.2 | |||||||||
Terminal Value | 423.5 | |||||||||
Present Terminal Value | 315.4 | |||||||||
Enterprise Value | 390.2 | |||||||||
Net Debt | 185.0 | |||||||||
Equity Value | 205.2 | |||||||||
Diluted Shares Outstanding, MM | 30.0 | |||||||||
Equity Value Per Share | 6.84 |
What You Will Get
- Editable Excel Template: A fully customizable Excel-based DCF Calculator featuring pre-filled real TLYS financials.
- Real-World Data: Historical data and forward-looking estimates (as indicated in the yellow cells).
- Forecast Flexibility: Adjust forecast assumptions such as revenue growth, EBITDA %, and WACC.
- Automatic Calculations: Instantly observe how your inputs affect Tilly's valuation.
- Professional Tool: Designed for investors, CFOs, consultants, and financial analysts.
- User-Friendly Design: Organized for clarity and ease of use, complete with step-by-step instructions.
Key Features
- Customizable Financial Inputs: Adjust essential metrics such as sales growth, gross margin %, and operating expenses.
- Instant DCF Valuation: Provides immediate calculations for intrinsic value, NPV, and various financial outputs.
- High-Precision Accuracy: Leverages Tilly's real-world financial data for authentic valuation results.
- Effortless Scenario Analysis: Easily explore different scenarios and evaluate their impacts side by side.
- Efficiency Booster: Streamlines the process, removing the need to construct intricate valuation models from the ground up.
How It Works
- Step 1: Download the Excel file for Tilly's, Inc. (TLYS).
- Step 2: Review Tilly's pre-filled financial data and forecasts.
- Step 3: Adjust key inputs such as revenue growth, WACC, and tax rates (highlighted cells).
- Step 4: Observe the DCF model update in real-time as you modify assumptions.
- Step 5: Evaluate the outputs and leverage the results for investment decisions.
Why Choose This Calculator?
- Accurate Data: Up-to-date Tilly's financials provide dependable valuation outcomes.
- Customizable: Modify essential parameters such as growth rates, WACC, and tax rates to align with your forecasts.
- Time-Saving: Pre-configured calculations save you from starting from the ground up.
- Professional-Grade Tool: Tailored for investors, analysts, and consultants focused on Tilly's, Inc. (TLYS).
- User-Friendly: Easy-to-navigate design and clear instructions make it accessible for everyone.
Who Should Use This Product?
- Investors: Accurately assess Tilly's, Inc. (TLYS) fair value prior to making investment choices.
- CFOs: Utilize a professional-grade DCF model for financial analysis and reporting.
- Consultants: Quickly modify the template for client valuation reports.
- Entrepreneurs: Acquire insights into financial modeling techniques employed by leading retail companies.
- Educators: Implement it as a teaching resource to illustrate valuation methods.
What the Template Contains
- Historical Data: Includes Tilly's past financials and baseline forecasts.
- DCF and Levered DCF Models: Detailed templates to calculate Tilly's intrinsic value.
- WACC Sheet: Pre-built calculations for Weighted Average Cost of Capital.
- Editable Inputs: Modify key drivers like growth rates, EBITDA %, and CAPEX assumptions.
- Quarterly and Annual Statements: A complete breakdown of Tilly's financials.
- Interactive Dashboard: Visualize valuation results and projections dynamically.
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