Knightscope, Inc. (KSCP) Bundle
You're looking at Knightscope, Inc. (KSCP) and wondering if the growth story finally outweighs the cash burn, and the short answer is that the company is showing signs of operational maturity, but still faces a clear path to profitability.
The latest Q3 2025 results show a solid top-line increase, with revenue hitting $3.1 million, a 24% jump year-over-year, which is defintely a positive signal that their autonomous security robots (ASRs) and emergency communication devices (ECDs) are gaining traction. But, you have to be a realist: the net loss for the quarter was still $9.5 million, even with a narrowing from the prior year, and the gross loss was $1.6 million, which included a $0.6 million non-cash inventory write-off due to their headquarters move in August 2025. The good news is they've shored up the balance sheet, reporting $20.4 million in cash as of September 30, 2025, after raising about $32.7 million year-to-date through equity offerings, giving them runway to execute on their new K7 platform and strategic investments. We need to dig into how they plan to turn that revenue growth into positive gross margins and close that massive loss gap, especially since analysts still project a wide average price target of $15.67, suggesting significant upside if they execute.
Revenue Analysis
You need to know if Knightscope, Inc. (KSCP)'s revenue engine is finally gaining traction, and the 2025 numbers show a mixed, but improving, picture. The company's Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) revenue ending September 30, 2025, hit $11.61 million, reflecting a modest year-over-year growth of 5.50%. Honestly, this is still a small-cap story, but the quarterly shifts tell you where the real action-and risk-is.
Breaking Down the Revenue Mix
Knightscope, Inc. operates on a dual-stream model: recurring service revenue from their Autonomous Security Robots (ASR) like the K5 and K1, and product sales, primarily Emergency Communication Devices (ECD). Service revenue is the higher-margin, more predictable component we want to see grow. In Q1 2025, for example, total revenue was $2.9 million, and the breakdown was clear: service revenue accounted for $2.1 million (around 72% of the total), while product revenue was $809,000. That service-to-product ratio is defintely a key metric to watch.
The core business is the subscription model. You want to see that recurring revenue base expand.
2025 Quarterly Revenue Volatility and Growth
The year 2025 was a bit of a rollercoaster, which highlights the operational risks in a hardware-plus-service model. Q1 saw strong performance, but Q2 hit a snag. The Q2 2025 revenue came in at $2.7 million, a drop from the prior year, because higher ASR service revenue was actually offset by lower ECD product sales due to component shortages. This shows how supply chain issues can immediately impact their top line, even as their recurring service revenue grew 7% year-over-year in that quarter.
The company recovered nicely in Q3, reporting revenue of $3.1 million, a jump of 24% over Q3 2024. This rebound was primarily driven by a $0.6 million increase in product revenue, as they accelerated deliveries that had been delayed in Q2. Here's the quick math on the quarterly swings:
| Quarter | Total Revenue (USD) | YoY Revenue Growth Rate | Primary Driver of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | $2.9 million | +29% | Growth in both Service (+25%) and Product (+44%) |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7 million | Decrease | Lower ECD product sales due to component shortages |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1 million | +24% | Product revenue increase from accelerated deliveries |
What this estimate hides is the underlying health of the recurring base, which is the long-term play. While product sales are volatile, the consistent growth in service revenue, even if only 7% in Q2, is the foundation. For a deeper dive into who is betting on this future, check out Exploring Knightscope, Inc. (KSCP) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Profitability Metrics
You're looking at Knightscope, Inc. (KSCP) and seeing a lot of growth talk, but as a seasoned analyst, you know the bottom line is where the rubber meets the road. The short answer is that Knightscope is still firmly in its high-growth, pre-profitability phase, with all three core margins-gross, operating, and net-deeply negative in the first three quarters of 2025.
The company is generating revenue, but the cost of delivering its Autonomous Security Robots (ASR) and Emergency Communication Devices (ECD) is still far outpacing sales. This is typical for a hardware-plus-service model in an emerging robotics market, but the volatility in margins is a key risk to watch.
Gross Margin: A Volatile Path to Scale
Gross margin tells you if the core business model-building and operating the robots-is viable at scale. For Knightscope, this metric is not just negative, it's been highly volatile in 2025, which points to operational challenges like supply chain issues and inventory management.
- Q1 2025 saw a strong improvement, with a gross loss of $0.7 million on $2.9 million in revenue, yielding a gross margin of approximately -24.1%. This was a significant step up from the prior year.
- Q2 2025 reversed this trend, showing a gross loss of $0.9 million on $2.7 million in revenue, pushing the margin to approximately -33.3%. This was primarily due to lower ECD product revenue from component shortages.
- The Q3 2025 result was the most challenging, with a gross loss of $1.6 million on $3.1 million in revenue, resulting in a margin of approximately -51.6%. Here's the quick math: this loss included a $0.6 million non-cash inventory write-off as the company moved to its new headquarters. That's a one-time hit, but it defintely highlights the risks in managing a complex hardware supply chain.
The target for a security technology company is often a gross margin well over 30% to cover R&D and overhead, with some high-growth software security firms even guiding for non-GAAP operating margins near 30%. Knightscope is still a long way from that level of efficiency, but the Q1 improvement showed a glimpse of what cost discipline can do.
Operating and Net Loss: The Cost of Innovation
The operating profit (or loss) is where you see the impact of the company's heavy investment in growth and product development. Knightscope's operating expenses are significant, but management has been showing cost discipline in some areas.
In Q1 2025, operating expenses were reduced by 9% year-over-year to $6.2 million. In Q2, they saw a further 14% year-over-year decrease to $5.4 million. This is a good sign-they are trying to use less cash to support the same or growing revenue base.
Still, the losses are substantial. When you factor in the operating expenses, the operating loss is nearly identical to the net loss, suggesting minimal impact from non-operating items like interest or taxes.
| Metric | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.9 million | $2.7 million | $3.1 million |
| Gross Margin | -24.1% | -33.3% | -51.6% |
| Net Loss | $6.9 million | $6.3 million | $9.5 million |
The net loss for the first three quarters of 2025 totaled approximately $22.7 million, which is a massive cash burn relative to the $8.7 million in total revenue. This is a capital-intensive business. The net loss for Q3, at $9.5 million, was the highest of the year, driven by the inventory write-off and a 10% increase in operating expenses to $7.9 million as they ramped up R&D for the next-generation K7 platform.
What this estimate hides is the true cost of scaling a new technology. The company is investing heavily in R&D and new manufacturing capabilities, which increases operating expenses now but is essential for future profitability. For more on the capital structure supporting this, you should look at Exploring Knightscope, Inc. (KSCP) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Actionable Insight: Operational Efficiency and Next Steps
The core challenge for Knightscope is converting its revenue growth (Q3 revenue was up 24% year-over-year) into positive gross margins. The industry average net margin for the broader security software sector is around 3.86%, so the goal isn't just positive, it needs to be substantial to justify the risk.
The key action for investors is to monitor the gross margin excluding one-time items. The Q3 gross loss of $1.6 million drops to about $1.0 million if you back out the $0.6 million write-off. That adjusted loss still yields a negative gross margin of about -32.3% on $3.1 million in revenue, which is more in line with the Q2 performance. This suggests the underlying operational efficiency is still struggling with component costs and manufacturing scale, but not deteriorating as drastically as the headline number suggests.
Debt vs. Equity Structure
You're looking at Knightscope, Inc. (KSCP) and wondering how they fund their ambitious growth-is it through debt or shareholder capital? The direct takeaway is that Knightscope, Inc. maintains a moderate, low-risk leverage profile for a high-growth technology company, relying heavily on equity to fuel its operations.
As of the third quarter of 2025, the company's debt load is remarkably light. The total debt is approximately $4.1 million, which is a manageable figure for a company in the capital-intensive robotics space. This low debt level is a deliberate strategic move, especially when you consider the company's recent actions.
Here's the quick math on their leverage: Knightscope, Inc.'s Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio stood at 0.49 as of Q3 2025. This means for every dollar of shareholder equity, the company uses less than fifty cents of debt to finance its assets. That's a defintely conservative approach.
- KSCP D/E Ratio (Q3 2025): 0.49
- Aerospace & Defense Industry Average: 0.38
- Communication Equipment Industry Average: 0.48
Compared to the industry, a D/E of 0.49 is slightly higher than the Aerospace & Defense average of 0.38, but it's right in line with the Communication Equipment sector average of 0.48. Honestly, anything under 1.0 or 1.5 is generally considered a healthy, positive D/E ratio for a growth company, so Knightscope, Inc. is well within that comfort zone.
The company has been actively managing and reducing its debt obligations. For example, as of June 30, 2025, Knightscope, Inc. fully repaid a $3.0 million senior secured promissory note. This move simplified their capital structure and eliminated the associated shareholder dilution risk from warrants tied to that debt. It's a clear signal that management is prioritizing a clean balance sheet.
The core of Knightscope, Inc.'s financing strategy in 2025 is equity funding, not debt. Year-to-date in 2025, the company raised approximately $32.7 million through at-the-market (ATM) offerings and direct registration transactions. This influx of capital, which helped boost their cash reserves to $20.4 million as of September 30, 2025, is a critical lifeline for a pre-profit technology company. They are choosing to issue new shares-which causes dilution-to fund operations and innovation, rather than taking on high-interest debt that would strain their cash flow. You can read more about their strategic direction here: Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Knightscope, Inc. (KSCP).
This heavy reliance on equity is typical for a company focused on research, development, and scaling a nascent technology. It means less interest expense, but it also means investors need to accept the trade-off of share dilution for the sake of long-term growth and innovation. The strategy is clear: keep the debt low to maintain financial flexibility, and use equity to fund the future.
Liquidity and Solvency
You're looking at Knightscope, Inc. (KSCP) because you see the potential in autonomous security, but the first thing we need to check is whether the company has the cash to keep the lights on and fund that growth. Honestly, liquidity is a mixed bag here, showing a strong cash position but a reliance on external funding.
As of the most recent data, Knightscope's liquidity ratios look very healthy, which is a significant improvement. The Current Ratio, which measures current assets against current liabilities, stands at approximately 3.62. A ratio above 1.0 means current assets can cover short-term debts. The Quick Ratio (or acid-test ratio), which strips out less-liquid inventory, is also robust at about 3.21. That's a strong short-term position. They have plenty of liquid assets to meet immediate obligations.
Here's the quick math on why that matters:
- Current Ratio of 3.62: For every dollar of short-term debt, Knightscope has $3.62 in assets coming due within a year to cover it.
- Quick Ratio of 3.21: Even without selling a single robot from inventory, they still have $3.21 in cash and receivables for every dollar of immediate debt.
Still, you need to look at the working capital trends. While the ratios are high, the company is still in a growth phase that burns cash. The strength in liquidity comes primarily from financing, not operations. Year-to-date in 2025, Knightscope raised approximately $32.7 million through at-the-market (ATM) offerings and direct registration transactions. This inflow is what's keeping the balance sheet strong, not sales volume.
The Statement of Cash Flows tells the real story of the business model's maturity. For the trailing twelve months (TTM) ending Q3 2025, the company used a significant amount of cash in its core business:
| Cash Flow Activity (TTM Q3 2025) | Amount (in millions USD) | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Activities | -$24.81 | Cash Burn |
| Investing Activities | -$2.59 | Capital Investment |
| Financing Activities | Positive, but variable | Primary Cash Source |
The negative $24.81 million in cash from operating activities (Cash Burn) is a clear near-term risk. It means the business is not yet self-sustaining, a common issue for pre-profit growth companies. Investing activities used another $2.59 million, which is normal for a company investing in new products like the K7 platform. The good news is that they ended Q3 2025 with a cash and cash equivalents balance of $20.4 million, a solid $15.2 million improvement from the prior year. Plus, they fully repaid a $3.0 million senior secured promissory note in Q2 2025, simplifying their capital structure. That was a smart move.
The key takeaway is that Knightscope's liquidity is currently a strength, but it's a strength built on financing, not operational cash flow. The company needs to translate those strong liquidity ratios into a positive cash flow from operations to be defintely de-risked. You can read more about the full picture in Breaking Down Knightscope, Inc. (KSCP) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors.
Valuation Analysis
You're looking at Knightscope, Inc. (KSCP) and trying to figure out if the market is giving you a fair deal. The short answer is that traditional valuation metrics suggest the stock is either priced for significant future growth or is currently undervalued relative to its book assets, but you must factor in the company's lack of profitability right now.
The core of the valuation story for a growth-stage company like Knightscope, Inc. is that it's not yet profitable, so standard earnings-based ratios are not useful. You have to look at asset value and sales multiples instead. Here's the quick math on the key ratios based on the latest 2025 fiscal year data.
- Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: This ratio is not meaningful (NM) because Knightscope, Inc. has negative earnings. The trailing twelve months (TTM) Earnings Per Share (EPS) as of June 2025 was approximately -$6.540. You can't use a negative P/E to value a company; it just tells you they are losing money.
- Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: This is a better starting point. The TTM P/B ratio is around 1.82 as of November 2025. This means the stock trades at less than two times its net tangible asset value. For a tech company with intellectual property and a growing robot fleet, a P/B of 1.82 suggests the stock is not wildly expensive based on its balance sheet.
- Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA): This is also negative, at approximately -1.92 as of November 11, 2025. This is because the company's Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA) is negative, around -$24.98 million TTM as of June 2025. A negative EV/EBITDA is typical for a pre-profit, high-growth company investing heavily in scaling its operations.
What this estimate hides is the cash burn rate. The real risk is whether the company can achieve profitability before it depletes its cash reserves, which is why a P/B ratio below 2.0 is an attractive sign for a speculative growth name.
Stock Trend and Analyst View
You defintely need to see the stock's recent performance to understand the current investor sentiment. The last 12 months have been volatile, which is unsurprising for a small-cap technology stock.
The stock price on November 21, 2025, was $4.70. Looking back over the last 52 weeks, the stock has seen a high of $20.40 and a low of $2.45, reflecting a significant drop of about -70.97% in the stock price over the period. This massive decline suggests the market has been punishing the stock for slower-than-expected revenue growth and persistent losses, despite the company's efforts to improve its gross margin loss to (23%) in Q1 2025.
On the income side, there is no dividend to cushion the volatility. Knightscope, Inc. has a dividend yield of 0% and does not currently pay a dividend, which is standard for a company focused on reinvesting all capital back into growth.
Here is what Wall Street analysts are saying, which is a good check against your own valuation:
| Metric | Value (as of Nov 2025) | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Analyst Consensus Rating | Strong Buy (from 3 analysts) | High conviction for significant outperformance. |
| Average Price Target | $17.33 | Represents a potential upside of over 268% from the current price of $4.70. |
| Target Range (Low to High) | $8.00 to $27.00 | Shows a wide divergence in analyst expectations. |
Analyst consensus is 'Strong Buy,' with an average price target of $17.33. That's a massive implied upside, but remember that these targets often reflect a long-term view based on the company executing its vision, which you can read more about here: Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values of Knightscope, Inc. (KSCP). The risk is high, but the potential return, according to the street, is equally compelling if they can turn their revenue growth (up 29% in Q1 2025) into bottom-line profit.
Next Step: Review the latest Q3 2025 earnings transcript to see the management's updated timeline for achieving cash-flow positive operations.
Risk Factors
You're looking at Knightscope, Inc. (KSCP) because you see the long-term potential of an integrated autonomous security force, and you're right, the market is hungry for it. But as a pre-profitability company, the risks are not just theoretical; they are fundamental to the investment thesis. The near-term challenge is less about technology and more about capital and execution.
The biggest financial hurdle is the simple fact that Knightscope has not yet generated a profit and anticipates continued losses for the foreseeable future. To be blunt, their independent auditors expressed substantial doubt about the company's ability to continue as a going concern without securing additional funding, as noted in their March 2025 filing. This is the most critical risk you must weigh.
Here's the quick math on the financial burn and how they are managing it:
- Q3 2025 Net Loss: $9.5 million.
- Q3 2025 Gross Loss: $1.6 million.
- 2025 Full-Year Consensus Revenue Estimate: $11.27 million.
The good news is the company is aware of this and is taking clear steps. They ended Q3 2025 with a cash and cash equivalents balance of $20.4 million, a significant improvement driven by disciplined cost management and raising approximately $32.7 million year-to-date through equity offerings. This gives them crucial runway, but they are defintely relying on continued access to capital.
Operational and Strategic Execution Risks
The operational risks for Knightscope, Inc. (KSCP) center on scaling production efficiently and managing a complex supply chain. We saw this play out in 2025. In Q3 2025, the gross loss of $1.6 million was partially driven by a $600,000 non-cash inventory write-off related to their move to the new Sunnyvale headquarters. Plus, product deliveries were delayed in Q2 2025 due to material shortages, which they had to accelerate in Q3.
Their mitigation strategy here is hands-on: they've implemented a proactive procurement strategy and operational efficiency initiatives, including adding a fully staffed second production shift to reduce overtime and improve capacity utilization. They are also making a major bet on future innovation, with operating expenses rising to $7.9 million in Q3 2025, largely due to a $2 million increase in research and development for the next-generation K7 robot. The key is whether this investment translates into market share before the cash runs out.
External Competition and Market Conditions
Knightscope, Inc. (KSCP) operates in a highly fragmented market, and the competition is fierce across three distinct fronts. They are pioneers, but they are not alone. You need to understand who they are fighting:
- Traditional Security: Giants like Allied Universal, Securitas, and G4S, who rely on human guards. Knightscope's value proposition is a cost-effective, 24/7 alternative that addresses labor shortages and human error.
- Autonomous Robotics: Specialized firms like Asylon Robotics (drone-based) and SMP Robotics (rugged ground-based robots).
- Emergency Communications: Companies like Code Blue Corporation and Talkaphone, who focus on blue light systems.
Knightscope's strategic defense is its integrated platform-combining Autonomous Security Robots (ASRs), emergency communication devices, and AI-driven monitoring into a single ecosystem (the KSOC). No other single company offers this complete package. But still, the risk of uneven market adoption and execution remains a significant headwind.
For a deeper dive into the institutional money backing the company's long-term strategy, you should read Exploring Knightscope, Inc. (KSCP) Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
| Risk Category | 2025 Financial/Operational Impact | Mitigation Strategy |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Liquidity | Substantial doubt about going concern; Q3 2025 Net Loss of $9.5 million. | Strengthened cash balance to $20.4 million (Q3 2025) via $32.7 million in year-to-date equity raises. |
| Operational Efficiency | Q3 2025 Gross Loss included a $600,000 inventory write-off; Q2 material shortages delayed deliveries. | Proactive procurement; fully staffed second production shift; new, larger Sunnyvale headquarters. |
| Competition | Faces established rivals in three distinct security sub-markets (human, robotics, comms). | Focus on an integrated public safety platform (ASRs + Comms + AI) as a unique differentiator. |
The next step for you is to monitor the Q4 2025 earnings call for any changes in the full-year revenue guidance and, more importantly, the cash burn rate. Finance: track the quarterly cash flow from operations by the next earnings release.
Growth Opportunities
You're looking past the quarterly noise to the long-term value, and honestly, that's the only way to analyze a growth-stage company like Knightscope, Inc. (KSCP). The direct takeaway is that their future growth hinges on three clear, actionable strategies: expanding their federal footprint, accelerating new product adoption like the K7, and executing on strategic M&A.
The core of Knightscope's model is its Machine-as-a-Service (MaaS) subscription framework, which is designed to build cumulative recurring revenue, a much more stable foundation than one-off sales. They've been consistently winning new contracts, having surpassed another $1 million in new sales and renewals in November 2025 alone. Here's the quick math on their near-term projections:
| Metric | Value (FY 2025) | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Actual Q3 2025 Revenue | $3.1 million | A 24% YoY increase from Q3 2024. |
| LTM Revenue (as of Q3 2025) | $11.61 million | Reflects the trailing twelve months' performance. |
| Analyst FY 2025 Revenue Estimate | $11.28 million | Consensus projection for the full fiscal year. |
| Analyst FY 2025 EPS Estimate | -$3.77 | Still a net loss, but the focus remains on top-line growth. |
The path to profitability is still a long one, but the revenue growth is defintely trending in the right direction, supported by a cash position of $20.4 million as of September 30, 2025.
Analysis of Key Growth Drivers
Knightscope's growth isn't just about selling more K5 robots; it's about product innovation and accessing massive, previously restricted markets. The company's strategy is built on three pillars: organic growth, new product development, and inorganic growth (acquisitions).
- Product Innovations: The unveiling of the all-new K7 Autonomous Security Robot (ASR) in November 2025 is a critical catalyst. This rugged, four-wheeled platform is designed for off-road and varied terrain, significantly expanding their addressable market beyond paved areas. They are also investing heavily in their next-generation K7 platform, autonomy, and AI-powered analytics.
- Market Expansions: The federal market is the biggest near-term opportunity. Achieving FedRAMP Authority to Operate (ATO) and joining the Palantir Technologies FedStart program makes Knightscope one of the few AI security robotics companies eligible to deploy its technology in US government buildings and military bases. This is a game-changer for scale.
- Acquisitions: Management is actively pursuing inorganic growth through mergers and acquisitions (M&A) to either boost top-line revenue or acquire key technical capabilities like perception AI or audio AI. This is a smart way to accelerate their technology roadmap.
Strategic Initiatives and Competitive Advantages
The company is not just relying on their robots; they are building an ecosystem and a competitive moat. Their move to a new, larger 33,355 sq ft headquarters in Sunnyvale, California, in August 2025, is a concrete step to double their manufacturing and engineering capacity, which is essential for scaling production.
Their competitive advantages are becoming clearer:
- Integrated Security Platform: Knightscope offers a comprehensive suite that includes ASRs, Emergency Communication Devices (ECDs), and the RTX service-a human-in-the-loop solution that combines autonomous monitoring with professional oversight. This integrated approach is far more compelling than a single-product solution.
- Government Credibility: The FedRAMP ATO and a US Air Force contract provide a level of credibility and access that competitors will struggle to match. Plus, a partnership with Verizon Frontline ensures their ECDs have reliable, priority communications on a dedicated public safety network.
If you want to dive deeper into the nuts and bolts of their current financial standing, you can read the full breakdown here: Breaking Down Knightscope, Inc. (KSCP) Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors. Your next step should be to model the impact of the K7 rollout and the federal contract wins on their 2026 revenue projections.

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